La LigaFull time

Predictions graded

Osasuna1Real Betis1

HT 1–1Sun 12 Apr 2026, 12:00 Predictions graded

Predictions7–370%

Edges1–233%

PossPossession 51%–49%ShotsShots 12–8On targetOn target 4–3CornersCorners 6–3

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 12 Apr 2026, 01:02 · Europe/Bucharest

Osasuna's unbeaten 8-game home run and defensive stability under Lisci faces a Real Betis side winless in 6 La Liga matches and 0-3 on the road—back Osasuna win/draw or first-half under 1.5 goals.

Over 4.5 cards offers substantial value against Betis' poor away form.

Context

Betis winless in last 6 La Liga matches
- 3 consecutive La Liga away defeats
- Trailing at half-time in last 3 league games
Unbeaten in 8 consecutive home La Liga games
- W8-D4-L2 at home this season (85.7% non-loss rate)
- Only 16 goals conceded in 14 home matches
Pellegrini has been critical of Antony's performances
- Antony substituted in recent matches
- World Cup selection pressure adding distraction
Betis 22 wins vs Osasuna's 10 wins in 38 all-time meetings
- Betis unbeaten in last 5 H2H encounters
- Current 6-game winless run undermines historical advantage

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Osasuna's dominant home fortress (unbeaten in 8) combined with Betis' dire away form (3 straight away losses) and 6-game La Liga winless streak makes an Osasuna non-loss the most statistically supported outcome, overriding Betis' historical H2H edge which was built in a period of stronger form.
- Osasuna unbeaten in last 8 home La Liga games (W8-D4-L2 overall at home this season)
- Real Betis lost all 3 of their most recent La Liga away fixtures
- Betis winless in last 6 La Liga matches (form: DLDLD in last 5 league games)
- Osasuna home record: 25 goals scored, 16 conceded in 14 home matches (1.79 GF/game)
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostOsasuna or DrawEstimated chance68%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The structural home/away edge is decisive: Osasuna lose very rarely at El Sadar this season while Betis have collapsed away from home in recent weeks, with their away form reading 3 consecutive defeats despite having the ball.
- Osasuna W8-D4-L2 at home this season (85.7% non-loss rate)
- Betis away record: W4-D7-L4, but lost last 3 La Liga away games consecutively
- Betis trailing at half-time in their last 3 league games
- Osasuna unbeaten in 8 home La Liga matches heading into this fixture
BetBugs · Double ChancewonOsasuna or DrawEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
With both teams producing limited first-half output (Osasuna 0.6 GF, Betis 0.7 GF in first halves) and Osasuna drawing at half-time in 3 of their last 5, a level half-time scoreline is the single most likely first-half outcome in this fixture.
- Osasuna leading at half-time only 40% of the time, trailing 20% (last 10)
- Betis leading at half-time only 30% of the time, trailing 40% (last 10)
- Osasuna drew at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches
- Combined first-half goals: Osasuna 0.6 scored + 0.5 conceded; Betis 0.7 scored + 0.7 conceded
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance52%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Betis' low scoring output (1.2 avg) and their recent tendency to produce low-scoring affairs in La Liga, combined with Osasuna's defensively solid home setup under Lisci's 4-2-3-1, points to a tight contest likely staying under 2.5 goals.
- Betis average only 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded across last 10 matches
- Betis away: 18GF/21GA in 15 games (1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded per away game)
- Osasuna last 5 matches: 3 of 5 produced 2 or fewer total goals
- Betis last 5 La Liga matches include 0-0, 1-1, 1-2, 1-1 scorelines (4 of 5 under 2.5)
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The H2H pattern strongly supports BTTS (4 of last 5 meetings saw both teams score), and while Betis struggle to win away, they still manage to find the net regularly even in defeats, while Osasuna's defence at home concedes at 1.14 per game.
- Osasuna conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches (only clean sheet: 1-0 vs Girona)
- Osasuna home: 16 goals conceded in 14 home games (1.14/game)
- Betis scored in 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions
- H2H last 5 meetings: both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Osasuna's first half output is particularly low (0.6 scored, 0.5 conceded) and they registered 0-0 at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches, suggesting a cautious first-half approach under Lisci that is likely to keep the opening period tight.
- Osasuna average 0.6 first-half goals scored and 0.5 first-half goals conceded (last 10)
- Betis average 0.7 first-half goals scored and 0.7 first-half goals conceded (last 10)
- Osasuna last 5: half-time scorelines were 0-0, 0-0, 0-2, 0-1, 0-0 (3 of 5 goalless at HT)
- Betis last 5: half-time scorelines were 0-1, 0-0, 0-2, 2-0, 0-1 (2 of 5 had under 1.5 HT goals)
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Despite Betis' poor away form, they consistently find ways to score (4 of last 5 games, 4 of last 5 H2H), and Osasuna's home defence, while solid, still concedes at over 1 goal per home game this season, making an Osasuna clean sheet unlikely.
- Osasuna kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 5 matches (1-0 vs Girona)
- Osasuna conceded 16 goals in 14 home matches this season (1.14/game)
- H2H: Betis scored in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
- Betis scored in 4 of their last 5 matches across all competitions
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonReal Betis to scoreEstimated chance62%

