Full game · Winner · Incl. overtimelostUncertainty band: Slight lean
Cleveland Cavaliers
fair 1.79
Market 43.5% · BetBugs 56%
+12.5ppedge
Cleveland's recent scoring output makes it the more reliable side to close out a win.
NBAFinished
Predictions gradedPhiladelphia 76ers114Cleveland Cavaliers106
Predictions8–1930%
Edges1–420%
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia 76ers | 18 | 27 | 37 | 32 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 35 | 34 | 21 | 16 |
Quick Take
Pre-match view
Cleveland has the steadier recent scoring profile and the forecasts' favour, but Philadelphia's burst scoring is a live threat; scoring markets are split and player coverage is absent.
Context
Philadelphia's rebuilt core of LeBron James, Jaylen Brown, Joel Embiid and Tyrese Maxey is the defining storyline, while Cleveland's wing and center depth is thinned by reported absences around Donovan Mitchell, Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen.
NBA rules: full-game winner, handicap and totals include overtime. The 48-minute result, halves and quarters exclude it.
Experimental forecasts: accuracy has not yet been validated against historical results.
BetBugs edges
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Full game · Handicap · Incl. overtimelostUncertainty band: Lean
Cleveland Cavaliers +3.5
fair 1.61
Market 51.3% · BetBugs 62%
+10.7ppedge
Cleveland's recent scoring output makes it likely to cover a three-and-a-half-point cushion even in a close loss.
Full game · Handicap · Incl. overtimelostUncertainty band: Slight lean
Cleveland Cavaliers +2.5
fair 1.75
Market 52.9% · BetBugs 57%
+4.1ppedge
Cleveland's recent scoring form makes it likely to stay within two points or win outright.
BetBugs probabilities
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
Result2 of 10 landed
Points5 of 15 landed
Total points
Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.
Full game · overtime included
Price snapshot
Selected line
233.5
Bookmakers' main total
BetBugs · Over
58%
Chance of 234+ points
+6 pp above break-even
Over 1.91 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 58%.
Move the line main 233.5
Over Bookmaker quote
BetBugs 58%Under Bookmaker quote
BetBugs –Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.
L115–101Cleveland Cavaliersv
Philadelphia 76ers
Cleveland CavaliersvPhiladelphia 76ers·REG
216Avg total points
14Avg margin
1meetings
League table
NBA · 2026–27 regular seasonStandings for 2026–27 are unavailable from the provider.
Recent Form
Philadelphia 76ers
14W 11L · last 25L
vs Boston Celtics120–125 OTPRE
vs Boston Celtics120–125 OTPRELat Boston Celtics106–144 REG
at Boston Celtics106–144 REGL
at Brooklyn Nets108–114 PRE
at Brooklyn Nets108–114 PREW
vs New York Knicks120–97 PRE
vs New York Knicks120–97 PREW
vs Orlando Magic109–97 REG
vs Orlando Magic109–97 REGW
vs Milwaukee Bucks126–106 REG
vs Milwaukee Bucks126–106 REGW
at Indiana Pacers105–94 REG
at Indiana Pacers105–94 REGL
at Houston Rockets102–113 REG
at Houston Rockets102–113 REGL
at San Antonio Spurs102–115 REG
at San Antonio Spurs102–115 REGL
vs Detroit Pistons93–116 REG
vs Detroit Pistons93–116 REGW
vs Minnesota Timberwolves115–103 REG
vs Minnesota Timberwolves115–103 REGW
at Washington Wizards153–131 REG
at Washington Wizards153–131 REGL
at Miami Heat109–119 REG
at Miami Heat109–119 REGW.svg)
at Charlotte Hornets118–114 REG
at Charlotte Hornets118–114 REGW
vs Chicago Bulls157–137 REG
vs Chicago Bulls157–137 REGL
vs Oklahoma City Thunder103–123 REG
vs Oklahoma City Thunder103–123 REGW
at Utah Jazz126–116 REG
at Utah Jazz126–116 REGW
at Sacramento Kings139–118 REG
at Sacramento Kings139–118 REGL
at Denver Nuggets96–124 REG
at Denver Nuggets96–124 REGW
vs Portland Trail Blazers109–103 REG
vs Portland Trail Blazers109–103 REGWvs Brooklyn Nets104–97 REG
vs Brooklyn Nets104–97 REGLat Detroit Pistons109–131 REG
at Detroit Pistons109–131 REGW
vs Memphis Grizzlies139–129 REG
vs Memphis Grizzlies139–129 REGLat Cleveland Cavaliers101–115 REG
at Cleveland Cavaliers101–115 REGWvs Minnesota Timberwolves126–110 PRE
vs Minnesota Timberwolves126–110 PRECleveland Cavaliers
14W 7L · last 21Lat Orlando Magic116–132 REG
at Orlando Magic116–132 REGWvs Orlando Magic119–105 REG
vs Orlando Magic119–105 REGLvs Boston Celtics113–124 PRE
vs Boston Celtics113–124 PREWvs Washington Wizards130–117 REG
vs Washington Wizards130–117 REGL
at Atlanta Hawks102–124 REG
at Atlanta Hawks102–124 REGWvs Atlanta Hawks122–116 REG
vs Atlanta Hawks122–116 REGWat Memphis Grizzlies142–126 REG
at Memphis Grizzlies142–126 REGWvs Indiana Pacers117–108 REG
vs Indiana Pacers117–108 REGW
at Golden State Warriors118–111 REG
at Golden State Warriors118–111 REGL
at Los Angeles Lakers113–127 REG
at Los Angeles Lakers113–127 REGWat Utah Jazz122–113 REG
at Utah Jazz122–113 REGWvs Miami Heat149–128 REG
vs Miami Heat149–128 REGLvs Miami Heat103–120 REG
vs Miami Heat103–120 REGWvs Orlando Magic136–131 REG
vs Orlando Magic136–131 REGW
at New Orleans Pelicans111–106 REG
at New Orleans Pelicans111–106 REGWat Chicago Bulls115–110 REG
at Chicago Bulls115–110 REGWat Milwaukee Bucks123–116 REG
at Milwaukee Bucks123–116 REGL
vs Dallas Mavericks120–130 REG
vs Dallas Mavericks120–130 REGWat Dallas Mavericks138–105 REG
at Dallas Mavericks138–105 REGLat Orlando Magic122–128 REG
at Orlando Magic122–128 REGWvs Philadelphia 76ers115–101 REG
vs Philadelphia 76ers115–101 REGStat Battle
Last 15 games · all competitions
Philadelphia 76ers
25 games
Stats
2–3
Cleveland Cavaliers
21 games
Cleveland Cavaliers leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.
Shooting· 1–2
2-point %+4.5pp
55.6%
+4.5pp60.1%
3-point %+3.8pp
32.4%
+3.8pp36.2%
Free-throw %+3.0pp
80.6%
+3.0pp77.6%
Scoring mix· style, not ranked
Points from 3s4.1pp apart
29.6%
4.1pp apart33.7%
Free throws per shot0.9pp apart
28.1%
0.9pp apart29.0%
Possession· 1–1
Rebounds per game+0.6
44.9
+0.644.3
Turnovers per game0.8 fewer
14.0
0.8 fewer13.2
Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.
Some historical or current information is incomplete. Review the evidence and uncertainty shown with each forecast; team selections and playing time can change.