Draw
Market 40% · BetBugs 50%
Both teams have a high frequency of drawing at halftime, and the H2H pattern suggests a balanced first half.
Serie AFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Cruzeiro's strong home form under Artur Jorge and Chapecoense's away struggles make a home win likely, but the best value is on under 2.5 goals (edge +11.2pts) given the historically tight H2Hs and Chapecoense's blunt attack.
The first-half draw also offers a positive edge, reflecting the slow starts both teams typically produce.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 5
Market 40% · BetBugs 50%
Both teams have a high frequency of drawing at halftime, and the H2H pattern suggests a balanced first half.
Market 48.8% · BetBugs 60%
Historical H2H trend of low-scoring games and Chapecoense's poor away attack suggest a tight match, likely staying under 2.5 goals.
Market 59.9% · BetBugs 60%
Chapecoense's weak away scoring record and Cruzeiro's decent defensive home form make it likely that at least one team fails to score.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cruzeiro | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21-26 | 20 |
| 20 | ChapecoenseRelegation - Serie B | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 16-30 | 9 |

