Premier DivisionFull time

Predictions graded

Drogheda United3Waterford3

HT 1–2Fri 29 May 2026, 18:45 Predictions graded

Predictions5–550%

Edges2–250%

PossPossession 55%–45%ShotsShots 13–17On targetOn target 4–5CornersCorners 2–6

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 25 May 2026, 15:11 · Europe/Bucharest

Drogheda are strong favorites to avoid defeat against a Waterford side with the worst away record in the league (0W-1D-8L) and a history of failing to score at this ground.

The best value lies in Both Teams to Score 'No' at 2.10 and Under 9.5 Corners at 2.05, while the first-half draw at 2.38 is an intriguing longshot given both teams' slow starts.

Context

Last three H2Hs at this venue: 2-0, 0-0, 2-0, all with Waterford goalless.
- Waterford have scored only 8 goals in 9 away games this season.
- Drogheda kept 4 home clean sheets in 9 matches.
The 18 May meeting ended 2-1 to Waterford after a disputed 95th-minute penalty.
- Drogheda manager Kevin Doherty was sent off protesting the decision.
- Local media called the penalty 'hugely controversial'.
Coughlan was appointed on 8 May to 'salvage' Waterford's season.
- Waterford have 0 wins, 1 draw, and 8 losses in 9 away games.
- The win over Drogheda was Waterford's first league victory under Coughlan.
Waterford's official site confirms this is the last game before the mid-season break.
- Waterford sit bottom with 10 points, Drogheda are 8th with 20.
- A win for Drogheda would create a 13-point gap over the bottom side.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Drogheda's strong home form and Waterford's dreadful away record, combined with a venue-specific H2H where Waterford haven't scored in three visits, give the hosts a clear edge despite Waterford's recent win in the reverse fixture.
- Drogheda home record this season: 3W-3D-3L, goals 9:9, solid at home.
- Waterford away record: 0W-1D-8L, goals 8:25, worst away team in league.
- H2H at this venue: Waterford failed to score in last 3 visits (2-0, 0-0, 2-0).
- Drogheda won last home H2H 2-0 in Feb 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrogheda UnitedEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Waterford's abysmal away form (1 point from 9 games) and historical struggles at this ground make a Drogheda win or draw highly probable, supported by Drogheda's solid home record.
- Waterford away record: 0W-1D-8L, only 1 point from 9 away games.
- Drogheda home record: 3W-3D-3L, 67% unbeaten at home.
- H2H at this venue: Waterford 0W-1D-2L in last 3, no goals scored.
- Waterford have lost 8 of 9 away matches this season.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDrogheda United or DrawEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have poor first-half records, and the H2H at this ground consistently shows a deadlock at the break, making a halftime draw the most likely outcome.
- Drogheda home: led at halftime in only 2 of 9 games (22%).
- Waterford away: led at halftime in 1 of 9 games (11%).
- Last 3 H2Hs at this venue: all were 0-0 at halftime.
- Drogheda's last 5 home games: 3 were draws at halftime.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance55%

