BundesligaFull time

Predictions graded

Wolfsburg1Eintracht Frankfurt2

HT 0–2Sat 11 Apr 2026, 13:30 Predictions graded

Predictions8–373%

Edges4–180%

PossPossession 51%–49%ShotsShots 22–10On targetOn target 6–4CornersCorners 7–7

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 11 Apr 2026, 00:21 · Europe/Bucharest

Wolfsburg's catastrophic home form (2W in 14) and league-worst defence, now depleted by injury, point to likely draw or Frankfurt win with high-probability goals.

Prioritize Double Chance Away/Draw (+10pts at 1.53), Both Teams to Score (+5pts at 1.50), and Over 2.5 Goals (+6pts at 1.60); avoid expensive first-half Frankfurt lines and low-conviction Away/Over 1.5 markets.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Frankfurt's superior squad quality, vastly better form, and Wolfsburg's depleted squad under a third manager with the league's worst defence create a clear away edge despite Wolfsburg's relegation desperation at home.
- Wolfsburg are 17th with 21 points, winless in last 10 Bundesliga games (form LLDLL), with only 2 home wins in 14 games this season
- Frankfurt are 7th with 39 points and have 52 goals scored in 28 games vs Wolfsburg's 38 — a significant quality gap
- Wolfsburg are missing 10 players including striker Wind, 3 midfielders (Dardai, Paredes, Svanberg), and 2 defenders (Fischer, Koulierakis suspended)
- Frankfurt dominate possession (59.1% avg last 10 matches) and generate 4.2 SOT per game vs Wolfsburg's 3.2
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonEintracht FrankfurtEstimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Wolfsburg's catastrophic home record (2W in 14) combined with Frankfurt's resilient away form (9 unbeaten in 14) and the massive injury list for the hosts makes a Wolfsburg win unlikely.
- Wolfsburg have won only 2 of 14 home games this season (14%), losing 9
- Wolfsburg are winless in their last 10 Bundesliga matches across all venues
- H2H last 5 meetings: 3 draws, 1 Frankfurt win, 1 Wolfsburg win — only 1 home win for Wolfsburg in 5
- Frankfurt away record is 3W-6D-5L, showing they are hard to beat on the road with 9 unbeaten results in 14 away games
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Eintracht FrankfurtEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While Frankfurt are the superior side, their away inconsistency (6 draws in 14) and the H2H draw tendency (3 in 5) mean a Frankfurt outright win is the most likely single outcome but far from certain, warranting low confidence on the handicap.
- Frankfurt have won 3 of 14 away games (21%) but Wolfsburg have lost 9 of 14 at home (64%)
- Wolfsburg's 10-game winless run and 10 missing players represent the worst squad crisis in the Bundesliga
- Frankfurt's away form DLWDW shows inconsistency — 3W-6D-5L away suggests draws are common
- H2H last 5: only 2 outright wins in 5 meetings (1 each side), with 3 draws
BetBugs · Asian HandicapwonEintracht Frankfurt -0.5Estimated chance45%

