Draw or Bournemouth
BetBugs 68% · Market 68%
Bournemouth have avoided defeat in 12 of 17 away games this season and are unbeaten in the last 3 H2Hs, while Fulham have lost 3 of their last 5 at home.
Premier LeagueFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Bournemouth’s strong H2H record and Fulham’s recent home struggles make Draw or Bournemouth the standout bet at 1.48, with our 68% probability matching the odds.
The away win at 2.38 also offers fair value, but the coaching transition adds risk. Steer clear of Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals, where the market overestimates the likelihood.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Other edges · 6
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 68% · Market 68%
Bournemouth have avoided defeat in 12 of 17 away games this season and are unbeaten in the last 3 H2Hs, while Fulham have lost 3 of their last 5 at home.
BournemouthBetBugs 42% · Market 42%
Bournemouth's superior recent form (W-D-W-W-D) and H2H dominance (7 wins in last 15 meetings) give them a clear edge over inconsistent Fulham.
BetBugs 58% · Market 67.6%
Both sides have consistent scoring records, but odds imply a 67.6% chance, leaving no value against our 58% estimate.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Fulham | 35 | 14 | 6 | 15 | 44-49 | 48 |
| 6 | BournemouthPromotion - Europa League (League phase) | 35 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 55-52 | 52 |

