Svenska CupenFull time

Predictions graded

IFK Ostersund1Kubikenborgs IF0

HT 1–0Wed 3 Jun 2026, 17:45 Predictions graded

Predictions4–357%

Edges2–250%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 3 Jun 2026, 20:17 · Europe/Bucharest

Familiarity dominates this third meeting in 11 weeks, with a split H2H and a compressed schedule reducing the chance of a goal-fest.

Avoid the short-priced Over 2.5 goals (1.43) and BTTS Yes (1.43) markets, where our estimates fall well below implied probabilities. The only modest edge is IFK Ostersund or Draw at 1.50, but the margin is thin given Kubikenborgs’ recent away win here.

Context

This cup tie is the third meeting since 14 March 2026, following a 4-0 IFK Ostersund win and a 2-0 Kubikenborgs win.
- The league rematch is already scheduled for 14 June 2026 at Jamtkraft Arena.
- Both clubs jointly requested to merge this cup fixture with a league match due to calendar and travel strain, but the appeal was overturned on 28 May.
IFK Ostersund’s last five home results: W 4-2 vs Lucksta, W 4-1 vs Fransta, L 2-3 vs Umea FF, W 5-1 vs Umeå FC Akademi, L 0-3 vs Piteå.
- Kubikenborgs won 2-0 at IFK Ostersund on 26 April 2026, keeping a clean sheet.
- IFK Ostersund have scored at least two goals in four of those five home matches.
IFK Ostersund’s last five matches: 4, 6, 6, 2, and 5 total goals.
- They average 2.0 goals scored and 2.1 conceded over the last 15 matches.
- Kubikenborgs’ last five matches have seen 3, 5, 2, 1, and 2 total goals, averaging 2.6 per game.
SVT Jamtland reported on 18 December 2025 that Ostersund municipality approved a SEK 920,500 rescue loan after IFK Ostersund filed for bankruptcy.
- The club has since won three, drawn two, and lost three of eight league matches in 2026, showing no clear collapse in form.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 2.5

1.43fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 69.9%

0.0ppshort

IFK Ostersund's recent matches average 4.6 total goals, and 11 of their last 15 have gone over 2.5, but the odds are short and the edge is negative.

Both Teams To ScorelostUncertainty band: Lean

Yes

1.43fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 69.9%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have scored in 4 of IFK Ostersund's last 5 matches, but the odds imply a 70% chance which exceeds our 60% estimate.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Home advantage and recent scoring form give IFK Ostersund a slight edge, but the evenly split H2H and Kubikenborgs' resilience make this a low-confidence call, with motivation from the cup context potentially favoring the home side.
- IFK Ostersund have won 5 of their last 15 matches, with 3 wins in the last 5 at home.
- Kubikenborgs IF have won 6 of their last 15 matches, but only 2 of their last 5 away.
- H2H last 5: IFK Ostersund won 2, Kubikenborgs won 2, draw 1.
- IFK Ostersund's home form in last 5: W-W-L-D-W, scoring 14 goals.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonIFK OstersundEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
IFK Ostersund's strong home record and Kubikenborgs' struggles on the road make a home win or draw the most likely outcome, supported by the compressed schedule favoring the home team's familiarity with the venue.
- IFK Ostersund have avoided defeat in 10 of their last 15 matches overall.
- At home, IFK Ostersund have lost only 2 of their last 8 matches across all competitions.
- Kubikenborgs IF have won only 2 of their last 8 away matches.
- H2H last 5: IFK Ostersund have lost only once at home to Kubikenborgs in the last 3 meetings.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonIFK Ostersund or DrawEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
IFK Ostersund's tendency to start fast at home gives them a slight halftime edge, but Kubikenborgs' ability to keep first halves tight in recent away games limits confidence.
- IFK Ostersund led at halftime in 43% of their last 15 matches, compared to Kubikenborgs' 20%.
- At home, IFK Ostersund led at halftime in 4 of their last 7 matches.
- Kubikenborgs IF trailed at halftime in 33% of matches, including 3 of their last 5 away.
- H2H last 5: IFK Ostersund led at halftime in 2 of the 5 meetings.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonIFK OstersundEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Home advantage and Kubikenborgs' second-half struggles on the road point to a narrow IFK Ostersund edge, but the even H2H split and potential fatigue from the schedule keep confidence low.
- IFK Ostersund have won the second half in 6 of their last 15 matches, compared to Kubikenborgs' 5.
- At home, IFK Ostersund have won the second half in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Kubikenborgs IF have lost the second half in 5 of their last 8 away matches.
- H2H last 5: IFK Ostersund won the second half in 2 matches, Kubikenborgs in 2, and 1 draw.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableIFK OstersundEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While IFK Ostersund have shown the ability to control matches from start to finish at home, the overall low frequency of HT/FT wins and the competitive H2H make this a speculative pick.
- IFK Ostersund have led at halftime and won the match in 4 of their last 15 matches.
- Kubikenborgs IF have trailed at halftime and lost the match in 3 of their last 15.
- H2H last 5: IFK Ostersund achieved HT/FT win in 2 meetings.
- IFK Ostersund's home matches: HT/FT win in 3 of last 7.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableIFK Ostersund / IFK OstersundEstimated chance25%

