Süper LigFull time

Predictions graded

Trabzonspor0Genclerbirligi3

HT 0–1Sun 17 May 2026, 17:00 Predictions graded

Predictions3–730%

Edges2–433%

PossPossession 63%–37%ShotsShots 11–13On targetOn target 4–6CornersCorners 5–3

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 May 2026, 22:07 · Europe/Bucharest

Trabzonspor’s dominant home record and Genclerbirligi’s abysmal away form make the home win at 2.10 the standout value bet.

The double chance (Trabzonspor or Draw) at 1.43 is a high-confidence safety net, while second-half over 1.5 goals at 2.50 offers a strong edge as matches tend to open up after the break. Avoid over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, where the odds are too short given Genclerbirligi’s low away scoring output.

Context

Genclerbirligi away record: 1W-3D-12L, 9 goals scored, 23 conceded.
- Trabzonspor home record: 9W-6D-1L, 29 goals scored, 15 conceded.
- Genclerbirligi have failed to score in 9 of 16 away games.
- Trabzonspor’s only home loss came against Fenerbahçe in February.
Last 5 league results: W-D-L-D-D.
- Only win in that run was away at Beşiktaş.
- Home draws against Göztepe and Başakşehir in that period.
- Scored only 6 goals in those 5 matches, conceding 6.
Genclerbirligi won 4-3 on 22 Dec 2025.
- Trabzonspor have won 12 of 17 home H2Hs historically.
- The last H2H at Trabzonspor was a 2-1 home win in May 2021.
- Four of the last five H2Hs have seen both teams score.
A. Şahindere is listed as missing the fixture with a jumper’s knee.
- No other injuries reported for either side.
- Genclerbirligi have kept only 3 away clean sheets all season.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 5

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Trabzonspor's strong home form and Genclerbirligi's terrible away record, combined with historical H2H dominance at home, make a home win highly likely.
- Trabzonspor home record: 9W-6D-1L (16 matches), 29 goals scored, 15 conceded.
- Genclerbirligi away record: 1W-3D-12L (16 matches), 9 goals scored, 23 conceded.
- Last 5 H2H: Trabzonspor won 3, Genclerbirligi won 2, but Trabzonspor's home H2H is 12-1-4 historically.
- Trabzonspor form (last 5 league): W-D-L-D-D, but overall season 20W-9D-4L.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostTrabzonsporEstimated chance72%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given Trabzonspor's near-immunity to home defeats and Genclerbirligi's inability to win away, the double chance covers the most likely outcomes.
- Trabzonspor home losses: only 1 in 16 matches this season.
- Genclerbirligi away wins: only 1 in 16 matches.
- Trabzonspor have drawn 6 of 16 home games, but lost only once.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostTrabzonspor or DrawEstimated chance92%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Trabzonspor are more likely to lead at the break given Genclerbirligi's poor first halves away, but the low scoring first halves make a draw at half time also probable.
- Trabzonspor home first half record: led at half time in 6 of 16 matches (37.5%), trailed in 2 (12.5%).
- Genclerbirligi away first half record: led at half time in 1 of 16 matches (6.2%), trailed in 8 (50%).
- Trabzonspor average first half goals at home: 0.7 scored, 0.5 conceded.
- Genclerbirligi average first half goals away: 0.3 scored, 0.8 conceded.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostTrabzonsporEstimated chance45%

