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UU-Korihait UusikaupunkiKarhu Basket

Wed 4 Nov 2026, 16:304 Nov, 16:30

10Probabilities1Priced1Edges70.8%Strongest

Strong leanLean

Quick Take

Read first

UU-Korihait's home scoring against Karhu's high-scoring road games makes a home win the likely result.

Over 172.5 combined points at 1.84 is the only worthwhile price. Karhu's two overtime road games and an unconfirmed return for Marco Anthony are the main risks to the total.

Context

Marco Anthony's reported return could change Karhu's rotation if he plays, but his involvement is unconfirmed; otherwise the build-up rests on recent form and rest.

The 28 October report links Marco Anthony with a return to Korisliiga at Karhu Basket. It may give Karhu another player to consider against UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki, but his involvement in this fixture has not been confirmed.
- Marco Anthony was reported as returning to Korisliiga with Karhu Basket on 28 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Total PointsUncertainty band: Lean

Over 172.5

1.84fair 1.65

Market 54.3% · BetBugs 60.6%

+6.3ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 90.3, Karhu Basket 85.9. The game has more than 172.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this. UU's home scoring is steady near 90 and Karhu has allowed high totals on the road, while Karhu's shooting is less efficient. Karhu's rebounding and lower turnover rate should keep it in the mid-80s, so the home side gets a modest edge.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result4 outcomes · top 65.7%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 90.3, Karhu Basket 85.9. UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki cover +1.5 (overtime included) in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- In four Korisliiga home games this season (Oct 6–24), UU-Korihait averaged 89.0 points and allowed 85.0.
- Karhu Basket's four Korisliiga away games this season (Sep 30–Oct 31) averaged 88.5 points and 95.3 allowed, but two were overtime.
- Across 15 box-scored games in Korisliiga and the Suomen Cup, UU shoots 58.5% on twos and 35.0% on threes; Karhu shoots 51.2% and 32.3%.
- Karhu averages 35.4 rebounds and 13.7 turnovers in those 15 games; UU averages 31.6 rebounds and 14.5 turnovers.
- The current Korisliiga table (Nov 3) has Karhu 9th at 3-5 with 668 scored and 682 allowed, and UU 12th at 2-6 with 702 scored and 749 allowed.
- At UU's home court, the last five head-to-head meetings (2024–2026) saw UU average 91.8 points to Karhu's 87.6, though UU went 2-3 in those games.
BetBugs · HandicapUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki +1.5Estimated chance65.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 90.3, Karhu Basket 85.9. UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki cover +1.5 in the 1st quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- In four Korisliiga home games this season (Oct 6–24), UU-Korihait averaged 89.0 points and allowed 85.0.
- Karhu Basket's four Korisliiga away games this season (Sep 30–Oct 31) averaged 88.5 points and 95.3 allowed, but two were overtime.
- Across 15 box-scored games in Korisliiga and the Suomen Cup, UU shoots 58.5% on twos and 35.0% on threes; Karhu shoots 51.2% and 32.3%.
- Karhu averages 35.4 rebounds and 13.7 turnovers in those 15 games; UU averages 31.6 rebounds and 14.5 turnovers.
- The current Korisliiga table (Nov 3) has Karhu 9th at 3-5 with 668 scored and 682 allowed, and UU 12th at 2-6 with 702 scored and 749 allowed.
- At UU's home court, the last five head-to-head meetings (2024–2026) saw UU average 91.8 points to Karhu's 87.6, though UU went 2-3 in those games.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki +1.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 90.3, Karhu Basket 85.9. UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki win in about 64 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- In four Korisliiga home games this season (Oct 6–24), UU-Korihait averaged 89.0 points and allowed 85.0.
- Karhu Basket's four Korisliiga away games this season (Sep 30–Oct 31) averaged 88.5 points and 95.3 allowed, but two were overtime.
- Across 15 box-scored games in Korisliiga and the Suomen Cup, UU shoots 58.5% on twos and 35.0% on threes; Karhu shoots 51.2% and 32.3%.
- Karhu averages 35.4 rebounds and 13.7 turnovers in those 15 games; UU averages 31.6 rebounds and 14.5 turnovers.
- The current Korisliiga table (Nov 3) has Karhu 9th at 3-5 with 668 scored and 682 allowed, and UU 12th at 2-6 with 702 scored and 749 allowed.
- At UU's home court, the last five head-to-head meetings (2024–2026) saw UU average 91.8 points to Karhu's 87.6, though UU went 2-3 in those games.
BetBugs · Match WinnerUU-Korihait UusikaupunkiEstimated chance63.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 90.3, Karhu Basket 85.9. UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki cover +0.5 in the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- In four Korisliiga home games this season (Oct 6–24), UU-Korihait averaged 89.0 points and allowed 85.0.
- Karhu Basket's four Korisliiga away games this season (Sep 30–Oct 31) averaged 88.5 points and 95.3 allowed, but two were overtime.
- Across 15 box-scored games in Korisliiga and the Suomen Cup, UU shoots 58.5% on twos and 35.0% on threes; Karhu shoots 51.2% and 32.3%.
- Karhu averages 35.4 rebounds and 13.7 turnovers in those 15 games; UU averages 31.6 rebounds and 14.5 turnovers.
- The current Korisliiga table (Nov 3) has Karhu 9th at 3-5 with 668 scored and 682 allowed, and UU 12th at 2-6 with 702 scored and 749 allowed.
- At UU's home court, the last five head-to-head meetings (2024–2026) saw UU average 91.8 points to Karhu's 87.6, though UU went 2-3 in those games.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki +0.5Estimated chance62%

