USL CupFull time

Predictions graded

Corpus Christi0Tulsa Roughnecks1

HT 0–0Sun 17 May 2026, 00:37 Predictions graded

Predictions3–633%

Edges1–420%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 16 May 2026, 18:28 · Europe/Bucharest

Corpus Christi are unbeaten at home recently and face a Tulsa side struggling on the road, making the Double Chance (Corpus Christi or Draw) at 1.88 the top value play with a 12-point edge.

Both teams to score is also likely given consistent scoring and conceding patterns, while the Over 2.5 goals market is fairly priced. Avoid backing Tulsa in the Match Winner or Draw No Bet markets, as the odds overrate their chances.

Context

Corpus Christi's last three home results: 1-3 loss to Charlotte Independence, 0-0 draw with Spokane Velocity, and a 2-1 win over Houston FC.
- Tulsa have lost two of their last three away matches in all competitions, including a 4-0 defeat at St. Louis City.
Tulsa lost 4-0 at St. Louis City and 2-0 at Sacramento Republic in their last three away trips.
- They conceded four goals in their US Open Cup loss and two in the USL Championship defeat.
Corpus Christi's last five matches averaged 2.8 total goals, with three of five exceeding 2.5 goals.
- Tulsa's last five matches averaged 3.0 total goals, with four of five exceeding 2.5 goals.
- Tulsa's two USL Cup group matches produced seven goals (3.5 per game).

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Corpus Christi's perfect start in the USL Cup group and home advantage give them a slight edge, but overall form is inconsistent, making this a low-confidence call.
- Corpus Christi won their only USL Cup group match 1-0 away, leading the group.
- Tulsa Roughnecks have 1 draw and 1 loss in the USL Cup, conceding 4 goals in 2 matches.
- Corpus Christi's last 5 matches across all competitions: W-D-L-L-D, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Tulsa Roughnecks' last 5 matches: W-W-D-L-L, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostCorpus ChristiEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Corpus Christi's home resilience and Tulsa's away struggles suggest the hosts are likely to avoid defeat, supported by both teams' tendency to draw.
- Corpus Christi are unbeaten in their last 3 home matches across all competitions (W-D-W).
- Tulsa Roughnecks have lost 2 of their last 3 away matches in all competitions.
- Corpus Christi have drawn 3 of their last 10 matches overall.
- Tulsa Roughnecks have drawn 3 of their last 10 matches overall.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostCorpus Christi or DrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a tendency to be level at the break, with neither showing a strong first-half dominance in recent outings.
- Corpus Christi were drawing at halftime in 2 of their last 5 matches.
- Tulsa Roughnecks were drawing at halftime in 2 of their last 5 matches.
- Corpus Christi led at halftime in only 1 of their last 5 matches.
- Tulsa Roughnecks led at halftime in 1 of their last 5 matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Corpus Christi tend to improve after halftime, while Tulsa's defense weakens, giving the hosts a slight edge in the second period.
- Corpus Christi won the second half in 2 of their last 5 matches.
- Tulsa Roughnecks lost the second half in 2 of their last 5 matches.
- Corpus Christi scored more second-half goals than first-half goals in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Tulsa Roughnecks conceded more second-half goals than first-half goals in 3 of their last 5 matches.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableCorpus ChristiEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at halftime followed by a Corpus Christi win is a plausible scenario given their second-half strength and Tulsa's defensive lapses, but it's a low-probability specific outcome.
- Corpus Christi were drawing at halftime and won the match in 1 of their last 5 matches.
- Tulsa Roughnecks were drawing at halftime and lost the match in 1 of their last 5 matches.
- Corpus Christi have a pattern of second-half improvement in recent home games.
- Tulsa Roughnecks have conceded late goals in away matches this season.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/Corpus ChristiEstimated chance20%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to be level or ahead at the break, but Corpus Christi's home advantage makes them less likely to be behind at halftime.
- Corpus Christi have not trailed at halftime in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Tulsa Roughnecks have trailed at halftime in only 1 of their last 5 matches.
- Corpus Christi led at halftime in 1 of their last 5 matches.
- Tulsa Roughnecks led at halftime in 1 of their last 5 matches.
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostCorpus Christi or DrawEstimated chance70%

