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BrnoOlomoucko

Wed 4 Nov 2026, 17:004 Nov, 17:00

10Probabilities1Priced1Edges92%Strongest

Strong leanLeanSlight lean

Quick Take

Read first

Two losing NBL records meet in Brno, where the hosts average 89.7 points in three home games and Olomoucko average 62.5 points on the road.

Brno should win, and by a clear margin. The one price that holds up is Brno over 86.5 team points at 1.82; Olomoucko with a 16.5-point start at 1.77 and under 158.5 combined points at 1.77 do not.

Context

Brno average 89.7 points in three NBL home games and Olomoucko average 62.5 points on the road, with four away defeats by 24 points or more.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result6 outcomes · top 92%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Brno 88.5, Olomoucko 70.7. Brno win in about 92 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Brno is 3-6 in the NBL, averaging 80.9 points for and 84.8 against through nine games (table observed 3 Nov 2026).
- Brno's three NBL home games this season were 82-95 vs Srsni Pisek (28 Oct), 91-80 vs USK Prague (18 Oct) and 96-108 vs Slavia Prague (26 Sep), averaging 89.7 points per home game.
- Olomoucko is 1-8 in the NBL, averaging 65.0 points for and 87.7 against through nine games; its four away games averaged 62.5 points and included losses by 24, 27, 36 and 26 points.
- Olomoucko shoots 53.2% inside the arc, 28.7% from three and 66.2% from the line over 15 box scores; Brno shoots 48.8% inside, 29.1% from three and 67.4% from the line over 14.
- Brno averages 39.3 rebounds and 17.1 turnovers; Olomoucko averages 30.5 rebounds and 17.5 turnovers over their box-score samples, giving Brno a clear rebounding advantage.
- The latest Brno home NBL meeting with Olomoucko was 101-75 on 8 Nov 2025, while Olomoucko won 72-50 at home on 10 Jan 2026; the head-to-head is dated and split.
BetBugs · Match WinnerBrnoEstimated chance92%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Brno 88.5, Olomoucko 70.7. Brno are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 83 of 100 games like this.
- Brno is 3-6 in the NBL, averaging 80.9 points for and 84.8 against through nine games (table observed 3 Nov 2026).
- Brno's three NBL home games this season were 82-95 vs Srsni Pisek (28 Oct), 91-80 vs USK Prague (18 Oct) and 96-108 vs Slavia Prague (26 Sep), averaging 89.7 points per home game.
- Olomoucko is 1-8 in the NBL, averaging 65.0 points for and 87.7 against through nine games; its four away games averaged 62.5 points and included losses by 24, 27, 36 and 26 points.
- Olomoucko shoots 53.2% inside the arc, 28.7% from three and 66.2% from the line over 15 box scores; Brno shoots 48.8% inside, 29.1% from three and 67.4% from the line over 14.
- Brno averages 39.3 rebounds and 17.1 turnovers; Olomoucko averages 30.5 rebounds and 17.5 turnovers over their box-score samples, giving Brno a clear rebounding advantage.
- The latest Brno home NBL meeting with Olomoucko was 101-75 on 8 Nov 2025, while Olomoucko won 72-50 at home on 10 Jan 2026; the head-to-head is dated and split.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultBrnoEstimated chance83.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Brno 88.5, Olomoucko 70.7. Brno are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 76 of 100 games like this.
- Brno is 3-6 in the NBL, averaging 80.9 points for and 84.8 against through nine games (table observed 3 Nov 2026).
- Brno's three NBL home games this season were 82-95 vs Srsni Pisek (28 Oct), 91-80 vs USK Prague (18 Oct) and 96-108 vs Slavia Prague (26 Sep), averaging 89.7 points per home game.
- Olomoucko is 1-8 in the NBL, averaging 65.0 points for and 87.7 against through nine games; its four away games averaged 62.5 points and included losses by 24, 27, 36 and 26 points.
