Werder Bremen - Augsburg

Away Clean Sheet

No

Augsburg's abysmal away defensive record and inability to keep a clean sheet in any of their last 5 matches, combined with Bremen's improved attacking output under Thioune, strongly points against an Augsburg shutout.

Cards Over/Under

Over 3.5

With both teams averaging 2.4 yellows and 10.4 fouls each in their last 10 matches, the combined baseline of ~4.8 cards per game strongly supports the over, amplified by the high-stakes relegation context driving aggressive play.

Home Clean Sheet

No

Bremen's home defensive record of 1.73 GA per game is among the worst in the league, and Augsburg's consistent recent scoring (5/5 matches) make a Bremen clean sheet highly unlikely.

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5

Both teams' leaky defenses (Bremen 54 GA, Augsburg 55 GA in 31 games each) combined with the high-stakes motivation driving attacking urgency create a fertile environment for goals, supported by Augsburg's recent explosive scoring patterns.

Double Chance

1X

Augsburg's weak away form and Bremen's improving trajectory under Thioune make an away win unlikely; combined with H2H showing Augsburg winning just once in 5, Bremen avoiding defeat at home is the highest-probability outcome band.

Shots on Target Over/Under

Over 7.5

With a combined SOT average of 9.2, driven by both teams' attacking form and weak defensive structures, the over 7.5 threshold sits comfortably within expected output for this matchup.

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Both defenses are structurally weak — Bremen's home GA of 1.73 and Augsburg's away GA of 1.87 indicate neither can consistently keep clean sheets, and both teams' recent scoring form suggests mutual goal-scoring is likely.

1st Half Goals

Under 1.5

Bremen's very low first-half goal production (0.4 per game) and the tactical caution typical of must-win relegation matches suggest early caginess, with the bulk of goals coming in the second half.

Corners Over/Under

Over 8.5

The combined corner averages suggest a baseline around 9+ corners per match, and Augsburg's counter-attacking style with low possession tends to generate corners for opponents while their direct play also creates set-piece opportunities.