Goals2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' recent matches frequently exceed 2.5 goals, and Tulsa's USL Cup games have been high-scoring, making over 2.5 goals likely.
- Corpus Christi's last 5 matches averaged 2.8 total goals.
- Tulsa Roughnecks' last 5 matches averaged 3.0 total goals.
- Tulsa Roughnecks' USL Cup matches have seen 7 goals in 2 games (3.5 per game).
- Corpus Christi's only USL Cup match had 1 goal, but their overall recent matches trend higher.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown consistent scoring and conceding patterns in recent matches, making BTTS a strong possibility.
- Both teams scored in 3 of Corpus Christi's last 5 matches.
- Both teams scored in 4 of Tulsa Roughnecks' last 5 matches.
- Tulsa Roughnecks have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Corpus Christi have conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a pattern of first-half activity, with goals scored or conceded in the opening period in the majority of recent matches.
- Corpus Christi scored first-half goals in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Tulsa Roughnecks scored first-half goals in 2 of their last 5 matches.
- Corpus Christi conceded first-half goals in 3 of their last 5 matches.
- Tulsa Roughnecks conceded first-half goals in 3 of their last 5 matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Second-half scoring has been common in both teams' recent games, but the sample is small and inconsistent, leading to low confidence.
- Corpus Christi's last 5 matches averaged 1.6 second-half goals.
- Tulsa Roughnecks' last 5 matches averaged 1.8 second-half goals.
- In 3 of Corpus Christi's last 5 matches, the second half had over 1.5 goals.
- In 3 of Tulsa Roughnecks' last 5 matches, the second half had over 1.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
First-half goals from both sides have been rare in recent matches for both teams, suggesting a low-scoring opening period.
- Both teams scored in the first half in only 1 of Corpus Christi's last 5 matches.
- Both teams scored in the first half in only 1 of Tulsa Roughnecks' last 5 matches.
- Corpus Christi kept a first-half clean sheet in 2 of their last 5 matches.
- Tulsa Roughnecks kept a first-half clean sheet in 2 of their last 5 matches.
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Without concrete corner stats, we rely on league averages and match context, but confidence is low due to missing data.
- Corner data is unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
- USL Cup matches typically average around 9-10 corners per game.
- Both teams' playing styles suggest an open game with attacking intent.
- No specific corner trends can be derived from the provided data.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance50%

League Table

USL League One Cup 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
1	Corpus Christi Playoffs	1	1	0	0	1-0	3	W
4	Tulsa Roughnecks	1	0	1	1	3-4	1	D

2pt gap between teamsCorpus Christi leads the league

Recent Form

Corpus Christi

L1-3Charlotte IndependenceMay 10USL

D0-0Spokane VelocityMay 3USL

W1-0Chattanooga Red WolvesApr 25USL

L1-2Sarasota ParadiseApr 22USL

L1-5Westchester SCApr 4USL

L1-2Union OmahaMar 28USL

D0-0One KnoxvilleMar 24USL

D2-2NaplesMar 14USL

L0-1San AntonioFeb 28FRI

W2-1Houston FCJul 13USL

D2-2AHFC RoyalsJul 10USL

W4-0GFIJul 6USL

D2-2Hill Country LobosJun 26USL

W4-1Laredo HeatJun 22USL

L1-2Brazos ValleyJun 17USL

Tulsa Roughnecks

W2-1Monterey BayMay 3USL

W4-1El Paso LocomotiveApr 30USL

D1-1Oakland RootsApr 19USL

L0-4St. Louis CityApr 16US

L0-1Orange County SCApr 12USL

D1-1Phoenix RisingMar 29USL

W3-2Las Vegas LightsMar 22USL

W4-2Little Rock RangersMar 19US

D0-0San AntonioMar 15USL

L0-2Sacramento RepublicMar 8USL

W2-0Union OmahaFeb 28FRI

D0-0San AntonioFeb 14FRI

W3-0North TexasFeb 7FRI

W3-0New Mexico UnitedNov 16USL

W3-0Colorado SpringsOct 26USL

Squad & Injuries

Corpus Christi

22 available

Attackers6

Midfielders8

Defenders6

Goalkeeper2

Tulsa Roughnecks

22 available

Attackers1

Midfielders10

Defenders8

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Corpus Christi or Draw

Corpus Christi or Draw

Yes

Over 2.5

Over 0.5

Result1 of 4 landed

Goals2 of 5 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

League Table

Recent Form

Corpus Christi

Tulsa Roughnecks

Squad & Injuries

Corpus Christi

Tulsa Roughnecks