Full game · Total points · Incl. overtimewonUncertainty band: Slight lean
Under 223.5
fair 1.89
Market 52.4% · BetBugs 53%
+0.6ppedge
Charlotte's 96-point preseason scoring and missing shooters make a sub-224 total slightly more likely.
NBAFinished
Predictions gradedBrooklyn Nets103Charlotte Hornets110
Predictions18–869%
Edges2–250%
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooklyn Nets | 23 | 25 | 33 | 22 |
| Charlotte Hornets | 27 | 27 | 32 | 24 |
Quick Take
Pre-match view
Charlotte holds the better evidence for a modest road edge, but its low-scoring, turnover-heavy preseason and reported shooting absences are the main threats to that view.
Context
Charlotte's late-season scoring edge against a Brooklyn team that often stayed close, weighed against reported hamstring absences for Kon Knueppel and Grant Williams and the difficulty of projecting both rotations.
NBA rules: full-game winner, handicap and totals include overtime. The 48-minute result, halves and quarters exclude it.
Experimental forecasts: accuracy has not yet been validated against historical results.
BetBugs edges
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Other edges · 3
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
Full game · Winner · Incl. overtimewonUncertainty band: Slight lean
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Charlotte Hornets
fair 1.85
BetBugs 54% · Market 56.5%
−2.5ppshort
Charlotte scored 117 in its last meeting with Brooklyn and closed last season with efficient offense, giving it a modest edge despite losing LaMelo Ball.
Full game · Handicap · Incl. overtimelostUncertainty band: Slight lean
Brooklyn Nets +2.5
fair 1.92
BetBugs 52% · Market 52.4%
−0.4ppshort
Brooklyn kept several recent games within a couple of possessions, so covering a small home line is slightly more likely.
BetBugs probabilities
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
Result4 of 6 landed
Points11 of 16 landed
Total points
Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.
Full game · overtime included
Price snapshot
Selected line
223.5
Bookmakers' main total
BetBugs · Under
53%
Chance of 223 points or fewer
+1 pp above break-even
Under 1.91 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 53%.
Move the line main 223.5
Over Bookmaker quote
BetBugs –Under Bookmaker quote
BetBugs 53%Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.
W90–124Charlotte HornetsvBrooklyn Nets
Charlotte HornetsvBrooklyn Nets·PRE
L86–117Brooklyn NetsvCharlotte Hornets
Brooklyn NetsvCharlotte Hornets·REG
208.5Avg total points
32.5Avg margin
2meetings
League table
NBA · 2026–27 regular seasonStandings for 2026–27 are unavailable from the provider.
Recent Form
Brooklyn Nets
7W 17L · last 24L
at Miami Heat128–144 PRE
at Miami Heat128–144 PREW
at Washington Wizards131–122 REG
at Washington Wizards131–122 REGW
vs Philadelphia 76ers114–108 PRE
vs Philadelphia 76ers114–108 PREWat Charlotte Hornets124–90 PRE
at Charlotte Hornets124–90 PREL
at Toronto Raptors101–136 REG
at Toronto Raptors101–136 REGL
at Milwaukee Bucks108–125 REG
at Milwaukee Bucks108–125 REGL
vs Indiana Pacers94–123 REG
vs Indiana Pacers94–123 REGWvs Milwaukee Bucks96–90 REG
vs Milwaukee Bucks96–90 REGWvs Washington Wizards121–115 REG
vs Washington Wizards121–115 REGL
vs Atlanta Hawks107–141 REG
vs Atlanta Hawks107–141 REGLvs Charlotte Hornets86–117 REG
vs Charlotte Hornets86–117 REGW
vs Sacramento Kings116–99 REG
vs Sacramento Kings116–99 REGL
at Los Angeles Lakers99–116 REG
at Los Angeles Lakers99–116 REGL
at Golden State Warriors106–109 REG
at Golden State Warriors106–109 REGL
at Portland Trail Blazers99–134 REG
at Portland Trail Blazers99–134 REGLat Sacramento Kings122–126 REG
at Sacramento Kings122–126 REGL
vs New York Knicks92–93 REG
vs New York Knicks92–93 REGL
vs Oklahoma City Thunder92–121 REG
vs Oklahoma City Thunder92–121 REGLvs Portland Trail Blazers95–114 REG
vs Portland Trail Blazers95–114 REGLat Philadelphia 76ers97–104 REG
at Philadelphia 76ers97–104 REGLat Atlanta Hawks97–108 REG
at Atlanta Hawks97–108 REGL
vs Detroit Pistons100–138 REG
vs Detroit Pistons100–138 REGW
vs Memphis Grizzlies126–115 REG
vs Memphis Grizzlies126–115 REGLat Toronto Raptors114–119 PRE
at Toronto Raptors114–119 PRECharlotte Hornets
14W 9L · last 23L
at Boston Celtics93–114 PRE
at Boston Celtics93–114 PREWvs Milwaukee Bucks105–90 REG
vs Milwaukee Bucks105–90 REGLvs Brooklyn Nets90–124 PRE
vs Brooklyn Nets90–124 PREL
at Orlando Magic90–121 REG
at Orlando Magic90–121 REGWvs Miami Heat127–126 OTREG
vs Miami Heat127–126 OTREGWat New York Knicks110–96 REG
at New York Knicks110–96 REGLvs Detroit Pistons100–118 REG
vs Detroit Pistons100–118 REGLat Boston Celtics102–113 REG
at Boston Celtics102–113 REGW
at Minnesota Timberwolves122–108 REG
at Minnesota Timberwolves122–108 REGWvs Indiana Pacers129–108 REG
vs Indiana Pacers129–108 REGW
vs Phoenix Suns127–107 REG
vs Phoenix Suns127–107 REGWat Brooklyn Nets117–86 REG
at Brooklyn Nets117–86 REGLvs Boston Celtics99–114 REG
vs Boston Celtics99–114 REGLvs Philadelphia 76ers114–118 REG
vs Philadelphia 76ers114–118 REGWvs New York Knicks114–103 REG
vs New York Knicks114–103 REGWvs Sacramento Kings134–90 REG
vs Sacramento Kings134–90 REGWvs Memphis Grizzlies124–101 REG
vs Memphis Grizzlies124–101 REGWvs Orlando Magic130–111 REG
vs Orlando Magic130–111 REGWvs Miami Heat136–106 REG
vs Miami Heat136–106 REGL
at San Antonio Spurs102–115 REG
at San Antonio Spurs102–115 REGWat Sacramento Kings117–109 REG
at Sacramento Kings117–109 REGWat Portland Trail Blazers103–101 REG
at Portland Trail Blazers103–101 REGLat New York Knicks108–113 PRE
at New York Knicks108–113 PREStat Battle
Last 15 games · all competitions
Brooklyn Nets
24 games
Stats
0–5
Charlotte Hornets
23 games
Charlotte Hornets leads in 5 of 5 performance stats.
Shooting· 0–3
2-point %+1.4pp
52.4%
+1.4pp53.8%
3-point %+1.8pp
35.3%
+1.8pp37.1%
Free-throw %+3.0pp
78.0%
+3.0pp81.0%
Scoring mix· style, not ranked
Points from 3s9.2pp apart
36.3%
9.2pp apart45.5%
Free throws per shot6.6pp apart
29.1%
6.6pp apart22.5%
Possession· 0–2
Rebounds per game+8.2
36.8
+8.245.0
Turnovers per game0.2 fewer
16.2
0.2 fewer16.0
Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.
Some historical or current information is incomplete. Review the evidence and uncertainty shown with each forecast; team selections and playing time can change.