Gremio RS vs Santos: result, stats and head-to-head

Result3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Gremio's strong home form and H2H dominance at this venue, combined with Santos's poor away record, give the hosts a clear edge despite both teams' mid-table struggles.
- Gremio RS home record this season: 4W-2D-1L, 11 goals scored, 6 conceded in 7 matches.
- Santos away record this season: 0W-4D-3L, 9 goals scored, 14 conceded in 7 matches.
- H2H last 2 league meetings at Gremio: both 1-0 wins for Gremio, clean sheets kept.
- Gremio last 5 home matches across all comps: 3W-2D-0L, 7 goals scored, 1 conceded.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonGremio RSEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Santos's inability to win away and Gremio's solid home form make a home win or draw highly probable, supported by historical venue-specific H2H.
- Gremio RS home record: only 1 loss in 7 home league games this season.
- Santos away record: 0 wins in 7 away league games, 4 draws, 3 losses.
- H2H at Gremio: Gremio unbeaten in last 2 home league meetings (2 wins).
- Gremio last 10 home matches across all comps: 6W-3D-1L.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonGremio RS or DrawEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The high frequency of first-half draws for both sides, particularly in this fixture, supports a draw at half-time.
- Gremio home league: led at HT in only 2 of 7, drew 5.
- Santos away league: led at HT in 2 of 7, drew 4, trailed 1.
- H2H last 2 at Gremio: both 0-0 at HT.
- Gremio last 15: 10 draws at HT.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time followed by a Gremio win is a plausible scenario given their tendency to score late at home and Santos's second-half vulnerabilities, though not a high-probability event.
- Gremio home league: 2 of 7 matches were draw at HT and Gremio win at FT.
- Santos away league: 1 of 7 matches were draw at HT and away loss at FT.
- H2H last home meeting: 0-0 at HT, 1-0 Gremio FT.
- Gremio overall: 3 of last 15 matches had this HT/FT pattern.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / Gremio RSEstimated chance25%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low-scoring trends, especially Gremio at home and in H2H matchups, making under 2.5 goals likely.
- Gremio home league matches: 6 of 7 had under 2.5 goals (avg total goals 2.43).
- Santos away league matches: 5 of 7 had under 2.5 goals (avg total goals 3.29, but skewed by one 3-3 game).
- H2H last 4 meetings: 3 had under 2.5 goals, including both recent 1-0 Gremio home wins.
- Gremio overall last 15: 11 of 15 matches had under 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Gremio's defensive solidity at home and Santos's struggles to score on the road, reinforced by H2H history, suggest at least one team will fail to score.
- Gremio home league: clean sheets in 4 of 7 matches, conceded only 6 goals.
- Santos away league: failed to score in 2 of 7, scored exactly 1 in 4 others.
- H2H last 2 at Gremio: both 1-0, Santos failed to score.
- Gremio last 5 home matches: 4 clean sheets.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Gremio's strong home defensive record and Santos's away scoring woes give a decent chance of a home clean sheet, though Santos's overall scoring rate tempers confidence.
- Gremio home league clean sheets: 4 in 7 matches (57%).
- Santos away league: failed to score in 2 of 7, scored only 9 in 7.
- H2H last 2 home league meetings: Gremio kept clean sheets both times.
- Gremio last 5 home matches: 4 clean sheets.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostSantos not to scoreEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, especially Gremio at home, and H2H history shows goalless first halves, making under 0.5 first-half goals probable.
- Gremio first-half goals at home: 0.3 avg, conceded 0.2; 5 of 7 home league matches had 0-0 at HT.
- Santos first-half goals away: 0.7 avg, but 4 of 7 away matches had 0 or 1 first-half goal.
- H2H last 2 at Gremio: both 0-0 at half-time.
- Gremio last 15 overall: 11 matches had 0 or 1 first-half goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate corner counts, and H2H meetings at this venue have been low-corner affairs, supporting under 9.5 total corners.
- Gremio home league corners: avg 3.5 for, 3.5 against, total avg 7.0.
- Santos away league corners: avg 4.7 for, 4.7 against, total avg 9.4.
- H2H last 2 at Gremio: total corners 5 and 6.
- Gremio last 5 home matches: total corners avg 7.2.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have consistent card averages around 2.5-3 per game, and the competitive nature of this mid-table clash could push total cards over 4.5.
- Gremio home league: avg 2.5 yellow cards, opponents avg 2.5, total avg 5.0.
- Santos away league: avg 2.8 yellow cards, opponents avg 2.8, total avg 5.6.
- H2H last meeting: 5 yellow cards total.
- Both teams average over 2.5 cards per game overall.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
15	Gremio RS	16	4	6	6	16-18	18	DLDWL
16	Santos	16	4	6	6	21-25	18	LWDDL

Gremio RS3Santos2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Gremio RS or Draw

Draw

Under 2.5

No

Under 0.5

Under 9.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result3 of 3 landed

Goals0 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Gremio RS

Santos

Squad & Injuries

Gremio RS

Santos