Serie BFull time

Predictions graded

Botafogo SP2Operario1

HT 0–1Sun 14 Jun 2026, 22:00 Predictions graded

Predictions1–811%

Edges0–30%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Jun 2026, 10:22 · Europe/Bucharest

Operario are well-placed to avoid defeat against a Botafogo SP side that has won just once at home this season.

The best value lies in the double chance (Draw or Operario at 1.67) and the first-half draw (1.95), while a low-scoring match is expected, with under 2.5 goals a likely outcome.

Context

Home record: 1W-2D-2L in Serie B this season.
- Failed to score in 3 of 5 home matches.
- Only win was a 4-0 result against Fortaleza EC, an outlier in an otherwise blunt attack.
Away record: 2W-1D-2L in Serie B this season.
- Wins came against Ceara (2-1) and Sampaio Corrêa RJ (2-1).
- Only one away loss by more than a single goal (3-0 at CRB).
Last meeting: 1-1 draw at Botafogo SP in September 2025.
- Prior meeting: 3-0 Operario win at home in May 2025.
- Botafogo SP have not beaten Operario in the last two head-to-heads.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Operario's stronger recent away form and H2H edge give them a slight advantage over a struggling Botafogo SP side that has won only once at home this season.
- Botafogo SP home record: 1W-2D-2L in last 5 home matches (Serie B), with only 1 win in 5 at home this season.
- Operario away record: 2W-1D-2L in last 5 away matches, including a 2-1 win at Ceara and a 2-1 win at Sampaio Corrêa RJ.
- H2H last 5: Operario unbeaten in last 2 meetings (1W, 1D), including a 3-0 win in 2025.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostOperarioEstimated chance40%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Botafogo SP's poor home form and Operario's resilience on the road make a home win unlikely, supporting a double chance on the away side.
- Botafogo SP home win rate: 20% (1/5) in Serie B this season.
- Operario away loss rate: 40% (2/5), with 3 results avoiding defeat.
- H2H: Botafogo SP have not beaten Operario in the last 2 meetings (0W-1D-1L).
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or OperarioEstimated chance70%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start cautiously, with a high frequency of drawn first halves in their recent home/away splits and H2H history.
- Botafogo SP home first-half record: 1W-3D-1L in last 5 home matches.
- Operario away first-half record: 1W-1D-3L in last 5 away matches.
- H2H: Last 2 meetings were 0-0 and 1-0 at half-time, with the home side leading in only one.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Operario have shown a slight edge in second-half performances on the road, but the evidence is thin, warranting low confidence.
- Operario won the second half in 2 of last 5 away matches (vs Ceara and Sampaio Corrêa RJ).
- Botafogo SP lost the second half in 2 of last 5 home matches.
- Operario's overall second-half goal difference away is -1 (4 scored, 5 conceded), slightly better than Botafogo SP's home second-half difference of -2 (6 scored, 8 conceded).
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableOperarioEstimated chance35%