Goals4 of 6 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams are defensively vulnerable — Wolfsburg have the league's worst defence and Frankfurt's away record shows regular concessions — while both generate enough attacking output to score, supported strongly by H2H history where BTTS hit in 4 of 5 recent meetings.
- Wolfsburg concede 2.5 goals per game on average over last 10 and have the worst defence in the Bundesliga (63 GA in 28 games)
- Wolfsburg score 1.1 goals per game in last 10 despite poor form — they still find the net; 38 goals in 28 league games
- H2H last 5 meetings: both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches (scores: 1-1, 1-1, 2-1, 2-2, 2-0)
- Frankfurt concede 1.3 goals per game in last 10 and have allowed 33 goals in 14 away games (2.36 per away match)
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance72%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The combination of Wolfsburg's league-worst defence, their motivation-driven need to push forward leaving space, and the H2H trend of goal-heavy fixtures makes over 2.5 goals highly probable.
- Wolfsburg's last 5 matches produced 3-6, 0-1, 1-1, 1-2, 0-4 — 4 of 5 had 3+ total goals
- H2H historical average is 2.91 goals per match; last 5 meetings averaged 2.8 goals with 3 of 5 going over 2.5
- Wolfsburg concede 2.5 goals per game in recent form and have conceded 63 in 28 league games (2.25/game season-wide)
- Wolfsburg's desperation to attack from the front for relegation survival combined with their structural defensive weakness creates high-scoring conditions
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Frankfurt's away games are particularly high-scoring (4.29 goals/game average) and Wolfsburg's open, desperate style at home consistently produces multi-goal affairs, though the higher threshold introduces uncertainty.
- Wolfsburg's last 5 matches: 9, 1, 2, 3, 4 total goals — 3 of 5 had 4+ goals
- Wolfsburg have conceded 29 goals in 14 home games (2.07/game) and scored 20 (1.43/game) — combined 3.5/game at home
- Frankfurt's away matches produce an average of 4.29 goals per game (27 GF + 33 GA in 14 away games)
- H2H includes scorelines of 2-2 and 2-1 in recent meetings showing high-ceiling potential
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance45%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Frankfurt's away defensive record is poor with clean sheets in only 2 of 14 away matches, and Wolfsburg's relegation desperation ensures they will commit bodies forward and create chances, making a Frankfurt clean sheet unlikely.
- Frankfurt have kept only 2 clean sheets in 14 away games this season (conceding in 12 of 14)
- Frankfurt concede 2.36 goals per away game on average (33 GA in 14 away matches)
- H2H: Wolfsburg scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings (only blank was in a 0-2 loss at home in 2023)
- Wolfsburg have scored in their last 3 matches despite terrible form (3, 1, 1 goals)
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonWolfsburg to scoreEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Frankfurt are notably slow starters with only 0.3 first-half goals per game, and the H2H pattern of drawn half-times (4 of 5 level at the break) strongly suggests the first half will be cagey with under 1.5 goals.
- Frankfurt average only 0.3 first-half goals in last 10 matches and lead at half-time in only 10% of games
- Wolfsburg average 0.6 first-half goals scored and 0.8 conceded — combined 1.4 first-half goals per game
- H2H last 5 meetings: 4 of 5 were level at half-time (half-time results were draws in all recent data)
- Frankfurt's recent matches show first-half scores of 0-0, 1-1, 0-0, 0-0, 0-0 — very slow starters
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Frankfurt's strong away scoring rate of 1.93 goals/game facing the Bundesliga's worst defence, now further weakened by key defensive absences, provides a solid basis for expecting 2+ Frankfurt goals.
- Frankfurt average 1.3 goals per game in last 10 and have scored 27 goals in 14 away games (1.93/game)
- Wolfsburg concede 2.5 goals per game in their last 10 matches and 2.07 per home game this season
- Frankfurt scored 2+ goals in 3 of their last 5 matches (2-2, 1-2, 1-0, 0-0, 2-0)
- Wolfsburg are missing 2 defenders (Fischer, Koulierakis) which further weakens the league's worst defence
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonEintracht Frankfurt over 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Frankfurt's possession dominance forces opponents to defend deep, which historically generates corners for the dominant team; combined with both teams' corner averages the total should approach or exceed 9.
- Wolfsburg average 3.9 corners per game and their opponents average approximately 8.4 corners (12, 4, 16, 3, 7 in last 5)
- Frankfurt average 4.0 corners per game in last 10 matches
- Wolfsburg's low possession (42.4% avg) means opponents dominate territory and generate more corners
- Frankfurt's 59.1% possession average suggests they will dominate territory and create corner opportunities
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Wolfsburg's extremely high foul rate (13.2/game) driven by relegation pressure and inferior technical quality, combined with Frankfurt's own disciplinary record, strongly supports 4+ total cards in this fixture.
- Wolfsburg average 2.4 yellow cards per game in last 10, plus 1 red card across the sample
- Wolfsburg average 13.2 fouls per game — among the highest in the data, indicating aggressive/desperate play
- Frankfurt average 1.9 yellows per game, with combined average of 4.3 yellows per match when including opponent cards
- Wolfsburg's relegation desperation and tactical intensity under a new manager typically increase foul counts and card frequency
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance70%

