Castellon vs Cadiz: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Castellon's strong home form (12 wins in 19) and Cadiz's poor recent results (5 straight losses) give the hosts a clear edge, despite Cadiz's historical H2H dominance.
- Castellon home record: 12W-3D-4L (39GF, 23GA in 19 matches)
- Cadiz away record: 4W-7D-8L (18GF, 28GA in 19 matches)
- Castellon last 5 form: D-L-W-W-D (9GF, 8GA); Cadiz last 5 form: L-D-L-L-L (3GF, 9GA)
- Castellon average 1.9 goals scored vs Cadiz 0.7 goals scored over last 15 matches
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostCastellonEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Castellon are extremely hard to beat at home (only 4 losses), while Cadiz have struggled on the road, making a home win or draw highly probable.
- Castellon home record: 15 unbeaten in 19 (12W, 3D)
- Cadiz away record: only 4 wins in 19, with 11 losses or draws
- H2H last 3: Cadiz unbeaten, but all at Cadiz's home; this is at Castellon
- Castellon lost only 4 home games all season
BetBugs · Double ChancewonCastellon or DrawEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While Castellon often start well at home, Cadiz's H2H resilience and the low-scoring first halves in recent meetings make a home HT lead only a marginal call.
- Castellon led at HT in 33% of last 15 matches, Cadiz trailed at HT in 60%
- Castellon home: led at HT in 8 of 19 (42%)
- Cadiz away: trailed at HT in 10 of 19 (53%)
- H2H last 3: all level at HT (0-0, 0-0, 1-0 to Cadiz)
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostCastellonEstimated chance40%

Goals3 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Castellon's attacking output at home combined with Cadiz's defensive frailties (1.9 conceded per game) suggests a match with at least 3 goals.
- Castellon home matches: 39 goals in 19 games (2.05 per game)
- Castellon last 15 overall: 1.9 goals scored, 1.6 conceded per game
- Cadiz last 15 overall: 0.7 scored, 1.9 conceded per game
- 3 of last 5 Castellon home games had over 2.5 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Castellon's tendency to both score and concede at home, paired with Cadiz's ability to nick a goal on the road, makes both teams scoring likely.
- Castellon home: scored in 16 of 19 games, but kept only 6 clean sheets
- Cadiz away: scored in 12 of 19 games, but kept only 4 clean sheets
- Last 5 Castellon matches: both teams scored in 4
- Last 5 Cadiz matches: both teams scored in 2, but they face a stronger attack
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Castellon's consistent home scoring record (2+ goals in 63% of home games) against a leaky Cadiz defense strongly supports over 1.5 home goals.
- Castellon home: 39 goals in 19 games (2.05 per game)
- Castellon scored 2+ in 12 of 19 home games
- Cadiz away: conceded 2+ in 10 of 19 away games
- Castellon last 5 home games: scored 2+ in 4
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostCastellon over 1.5Estimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Castellon's strong first-half scoring record and Cadiz's habit of conceding early (1.1 first-half goals against) point to at least one goal before the break.
- Castellon first half goals: 1.0 average over last 15, scored in 73% of those matches before HT
- Cadiz first half goals conceded: 1.1 average over last 15, conceded in 80% of those matches before HT
- H2H last 3: first half goals in 2 of 3 (0-0, 0-0, 1-0 at HT)
- Castellon home: led at HT in 8 of 19 games
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to see more goals after the break, with Castellon's home matches averaging over 2 second-half goals, making over 1.5 a solid bet.
- Castellon last 15: 0.9 second-half goals scored, 0.9 conceded on average
- Cadiz last 15: 0.3 second-half goals scored, 0.8 conceded on average
- Castellon home: 13 of 19 games had 2+ second-half goals
- Cadiz away: 11 of 19 games had 2+ second-half goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined corner averages of both teams hover around 9, and with Castellon's home possession edge, total corners could exceed 8.5.
- Castellon average 5.5 corners per game, concede 3.9 over last 15
- Cadiz average 3.7 corners per game, concede 4.3 over last 15
- Combined average: 9.2 corners per game
- Last 5 Castellon matches: 8.2 corners per game; last 5 Cadiz: 8.6
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams average nearly 3 cards each, and the emotional baggage from the reverse fixture VAR mistake could lead to a feisty encounter with over 4.5 cards.
- Castellon average 2.9 yellow cards per game over last 15
- Cadiz average 2.6 yellow cards per game over last 15
- Combined average: 5.5 cards per game
- H2H last 3: card data unavailable, but reverse fixture had VAR controversy adding tension
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5Estimated chance60%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Castellon1Cadiz1

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 4.5

Castellon

Castellon or Draw

Over 1.5

Over 0.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals3 of 5 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Castellon

Cadiz

Squad & Injuries

Castellon

Cadiz

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
6	Castellon Promotion Playoffs	39	18	11	10	66-49	65	DLWWD
18	Cadiz	39	10	9	20	36-56	39	LDLLL