NBAFinished
Predictions graded| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans Pelicans | 23 | 33 | 25 | 26 |
| Washington Wizards | 17 | 34 | 19 | 36 |
Pre-match view
New Orleans hold a narrow edge over Washington in this preseason meeting on steadier home scoring, but extended Wizards starter minutes could swing it.
No player forecasts are supported, so both rotations remain genuinely uncertain.
Both teams are treating this as a final preseason tune-up: New Orleans are cycling combinations with Dejounte Murray reportedly sidelined by a toe issue, while Washington weigh extended starter minutes and how much to use Alex Sarr and Khris Middleton, leaving the competitive shape of the game unsettled.
NBA rules: full-game winner, handicap and totals include overtime. The 48-minute result, halves and quarters exclude it.
Experimental forecasts: accuracy has not yet been validated against historical results.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
New Orleans PelicansMarket 46.7% · BetBugs 52%
New Orleans has posted slightly higher recent preseason scoring outputs at Smoothie King Center, while Washington’s improved defensive numbers keep the margin narrow.
New Orleans Pelicans +2.5Market 52.4% · BetBugs 60%
New Orleans’ recent scoring output at home suggests it can keep the game within one possession even if it does not win outright.
Other edges · 1
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 51% · Market 51.3%
The historical preseason totals cluster around 230, and the lower line makes over slightly more likely.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
Selected line
230.5
Bookmakers' main total
BetBugs · Over
51%
Chance of 231+ points
Near break-even
Over 1.95 needs 51% to break even. BetBugs sees 51%.
Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.
New Orleans Pelicansv
Washington WizardsStandings for 2026–27 are unavailable from the provider.
at Miami Heat118–128 PRE
at Oklahoma City Thunder116–110 PRE
at Minnesota Timberwolves126–132 REG
at Boston Celtics118–144 REG
vs Utah Jazz156–137 REG
vs Orlando Magic108–112 REG
at Sacramento Kings113–117 REG
at Portland Trail Blazers106–118 REG
vs Houston Rockets102–134 REG
at Toronto Raptors106–119 REG
at Detroit Pistons108–129 REG
at New York Knicks116–121 REG
vs Cleveland Cavaliers106–111 REG.svg)
vs LA Clippers105–99 REGvs LA Clippers124–109 REG
vs Dallas Mavericks129–111 REGat Houston Rockets105–107 REGvs Toronto Raptors122–111 REGvs Washington Wizards138–118 REG
at Phoenix Suns116–118 REGat Sacramento Kings133–123 REG
at Los Angeles Lakers101–110 REGat Orlando Magic125–132 PREvs Houston Rockets128–130 PREvs Detroit Pistons114–108 OTPREat New York Knicks111–109 PREat Cleveland Cavaliers117–130 REGvs Miami Heat117–140 REG
vs Chicago Bulls108–119 REGvs Chicago Bulls98–129 REG
at Brooklyn Nets115–121 REGat Miami Heat136–152 REG
vs Philadelphia 76ers131–153 REGat Los Angeles Lakers101–120 REGat Portland Trail Blazers88–123 REG
at Golden State Warriors126–131 REGat Utah Jazz133–110 REGat New York Knicks113–145 REGvs Oklahoma City Thunder111–132 REGvs Detroit Pistons95–117 REGvs Detroit Pistons117–130 REGvs Golden State Warriors117–125 REGat Boston Celtics100–111 REGat Orlando Magic131–136 OTREGat Miami Heat129–150 REGat New Orleans Pelicans118–138 REGat Detroit Pistons98–119 PREat New York Knicks120–103 PREvs Toronto Raptors112–113 PRELast 15 games · all competitions
New Orleans Pelicans
24 games
Stats
3–2
Washington Wizards
25 games
New Orleans Pelicans leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.
Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.
Some historical or current information is incomplete. Review the evidence and uncertainty shown with each forecast; team selections and playing time can change.
