Derry City00 – 0St Patrick's0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Derry's high draw rate and St Patrick's tendency to share points away, combined with recent tight H2H, make a stalemate the most likely outcome.

• Derry City have drawn 8 of 17 league matches this season (47%), including 3 of 8 at home.
• St Patrick's have drawn 4 of 17, but 3 of 8 away.
• Last H2H meeting (March 2026) ended 0-0, and 3 of last 5 H2H were draws or one-goal margins.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Derry's home resilience and St Patrick's moderate away form suggest the hosts are unlikely to lose, supported by H2H home advantage.

• Derry City have lost only 2 of 8 home matches this season (25%).
• St Patrick's away record: 3 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses – not dominant.
• Derry are unbeaten in 3 of last 4 home H2H meetings (W2 D1).

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDerry City or DrawEstimated chance65%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Similar half-time profiles and a balanced H2H half-time record suggest a drawn first half is the most frequent outcome.

• Derry City led at half-time in 40% of matches, trailed in 27%.
• St Patrick's led at half-time in 40%, trailed in 20%.
• Last 5 H2H: 3 draws at half-time, 1 Derry lead, 1 St Patrick's lead.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

A draw at both intervals is a plausible low-probability outcome given Derry's draw tendency and the cagey H2H nature, but it's not strongly supported.

• Derry City drew at half-time in 33% of matches, full-time in 47%.
• St Patrick's drew at half-time in 40%, full-time in 24%.
• Last H2H: 0-0 at half-time and full-time.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

The dominant H2H pattern of low-scoring encounters, combined with Derry's generally modest goal output, strongly points to under 2.5 goals.

• 5 of last 6 H2H meetings had under 2.5 goals.
• Derry City average 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match this season.
• St Patrick's average 2.1 scored but only 1.25 away; Derry home matches average 3.0 total goals but H2H trend overrides.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Historical H2H shows frequent clean sheets for one side, and both teams' recent scoring inconsistencies support at least one team failing to score.

• St Patrick's were shut out in 4 of last 6 H2H meetings.
• Derry City have failed to score in 3 of last 5 H2H at home.
• Derry kept a clean sheet in 2 of last 4 home matches; St Patrick's failed to score in 2 of last 5 away.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have low first-half scoring averages, and H2H history shows very few early goals, making under 1.5 first-half goals highly probable.

• Derry City average 0.5 first-half goals scored and 0.4 conceded.
• St Patrick's average 0.9 first-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded.
• Last 5 H2H: only 2 first-half goals total across all matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

While St Patrick's are more potent after the break, the overall H2H low-scoring pattern and Derry's defensive solidity at home limit second-half goals.

• Derry City's second-half goal difference is roughly neutral (0.6 scored vs 0.8 conceded per match).
• St Patrick's second-half goal difference is +0.7 (1.2 scored vs 0.5 conceded).
• H2H trend: only 2 of last 6 meetings had more than 1 second-half goal.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Derry's higher disciplinary count and the competitive nature of this fixture could push total cards over 3.5, though St Patrick's are relatively clean.

• Derry City average 2.5 yellow cards per match, St Patrick's 1.7.
• Combined average cards in Derry matches: 4.2; in St Patrick's matches: 3.4.
• Recent H2H: 4 cards in last meeting, 5 in the one before.