NBAFinished
Predictions graded| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans Pelicans | 31 | 35 | 26 | 28 |
| Indiana Pacers | 38 | 18 | 30 | 37 |
Pre-match view
New Orleans has the thinner but more consistent case at home, with the scoring evidence pointing toward a lower-scoring opener, though Indiana's healthier, reshaped roster is the clearest reason that edge could shrink.
Indiana's outlook swings on Tyrese Haliburton's return and Ivica Zubac's integration, with fluid center minutes behind Zubac, while New Orleans banks on home floor and frontcourt pressure and faces its own question in Bennedict Mathurin's expanded role.
NBA rules: full-game winner, handicap and totals include overtime. The 48-minute result, halves and quarters exclude it.
Experimental forecasts: accuracy has not yet been validated against historical results.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
New Orleans PelicansMarket 43.5% · BetBugs 57%
New Orleans posted the slightly stronger full-season point differential and gets the home floor, giving it a narrow edge in a close opener.
New Orleans Pelicans +3.5Market 51.3% · BetBugs 69%
New Orleans is expected to stay within a few points or win outright at home.
Market 51.3% · BetBugs 61%
Scoring averages and the majority of recent results point below this ceiling.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.
Selected line
240.5
Bookmakers' main total
BetBugs · Under
57%
Chance of 240 points or fewer
+5 pp above break-even
Under 1.91 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 57%.
Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.
Standings for 2026–27 are unavailable from the provider.
at Dallas Mavericks101–97 PRE
at Miami Heat118–128 PRE
at Oklahoma City Thunder116–110 PRE
at Minnesota Timberwolves126–132 REG
at Boston Celtics118–144 REG
vs Utah Jazz156–137 REG
vs Orlando Magic108–112 REG
at Sacramento Kings113–117 REG
at Portland Trail Blazers106–118 REG
vs Houston Rockets102–134 REG
at Toronto Raptors106–119 REG
at Detroit Pistons108–129 REG
at New York Knicks116–121 REG
vs Cleveland Cavaliers106–111 REG.svg)
vs LA Clippers105–99 REGvs LA Clippers124–109 REGvs Dallas Mavericks129–111 REGat Houston Rockets105–107 REGvs Toronto Raptors122–111 REG
vs Washington Wizards138–118 REG
at Phoenix Suns116–118 REGat Sacramento Kings133–123 REG
at Los Angeles Lakers101–110 REGat Orlando Magic125–132 PRE
at Oklahoma City Thunder112–114 OTREG
vs Atlanta Hawks117–119 REGvs Minnesota Timberwolves123–112 PREvs Detroit Pistons121–133 REG
vs Philadelphia 76ers94–105 REG
at Brooklyn Nets123–94 REGvs Minnesota Timberwolves104–124 REGat Cleveland Cavaliers108–117 REG.svg)
at Charlotte Hornets108–129 REG
at Chicago Bulls145–126 REGvs Miami Heat135–118 REGvs LA Clippers113–114 REGvs Los Angeles Lakers130–137 REGat Orlando Magic128–126 REG
at San Antonio Spurs119–134 REGvs Portland Trail Blazers119–127 REGat New York Knicks110–136 REG
at Milwaukee Bucks123–134 REGvs New York Knicks92–101 REGvs Phoenix Suns108–123 REGat Sacramento Kings109–114 REGat San Antonio Spurs104–133 PRELast 15 games · all competitions
New Orleans Pelicans
24 games
Stats
2–3
Indiana Pacers
22 games
Indiana Pacers leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.
Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.
Some historical or current information is incomplete. Review the evidence and uncertainty shown with each forecast; team selections and playing time can change.
