Konyaspor - Trabzonspor

🇹🇷 Süper LigFinished

Monday, April 27, 2026 at 17:00

Finished Snapshot

FT2-1

FinishedSettled

Halftime

2-0

Predictions

4W · 6L · 0P

Edges

1W · 0L · 0P

Match Stats

Possession

36%-64%

Shots

12-22

Shots on Target

6-3

Corners

7-5

Quick Take

Trabzonspor's Europa League chase and superior away form provide structural advantage over a depleted but confident Konyaspor side, with Corners Over 9.5 offering the clearest value edge; expect a cagey first half and sustained second-half pressure favoring the visitor, though Ko...

Corners Over/UnderOver 9.562%+9.6pp

Context Signals

Betting Edges

Implied: 52.4% → Our estimate: 62% → Edge: +9.6pts

•Combined team corners average: 9.7 corners/game
•Trabzonspor avg 5.6 corners/game (top-end for league)
•Konyaspor defend 6.6 opponent corners/game (high exposure)

Model probabilities

Both Teams Score First HalfNo72%Mediumlost

Both teams' first-half profiles are low-scoring and recent matches confirm pattern of cagey opening 45 minutes (Core 5: Tactical Matchup).

Signal quality: Medium · Uncertainty band: Strong lean

Double ChanceDraw or Trabzonspor (X2)68%Mediumlost

Massive motivation and quality asymmetry — Trabzonspor chasing Europa qualification while Konyaspor's defense is gutted by suspensions — strongly favors the visitor avoiding defeat (Core 5: Motivation + Injuries/Suspensions).

Signal quality: Medium · Uncertainty band: Strong lean

1st Half GoalsUnder 1.567%Mediumlost

Both sides demonstrate slow-starting profiles and H2H supports a tight first half, especially with motivation asymmetry favoring Trabzonspor controlling tempo (Core 5: Tactical + H2H).

Signal quality: Medium · Uncertainty band: Strong lean

Cards Over/UnderOver 4.566%Mediumlost

Konyaspor's high card volume, an active referee, and competitive stakes for Trabzonspor support over 4.5 (Core 5: Tactical/Discipline).

Signal quality: Medium · Uncertainty band: Strong lean

Shots Over/UnderOver 22.564%Mediumwon

Both sides generate shot volume and Trabzonspor will press for goals chasing Europa qualification (Core 5: Motivation + Tactical).

Signal quality: Medium · Uncertainty band: Lean

Corners Over/UnderOver 8.562%Mediumwon

Trabzonspor will dominate possession and territorial play vs depleted Konyaspor defense, generating sustained pressure and corners (Core 5: Tactical Matchup + Injuries).

Signal quality: Medium · Uncertainty band: Lean

Both Teams to ScoreYes60%Mediumwon

Both attacks are scoring consistently and H2H pattern supports goals at both ends, with Konyaspor's home creativity vs Trabzonspor's depleted defense (Visca, Batagov, Yokuslu absent) (Core 5: Injuries + Tactical).

Signal quality: Medium · Uncertainty band: Lean

Home CornersUnder 5.558%Lowlost

Konyaspor are typically below-average corner generators and Trabzonspor's away defensive structure should limit territorial pressure (Core 5: Structural Home/Away).

Signal quality: Low · Uncertainty band: Lean

Goals Over/UnderOver 2.553%Lowwon

Mixed evidence — averages and H2H trend point above 2.5, but Konyaspor's home H2H pattern has been notably tight, hence LOW confidence (Core 5: H2H Psychology).

Signal quality: Low · Uncertainty band: Slight lean

Match WinnerTrabzonspor48%Mediumlost

Trabzonspor's quality, away strength, and Konyaspor's defensive crisis outweigh Konyaspor's recent form and last home H2H win (Core 5: Injuries/Suspensions + Motivation).

Signal quality: Medium · Uncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Markets to Avoid

Both Teams to Score Yes:Predictor estimates 60% but implied probability 65.4% at 1.53 — insufficient margin for MEDIUM confidence (need 5pt+ edge). Market is fairly priced.

1st Half Both Teams to Score No:Predictor estimates 72% but implied probability 77.5% at 1.29 — negative 5.5pt edge. Market overpriced the No selection relative to prediction.

1st Half Goals Over/Under Under 1.5:Predictor estimates 67% but implied probability 63.7% at 1.57 — only 3.3pt edge. Below 5pt minimum for MEDIUM confidence bets. No value.

