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Houston Sur

Houston Sur - GFI

GFI
🇺🇸 USL League TwoFinished
Wednesday, June 17, 2026 at 24:00

Finished Snapshot

FT3-8
FinishedSettled

Halftime

2-3

Predictions

6W · 3L · 0P

Edges

5W · 0L · 0P

Match Stats

Possession

48%-52%

Shots

6-8

Shots on Target

4-5

Corners

1-3

Quick Take

Start here for the short read and the strongest priced leans.

GFI Woodlands are heavily favored to beat last‑placed Houston Sur, but the 1.20 odds offer no value. The real edge lies in goals: over 2.5 is priced at 1.36 with a small positive gap, and over 0.5 first‑half goals at 1.20 is a high‑probability play. Avoid backing GFI in the first half or betting on Houston Sur to score, as those markets are overpriced relative to the underlying data.

Context 5/10 Clear motivation asymmetry with GFI chasing a playoff spot and Houston Sur already in a must-win situation, plus a recent 5-0 H2H result that shapes expectations.
Double ChanceDraw or GFI85%Fair price
1 St Half Goals Over/UnderOver 0.580%Fair price
Goals Over/UnderOver 2.575%+1.5pp

Context Signals

The match conditions that matter before looking at the prices.

Betting Edges

Markets where the model and price are far enough apart.

Model probabilities

The model view before price and edge filtering.

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 6 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

0W · 0D · 1W
L0-5Houston SurvGFIJun 12, 2025USL
5 goals/game avg

Recent Form

Houston Sur

Houston Sur

L1-2LonestarJun 14USL
L0-3Laredo HeatJun 7USL
D2-2AHFC RoyalsJun 4USL
L2-4Brazos ValleyMay 31USL
L1-4LonestarMay 24USL
L0-4Houston FCJul 10USL
D1-1Hill Country LobosJun 29USL
L0-4Brazos ValleyJun 26USL
L1-5Hill Country LobosJun 22USL
L1-6AHFC RoyalsJun 19USL
L0-5GFIJun 12USL
L0-2Laredo HeatJun 8USL
L0-1AHFC RoyalsJun 5USL
D0-0Brazos ValleyJun 1USL
L1-3Corpus ChristiMay 25USL
GFI

GFI

W6-3Houston FCJun 11USL
D0-0LonestarJun 4USL
D1-1Hill Country LobosMay 31USL
W1-0Brazos ValleyMay 24USL
W4-3Houston FCMay 18USL
L2-3Hill Country LobosJul 13USL
L1-3Laredo HeatJul 9USL
L0-4Corpus ChristiJul 6USL
L0-1LonestarJul 2USL
W4-1Brazos ValleyJun 29USL
L1-4AHFC RoyalsJun 26USL
W5-0Houston SurJun 12USL
D0-0Houston FCJun 9USL
D0-0Corpus ChristiJun 5USL
L2-5AHFC RoyalsMay 29USL

Squad & Injuries

Houston Sur

0 available
Attackers0
Midfielders0
Defenders0
Goalkeeper0

GFI

0 available
Attackers0
Midfielders0
Defenders0
Goalkeeper0
This USL League Two Lone Star Division clash carries outsized weight for both sides, but the pressure is far from equal. GFI Woodlands arrive sitting second on 11 points from five matches, still unbeaten and knowing that the division runner‑up spot guarantees a Southern Conference playoff berth. Houston Sur, by contrast, are rooted to the bottom with a single point and a goal difference already in freefall.