NBAAOT
Predictions graded| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah Jazz | 32 | 23 | 30 | 20 | 6 |
| San Antonio Spurs | 22 | 29 | 34 | 20 | 12 |
Pre-match view
San Antonio has the firmer case with a more settled core against Utah's injury-hit frontcourt, but the Spurs' short trip from Sacramento is the main reason the game could stay closer than the matchup suggests.
San Antonio's returning core gives it the steadier structure, while Utah's frontcourt is stretched by Jaren Jackson Jr.'s reported absence and Lauri Markkanen's questionable wrist; the Spurs' quick trip from Sacramento is the main balancing factor.
NBA rules: full-game winner, handicap and totals include overtime. The 48-minute result, halves and quarters exclude it.
Experimental forecasts: accuracy has not yet been validated against historical results.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Utah Jazz +11.5Market 51% · BetBugs 64%
Utah has kept multiple recent games within 11 and should benefit from San Antonio's travel and early-season role uncertainty.
Utah Jazz +12.5Market 52.4% · BetBugs 70%
Utah's recent margins have often stayed within 12, and home scoring can keep a depleted team close enough to cover.
Market 53.5% · BetBugs 56%
San Antonio's recent 2026 totals have been modest and Utah's available frontcourt is thin, pointing to a combined score below this line.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
Selected line
234.5
Bookmakers' main total
BetBugs · Under
56%
Chance of 234 points or fewer
+3 pp above break-even
Under 1.87 needs 53% to break even. BetBugs sees 56%.
Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.
Utah Jazzv
San Antonio SpursCurrent 2026–27 regular-season record and conference position.
Utah JazzWestern Conference · #131–3San Antonio SpursWestern Conference · #91–2
vs Memphis Grizzlies105–110 REG
vs Los Angeles Lakers123–132 REG
vs New Orleans Pelicans120–119 REGat Memphis Grizzlies103–123 REG
at Phoenix Suns119–116 PREvs San Antonio Spurs119–109 PRE
vs Denver Nuggets106–117 PREat Denver Nuggets109–97 PREat Los Angeles Lakers107–131 REGvs Memphis Grizzlies147–101 REGat New Orleans Pelicans137–156 REG
at Oklahoma City Thunder111–146 REG
at Houston Rockets106–140 REGvs Denver Nuggets117–130 REG
vs Cleveland Cavaliers113–122 REGat Phoenix Suns109–134 REGat Denver Nuggets129–135 REG
vs Washington Wizards110–133 REG
vs Toronto Raptors127–143 REG
vs Philadelphia 76ers116–126 REG
vs Milwaukee Bucks128–96 REG
at Minnesota Timberwolves111–147 REG
at Sacramento Kings111–116 REG
at Portland Trail Blazers114–124 REG
at Dallas Mavericks122–106 REGvs Houston Rockets110–114 REGvs Oklahoma City Thunder104–116 REGvs Sacramento Kings126–97 PREvs Phoenix Suns123–103 PREat Utah Jazz109–119 PREat Phoenix Suns98–102 PRE
vs Atlanta Hawks116–123 PREvs Denver Nuggets118–128 REGvs Dallas Mavericks139–120 REGvs Portland Trail Blazers112–101 REGvs Philadelphia 76ers115–102 REGat Denver Nuggets134–136 OTREG.svg)
at LA Clippers118–99 REG
at Golden State Warriors127–113 REG
vs Chicago Bulls129–114 REGat Milwaukee Bucks127–95 REGat Memphis Grizzlies123–98 REG
at Miami Heat136–111 REG
vs Indiana Pacers134–119 REGvs Phoenix Suns101–100 REGat Sacramento Kings132–104 REGat LA Clippers119–115 REG.svg)
vs Charlotte Hornets115–102 REGvs Denver Nuggets131–136 REGLast 15 games · all competitions
Utah Jazz
24 games
Stats
0–5
San Antonio Spurs
25 games
San Antonio Spurs leads in 5 of 5 performance stats.
Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.
Some historical or current information is incomplete. Review the evidence and uncertainty shown with each forecast; team selections and playing time can change.
