Botola ProFull time

Predictions graded

FUS Rabat0Difaa El Jadidi0

HT 0–0Mon 8 Jun 2026, 16:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–456%

Edges2–250%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 7 Jun 2026, 16:15 · Europe/Bucharest

FUS Rabat are strong at home and historically dominant in this fixture, but both teams’ draw-heavy form makes a stalemate the most likely outcome.

The best value lies in Both Teams to Score Yes at 2.05 (+11.2% edge) and Over 4.5 cards at 1.83 (+5.4% edge), while the double chance FUS or Draw is a safe but low-value play. Avoid juiced markets like first-half BTTS No and the half-time draw, where odds overstate true probabilities.

Context

FUS Rabat home record: 4 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses in 10 Botola Pro matches.
- They have conceded 11 goals in those 10 home games, averaging just 1.1 per match.
- Only Raja Casablanca and Maghreb Fès have beaten them at home this season.
Difaa El Jadidi away record: 3 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses in 11 Botola Pro matches.
- They have scored just 10 goals in those 11 away games, averaging 0.9 per match.
- Their away wins came against lower-half sides CODM Meknès, Olympique Dcheïra, and Amal Tiznit (cup).
FUS Rabat last 5 Botola Pro results: D-D-D-D-W (4 draws).
- Difaa El Jadidi last 5 Botola Pro results: L-D-D-D-L (3 draws).
- The last two meetings between these sides produced a 1-0 and a 5-0, but current form suggests a closer game.
Last 5 H2H results: 1-0, 0-5, 3-3, 5-0, 0-3 (4 of 5 over 2.5 goals).
- FUS Rabat have scored 13 goals in those 5 matches, DHJ 4.
- The overall H2H record is 12 FUS wins, 6 DHJ wins, and 11 draws in 29 meetings.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.45fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 69%

0.0ppshort

Despite the negative edge, the high probability of a first-half goal (80% for FUS, 67% for Difaa) makes this a safe play at short odds.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams are in draw-heavy form (FUS 4 draws in last 5, Difaa 3 draws in last 5) and have similar home/away records, making a draw the most likely outcome.
- FUS Rabat form: DDDDW (last 5), with 4 draws.
- Difaa El Jadidi form: LDDDL (last 5), with 3 draws.
- H2H last 5: 1 draw, but overall H2H has 11 draws in 29 meetings.
- FUS Rabat home: 4 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses; Difaa away: 3 wins, 4 draws, 4 losses.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance35%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
FUS Rabat's strong home record (80% unbeaten) and historical H2H dominance (79% unbeaten) against a Difaa side that struggles away (only 3 wins in 11) make FUS Rabat or Draw highly probable.
- FUS Rabat home: 8 of 10 matches without a loss (4 wins, 4 draws).
- Difaa El Jadidi away: 7 of 11 matches without a win (4 draws, 4 losses).
- H2H overall: FUS Rabat have 12 wins and 11 draws in 29 meetings (79% unbeaten).
- FUS Rabat form: unbeaten in last 5 (1 win, 4 draws).
BetBugs · Double ChancewonFUS Rabat or DrawEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high half-time draw rates (FUS 47%, Difaa 60%), and FUS Rabat's home half-time draw rate is 50%, making a draw at half-time the most likely outcome.
- FUS Rabat: led at half-time in 4 of last 15, trailed in 4, drawn in 7 (47% draws).
- Difaa El Jadidi: led at half-time in 3 of last 15, trailed in 3, drawn in 9 (60% draws).
- H2H last 5: half-time draws in 2 of 5, with 2 FUS leads and 1 Difaa lead.
- FUS Rabat home: half-time draws in 5 of 10 home matches (50%).
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
FUS Rabat has a slightly better second-half record (40% wins vs. Difaa's 27%) and home advantage, but the low win rates make this a low-confidence pick.
- FUS Rabat: won second half in 6 of last 15 matches (40%), lost in 4, drawn in 5.
- Difaa El Jadidi: won second half in 4 of last 15 matches (27%), lost in 5, drawn in 6.
- H2H last 5: FUS won second half in 2 matches, Difaa in 1, with 2 draws.
- FUS Rabat home: won second half in 4 of 10 home matches (40%).
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableFUS RabatEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate Draw/Draw rates (FUS 27%, Difaa 33%), and the match is expected to be tight, but the lack of recent H2H Draw/Draw outcomes lowers confidence.
- FUS Rabat: half-time draw and full-time draw in 4 of last 15 matches (27%).
- Difaa El Jadidi: half-time draw and full-time draw in 5 of last 15 matches (33%).
- H2H last 5: no Draw/Draw outcomes, but overall H2H has 11 draws in 29 meetings.
- FUS Rabat home: Draw/Draw in 2 of 10 home matches (20%).
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/DrawEstimated chance25%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams rarely win both halves (FUS 13%, Difaa 7%), and the expected close match makes it highly unlikely either team will dominate both halves.
- FUS Rabat: won both halves in 2 of last 15 matches (13%).
- Difaa El Jadidi: won both halves in 1 of last 15 matches (7%).
- H2H last 5: only 1 match had a team win both halves (FUS 5-0 win).
- FUS Rabat home: won both halves in 1 of 10 home matches (10%).
BetBugs · Win Both Halvesnot gradableNoEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
FUS Rabat rarely leads at half-time (27% overall, 30% at home), while Difaa rarely trails (20%), making Draw or Difaa El Jadidi at half-time a solid choice.
- FUS Rabat: led at half-time in only 4 of last 15 matches (27%).
- Difaa El Jadidi: trailed at half-time in only 3 of last 15 matches (20%).
- H2H last 5: FUS led at half-time in 2 matches, Difaa in 1, with 2 draws.
- FUS Rabat home: led at half-time in 3 of 10 home matches (30%).
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Difaa El JadidiEstimated chance60%

