CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj: result, stats and head-to-head

Result0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Core 5 H2H Psychology and Motivation/Stakes both favour U Cluj: they are leading the title race with peak motivation and have dominated CFR in 4 of 5 recent derbies, while CFR's attacking output has collapsed (1.2 goals/match).
- U Cluj have won 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings, including 2-1 (Mar 2026) and 3-2 (Feb 2026) this season
- U Cluj 1st in Championship Group (39 pts, 4W-0D-1L, form LWWWW); CFR 3rd (34 pts, form WDLWL)
- U Cluj last 10: 2.6 goals/match scored, 0.8 conceded; CFR last 10: only 1.2 goals scored, 45.6% avg possession
- U Cluj away split in Championship Round: 2W-0D-1L, 4 GF/3 GA
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostUniversitatea ClujEstimated chance48%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Tactical Matchup Edge and H2H Psychology combine: U Cluj's away output (2.6 gpg) vs CFR's shaky home scoring makes a CFR win the least likely of three outcomes.
- U Cluj unbeaten in 4 of last 5 H2H (4W, 1D-adjacent); CFR won only 1 of last 5 H2H (May 2025)
- U Cluj form WWWW L (last 5 league): rank 1 Championship Group, +6 GD
- CFR home Championship Round: only 2 games, 1W-1D, 2GF/1GA — small sample, weak attack
- U Cluj 9 away wins in 15 season away matches (60%)
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or Universitatea ClujEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Motivation/Stakes plus H2H Psychology favour U Cluj to at least draw; a CFR win is the least-supported outcome given form and head-to-head dominance.
- U Cluj unbeaten in 4 of last 5 H2H meetings
- CFR have won only 1 H2H in the last ~2 seasons (May 2025)
- U Cluj rank 1 (39 pts) vs CFR rank 3 (34 pts) in Championship Group
- U Cluj away form strong: 9W in 15 league away games
BetBugs · Handicap ResultlostUniversitatea Cluj +0.0Estimated chance62%

Goals1 of 5 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
H2H Psychology is the dominant signal — goals appear in nearly every derby, both defences concede regularly, and U Cluj's 2.6 gpg attack meets a CFR side that has already conceded 2-3 goals in both 2025-26 meetings.
- BTTS in 4 of last 5 H2H meetings (3-2, 2-1, 2-2 all BTTS; only 1-0s were the exceptions in 2025)
- CFR have not kept a clean sheet in any recent H2H meeting
- U Cluj averaging 2.6 goals/match over last 10; CFR averaging 1.2 scored but 0.8 conceded
- H2H overall average 2.74 goals/match, BTTS 67% across 27 meetings
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Recent H2H (especially the 2025-26 meetings) and U Cluj's elevated scoring output support Over 2.5, though the two 1-0 results in 2025 pull the probability down from high confidence.
- Last 5 H2H produced 2, 5, 4, 1, 1 goals — average 2.6 per match
- 2025-26 meetings specifically: 3 and 5 goals (both Over 2.5)
- U Cluj 2.6 goals/match (last 10); combined goals-per-game pool (CFR 1.2 + U Cluj 2.6) = 3.8 expected
- Both teams concede at similar rates (CFR 0.8, U Cluj 0.8 per match)
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Tactical Matchup Edge: U Cluj's attack (2.6 gpg) has repeatedly exploited CFR's weak defensive structure in recent derbies.
- U Cluj scored 2+ in 4 of last 5 league matches (4, 2, 1, 2 — 1-goal game was an away win at Arges)
- U Cluj have scored 2+ in each of last 2 H2H vs CFR (3 and 2 goals)
- U Cluj 10 GF in 5 Championship Round games (2.0 per match)
- CFR conceded 2+ in 2 of last 5 league games, including to U Cluj (1-2)
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostUniversitatea Cluj Over 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
H2H Psychology is decisive — U Cluj's consistency of scoring against this specific opponent combined with CFR's defensive frailty makes a CFR clean sheet highly unlikely.
- CFR have not kept a clean sheet in any recent H2H vs U Cluj
- U Cluj scored in each of the last 5 H2H meetings
- CFR conceded in 3 of last 5 league matches
- U Cluj have scored in each of their last 5 Liga I matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostUniversitatea Cluj to scoreEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Tactical Matchup Edge: U Cluj's aggressive early-game scoring (1.3 first-half goals/match) typically forces at least one goal in the opening period.
- U Cluj first-half goals average 1.3 per match (last 10); lead at HT in 50% of matches
- CFR first-half goals scored 0.6, conceded 0.2 — low-scoring first halves typically
- In recent H2H (Feb 2026 3-2), 2 first-half goals; Sep 2025 (2-2) also had first-half goals
- U Cluj trailed at HT in only 10% of last 10 matches
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance72%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Structural Home/Away Edge and match-tempo context are mildly supportive but team averages sit close to the line, so confidence is LOW.
- CFR average 3.6 corners, opponents 5.5 (from recent matches); U Cluj average 4.1 corners
- Combined baseline ≈ 7.7 corners per match from averages
- Recent CFR home match vs Dinamo produced 6 corners (combined); vs Rapid 9 corners
- High-tempo derby nature typically elevates corner counts above team averages
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Tactical Matchup Edge plus derby heat — high foul counts and disciplinary averages line up above the 4.5 card threshold.
- CFR average 2.5 yellow cards/match (last 10); U Cluj average 2.1 — combined 4.6
- CFR fouls average 13.2/match; U Cluj 11.2 — high combined foul count
- Derby context: previous H2H meetings have routinely produced 4+ cards
- Recent CFR matches have seen 3 yellow cards in several games
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance65%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
3	CFR Cluj Qualification Playoffs	5	2	1	2	4-5	34	WDLWL
1	Universitatea Cluj Champions League Qualification	5	4	0	1	10-4	39	LWWWW

CFR Cluj1Universitatea Cluj0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw or Universitatea Cluj

Draw or Universitatea Cluj

Yes

Over 2.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result0 of 3 landed

Goals1 of 5 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

CFR Cluj

Universitatea Cluj

Squad & Injuries

CFR Cluj

Universitatea Cluj