Points6 outcomes · top 70.8%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 90.3, Karhu Basket 85.9. Karhu Basket score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki and 15 for Karhu Basket, across seasons and competitions.
- In four Korisliiga home games this season (Oct 6–24), UU-Korihait averaged 89.0 points and allowed 85.0.
- Karhu Basket's four Korisliiga away games this season (Sep 30–Oct 31) averaged 88.5 points and 95.3 allowed, but two were overtime.
- Across 15 box-scored games in Korisliiga and the Suomen Cup, UU shoots 58.5% on twos and 35.0% on threes; Karhu shoots 51.2% and 32.3%.
- Karhu averages 35.4 rebounds and 13.7 turnovers in those 15 games; UU averages 31.6 rebounds and 14.5 turnovers.
- The current Korisliiga table (Nov 3) has Karhu 9th at 3-5 with 668 scored and 682 allowed, and UU 12th at 2-6 with 702 scored and 749 allowed.
- At UU's home court, the last five head-to-head meetings (2024–2026) saw UU average 91.8 points to Karhu's 87.6, though UU went 2-3 in those games.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsKarhu Basket over 18.5Estimated chance70.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 90.3, Karhu Basket 85.9. UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki and 15 for Karhu Basket, across seasons and competitions.
- In four Korisliiga home games this season (Oct 6–24), UU-Korihait averaged 89.0 points and allowed 85.0.
- Karhu Basket's four Korisliiga away games this season (Sep 30–Oct 31) averaged 88.5 points and 95.3 allowed, but two were overtime.
- Across 15 box-scored games in Korisliiga and the Suomen Cup, UU shoots 58.5% on twos and 35.0% on threes; Karhu shoots 51.2% and 32.3%.
- Karhu averages 35.4 rebounds and 13.7 turnovers in those 15 games; UU averages 31.6 rebounds and 14.5 turnovers.
- The current Korisliiga table (Nov 3) has Karhu 9th at 3-5 with 668 scored and 682 allowed, and UU 12th at 2-6 with 702 scored and 749 allowed.
- At UU's home court, the last five head-to-head meetings (2024–2026) saw UU average 91.8 points to Karhu's 87.6, though UU went 2-3 in those games.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki over 19.5Estimated chance70.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 90.3, Karhu Basket 85.9. UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki score more than 85.5 points (overtime included) in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- In four Korisliiga home games this season (Oct 6–24), UU-Korihait averaged 89.0 points and allowed 85.0.
- Karhu Basket's four Korisliiga away games this season (Sep 30–Oct 31) averaged 88.5 points and 95.3 allowed, but two were overtime.
- Across 15 box-scored games in Korisliiga and the Suomen Cup, UU shoots 58.5% on twos and 35.0% on threes; Karhu shoots 51.2% and 32.3%.
- Karhu averages 35.4 rebounds and 13.7 turnovers in those 15 games; UU averages 31.6 rebounds and 14.5 turnovers.
- The current Korisliiga table (Nov 3) has Karhu 9th at 3-5 with 668 scored and 682 allowed, and UU 12th at 2-6 with 702 scored and 749 allowed.
- At UU's home court, the last five head-to-head meetings (2024–2026) saw UU average 91.8 points to Karhu's 87.6, though UU went 2-3 in those games.
