Draw
Market 26.7% · BetBugs 35%
Both teams have weak home/away splits and recent H2H ended in a draw, making a stalemate the most likely outcome given Aalesund's relegation pressure and Ham-Kam's poor away form.
EliteserienFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Aalesund’s rare lineup continuity meets Ham-Kam’s settled 3-5-2 in a pre-break clash where recent H2H (Ham-Kam unbeaten in three) and weak home/away splits point to a draw.
The best value is the draw at 3.75 (8-point edge), while Over 1.5 second-half goals at 2.10 offers a smaller edge; avoid the short-priced home win and double chance.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 26.7% · BetBugs 35%
Both teams have weak home/away splits and recent H2H ended in a draw, making a stalemate the most likely outcome given Aalesund's relegation pressure and Ham-Kam's poor away form.
Market 47.6% · BetBugs 55%
Matches often open up in the second half, with Aalesund pushing and Ham-Kam vulnerable, offering a small edge.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 65% · Market 75.2%
Ham-Kam's inability to win away (0 wins in 3) and Aalesund's decent home resilience (only 2 losses in 5) support a home-or-draw double chance.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | AalesundEliteserien (Relegation) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13-18 | 10 |
| 6 | Ham-Kam | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 15-14 | 16 |