Head-to-Head

1W · 3D · 1W

D1-1Eintracht FrankfurtvVfL WolfsburgNov 30, 2025BL

D1-1Eintracht FrankfurtvVfL WolfsburgFeb 2, 2025BL

W1-2VfL WolfsburgvEintracht FrankfurtSep 14, 2024BL

D2-2Eintracht FrankfurtvVfL WolfsburgFeb 25, 2024BL

L2-0VfL WolfsburgvEintracht FrankfurtSep 30, 2023BL

2.6 goals/game avg

League Table

Bundesliga 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
17	Wolfsburg Relegation	28	5	6	17	38-63	21	LLDLL
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	28	10	9	9	52-53	39	DLWDW

18pt gap between teamsWolfsburg in relegation zone

Recent Form

Wolfsburg

L3-6Bayer LeverkusenApr 4BL

L0-1Werder BremenMar 21BL

D1-11899 HoffenheimMar 14BL

L1-2Hamburger SVMar 7BL

L0-4VfB StuttgartMar 1BL

L2-3FC AugsburgFeb 21BL

D2-2RB LeipzigFeb 15BL

L1-2Borussia DortmundFeb 7BL

L0-11. FC KölnJan 30BL

L1-3FSV Mainz 05Jan 24BL

Eintracht Frankfurt

D2-21. FC KölnApr 5BL

L1-2FSV Mainz 05Mar 22BL

W1-01. FC HeidenheimMar 14BL

D0-0FC St. PauliMar 8BL

W2-0SC FreiburgMar 1BL

L2-3Bayern MünchenFeb 21BL

W3-0Borussia MönchengladbachFeb 14BL

D1-1Union BerlinFeb 6BL

L1-3Bayer LeverkusenJan 31BL

L0-2TottenhamJan 28UEF

Squad & Injuries

Wolfsburg

20 out

Attackers2/8

×#23

Midfielders6/13

×#8

×#40

×#32

×#8

×#40

×#32

Defenders6/9

×#2

×#4

×#14

×#2

×#4

×#14

Goalkeeper2/3

×#29

Cleiton — Ankle Injury

#8 B. Dardai — Knee Injury

#2 K. Fischer — Thigh Injury

#4 K. Koulierakis — Yellow Cards

#29 M. Muller — Muscle Injury

#40 K. Paredes — Muscle Injury

Rogerio — Muscle Injury

#14 J. Seelt — Knee Injury

#32 M. Svanberg — Calf Injury

#23 J. Wind — Muscle Injury

Cleiton — Ankle Injury

#8 B. Dardai — Knee Injury

#2 K. Fischer — Thigh Injury

#4 K. Koulierakis — Yellow Cards

#29 M. Muller — Muscle Injury

#40 K. Paredes — Muscle Injury

Rogerio — Muscle Injury

#14 J. Seelt — Knee Injury

#32 M. Svanberg — Calf Injury

#23 J. Wind — Muscle Injury

Eintracht Frankfurt

8 out

Attackers7

Midfielders2/13

×#19

Defenders4/8

×#34

×#13

×#34

×#13

Goalkeeper2/3

×#40

#34 N. Collins — Ankle Injury

#40 Kaua Santos — Knee Injury

#13 R. Kristensen — Ankle Injury

#19 J. Bahoya — Thigh Injury

#34 N. Collins — Ankle Injury

#40 Kaua Santos — Knee Injury

#13 R. Kristensen — Ankle Injury

#19 J. Bahoya — Thigh Injury

Quick Take

BetBugs edges

Draw or Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt

Yes

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Result3 of 3 landed

Goals4 of 6 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Wolfsburg

Eintracht Frankfurt

Squad & Injuries

Wolfsburg

Eintracht Frankfurt