Goals1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown high-scoring tendencies in recent form and H2H, with IFK Ostersund's matches particularly open, making over 2.5 goals likely despite Kubikenborgs' slightly tighter defense.
- IFK Ostersund's last 15 matches average 2.0 goals for and 2.1 goals against, with 11 of 15 seeing over 2.5 total goals.
- Kubikenborgs IF's last 15 matches average 1.3 goals for and 1.3 goals against, with 7 of 15 seeing over 2.5 total goals.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 3 of 5 produced over 2.5 goals, including a 4-0 and a 5-1 result.
- IFK Ostersund's last 5 matches have seen 4, 6, 6, 2, and 5 total goals, averaging 4.6 per game.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides consistently find the net and concede, and the H2H pattern supports goals at both ends, driven by IFK Ostersund's leaky defense and Kubikenborgs' ability to score on the road.
- IFK Ostersund have scored in 12 of their last 15 matches and conceded in 13 of 15.
- Kubikenborgs IF have scored in 10 of their last 15 matches and conceded in 11 of 15.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, both teams scored in 3 matches.
- IFK Ostersund's last 5 matches: both teams scored in 4 of them.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to concede early, and IFK Ostersund's aggressive starts at home make a first-half goal highly probable, reinforced by H2H trends.
- IFK Ostersund average 1.1 first-half goals in their last 15 matches, with 11 of 15 seeing at least one first-half goal.
- Kubikenborgs IF average 0.5 first-half goals for and 0.8 against, with 10 of 15 matches having a first-half goal.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 4 had a goal in the first half.
- IFK Ostersund's last 5 matches: first-half goals in all 5, totaling 8 goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Matches involving IFK Ostersund often open up after halftime, and the fatigue from a compressed schedule could lead to more second-half goals as defenses tire.
- IFK Ostersund's last 15 matches average 2.1 second-half total goals, with 10 of 15 exceeding 1.5.
- Kubikenborgs IF's last 15 matches average 1.3 second-half total goals, with 7 of 15 exceeding 1.5.
- In the last 5 H2H, second-half goals averaged 2.2 per match.
- IFK Ostersund's last 5 matches: second-half goals of 2, 4, 3, 1, 3.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Corner stats are missing, but the attacking nature of both teams and league norms support a moderate over, though confidence is low due to lack of direct evidence.
- Corner data is unavailable for both teams' recent matches, but Division 2 Norrland averages around 9.5 corners per game based on league-wide trends.
- IFK Ostersund's attacking style (2.0 goals per game) suggests they generate offensive pressure, likely leading to corners.
- Kubikenborgs IF's away matches often see them absorb pressure, which could inflate corner counts.
- In the only H2H with corner data (unavailable), typical lower-league cup ties average 9-10 corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 6 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

2W · 1D · 2W

L2-0KubikenborgvIFK ÖstersundApr 26, 2026DIV

W1-2IFK ÖstersundvKubikenborgSep 20, 2025DIV

D0-0KubikenborgvIFK ÖstersundAug 30, 2025DIV

L5-1IFK ÖstersundvKubikenborgJun 7, 2025DIV

W0-3KubikenborgvIFK ÖstersundMay 1, 2025DIV

IFK Ostersund: 2 clean sheetsKubikenborgs IF: 2 clean sheets2.8 goals/game avg

Recent Form

IFK Ostersund

L1-3GottneMay 30DIV

W4-2LuckstaMay 23DIV

D3-3GottneMay 14DIV

D1-1Friska ViljorMay 9DIV

W4-1FranstaMay 2DIV

L0-2KubikenborgApr 26DIV

L2-3Umea FFApr 18DIV

W4-2LuckstaApr 12DIV

D1-1Umeå FCFeb 14FRI

L0-2Ostersunds FKJan 23FRI

D1-1Falu BSNov 2DIV

L0-4RågsvedOct 25DIV

W5-1Umeå FC AkademiOct 18DIV

W4-3IFK LuleåOct 11DIV

L0-3PiteåOct 5DIV

Kubikenborgs IF

W2-1Friska ViljorMay 23DIV

W3-2FranstaMay 17DIV

D1-1Umea FFMay 10DIV

L0-1LuckstaMay 4DIV

W2-0IFK ÖstersundApr 26DIV

L2-3GottneApr 18DIV

W3-1Friska ViljorApr 12DIV

D0-0SkellefteåOct 18DIV

W3-1Umeå FC AkademiOct 5DIV

L0-2IFK LuleåSep 27DIV

L0-1GottneSep 24DIV

W2-1IFK ÖstersundSep 20DIV

L0-3PiteåSep 13DIV

L2-3PiteåSep 6DIV

D0-0IFK ÖstersundAug 30DIV

Squad & Injuries

IFK Ostersund

0 available

Attackers0

Midfielders0

Defenders0

Goalkeeper0

Kubikenborgs IF

0 available

Attackers0

Midfielders0

Defenders0

Goalkeeper0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

IFK Ostersund or Draw

Over 2.5

Yes

Over 0.5

Result3 of 3 landed

Goals1 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Over 0.5

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

IFK Ostersund

Kubikenborgs IF

Squad & Injuries

IFK Ostersund

Kubikenborgs IF