Goals3 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Historical H2H trend and Trabzonspor's attacking output at home suggest goals, though Genclerbirligi's low away scoring tempers the probability.
- Trabzonspor home matches average 2.75 total goals (29 scored + 15 conceded in 16 games).
- Genclerbirligi away matches average 2.0 total goals (9 scored + 23 conceded in 16 games).
- Last 5 H2H meetings: 4 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
- Trabzonspor's last 5 league matches: 3 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Trabzonspor's tendency to concede at home and Genclerbirligi's occasional away goal, plus H2H history, make both teams scoring a reasonable bet.
- Trabzonspor home: both teams scored in 10 of 16 matches (62.5%).
- Genclerbirligi away: both teams scored in 7 of 16 matches (43.8%).
- Last 5 H2H: both teams scored in 4 of 5 matches.
- Trabzonspor have kept only 5 home clean sheets in 16.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
While Genclerbirligi often struggle to score away, Trabzonspor's home defensive record is not airtight, and H2H suggests Genclerbirligi can find the net.
- Trabzonspor home clean sheets: 5 in 16 matches (31.2%).
- Genclerbirligi away failed to score in 9 of 16 matches (56.2%).
- Last 5 H2H: Genclerbirligi scored in 4 of 5.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonGenclerbirligi to scoreEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to have low-scoring first halves, especially Genclerbirligi away, making under 1.5 first half goals likely.
- Trabzonspor home first half goals: 0.7 scored, 0.5 conceded on average.
- Genclerbirligi away first half goals: 0.3 scored, 0.8 conceded on average.
- Trabzonspor last 5 league matches: first half goals total under 1.5 in 4 of 5.
- Genclerbirligi last 5 league matches: first half goals total under 1.5 in 3 of 5.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Matches tend to open up in the second half, and Trabzonspor's attacking strength at home should produce goals after the break.
- Trabzonspor home second half goals: average 1.1 scored, 0.4 conceded (derived from totals).
- Genclerbirligi away second half goals: average 0.3 scored, 0.6 conceded.
- Last 5 H2H: second half goals over 1.5 in 3 of 5 matches.
- Trabzonspor's last 5 league matches: second half goals over 1.5 in 3 of 5.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Limited corner data, but the available H2H and team averages suggest a moderate chance of exceeding 8.5 corners.
- Trabzonspor home corners average: 4.8 per match overall, but home data not isolated.
- Genclerbirligi away corners average: 3.9 per match overall.
- Last 5 H2H: corner data incomplete, but available matches show totals of 9, 7, 12, 9, 9.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Combined yellow card averages suggest a slight lean towards over 4.5 cards, but lack of H2H card data makes this low confidence.
- Trabzonspor average yellow cards: 1.6 per match overall.
- Genclerbirligi average yellow cards: 2.0 per match overall.
- Last 5 H2H: card data not available, but both teams average around 3.6 combined yellows.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance55%

Head-to-Head

3W · 0D · 2W

L1-0Gençlerbirliği S.K.vTrabzonsporMay 13, 2026TÜR

L4-3Gençlerbirliği S.K.vTrabzonsporDec 22, 2025SÜP

W1-2Gençlerbirliği S.K.vTrabzonsporFeb 8, 2024TÜR

W2-1TrabzonsporvGençlerbirliği S.K.May 15, 2021SÜP

W1-2Gençlerbirliği S.K.vTrabzonsporJan 23, 2021SÜP

3.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Süper Lig 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
3	Trabzonspor UEFA Europa League Qualification	33	20	9	4	61-36	69	WDLDD
15	Genclerbirligi	33	8	7	18	33-47	31	WLWLL

38pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Trabzonspor

W2-1BeşiktaşMay 9SÜP

D1-1GöztepeMay 2SÜP

L1-2KonyasporApr 27SÜP

D1-1BaşakşehirApr 19SÜP

D1-1AlanyasporApr 11SÜP

W2-1GalatasarayApr 4SÜP

W1-0EyüpsporMar 18SÜP

W1-0RizesporMar 14SÜP

W3-1KayserisporMar 9SÜP

W4-2BaşakşehirMar 3TÜR

W3-1Fatih KaragümrükFeb 27SÜP

W2-1Gaziantep FKFeb 22SÜP

L2-3FenerbahçeFeb 14SÜP

W3-0SamsunsporFeb 7SÜP

W3-0FethiyesporFeb 3TÜR

Genclerbirligi

W3-2KasımpaşaMay 9SÜP

L0-1Fatih KaragümrükMay 3SÜP

W1-0KocaelisporApr 26SÜP

W2-0GalatasarayApr 22TÜR

L1-2GalatasarayApr 18SÜP

L0-3BaşakşehirApr 11SÜP

L0-2GöztepeApr 4SÜP

L0-1KonyasporMar 19SÜP

L0-2BeşiktaşMar 15SÜP

D0-0AlanyasporMar 9SÜP

W3-1Aliağa FAŞMar 5TÜR

D0-0KayserisporMar 1SÜP

L0-1EyüpsporFeb 21SÜP

D2-2RizesporFeb 14SÜP

L1-3FenerbahçeFeb 9SÜP

Squad & Injuries

Trabzonspor

29 available

Attackers4

Midfielders12

Defenders9

Goalkeeper4

Genclerbirligi

1 out

Attackers5

Midfielders13

Defenders11

Goalkeeper4

A. Şahindere — Jumpers knee

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Trabzonspor

Trabzonspor or Draw

Trabzonspor

Under 1.5

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Yes

Result0 of 3 landed

Goals3 of 5 landed

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Trabzonspor

Genclerbirligi

Squad & Injuries

Trabzonspor

Genclerbirligi