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Predictions graded

AS FAR Rabat2Difaa El Jadidi1

HT 1–0Thu 4 Jun 2026, 20:00 Predictions graded

Predictions3–538%

Edges2–340%

Yellow CardsYellow Cards 2–2Red CardsRed Cards 0–0

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 4 Jun 2026, 08:36 · Europe/Bucharest

AS FAR Rabat's dominant H2H record and unbeaten league season make them favorites, but the 1.22 odds offer no value given their high draw rate.

The best edge is on under 2.5 goals at 1.91, with a +12.6-point value gap, supported by DHJ's scoring struggles in this fixture and both teams' low goal averages. Also consider over 4.5 cards at 1.80, as both sides average over two yellows per game and recent meetings have been feisty.

Context

FAR Rabat sit 4th with 41 points, but MAS (44), RS Berkane (43), and Raja CA (42) have all played 22 matches.
- A win would move FAR Rabat to 44 points, level with the leaders and with a game still in hand.
- Difaa El Jadidi are 6th on 30 points, with no immediate pressure from above or below.
In the last 5 H2Hs, Difaa El Jadidi were shut out 4 times: 0-4, 0-1, 0-1, and 0-1.
- The only goal they scored in that span came in a 4-1 defeat in September 2022.
- FAR Rabat have kept clean sheets in 2 of their last 5 matches overall.
FAR Rabat's league record is 10 wins and 11 draws from 21 matches.
- In their last 5 league matches, they have drawn 3 times (vs FUS Rabat, Olympique Safi, Ittihad Tanger).
- At home, they have drawn 5 of 10 league matches this season.
Difaa El Jadidi's away record is 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses.
- They have kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 5 away matches.
- Their overall goals-conceded average is 0.7 per game, the best in the league.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

AS FAR Rabat

1.22fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 82%

0.0ppshort

AS FAR Rabat are unbeaten in the league this season and have won 4 of the last 5 H2Hs, but the market has overpriced this dominance.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
AS FAR Rabat's strong league form, dominant H2H record, and higher motivation from the title race make them clear favorites.
- AS FAR Rabat are unbeaten in the league this season (10W 11D 0L) and have won 4 of the last 5 H2Hs against Difaa El Jadidi.
- Difaa El Jadidi have lost 3 of their last 5 away matches and have failed to score in 4 of the last 5 H2Hs.
- AS FAR Rabat have a game in hand and are in the title race, while Difaa El Jadidi are mid-table with less at stake.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAS FAR RabatEstimated chance65%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given AS FAR Rabat's unbeaten league record and Difaa El Jadidi's poor away form, a home win or draw is highly likely.
- AS FAR Rabat have not lost a league match this season (21 unbeaten).
- Difaa El Jadidi have won only 3 of 10 away matches this season.
- AS FAR Rabat have won 4 of the last 5 H2Hs, with the other being a draw.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonAS FAR Rabat or DrawEstimated chance90%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
AS FAR Rabat's slight edge in first-half performance and Difaa El Jadidi's occasional slow starts away from home give the home side a marginal advantage at the break.
- AS FAR Rabat lead at halftime in 20% of matches, while Difaa El Jadidi trail at halftime in 13% of matches.
- In the last 5 H2Hs, AS FAR Rabat led at halftime in 2 matches.
- Difaa El Jadidi have trailed at halftime in 2 of their last 5 away matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonAS FAR RabatEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
AS FAR Rabat often grow into games after a level first half, and this pattern has appeared in recent H2Hs.
- AS FAR Rabat have drawn at halftime in 60% of their matches but won 48% overall.
- Difaa El Jadidi have drawn at halftime in 47% of matches but lost 24% overall.
- In 2 of the last 5 H2Hs, the match was drawn at halftime but AS FAR Rabat won.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/AS FAR RabatEstimated chance30%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The low-scoring trend in recent H2Hs and both teams' moderate goal averages suggest a match with fewer than 3 goals.
- AS FAR Rabat average 1.2 goals per match overall, and Difaa El Jadidi average 1.1 goals per match.
- In the last 5 H2Hs, 4 matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Difaa El Jadidi have failed to score in 4 of the last 5 H2Hs.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Difaa El Jadidi's struggles to score against AS FAR Rabat historically and their low away goal output make a clean sheet for the home side likely.
- Difaa El Jadidi have failed to score in 4 of the last 5 H2Hs.
- AS FAR Rabat have kept clean sheets in 2 of their last 5 matches.
- Difaa El Jadidi have scored only 8 goals in 10 away matches this season.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
AS FAR Rabat's solid defense and Difaa El Jadidi's historical scoring drought in this fixture point to a home clean sheet.
- AS FAR Rabat have kept clean sheets in 2 of their last 5 matches.
- Difaa El Jadidi have been shut out in 4 of the last 5 H2Hs.
- AS FAR Rabat concede only 0.9 goals per match on average.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostDifaa El Jadidi not to scoreEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, and the H2H history shows frequent goalless first halves, making a 0-0 halftime score likely.
- AS FAR Rabat average 0.5 first-half goals, and Difaa El Jadidi average 0.5 first-half goals.
- In 3 of the last 5 H2Hs, the first half ended 0-0.
- Difaa El Jadidi have scored only 0.3 first-half goals on average in away matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a tendency to accumulate cards, and the competitive nature of this fixture often leads to a higher card count.
- AS FAR Rabat average 2.3 yellow cards per match, and Difaa El Jadidi average 2.7 yellow cards per match.
- In the last 5 H2Hs, total cards exceeded 4.5 in 3 matches.
- Difaa El Jadidi have received at least 4 yellow cards in 3 of their last 5 matches.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Limited corner data makes this a low-confidence call, but AS FAR Rabat's moderate corner average and Difaa El Jadidi's likely defensive approach point to a lower total.
- AS FAR Rabat average 4.8 corners per match, and corner data for Difaa El Jadidi is unavailable.
- In the only recent match with corner data (AS FAR Rabat vs Mamelodi Sundowns), AS FAR Rabat had 8 corners.
- Difaa El Jadidi's corner stats are missing, but their low possession style suggests fewer corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 4 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