Pre-match flagged 3 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Konyaspor host Trabzonspor in a fixture with sharply asymmetric motivation: Trabzonspor sit 3rd in the Süper Lig chasing Europa League qualification, while Konyaspor (9th, no meaningful pressure) arrive on genuine home momentum with four wins in their last five matches, including a cup upset over Fenerbahçe. This tactical imbalance typically favors the visiting side, yet Konyaspor's home H2H record presents a credible counter-narrative—they have won their last two home meetings (1-0 in March 2025, 2-1 in April 2023), suggesting resilience at their own ground despite their lower league position…

Recent Form

Konyaspor

W2-0AntalyasporApr 17SÜP

W3-0Fatih KaragümrükApr 12SÜP

D2-2SamsunsporApr 5SÜP

W1-0Gençlerbirliği S.K.Mar 19SÜP

W2-1KocaelisporMar 14SÜP

D1-1KasımpaşaMar 8SÜP

W1-0EyüpsporMar 5TÜR

L0-2BaşakşehirFeb 27SÜP

W2-0GalatasarayFeb 21SÜP

L1-2AlanyasporFeb 14SÜP

Trabzonspor

D1-1BaşakşehirApr 19SÜP

D1-1AlanyasporApr 11SÜP

W2-1GalatasarayApr 4SÜP

W1-0EyüpsporMar 18SÜP

W1-0RizesporMar 14SÜP

W3-1KayserisporMar 9SÜP

W4-2BaşakşehirMar 3TÜR

W3-1Fatih KaragümrükFeb 27SÜP

W2-1Gaziantep FKFeb 22SÜP

L2-3FenerbahçeFeb 14SÜP

League Table

Süper Lig 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
9	Konyaspor	30	9	10	11	38-41	37	WWDWW
3	Trabzonspor UEFA Europa League Qualification	30	19	8	3	57-32	65	DDWWW

28pt gap between teams

Head-to-Head

1W · 0D · 4W

L3-1TrabzonsporvKonyasporNov 29, 2025SÜP

W1-0KonyasporvTrabzonsporMar 3, 2025SÜP

L3-2TrabzonsporvKonyasporSep 29, 2024SÜP

L1-3KonyasporvTrabzonsporApr 3, 2024SÜP

L2-1TrabzonsporvKonyasporNov 10, 2023SÜP

3.4 goals/game avg

Squad & Injuries

Konyaspor

18 out

Attackers6/11

×#18

×#7

×#40

×#18

×#7

×#40

Midfielders2/12

×#42

Defenders8/13

×#20

×#15

×#12

×#5

×#20

×#15

×#12

×#5

Goalkeeper3

U. Akyol — Knee Injury

#20 R. Bazoer — Yellow Cards

#42 M. Bjorlo — Yellow Cards

#15 J. Calusic — Suspended

#12 Guilherme — Suspended

#18 A. Ndao — Suspended

#7 T. Tasci — Inactive

#40 J. Muleka — Injury

#5 U. Yazgili — Injury

U. Akyol — Knee Injury

#20 R. Bazoer — Yellow Cards

#42 M. Bjorlo — Yellow Cards

#15 J. Calusic — Suspended

#12 Guilherme — Suspended

#18 A. Ndao — Suspended

#7 T. Tasci — Inactive

#40 J. Muleka — Injury

#5 U. Yazgili — Injury

Trabzonspor

8 out

Attackers4

Midfielders4/12

×#7

×#5

×#7

×#5

Defenders4/8

×#44

×#15

×#44

×#15

Goalkeeper4

#44 A. Batagov — Knee Injury

#15 S. Savic — Inactive

#7 E. Visca — Foot Injury

#5 O. Yokuslu — Inactive

#44 A. Batagov — Knee Injury

#15 S. Savic — Inactive

#7 E. Visca — Foot Injury

#5 O. Yokuslu — Inactive

Konyaspor - Trabzonspor

Quick Take

Context Signals

Konyaspor backline gutted by suspensions and injuries

Europa qualification stakes meet a no-pressure host

Konyaspor walking in on cup-form confidence boost

Trabzonspor missing Visca creativity and Batagov spine

Betting Edges

Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5

Model probabilities

Markets to Avoid

Recent Form

Konyaspor

Trabzonspor

League Table

Head-to-Head

Squad & Injuries

Konyaspor

Trabzonspor