Draw or Deportivo Madryn
Market 69% · BetBugs 70%
San Telmo have lost 4 of their last 5 home matches while Madryn have won 3 of their last 5 away; the home side's poor form makes a home win improbable.
Primera NacionalFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
San Telmo's relegation fight meets Madryn's playoff push in a fixture defined by tight H2H history and contrasting form.
The best value lies in a first-half draw (edge +3pts) and the double chance Draw or Deportivo Madryn (edge +1pt), while backing San Telmo outright or betting on under 2.5 goals offers no value at current odds.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 69% · BetBugs 70%
San Telmo have lost 4 of their last 5 home matches while Madryn have won 3 of their last 5 away; the home side's poor form makes a home win improbable.
Market 52% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams have a strong tendency for drawn first halves, with H2H history showing all recent meetings level at the break.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 75% · Market 82%
Both teams average under 1.0 first-half goals and 4 of last 5 home/away matches stayed under 1.5; H2H first halves have been tight.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | CA San Telmo | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 12-16 | 15 |
| 6 | Deportivo MadrynPromotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs) | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20-15 | 23 |