Goals2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Historical H2H at this ground consistently produces low-scoring affairs, and Drogheda's home matches tend to be tight, while Waterford's away scoring is unreliable, pointing to under 2.5 goals.
- Drogheda home matches average 2.0 total goals (9 scored, 9 conceded in 9 games).
- Waterford away matches average 3.67 total goals, but 5 of 9 away games had under 2.5 goals.
- Last 3 H2Hs at this venue: 2-0, 0-0, 2-0, all under 2.5 goals.
- Drogheda's last 5 home games: 3 had under 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Waterford's historical scoring drought at this ground and their general away struggles, combined with Drogheda's decent home defensive record, make it likely that at least one team fails to score.
- Waterford failed to score in last 3 away H2Hs at this venue.
- Waterford away: scored in only 5 of 9 games, blanked in 4.
- Drogheda home: kept 4 clean sheets in 9 games.
- Drogheda's last 5 home games: both teams scored in only 2.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance65%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Waterford's away defense is porous, conceding in almost every game, and Drogheda consistently score at home, making a Waterford clean sheet highly unlikely.
- Waterford away: conceded in 8 of 9 games, 25 goals against.
- Waterford have kept only 1 away clean sheet all season.
- Drogheda home: scored in 7 of 9 games.
- H2H: Waterford have never kept a clean sheet at this venue in last 5 meetings.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonDrogheda United to scoreEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams struggle to score early, especially in this fixture historically, with all recent meetings at this ground being goalless at halftime, supporting a low-scoring first half.
- Drogheda home first-half goals: 0.4 per game average, only 4 in 9 home games.
- Waterford away first-half goals: 0.5 per game average, 5 in 9 away games.
- Last 3 H2Hs at this venue: first-half goals: 0, 0, 0.
- Drogheda's last 5 home games: 4 had under 1.5 first-half goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
While the overall match may be low-scoring, the second half tends to open up in this fixture, with both teams more likely to concede after the break, though confidence is low due to inconsistent patterns.
- Drogheda home second-half goals: 0.6 per game, but 5 of 9 home games had over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Waterford away second-half goals: 1.3 per game, 6 of 9 away games had over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Last 3 H2Hs at this venue: second-half goals: 2, 0, 2.
- Drogheda's last 5 home games: 3 had over 1.5 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Drogheda's home matches tend to have fewer corners, and the H2H at this ground consistently stays under 10 corners, suggesting a low corner count.
- Drogheda home corners average: 3.7 per game, opponent corners: 5.3, total 9.0.
- Waterford away corners average: 4.3 per game, opponent corners: 6.8, total 11.1, but 5 of 9 away games had under 9.5 corners.
- Last 3 H2Hs at this venue: total corners: 7, 9, 6.
- Drogheda's last 5 home games: 4 had under 9.5 corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The recent fiery H2H with a controversial penalty and red card suggests tension could lead to cards, but overall card averages are moderate, so confidence is low.
- Drogheda home yellow cards: 2.2 per game, opponent: 2.4, total 4.6.
- Waterford away yellow cards: 2.1 per game, opponent: 1.6, total 3.7.
- Last H2H (May 2026): 7 yellow cards total.
- Drogheda's last 5 home games: 3 had over 3.5 cards.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 3.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 6 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

1W · 2D · 2W

L2-1WaterfordvDrogheda UnitedMay 18, 2026PRE

W2-0Drogheda UnitedvWaterfordFeb 13, 2026PRE

L2-0WaterfordvDrogheda UnitedOct 5, 2025PRE

D0-0Drogheda UnitedvWaterfordAug 8, 2025PRE

D2-2WaterfordvDrogheda UnitedMay 30, 2025PRE

Drogheda United: 2 clean sheetsWaterford: 2 clean sheets2.2 goals/game avg

League Table

Premier Division 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
8	Drogheda United	18	5	5	8	22-29	20	DLLWL
10	Waterford Relegation - Division 1	18	1	7	10	18-37	10	LWDLD

10pt gap between teamsWaterford in relegation zone

Recent Form

Drogheda United

D1-1DundalkMay 22PRE

L1-2WaterfordMay 18PRE

L1-2BohemiansMay 15PRE

W1-0Derry CityMay 8PRE

L1-4Shamrock RoversMay 4PRE

W1-0Sligo RoversMay 1PRE

W4-3ShelbourneApr 24PRE

L1-3St Patrick's Athl.Apr 17PRE

L2-3Galway UnitedApr 6PRE

D0-0BohemiansApr 3PRE

D2-2Derry CityMar 20PRE

D0-0Shamrock RoversMar 16PRE

L1-4St Patrick's Athl.Mar 13PRE

L1-2Sligo RoversMar 7PRE

L1-2ShelbourneFeb 27PRE

Waterford

L1-2ShelbourneMay 22PRE

W2-1Drogheda UnitedMay 18PRE

D2-2Derry CityMay 15PRE

L1-4St Patrick's Athl.May 8PRE

D3-3DundalkMay 4PRE

L0-1Shamrock RoversMay 1PRE

D1-1Galway UnitedApr 24PRE

L0-2Sligo RoversApr 18PRE

D1-1BohemiansApr 6PRE

D1-1Shamrock RoversApr 3PRE

L0-2St Patrick's Athl.Mar 20PRE

L3-4Galway UnitedMar 16PRE

L0-5DundalkMar 13PRE

L0-1BohemiansMar 6PRE

L2-4Derry CityFeb 27PRE

Squad & Injuries

Drogheda United

25 available

Attackers6

Midfielders8

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

Waterford

29 available

Attackers7

Midfielders7

Defenders11

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

No

Under 1.5

Under 9.5

Drogheda United or Draw

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals2 of 5 landed

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Drogheda United

No

Over 8.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Drogheda United

Waterford

Squad & Injuries

Drogheda United

Waterford