Goals1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
H2H history shows high-scoring encounters (4 of last 5 over 2.5), and FUS Rabat's home matches average 2.3 total goals, supporting Over 2.5 despite Difaa's lower overall average.
- FUS Rabat's last 15 matches average 2.6 total goals (1.5 scored, 1.1 conceded).
- Difaa El Jadidi's last 15 matches average 1.9 total goals (1.1 scored, 0.8 conceded).
- H2H last 5 meetings: 4 of 5 had Over 2.5 goals (1-0, 0-5, 3-3, 5-0, 0-3).
- FUS Rabat home record: 12 goals for, 11 against in 10 matches (2.3 total per game).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
FUS Rabat's high BTTS rate (67% overall, 60% at home) and Difaa's moderate rate (53%) suggest both teams are likely to score, despite some H2H clean sheets.
- FUS Rabat: both teams scored in 10 of last 15 matches (67%).
- Difaa El Jadidi: both teams scored in 8 of last 15 matches (53%).
- H2H last 5: both teams scored in 2 of 5, but 3 of 5 had at least one clean sheet.
- FUS Rabat home: both teams scored in 6 of 10 home matches (60%).
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have high rates of first-half goals (FUS 80%, Difaa 67%), and H2H history shows 80% of recent meetings had a first-half goal, supporting Over 0.5 first-half goals.
- FUS Rabat: first-half goals in 12 of last 15 matches (80%), averaging 0.7 scored, 0.6 conceded.
- Difaa El Jadidi: first-half goals in 10 of last 15 matches (67%), averaging 0.5 scored, 0.4 conceded.
- H2H last 5: first-half goals in 4 of 5 matches (80%).
- FUS Rabat home: first-half goals in 8 of 10 home matches (80%).
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half goals are common for both teams, and H2H shows all recent matches had second-half goals, but the low overall scoring average of Difaa makes Over 1.5 a borderline call.
- FUS Rabat: second-half goals in 13 of last 15 matches (87%), with an average of 1.3 total second-half goals.
- Difaa El Jadidi: second-half goals in 11 of last 15 matches (73%), with an average of 1.0 total second-half goals.
- H2H last 5: second-half goals in all 5 matches, with 3 having Over 1.5.
- FUS Rabat home: second-half goals in 9 of 10 home matches, averaging 1.5 total.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Low rates of both teams scoring in the first half for both teams (FUS 27%, Difaa 20%) and in H2H (20%) suggest it is unlikely both will score before half-time.
- FUS Rabat: both teams scored in first half in 4 of last 15 matches (27%).
- Difaa El Jadidi: both teams scored in first half in 3 of last 15 matches (20%).
- H2H last 5: both teams scored in first half in 1 of 5 matches (20%).
- FUS Rabat home: both teams scored in first half in 2 of 10 home matches (20%).
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance65%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams average over 2.4 yellow cards per match, leading to a combined average of 5.0 cards, making Over 4.5 cards likely in a competitive mid-table clash.
- FUS Rabat: average 2.4 yellow cards per match in last 15, with 0.2 red cards.
- Difaa El Jadidi: average 2.6 yellow cards per match in last 15, with 0.3 red cards.
- Combined average: 5.0 cards per match (yellow + red).
- H2H last 5: card data unavailable, but both teams have above-average discipline issues.
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 4.5Estimated chance60%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