BetBugs · Team PointsUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki over 85.5Estimated chance69.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 90.3, Karhu Basket 85.9. UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki score more than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- In four Korisliiga home games this season (Oct 6–24), UU-Korihait averaged 89.0 points and allowed 85.0.
- Karhu Basket's four Korisliiga away games this season (Sep 30–Oct 31) averaged 88.5 points and 95.3 allowed, but two were overtime.
- Across 15 box-scored games in Korisliiga and the Suomen Cup, UU shoots 58.5% on twos and 35.0% on threes; Karhu shoots 51.2% and 32.3%.
- Karhu averages 35.4 rebounds and 13.7 turnovers in those 15 games; UU averages 31.6 rebounds and 14.5 turnovers.
- The current Korisliiga table (Nov 3) has Karhu 9th at 3-5 with 668 scored and 682 allowed, and UU 12th at 2-6 with 702 scored and 749 allowed.
- At UU's home court, the last five head-to-head meetings (2024–2026) saw UU average 91.8 points to Karhu's 87.6, though UU went 2-3 in those games.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointsUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki over 42.5Estimated chance65.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 90.3, Karhu Basket 85.9. The 3rd quarter has more than 41.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki and 15 for Karhu Basket, across seasons and competitions.
- In four Korisliiga home games this season (Oct 6–24), UU-Korihait averaged 89.0 points and allowed 85.0.
- Karhu Basket's four Korisliiga away games this season (Sep 30–Oct 31) averaged 88.5 points and 95.3 allowed, but two were overtime.
- Across 15 box-scored games in Korisliiga and the Suomen Cup, UU shoots 58.5% on twos and 35.0% on threes; Karhu shoots 51.2% and 32.3%.
- Karhu averages 35.4 rebounds and 13.7 turnovers in those 15 games; UU averages 31.6 rebounds and 14.5 turnovers.
- The current Korisliiga table (Nov 3) has Karhu 9th at 3-5 with 668 scored and 682 allowed, and UU 12th at 2-6 with 702 scored and 749 allowed.
- At UU's home court, the last five head-to-head meetings (2024–2026) saw UU average 91.8 points to Karhu's 87.6, though UU went 2-3 in those games.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointsOver 41.5Estimated chance61.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.84
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 90.3, Karhu Basket 85.9. The game has more than 172.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- In four Korisliiga home games this season (Oct 6–24), UU-Korihait averaged 89.0 points and allowed 85.0.
- Karhu Basket's four Korisliiga away games this season (Sep 30–Oct 31) averaged 88.5 points and 95.3 allowed, but two were overtime.
- Across 15 box-scored games in Korisliiga and the Suomen Cup, UU shoots 58.5% on twos and 35.0% on threes; Karhu shoots 51.2% and 32.3%.
- Karhu averages 35.4 rebounds and 13.7 turnovers in those 15 games; UU averages 31.6 rebounds and 14.5 turnovers.
- The current Korisliiga table (Nov 3) has Karhu 9th at 3-5 with 668 scored and 682 allowed, and UU 12th at 2-6 with 702 scored and 749 allowed.
- At UU's home court, the last five head-to-head meetings (2024–2026) saw UU average 91.8 points to Karhu's 87.6, though UU went 2-3 in those games.
BetBugs · Total PointsOver 172.5Market price1.84Estimated chance60.6%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotNov 3, 01:26

