Orlando City vs Atlanta United: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Orlando's home advantage and recent H2H success at home, combined with Atlanta's poor away form and World Cup road stretch fatigue, give Orlando a moderate edge.
- Orlando home record: 3W-0D-3L, 13 goals for, 12 against in 6 matches this season.
- Atlanta away record: 1W-0D-3L, 2 goals for, 6 against in 4 matches this season.
- Orlando won 2 of last 3 home H2H meetings vs Atlanta (3-0, 1-0).
- Orlando last 5 form: W-L-W-L-W (9 goals for, 12 against); Atlanta last 5 form: L-W-W-L-L (9 goals for, 8 against).
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostOrlando CityEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Orlando's home resilience and Atlanta's away struggles make an Orlando win or draw the most likely double-chance outcome.
- Orlando home record: 3W-0D-3L; Atlanta away record: 1W-0D-3L.
- Orlando unbeaten in 3 of last 4 home H2H vs Atlanta (2W, 1D).
- Atlanta have lost 3 of 4 away matches this season, scoring only 2 goals.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonOrlando City or DrawEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams have mixed first-half performances, and H2H history shows a tendency for tight first halves, making a draw at half-time a plausible but low-confidence outcome.
- Orlando home half-time results: 2W, 1D, 3L in 6 matches.
- Atlanta away half-time results: 1W, 1D, 2L in 4 matches.
- H2H last 5 half-time results: 2 draws, 2 home wins, 1 away win.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance45%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Orlando's high-scoring home games and leaky defense, combined with Atlanta's need to attack to improve away form, support over 2.5 goals.
- Orlando home matches average 4.2 total goals (13 for, 12 against in 6 games).
- Orlando last 5 matches: 4 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
- Atlanta away matches average 2.0 total goals, but Orlando's defense has conceded 2.7 goals per game overall this season.
- H2H last 5 meetings: 3 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Orlando's defensive vulnerabilities at home and Atlanta's ability to find the net in most away games make both teams scoring likely.
- Orlando home: both teams scored in 4 of 6 matches.
- Orlando conceded in 5 of 6 home matches.
- Atlanta scored in 3 of 4 away matches, but only 2 total away goals.
- H2H last 5: both teams scored in 3 of 5.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams consistently see first-half goals in their matches, with Orlando's high first-half concession rate at home driving a strong over 0.5 first-half goals probability.
- Orlando home first-half goals: 0.8 for, 1.3 against on average; 5 of 6 home matches had a first-half goal.
- Atlanta away first-half goals: 0.5 for, 0.5 against on average; 3 of 4 away matches had a first-half goal.
- H2H last 5: 4 of 5 had a first-half goal.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Orlando's matches tend to open up in the second half, especially at home, and Atlanta's away matches often see late goals as they chase results.
- Orlando home second-half goals: average 2.0 total (1.3 for, 0.7 against).
- Atlanta away second-half goals: average 1.0 total (0.3 for, 0.8 against).
- Orlando last 5 matches: 4 of 5 had over 1.5 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches average around 10.5 total corners, but limited H2H corner data and variability reduce confidence to low.
- Orlando home corners: 3.6 for, opponent 7.2 against on average (total 10.8).
- Atlanta away corners: 5.0 for, opponent 5.5 against on average (total 10.5).
- H2H last 5: corner data incomplete, but 2 of 3 with data had over 9.5 corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Orlando's recent matches have been card-heavy, and the rivalry context with Atlanta typically increases disciplinary actions, supporting over 4.5 cards.
- Orlando home yellow cards: 2.5 per game; opponent 1.8 per game (total 4.3).
- Atlanta away yellow cards: 2.3 per game; opponent 1.5 per game (total 3.8).
- Orlando last 5 matches: 4 of 5 had over 4.5 cards.
- H2H last 5: card data unavailable, but rivalry intensity suggests higher card counts.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance60%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Orlando City1Atlanta United1

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 4.5

Orlando City

Orlando City or Draw

Over 0.5

Yes

Over 2.5

Over 1.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals3 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Orlando City

Atlanta United

Squad & Injuries

Orlando City

Atlanta United

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
12	Orlando City	13	4	1	8	20-37	13	WLWLW
14	Atlanta United	12	3	1	8	13-20	10	LWWLL