3W · 1D · 1W

L1-0Difaa EL JadidavFUS RabatNov 9, 2025BOT

W0-5Difaa EL JadidavFUS RabatMay 4, 2025BOT

D3-3FUS RabatvDifaa EL JadidaDec 6, 2024BOT

W5-0FUS RabatvDifaa EL JadidaApr 19, 2023BOT

W0-3Difaa EL JadidavFUS RabatDec 29, 2022BOT

FUS Rabat: 3 clean sheets4 goals/game avg

League Table

Botola Pro 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
8	FUS Rabat	22	7	7	8	25-27	28	DDDDW
6	Difaa El Jadidi	22	7	9	6	20-23	30	LDDDL

2pt gap between teams

Recent Form

FUS Rabat

D0-0Hassania AgadirJun 4BOT

D1-1FAR RabatMay 30BOT

W4-0Rachad BernoussiMay 16CUP

D1-1Olympique SafiMay 11BOT

D1-1Ittihad TangerMay 6BOT

W2-0UTS RabatMay 3BOT

W1-0CODM MeknèsApr 29BOT

L1-4Raja CasablancaApr 26BOT

W1-0Wydad ACApr 3BOT

W3-1Yacoub El MansourMar 6BOT

W3-2CR Khemis ZemamraMar 1BOT

L0-1Renaissance BerkaneFeb 22BOT

D1-1Kawkab MarrakechFeb 15BOT

D1-1Olympique DcheïraFeb 7BOT

L2-4Maghreb FèsJan 24BOT

Difaa El Jadidi

L1-2FAR RabatJun 4BOT

D1-1Olympique SafiMay 23BOT

W3-0Amal TiznitMay 17CUP

D1-1Ittihad TangerMay 10BOT

D2-2Hassania AgadirMay 7BOT

L0-1Raja CasablancaMay 3BOT

W2-1CR Khemis ZemamraApr 30BOT

W1-0CODM MeknèsApr 25BOT

D1-1Wydad ACApr 6BOT

L1-2Renaissance BerkaneMar 8BOT

W2-1Yacoub El MansourFeb 28BOT

D0-0Kawkab MarrakechFeb 21BOT

W1-0UTS RabatFeb 14BOT

D0-0Maghreb FèsJan 31BOT

W1-0Olympique DcheïraJan 24BOT

Squad & Injuries

FUS Rabat

27 available

Attackers3

Midfielders12

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Difaa El Jadidi

23 available

Attackers5

Midfielders8

Defenders7

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Yes

Over 4.5

Over 0.5

FUS Rabat or Draw

Draw or Difaa El Jadidi

Result4 of 4 landed

Goals1 of 5 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

No

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

FUS Rabat

Difaa El Jadidi

Squad & Injuries

FUS Rabat

Difaa El Jadidi