Athletico PR vs Mirassol: result, stats and head-to-head

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Athletico PR's strong home form and Mirassol's poor away record, combined with Athletico's motivation to protect a top-4 spot before the World Cup pause, make a home win highly likely.
- Athletico PR home record: 6W-2D-1L, 16 goals for, 6 against in 9 matches.
- Mirassol away record: 1W-1D-5L, 7 goals for, 12 against in 7 matches.
- Athletico PR last 5 home matches: 4W-1D-0L, 11 goals scored, 3 conceded.
- Mirassol last 5 away matches: 1W-1D-3L, 5 goals scored, 8 conceded.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAthletico PREstimated chance62%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Athletico PR's fortress-like home form and Mirassol's struggles on the road make it very unlikely Mirassol wins; Athletico PR or draw covers the vast majority of outcomes.
- Athletico PR home record: only 1 loss in 9 matches.
- Mirassol away record: only 1 win in 7 matches.
- Athletico PR last 5 home matches: unbeaten (4W-1D).
- Mirassol last 5 away matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonAthletico PR or DrawEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Athletico PR's home advantage and motivation should see them start strongly, but Mirassol's resilience means a first-half lead is not a certainty, hence medium confidence.
- Athletico PR home first-half record: led at half-time in 4 of 9 (44%).
- Mirassol away first-half record: trailed at half-time in 2 of 7 (29%), led in 2 (29%).
- Athletico PR last 5 home matches: led at half-time in 2, drew 3.
- Mirassol last 5 away matches: led at half-time in 1, trailed in 1, drew 3.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostAthletico PREstimated chance45%

Goals1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent matches show a tendency for goals, and Athletico PR's attacking strength at home against a leaky Mirassol away defense points to at least three goals.
- Athletico PR home matches average 2.44 total goals (16 for, 6 against in 9 games).
- Mirassol away matches average 2.71 total goals (7 for, 12 against in 7 games).
- Athletico PR last 5 home matches: 3 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
- Mirassol last 5 away matches: 3 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Mirassol has scored in most away games despite poor results, and Athletico PR's defense has conceded in over half of home matches, suggesting both teams are likely to find the net.
- Athletico PR home matches: both teams scored in 5 of 9 (56%).
- Mirassol away matches: both teams scored in 5 of 7 (71%).
- Athletico PR last 5 home matches: both teams scored in 3.
- Mirassol last 5 away matches: both teams scored in 4.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Athletico PR's home defense is not watertight, and Mirassol's away scoring record suggests they can breach the home side's goal.
- Athletico PR home clean sheets: only 3 in 9 matches (33%).
- Mirassol away matches: failed to score in only 2 of 7 (29%).
- Athletico PR last 5 home matches: conceded in 3.
- Mirassol last 5 away matches: scored in 4.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostMirassol to scoreEstimated chance60%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a strong tendency to score or concede in the first half, making it highly probable that at least one goal is scored before the break.
- Athletico PR home first-half goals: scored in 7 of 9 matches (78%).
- Mirassol away first-half goals: scored in 5 of 7 matches (71%).
- Athletico PR last 5 home matches: first-half goals in 4.
- Mirassol last 5 away matches: first-half goals in 4.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Matches involving these teams often open up in the second half, and with Athletico PR pushing for a win and Mirassol vulnerable on the road, multiple second-half goals are likely.
- Athletico PR home second-half goals: average 1.33 goals per match (12 in 9).
- Mirassol away second-half goals: average 1.57 goals per match (11 in 7).
- Athletico PR last 5 home matches: second-half goals in all 5, with 3 having over 1.5.
- Mirassol last 5 away matches: second-half goals in all 5, with 3 having over 1.5.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' corner stats hover around the 9.5 line, with Mirassol's away matches slightly higher; a marginal lean towards over based on recent trends.
- Athletico PR home corners: average 5.0 per match, opponent corners 4.3, total 9.3.
- Mirassol away corners: average 4.9 per match, opponent corners 5.7, total 10.6.
- Athletico PR last 5 home matches: total corners averaged 9.4.
- Mirassol last 5 away matches: total corners averaged 10.2.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Card averages for both teams are near the 4.5 threshold, with Mirassol's away matches slightly higher; a competitive match with relegation pressure could push the total over.
- Athletico PR home yellow cards: average 2.3 per match, opponent 2.4, total 4.7.
- Mirassol away yellow cards: average 2.9 per match, opponent 2.3, total 5.2.
- Athletico PR last 5 home matches: total cards averaged 5.0.
- Mirassol last 5 away matches: total cards averaged 5.4.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
4	Athletico PR Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)	17	8	3	6	23-18	27	WDLDW
18	Mirassol Relegation - Serie B	16	4	4	8	18-23	16	WLDWL

Athletico PR1Mirassol0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Athletico PR

Athletico PR or Draw

Draw at half-time / Athletico PR at full-time

Over 0.5

Over 1.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals1 of 5 landed

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Mirassol

League Table

Recent Form

Athletico PR

Mirassol

Squad & Injuries

Athletico PR

Mirassol