Shamrock Rovers11 – 0St Patrick's0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Shamrock's strong home form and recent H2H dominance, combined with St Patrick's inconsistent away results, give the hosts a clear edge in this high-stakes derby.

• Shamrock Rovers home record this season: 7W-1D-1L, 17 goals for, 7 against in 9 matches.
• St Patrick's away record: 3W-4D-2L, 11 goals for, 10 against in 9 matches.
• H2H last 5: Shamrock won 3, St Patrick's won 1, draw 1; Shamrock won both 2026 meetings to nil.
• Shamrock's last 5 form: 3W-0D-2L; St Patrick's last 5: 1W-3D-1L.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonShamrock RoversEstimated chance45%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Shamrock's fortress-like home record and St Patrick's modest away win rate make a home win or draw highly probable.

• Shamrock Rovers have lost only 1 of 9 home matches this season.
• St Patrick's have won only 3 of 9 away matches.
• H2H at Shamrock's home: Shamrock won 2-0 in Feb 2026, 4-0 in May 2025.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonShamrock Rovers or DrawEstimated chance75%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Shamrock's tendency to start strong at home, combined with St Patrick's lower first-half lead rate, gives the hosts a slight edge to be ahead at the break.

• Shamrock led at half-time in 60% of their last 15 matches; St Patrick's led in only 33%.
• Shamrock's first-half goals average: 1.1; St Patrick's first-half goals conceded average: 0.5.
• In the last 5 H2H, Shamrock led at half-time in 2 matches, St Patrick's in 1, and 2 were draws.

BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonShamrock RoversEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Recent H2H encounters have been low-scoring, and both teams' defensive records in relevant splits support a tight, under 2.5 goals affair.

• Shamrock's home matches average 2.67 total goals (17 for, 7 against in 9 games).
• St Patrick's away matches average 2.33 total goals (11 for, 10 against in 9 games).
• Last 5 H2H: 4 matches had under 2.5 goals (1-0, 2-0, 1-0, 4-0).
• Both 2026 H2H meetings ended 1-0 and 2-0.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Shamrock's defensive solidity at home and St Patrick's struggles to score on the road, reinforced by recent H2H clean sheets, point to at least one side failing to score.

• Shamrock kept clean sheets in 4 of their last 5 home matches.
• St Patrick's failed to score in 3 of their last 5 away matches.
• Last 5 H2H: both teams scored only once (2-2 draw in Apr 2025).
• Shamrock won both 2026 H2H to nil.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

While Shamrock's home clean sheet rate is decent, St Patrick's overall away scoring record (11 goals in 9 games) suggests a clean sheet is possible but not highly likely.

• Shamrock kept clean sheets in 4 of 9 home matches this season.
• St Patrick's failed to score in 3 of 9 away matches.
• Shamrock kept clean sheets in both 2026 H2H meetings.

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonSt Patrick's not to scoreEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have moderate first-half scoring rates, and recent H2H first halves have been low-scoring, making under 1.5 goals likely.

• Shamrock's first-half goals average: 1.1; first-half goals conceded: 0.3.
• St Patrick's first-half goals average: 0.7; first-half goals conceded: 0.5.
• Last 5 H2H first-half goals: 0, 1, 0, 2, 1 (only one match had over 1.5).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

While St Patrick's tend to score more in the second half, the overall low-scoring pattern of this fixture suggests the second half may also stay under 1.5 goals.

• Shamrock's second-half goals average: 0.4 (1.5 total - 1.1 first half); conceded: 0.5.
• St Patrick's second-half goals average: 1.1 (1.8 total - 0.7 first half); conceded: 0.4.
• Last 5 H2H second-half goals: 1, 1, 1, 2, 1 (only one match had over 1.5).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' corner averages and recent H2H totals suggest a moderate corner count, with under 9.5 corners being the most probable outcome.

• Shamrock's average corners per match: 4.9; opponent corners: 4.1 (total ~9.0).
• St Patrick's average corners per match: 5.7; opponent corners: 4.5 (total ~10.2).
• Last 5 H2H total corners: 7, 9, 4, 7, 9 (all under 9.5 except one at 9).