Back to matches

Wolves

Wolves - Tottenham

Tottenham

🇬🇧 Premier LeagueFinished

Saturday, April 25, 2026 at 14:00

Finished Snapshot

FT0-1

FinishedSettled

Halftime

0-0

Predictions

5W · 5L · 0P

Edges

0W · 0L · 0P

Match Stats

Possession

41%-59%

Shots

10-11

Shots on Target

1-2

Corners

4-5

Quick Take

Wolves' relegation (confirmed April 20) five days before kickoff, combined with recent 4-0 humiliation and Tottenham's De Zerbi new-manager bounce (24 days in), tilts this fixture decisively toward Spurs despite Wolves' H2H history.

Context Signals

Model probabilities

Double ChanceDraw or Tottenham78%Highwon

Motivation/Stakes signal (relegation confirmed) heavily reduces the plausible Wolves-win path; covering draw + Spurs captures the dominant post-relegation scenarios.

Signal quality: High · Uncertainty band: Strong lean

Home Clean SheetNo78%Highwon

Structural Home/Away Edge is neutralized by Wolves' catastrophic home defensive record; a Wolves clean sheet is highly unlikely.

Signal quality: High · Uncertainty band: Strong lean

1st Half GoalsOver 0.572%Mediumwon

H2H and 1H averages both indicate early goals are the norm; Motivation signal (relegated Wolves prone to early concessions) supports an Over 0.5 HT goal.

Signal quality: Medium · Uncertainty band: Strong lean

Away Goals TotalTottenham Over 1.562%Mediumlost

Structural Home/Away Edge is neutralized by Wolves' historically bad home defense; Spurs' volume suggests multi-goal away output is the modal outcome.

Signal quality: Medium · Uncertainty band: Lean

Cards Over/UnderOver 4.562%Mediumwon

Tactical Matchup (Wolves' physicality vs Spurs' possession) plus a card-heavy referee pushes the total above 4.5; MEDIUM because we lack explicit card data per opponent matchup.

Signal quality: Medium · Uncertainty band: Lean

Goals Over/UnderOver 2.560%Mediumlost

Wolves' leaky home defense + Spurs' shot volume and H2H goal tendency feed Core 5 Tactical Matchup + Injuries/Motivation signals toward goals; MEDIUM because Spurs' conversion has been erratic under managerial churn.

Signal quality: Medium · Uncertainty band: Lean

Shots on Target Over/UnderOver 8.560%Mediumlost

Spurs' shot volume under De Zerbi plus Wolves' poor suppression at home keep combined SoT near/over the line; MEDIUM due to variance in Wolves' attacking output.

Signal quality: Medium · Uncertainty band: Lean

Both Teams to ScoreYes58%Mediumlost

H2H Psychology + Tactical Matchup (Spurs' high defensive line under De Zerbi, Wolves still creating at home vs Liverpool 2-1) supports BTTS; MEDIUM because Wolves' attack has zeroed in 2 of last 5.

Signal quality: Medium · Uncertainty band: Lean

Match WinnerTottenham55%Mediumwon

Motivation collapse post-relegation for Wolves combined with De Zerbi new-manager bounce tilts the balance toward Spurs despite Wolves' H2H history; only MEDIUM because Wolves still retain a structural home edge and recent wins vs Liverpool (PL) show residual capacity.

Signal quality: Medium · Uncertainty band: Slight lean

Corners Over/UnderOver 9.552%Lowlost

Tactical Matchup (Spurs dominating territory vs a demoralized Wolves) could push corners above 9.5, but the pure average baseline is under the line, so confidence is LOW.

Signal quality: Low · Uncertainty band: Slight lean

Markets to Avoid

Match Winner Tottenham:Market has already fully priced Tottenham's advantages (57.8% implied vs 55% estimated). No cushion for MEDIUM confidence prediction.

Double Chance Draw or Tottenham:Strong prediction (78% HIGH confidence) undervalued at implied odds (82%). The inverse shows Wolves win only ~19% implied on this market, but prediction suggests ~22% — insufficient edge on the favorite side given market efficiency.

Pre-match flagged 2 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Wolves face Tottenham in a fixture that has been fundamentally altered by relegation and managerial upheaval. Wolves were officially relegated on April 20, 2026—just five days before kickoff—a catastrophic blow to squad morale and motivation that eradicates their historical H2H advantage (4 wins in 6 recent PL clashes). Evidence of the psychological collapse emerged just 15 days earlier when Wolves were humiliated 4-0 at home by West Ham; post-relegation, they show zero defensive resistance against quality opposition.

Recent Form

Wolves

Wolves

L0-3LeedsApr 18PL

L0-4West HamApr 10PL

D2-2BrentfordMar 16PL

L1-3LiverpoolMar 6FAC

W2-1LiverpoolMar 3PL

W2-0Aston VillaFeb 27PL

L0-1Crystal PalaceFeb 22PL

D2-2ArsenalFeb 18PL

W1-0GrimsbyFeb 15FAC

D0-0Nottingham ForestFeb 11PL

Tottenham

Tottenham

D2-2BrightonApr 18PL

L0-1SunderlandApr 12PL

L0-3Nottingham ForestMar 22PL

W3-2Atletico MadridMar 18UEF

D1-1LiverpoolMar 15PL

L2-5Atletico MadridMar 10UEF

L1-3Crystal PalaceMar 5PL

L1-2FulhamMar 1PL

L1-4ArsenalFeb 22PL

L1-2NewcastleFeb 10PL

League Table

Premier League 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
20	Wolves Relegation - Championship	33	3	8	22	24-61	17	LLDWW
18	Tottenham Relegation - Championship	33	7	10	16	42-53	31	DLLDL

14pt gap between teamsWolves in relegation zoneTottenham in relegation zone

Head-to-Head

3W · 2D · 0W

D1-1TottenhamvWolvesSep 27, 2025PL

W4-2WolvesvTottenhamApr 13, 2025PL

D2-2TottenhamvWolvesDec 29, 2024PL

W1-2TottenhamvWolvesFeb 17, 2024PL

W2-1WolvesvTottenhamNov 11, 2023PL

Wolves unbeaten in 5 meetings3.6 goals/game avg

Squad & Injuries

Wolves

26 available

Attackers7

Midfielders7

Defenders9

Goalkeeper3

Tottenham

36 available

Attackers7

Midfielders13

Defenders12

Goalkeeper4