Selected line

172.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

61%

Chance of 173+ points

+6 pp above break-even

Over 1.84 needs 54% to break even. BetBugs sees 61%.

Move the line main 172.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 61%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 39%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W79–89

Karhu Basketv

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

Mar 10, 2026·KOR

W105–91

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunkiv

Karhu Basket

Feb 7, 2026·KOR

L97–90

Karhu Basketv

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

Jan 14, 2026·KOROT

L77–84

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunkiv

Karhu Basket

Nov 8, 2025·KOR

L95–72

Karhu Basketv

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

Mar 1, 2025·KOR

L99–100

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunkiv

Karhu Basket

Jan 25, 2025·KOROT

L72–60

Karhu Basketv

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

Jan 15, 2025·KOR

L89–91

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunkiv

Karhu Basket

Nov 16, 2024·KOR

W89–72

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunkiv

Karhu Basket

Mar 30, 2024·KOR

L77–63

Karhu Basketv

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

Mar 6, 2024·KOR

169.1Avg total points

10.7Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Korisliiga · Korisliiga - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

2–625%

Karhu Basket

3–538%

Recent Form

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

6W 9L · last 15

at Kouvot Kouvola100–105 Oct 30KOR

vs Bisons Loimaa90–78 Oct 24KOR

at Bisons Loimaa88–100 Oct 21KOR

vs KTP Kotka Basket89–100 Oct 17KOR

at Salon Vilpas73–95 Oct 10KOR

vs Helsinki Seagulls88–67 Oct 6KOR

at Kipina85–109 Oct 3KOR

vs Pyrinto Tampere89–95 Sep 30KOR

at Kouvot Kouvola73–85 Sep 22SUO

vs Honka93–70 Sep 12SUO

vs Helsinki Seagulls97–77 May 1KOR

at Salon Vilpas77–84 Apr 28KOR

vs Salon Vilpas90–77 Apr 26KOR

at Salon Vilpas71–78 Apr 24KOR

vs Salon Vilpas88–81 Apr 21KOR

Karhu Basket

5W 10L · last 15

at Kataja80–101 Oct 31KOR

vs Lahti Basketball73–68 Oct 23KOR

at Lahti Basketball102–108 OTOct 21KOR

vs Helsinki Seagulls91–76 Oct 17KOR

at Kipina95–98 OTOct 10KOR

vs Bisons Loimaa72–73 Oct 6KOR

vs KTP Kotka Basket78–84 Oct 3KOR

at Kouvot Kouvola77–74 Sep 30KOR

at Kipina92–84 Sep 23SUO

vs KTP Kotka Basket88–95 Sep 9SUO

at Kataja71–92 Apr 2KOR

vs Kataja78–94 Mar 30KOR

at Kataja60–85 Mar 27KOR

vs Kataja68–98 Mar 24KOR

vs Honka92–80 Mar 18KOR

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki

Stats

3–2

Karhu Basket

UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+7.3pp

58.5%

+7.3pp

51.2%

3-point %+2.7pp

35.0%

+2.7pp

32.3%

Free-throw %+5.7pp

77.0%

+5.7pp

71.3%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s4.7pp apart

31.9%

4.7pp apart

36.6%

Free throws per shot5.1pp apart

24.9%

5.1pp apart

30.0%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+3.8

31.6

+3.8

35.4

Turnovers per game0.8 fewer

14.5

0.8 fewer

13.7

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.