Match stats2 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams are card-prone with a combined average near 5 yellows per game, driven primarily by Osasuna's highly physical style (15.1 fouls/game); a competitive mid-table fixture with tactical intensity should comfortably breach the 4.5 card threshold.
- Osasuna average 2.4 yellow cards per match and commit 15.1 fouls per match (last 10)
- Betis average 2.5 yellow cards per match (last 10)
- Combined average: 4.9 yellow cards per match across both teams
- Osasuna's last 5 matches featured card totals of 7, 3, 3, 8, 6 (avg 5.4 combined cards)
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 4.5 cardsEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams produce moderate corner counts individually (4.2 each) and the combined average of 8.4 sits comfortably below 9.5, supported by the fact that 4 of Osasuna's last 5 matches and 4 of Betis' last 5 produced fewer than 10 corners total.
- Osasuna average 4.2 corners per match; Betis average 4.2 corners per match (last 10)
- Combined average: 8.4 corners per match
- Osasuna last 5: corner totals were 8, 8, 8, 8, 9 (all at or below 9.5)
- Betis last 5: corner totals were 5, 7, 11, 5, 7 (4 of 5 under 9.5)
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate healthy shot volumes (combined 27.5 average), with Betis particularly active in creating attempts even when not winning, and Osasuna's direct approach under Lisci also generates double-digit shot counts consistently.
- Osasuna average 12.6 total shots per match (last 10)
- Betis average 14.9 total shots per match (last 10)
- Combined average: 27.5 total shots per match
- Betis' last 5 matches: shot totals of 18, 27, 22, 26, 26 (all above 22.5)
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderlostOver 22.5 total shotsEstimated chance60%

Head-to-Head

0W · 1D · 4W

L2-0Real BetisvOsasunaSep 28, 2025LL

D1-1Real BetisvOsasunaMay 11, 2025LL

L1-2OsasunavReal BetisOct 19, 2024LL

L0-2OsasunavReal BetisMay 5, 2024LL

L2-1Real BetisvOsasunaOct 29, 2023LL

Real Betis unbeaten in 5 meetingsReal Betis: 2 clean sheets2.4 goals/game avg

League Table

La Liga 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
9	Osasuna	30	10	8	12	36-37	38	DWLDL
5	Real Betis Promotion - Europa League (League phase)	30	11	12	7	44-37	45	DLDLD

7pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Osasuna

D2-2AlavesApr 5LL

W1-0GironaMar 21LL

L1-3Real SociedadMar 15LL

D2-2MallorcaMar 7LL

L0-1ValenciaMar 1LL

W2-1Real MadridFeb 21LL

D0-0ElcheFeb 13LL

W2-1Celta VigoFeb 6LL

D2-2VillarrealJan 31LL

W3-1Rayo VallecanoJan 24LL

Real Betis

D1-1SC BragaApr 8UEF

D0-0EspanyolApr 4LL

L1-2Athletic ClubMar 22LL

W4-0PanathinaikosMar 19UEF

D1-1Celta VigoMar 15LL

L0-1PanathinaikosMar 12UEF

L0-2GetafeMar 8LL

D2-2SevillaMar 1LL

D1-1Rayo VallecanoFeb 21LL

W2-1MallorcaFeb 15LL

Squad & Injuries

Osasuna

6 out

Attackers2/9

×#2

Midfielders2/8

×#29

Defenders2/12

×#22

Goalkeeper3

#2 I. Benito — Knee Injury

#22 F. Boyomo — Yellow Cards

#29 A. Osambela — Red Card

#2 I. Benito — Knee Injury

#22 F. Boyomo — Yellow Cards

#29 A. Osambela — Red Card

Real Betis

8 out

Attackers7

Midfielders4/12

×#22

×#20

×#22

×#20

Defenders4/12

×#23

×#40

×#23

×#40

Goalkeeper5

#23 J. Firpo — Injury

#40 A. Ortiz — Shoulder Injury

#22 Isco — Ankle Injury

#20 G. Lo Celso — Thigh Injury

#23 J. Firpo — Injury

#40 A. Ortiz — Shoulder Injury

#22 Isco — Ankle Injury

#20 G. Lo Celso — Thigh Injury

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Under 1.5

Over 4.5

Under 8.5

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals3 of 4 landed

Match stats2 of 3 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Osasuna

Real Betis

Squad & Injuries

Osasuna

Real Betis