Bohemians11 – 2Shamrock Rovers2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Bohemians' strong home derby psychology and solid home form, combined with Rovers' inconsistent away performances, make a home win or draw the most likely outcome.

• Bohemians have not lost a home league derby to Shamrock Rovers since April 2023, winning 4 of the last 6 H2H meetings overall.
• Bohemians' home record this season: 3W-5D-1L, with only 1 defeat in 9 matches at Dalymount Park.
• Shamrock Rovers' away record: 3W-3D-3L, conceding 9 goals in 9 away games, showing vulnerability on the road.
• Bohemians are unbeaten in their last 3 matches (W2 D1), while Rovers lost their last away game 0-1 to Dundalk.

BetBugs · Match WinnerlostBohemians or DrawEstimated chance65%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

The combination of Bohemians' resilient home form and Rovers' road struggles supports a double chance on the home side.

• Bohemians have avoided defeat in 8 of 9 home league games this season.
• Shamrock Rovers have failed to win 6 of 9 away league games this season.
• In the last 6 H2H meetings, Bohemians have won 4 and lost 2, with no draws, but at home they have won the last 2.

BetBugs · Double ChancelostBohemians or DrawEstimated chance65%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

The low first-half scoring rates of both teams, especially Bohemians at home, suggest a cautious start and a possible stalemate at the break.

• Bohemians have been drawing at half-time in 6 of their last 10 matches.
• Shamrock Rovers have led at half-time in 53% of their matches this season, but away from home that drops to 33%.
• In the last 5 H2H meetings, the half-time result has been a draw twice, with Rovers leading twice and Bohemians once.
• Bohemians average only 0.4 first-half goals at home, while Rovers concede just 0.3 first-half goals away on average.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to start slowly, with low first-half scoring outputs, making under 1.5 goals in the first half a strong probability.

• Bohemians' home matches average only 1.0 first-half goals (0.4 for, 0.6 against).
• Shamrock Rovers' away matches average 0.8 first-half goals (0.5 for, 0.3 against).
• In the last 5 H2H meetings, only 2 matches had over 1.5 first-half goals.
• Bohemians have scored a first-half goal in only 3 of their last 10 home matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' playing styles generate corners, and the derby intensity should lead to an above-average corner count.

• Bohemians average 6.1 corners per game overall, and 7.2 corners per home game.
• Shamrock Rovers average 5.1 corners per game, but their away matches see an average of 10.2 total corners.
• The last H2H meeting at Dalymount saw 13 corners (Bohemians 6, Rovers 7).
• Bohemians' last 5 home matches have averaged 11.2 total corners.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

The derby nature, recent card trends, and fixture congestion point to a physical match with multiple cards.

• Bohemians average 1.9 yellow cards per game, but in derbies this rises; the last H2H saw 6 cards.
• Shamrock Rovers average 2.6 yellow cards per game, and their away matches see an average of 5.2 total cards.
• The last 5 H2H meetings have averaged 5.2 cards per game.
• Both teams are in a compressed schedule, which can lead to tired tackles and more bookings.