2W · 0D · 3W

W0-4Difaa EL JadidavFAR RabatNov 2, 2025BOT

L1-0FAR RabatvDifaa EL JadidaJan 26, 2025BOT

L1-0Difaa EL JadidavFAR RabatOct 2, 2024BOT

W0-1Difaa EL JadidavFAR RabatMar 4, 2023BOT

L4-1FAR RabatvDifaa EL JadidaSep 30, 2022BOT

AS FAR Rabat: 2 clean sheetsDifaa El Jadidi: 2 clean sheets2.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Botola Pro 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
4	AS FAR Rabat	21	10	11	0	32-12	41	DWDDW
6	Difaa El Jadidi	21	7	9	5	19-21	30	DDDLW

11pt gap between teams

Recent Form

AS FAR Rabat

D1-1FUS RabatMay 30BOT

D1-1Mamelodi SundownsMay 24CAF

L0-1Mamelodi SundownsMay 17CAF

W3-2Hassania AgadirMay 10BOT

D1-1Olympique SafiMay 7BOT

D0-0Ittihad TangerMay 3BOT

W2-1Raja CasablancaApr 30BOT

D2-2Yacoub El MansourApr 26BOT

D0-0Renaissance BerkaneApr 22BOT

L0-1Renaissance BerkaneApr 18CAF

W2-0Renaissance BerkaneApr 11CAF

D0-0Kawkab MarrakechApr 5BOT

W3-2Olympique DcheïraApr 2BOT

W2-1Pyramids FCMar 21CAF

D1-1Pyramids FCMar 13CAF

Difaa El Jadidi

D1-1Olympique SafiMay 23BOT

W3-0Amal TiznitMay 17CUP

D1-1Ittihad TangerMay 10BOT

D2-2Hassania AgadirMay 7BOT

L0-1Raja CasablancaMay 3BOT

W2-1CR Khemis ZemamraApr 30BOT

W1-0CODM MeknèsApr 25BOT

D1-1Wydad ACApr 6BOT

L1-2Renaissance BerkaneMar 8BOT

W2-1Yacoub El MansourFeb 28BOT

D0-0Kawkab MarrakechFeb 21BOT

W1-0UTS RabatFeb 14BOT

D0-0Maghreb FèsJan 31BOT

W1-0Olympique DcheïraJan 24BOT

W1-0FUS RabatNov 9BOT

Squad & Injuries

AS FAR Rabat

26 available

Attackers6

Midfielders9

Defenders7

Goalkeeper4

Difaa El Jadidi

23 available

Attackers6

Midfielders7

Defenders7

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 2.5

Over 4.5

AS FAR Rabat

AS FAR Rabat or Draw

No

Result3 of 3 landed

Goals0 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Markets to Avoid

AS FAR Rabat

AS FAR Rabat or Draw

Under 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

AS FAR Rabat

Difaa El Jadidi

Squad & Injuries

AS FAR Rabat

Difaa El Jadidi