Napoli vs Cremonese: result, stats and head-to-head

Result3 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Structural Home/Away Edge plus dominant H2H Psychology — Napoli are near-impregnable at the Maradona while Cremonese have a poor away record and have never beaten Napoli in recent meetings.
- Napoli home record 11W-4D-1L (16 games), only 1 home defeat all season
- Cremonese away record 4W-3D-10L, 24 goals conceded in 17 away matches
- H2H: Napoli 3W 2D 0L in last 5 meetings, last Serie A meeting at home 3-0
- Standings gap: 39 points (Napoli 66, Cremonese 27)
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonNapoliEstimated chance72%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Home invincibility plus H2H dominance make a Cremonese win highly improbable; Strong Structural Home Edge is the primary driver.
- Napoli home: 11W 4D 1L this season — 15/16 unbeaten at home
- Cremonese have not beaten Napoli in any of last 5 H2H meetings
- Cremonese average just 0.6 goals scored last 10 matches
BetBugs · Double ChancewonNapoli or DrawEstimated chance88%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Structural Home Edge plus Cremonese's frequent multi-goal away losses suggest Napoli should win by 2+ in many scenarios.
- Napoli home wins margin: 26 GF vs 15 GA, +11 home GD
- Last Napoli home H2H won by 3 goals (3-0)
- Cremonese lost 4 of last 5 by margin or with low scoring (0-1, 1-2, 1-4, 1-2)
BetBugs · Asian HandicapwonNapoli -1Estimated chance48%

Goals4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Cremonese's anaemic attack (0.6 goals/match) against Napoli's solid home defence and clinical H2H clean-sheet pattern leans toward BTTS No.
- Cremonese scored 0 goals in 2 of last 5 matches (vs Cagliari, vs Parma away win 2-0 was the only away clean sheet)
- Cremonese average 0.6 goals/match last 10
- Last H2H at Napoli home ended 3-0; broader H2H Cremonese scored only 3 in 4 meetings
- Napoli home goals against: 15 in 16 (0.94/match)
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
H2H pattern shows Napoli scoring volume at home; Tactical Matchup Edge with Cremonese's leaky away defence (24 conceded in 17) supports a goal-rich match.
- Napoli home goals scored: 26 in 16 (1.63/match), conceded 15 (0.94)
- H2H: 11 goals in last 4 meetings (2.75 per game average)
- Last Napoli home H2H 3-0; previous meetings 2-2, 4-1
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Injuries/Tactical Matchup — Cremonese rely on disciplined away play (no major injuries) but lack attacking firepower; H2H Psychology supports another Napoli clean sheet.
- Cremonese failed to score in 2 of last 5 (vs Cagliari L 0-1; previously held to 0 by Lazio per intel)
- Cremonese away goals: 13 in 17 (0.76/match)
- Last H2H at Napoli home 3-0 clean sheet
- Napoli home GA 0.94/match
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonCremonese not to scoreEstimated chance50%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Tactical Matchup Edge — Napoli's home attack vs Cremonese's leaky away defence reliably produces 2+ home goals.
- Napoli home goals: 1.63/match (26 in 16)
- Last Napoli home H2H vs Cremonese: 3 goals scored
- Cremonese conceded 24 in 17 away games (1.41/match)
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonNapoli Over 1.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams produce low first-half goal numbers; Cremonese score 0 first-half goals on average and Napoli's first-half goals 0.7 — Tactical pattern points to a quiet opening half.
- Napoli first-half goals average 0.7; first-half goals conceded 0.5
- Cremonese first-half goals 0.0; first-half conceded 1.0
- Cremonese trailed at half-time in 50% of last 10 matches but scored 0 first-half goals
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Possession asymmetry (Napoli 62% vs Cremonese 45%) drives corner volume; Tactical Matchup favours sustained Napoli pressure.
- Napoli last 10 average corners: 5.9 per match
- Cremonese opponent corners average suggests they concede possession-led pressure (62.4% Napoli avg possession)
- Recent Napoli matches: 12, 7, 4, 7, 7 corners
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Discipline signal — Cremonese's high foul/card rate as the defensive side facing pressure typically inflates the card count above 4.5.
- Cremonese average 1.9 yellow cards and 15.6 fouls per match (last 10)
- Napoli average 1.5 yellows and 10.8 fouls per match
- Cremonese have received red cards in 3 of last 5 matches (incl. 1 vs Bologna, 1 vs Lecce)
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 4.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Napoli's shooting volume at home and Cremonese's typical 3+ SoT response should comfortably clear 8.5; low confidence due to potential Napoli rotation noted in intel.
- Napoli last 10 average shots on target: 4.8
- Cremonese last 10 shots on target: 3.3, opponent shots on target conceded ~4-7 in away games
- Combined recent SoT often 7-12 in similar matchups
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance58%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
2	Napoli Promotion - Champions League (League phase)	33	20	6	7	48-33	66	LDWWW
17	Cremonese	32	6	9	17	26-47	27	LLWLL

Napoli4Cremonese0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 1.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result3 of 3 landed

Goals4 of 5 landed

Match stats2 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

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Napoli

Cremonese

Squad & Injuries

Napoli

Cremonese