NBAFinished
Predictions graded| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Grizzlies | 23 | 27 | 30 | 37 |
| Charlotte Hornets | 20 | 18 | 24 | 36 |
Pre-match view
Memphis has the better evidence for this preseason meeting at home, though Charlotte's recent head-to-head success is a real counterweight.
Player markets are absent because no current roles could be confirmed, leaving both rotations genuinely unsettled.
Memphis looks set to lean more on Zach Edey inside while Charlotte reshapes its backcourt after LaMelo Ball's departure and waits on Kon Knueppel, leaving both preseason lineups unsettled enough to matter for minutes and scoring distribution.
NBA rules: full-game winner, handicap and totals include overtime. The 48-minute result, halves and quarters exclude it.
Experimental forecasts: accuracy has not yet been validated against historical results.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Memphis GrizzliesMarket 54.9% · BetBugs 60%
Memphis has produced stronger recent preseason scoring outputs at FedExForum, giving it the edge in a full-game result that includes overtime.
Memphis Grizzlies -1.5Market 53.5% · BetBugs 55%
Memphis covering -1.5 requires a win by two or more, supported by its stronger preseason scoring totals at home.
Other edges · 1
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 51% · Market 52.4%
Memphis's high preseason scoring outputs make a combined total over 230.5 plausible.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
Selected line
230.5
Bookmakers' main total
BetBugs · Over
51%
Chance of 231+ points
1 pp below break-even
Over 1.91 needs 52% to break even. BetBugs sees 51%.
Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.
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Charlotte HornetsvMemphis GrizzliesCharlotte HornetsvMemphis GrizzliesStandings for 2026–27 are unavailable from the provider.
at Chicago Bulls104–100 PRE
vs Orlando Magic118–122 PRE
at Atlanta Hawks132–123 PRE
at Houston Rockets101–132 REG
at Utah Jazz101–147 REG
at Denver Nuggets119–136 REG
vs Cleveland Cavaliers126–142 REG
at Milwaukee Bucks115–131 REG
vs Toronto Raptors96–128 REG
vs New York Knicks119–130 REG
vs Phoenix Suns105–131 REGvs Chicago Bulls125–124 REGvs Houston Rockets109–119 REG
vs San Antonio Spurs98–123 REGat Atlanta Hawks107–146 REGat Charlotte Hornets101–124 REG
vs Boston Celtics112–117 REGvs Denver Nuggets125–118 REGat Chicago Bulls107–132 REG
at Detroit Pistons110–126 REG
vs Dallas Mavericks112–120 REG
at Philadelphia 76ers129–139 REG
at Brooklyn Nets115–126 REG
at Miami Heat141–125 PREat Charlotte Hornets116–145 PREvs Brooklyn Nets90–124 PREat Orlando Magic90–121 REGvs Miami Heat127–126 OTREGat New York Knicks110–96 REGvs Detroit Pistons100–118 REGat Boston Celtics102–113 REG
at Minnesota Timberwolves122–108 REG
vs Indiana Pacers129–108 REGvs Phoenix Suns127–107 REGat Brooklyn Nets117–86 REGvs Boston Celtics99–114 REGvs Philadelphia 76ers114–118 REGvs New York Knicks114–103 REG
vs Sacramento Kings134–90 REGvs Memphis Grizzlies124–101 REGvs Orlando Magic130–111 REGvs Miami Heat136–106 REGat San Antonio Spurs102–115 REGat Sacramento Kings117–109 REG
at Portland Trail Blazers103–101 REGat Phoenix Suns99–111 REGat New York Knicks108–113 PREvs Memphis Grizzlies145–116 PRELast 15 games · all competitions
Memphis Grizzlies
25 games
Stats
1–4
Charlotte Hornets
23 games
Charlotte Hornets leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.
Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.
Some historical or current information is incomplete. Review the evidence and uncertainty shown with each forecast; team selections and playing time can change.
