Burnley vs Wolves: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Burnley's strong H2H psychology at home and Wolves' historically poor away form give Burnley a slight edge despite both teams being relegated.
- Burnley are unbeaten in the last three Premier League home meetings with Wolves at Turf Moor (1-1, 1-0, 2-1).
- Wolves have only 2 wins in the last 11 meetings overall, and their last win at Turf Moor was in March 2010.
- Burnley won the reverse fixture 3-2 in October 2025.
- Wolves have 0 away wins this season (0-5-13), scoring only 7 goals in 18 away matches.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostBurnleyEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Combining Burnley's home H2H dominance with Wolves' inability to win away makes Burnley or Draw a strong double chance.
- Burnley have drawn 6 of 18 home matches this season.
- Wolves have drawn 5 of 18 away matches, with 0 wins.
- The last three Turf Moor meetings ended Burnley 2-1, 1-0, and 1-1.
- Both teams are already relegated, reducing pressure and potentially leading to a more open, but less decisive match.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonBurnley or DrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Given both teams' poor first-half records and the low-stakes environment, a draw at halftime is a plausible outcome.
- Burnley led at halftime in only 20% of matches; trailed in 60%.
- Wolves led at halftime in 0% of matches; trailed in 47%.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 3 were draws at halftime.
- Both teams have low first-half scoring output.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A speculative play on Burnley's home H2H edge and Wolves' away fragility, but low probability given both teams' overall poor form.
- Burnley have come from behind to win or draw in some home matches.
- Wolves have not won away all season and often fade late.
- The H2H at Turf Moor shows Burnley often edge it after tight first halves.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/BurnleyEstimated chance20%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both defenses are leaky, and recent matches involving these sides have trended toward higher-scoring affairs, especially with nothing to play for.
- Burnley's last 5 home matches: 2-2, 0-1, 0-0, 3-4, 1-2 (avg 2.8 total goals).
- Wolves' last 5 away matches: 0-3, 0-3, 0-4, 2-2, 0-0 (avg 2.8 total goals).
- The reverse fixture ended 3-2.
- Burnley concede 2.1 goals per game on average; Wolves concede 1.7.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
With both teams already relegated and defenses porous, both sides are likely to find the net in an open end-of-season encounter.
- Burnley have scored in 4 of their last 5 home matches.
- Wolves have scored in 3 of their last 5 away matches.
- The reverse fixture saw both teams score (3-2).
- Burnley average 0.9 goals scored per game; Wolves average 0.9 goals scored per game, but both concede heavily.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to concede early, and recent form shows a high likelihood of at least one goal in the first half.
- Burnley's first-half goals average: 0.5 scored, 1.1 conceded.
- Wolves' first-half goals average: 0.1 scored, 0.9 conceded.
- In Burnley's last 5 home matches, 4 had a first-half goal.
- In Wolves' last 5 away matches, 4 had a first-half goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The pattern of late goals in matches involving these sides suggests a decent chance of multiple second-half goals, though confidence is tempered by the dead-rubber context.
- Burnley's second-half goals trend: they often concede late; 4 of last 5 home matches had 2+ second-half goals.
- Wolves' away matches: 3 of last 5 had 2+ second-half goals.
- The reverse fixture had 3 second-half goals.
- Fatigue and lack of stakes may lead to more open play after halftime.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams rank low in corners won, and recent head-to-head and away trends point to a lower corner count.
- Burnley average 4.1 corners per game; Wolves average 2.7.
- In Burnley's last 5 home matches, total corners: 5, 14, 13, 12, 7 (avg 10.2, but skewed by one high game).
- In Wolves' last 5 away matches, total corners: 8, 11, 7, 6, 10 (avg 8.4).
- The reverse fixture had 7 total corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
With little at stake, physicality may drop, but historical averages suggest a moderate card count, leaning slightly over 3.5.
- Burnley average 2.2 yellow cards per game; Wolves average 2.0.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, total cards: data unavailable, but both teams have disciplinary issues.
- Burnley's recent home matches: 3, 1, 1, 2, 3 yellows (avg 2.0).
- Wolves' recent away matches: 2, 1, 2, 4, 3 yellows (avg 2.4).
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 3.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
19	Burnley Relegation - Championship	37	4	9	24	37-74	21	LDLLL
20	Wolves Relegation - Championship	37	3	10	24	26-67	19	DLDLL

Burnley1Wolves1

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 9.5

Burnley

Burnley or Draw

Yes

Over 2.5

Over 0.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals3 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Burnley

Wolves

Squad & Injuries

Burnley

Wolves