Goals1 of 6 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low-scoring trends, especially in their respective home/away splits, and H2H history supports a tight, low-scoring affair.
- Botafogo SP home goals per match: 1.6 (8 goals in 5 home games), but 4 of 5 home games had under 2.5 goals.
- Operario away goals per match: 1.0 (5 goals in 5 away games), with 4 of 5 away games having under 2.5 goals.
- H2H: 3 of last 5 meetings had under 2.5 goals, including the most recent 1-1 draw.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Botafogo SP's attacking struggles at home and Operario's occasional defensive solidity on the road point to at least one side failing to score.
- Botafogo SP failed to score in 3 of last 5 home matches (Serie B).
- Operario kept a clean sheet in 2 of last 5 away matches.
- H2H: Both teams scored in only 1 of last 5 meetings.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Botafogo SP's home attack has been largely ineffective, and Operario's away defense is reasonably solid, making multiple home goals unlikely.
- Botafogo SP scored 1 or fewer goals in 4 of 5 home matches this Serie B season.
- Botafogo SP home goals average: 1.6, but median is 1.0 due to a 4-0 outlier against Fortaleza EC.
- Operario conceded 1 or fewer goals in 3 of 5 away matches.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostBotafogo SP under 1.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Operario's away attack is modest, and Botafogo SP's home defense has been relatively tight, suggesting Operario will struggle to score multiple goals.
- Operario scored 1 or fewer goals in 4 of 5 away matches this season.
- Operario away goals average: 1.0 per game.
- Botafogo SP conceded 1 or fewer goals in 3 of 5 home matches.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonOperario under 1.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams are slow starters, especially in their respective home/away contexts, making a low-scoring first half highly probable.
- Botafogo SP first-half goals at home: 0.4 per match (2 goals in 5 home games), with 4 of 5 home games having 0 or 1 first-half goal.
- Operario first-half goals away: 0.2 per match (1 goal in 5 away games), with all 5 away games having under 1.5 first-half goals.
- H2H: Last 2 meetings had 0 and 1 first-half goals respectively.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The overall low-scoring nature of this matchup extends to the second half, with neither side showing consistent second-half firepower.
- Botafogo SP second-half goals at home: 1.2 per match, but 3 of 5 home games had 1 or fewer second-half goals.
- Operario second-half goals away: 0.8 per match, with 4 of 5 away games having 1 or fewer second-half goals.
- Overall match tempo: Both teams average under 2.5 total goals, suggesting second-half scoring is also limited.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostUnder 1.5Estimated chance65%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Botafogo SP's home matches tend to produce corners, and Operario's away games often see moderate corner counts, but the data is not strongly conclusive.
- Botafogo SP home corners average: 7.0 per match, with 3 of 5 home games having 10+ total corners.
- Operario away corners average: 4.4 per match, but opponents average 5.4 corners against them away, leading to total averages around 9.8.
- Recent H2H: The last meeting had 10 corners total.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a tendency to accumulate cards, and their combined averages suggest a total above 4.5 cards is likely.
- Botafogo SP home yellow cards average: 3.3 per match, with 4 of 5 home games having 5+ total cards.
- Operario away yellow cards average: 2.9 per match, with opponents averaging 3.4 cards against them away.
- Referee data unavailable, but both teams average over 2.5 cards per game overall.
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 4.5Estimated chance65%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

1W · 2D · 2W

D1-1Botafogo SPvOperario-PRSep 18, 2025SER

L3-0Operario-PRvBotafogo SPMay 17, 2025SER

D0-0Botafogo SPvOperario-PROct 13, 2024SER

W0-1Operario-PRvBotafogo SPJun 22, 2024SER

L0-1Botafogo SPvOperario-PRJan 29, 2021SER

Botafogo SP: 2 clean sheetsOperario: 3 clean sheets1.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Serie B 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
16	Botafogo SP	12	2	4	6	11-12	10	LDLLL
7	Operario	12	5	4	3	14-15	19	WWDLL

9pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Botafogo SP

L0-1Vila NovaJun 8SER

D0-0Ponte PretaJun 1SER

L1-2Athletic ClubMay 25SER

L0-1GoiasMay 16SER

L0-1NovorizontinoMay 10SER

D1-1Nautico RecifeMay 2SER

D1-1CuiabaApr 23SER

D1-1Atletico GoianienseApr 19SER

L0-1CriciumaApr 10SER

L1-2São BernardoApr 5SER

W2-1America MineiroApr 1SER

W4-0Fortaleza ECMar 21SER

L0-1CapivarianoFeb 15PAU

W2-0Guarani CampinasFeb 7PAU

W1-0PalmeirasFeb 1PAU

Operario

W2-1JuventudeJun 5SER

W2-1CearaMay 31SER

D1-1CriciumaMay 24SER

L2-6Nautico RecifeMay 16SER

L1-2FluminenseMay 13COP

L0-3CRBMay 9SER

L1-2Chapecoense-scMay 7COP

W3-0LondrinaMay 3SER

W2-1Sampaio Corrêa RJApr 29COP

D0-0Fortaleza ECApr 26SER

D0-0FluminenseApr 24COP

L1-2Vila NovaApr 18SER

D1-1NovorizontinoApr 15COP

D0-0CuiabaApr 12SER

D0-0CianorteApr 9COP

Squad & Injuries

Botafogo SP

37 available

Attackers8

Midfielders12

Defenders13

Goalkeeper4

Operario

49 available

Attackers13

Midfielders17

Defenders14

Goalkeeper5

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw or Operario

Draw

Under 2.5

Over 4.5

Under 1.5

Result0 of 3 landed

Goals1 of 6 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Botafogo SP

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Botafogo SP

Operario

Squad & Injuries

Botafogo SP

Operario