- Olomoucko shoots 53.2% inside the arc, 28.7% from three and 66.2% from the line over 15 box scores; Brno shoots 48.8% inside, 29.1% from three and 67.4% from the line over 14.
- Brno averages 39.3 rebounds and 17.1 turnovers; Olomoucko averages 30.5 rebounds and 17.5 turnovers over their box-score samples, giving Brno a clear rebounding advantage.
- The latest Brno home NBL meeting with Olomoucko was 101-75 on 8 Nov 2025, while Olomoucko won 72-50 at home on 10 Jan 2026; the head-to-head is dated and split.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultBrnoEstimated chance75.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Brno 88.5, Olomoucko 70.7. Brno are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- Brno is 3-6 in the NBL, averaging 80.9 points for and 84.8 against through nine games (table observed 3 Nov 2026).
- Brno's three NBL home games this season were 82-95 vs Srsni Pisek (28 Oct), 91-80 vs USK Prague (18 Oct) and 96-108 vs Slavia Prague (26 Sep), averaging 89.7 points per home game.
- Olomoucko is 1-8 in the NBL, averaging 65.0 points for and 87.7 against through nine games; its four away games averaged 62.5 points and included losses by 24, 27, 36 and 26 points.
- Olomoucko shoots 53.2% inside the arc, 28.7% from three and 66.2% from the line over 15 box scores; Brno shoots 48.8% inside, 29.1% from three and 67.4% from the line over 14.
- Brno averages 39.3 rebounds and 17.1 turnovers; Olomoucko averages 30.5 rebounds and 17.5 turnovers over their box-score samples, giving Brno a clear rebounding advantage.
- The latest Brno home NBL meeting with Olomoucko was 101-75 on 8 Nov 2025, while Olomoucko won 72-50 at home on 10 Jan 2026; the head-to-head is dated and split.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultBrnoEstimated chance70.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Brno 88.5, Olomoucko 70.7. Brno are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Brno is 3-6 in the NBL, averaging 80.9 points for and 84.8 against through nine games (table observed 3 Nov 2026).
- Brno's three NBL home games this season were 82-95 vs Srsni Pisek (28 Oct), 91-80 vs USK Prague (18 Oct) and 96-108 vs Slavia Prague (26 Sep), averaging 89.7 points per home game.
- Olomoucko is 1-8 in the NBL, averaging 65.0 points for and 87.7 against through nine games; its four away games averaged 62.5 points and included losses by 24, 27, 36 and 26 points.
- Olomoucko shoots 53.2% inside the arc, 28.7% from three and 66.2% from the line over 15 box scores; Brno shoots 48.8% inside, 29.1% from three and 67.4% from the line over 14.
- Brno averages 39.3 rebounds and 17.1 turnovers; Olomoucko averages 30.5 rebounds and 17.5 turnovers over their box-score samples, giving Brno a clear rebounding advantage.
- The latest Brno home NBL meeting with Olomoucko was 101-75 on 8 Nov 2025, while Olomoucko won 72-50 at home on 10 Jan 2026; the head-to-head is dated and split.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultBrnoEstimated chance67.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Brno 88.5, Olomoucko 70.7. Brno cover -2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Brno and 15 for Olomoucko, across seasons and competitions.
- Brno is 3-6 in the NBL, averaging 80.9 points for and 84.8 against through nine games (table observed 3 Nov 2026).
- Brno's three NBL home games this season were 82-95 vs Srsni Pisek (28 Oct), 91-80 vs USK Prague (18 Oct) and 96-108 vs Slavia Prague (26 Sep), averaging 89.7 points per home game.
- Olomoucko is 1-8 in the NBL, averaging 65.0 points for and 87.7 against through nine games; its four away games averaged 62.5 points and included losses by 24, 27, 36 and 26 points.
- Olomoucko shoots 53.2% inside the arc, 28.7% from three and 66.2% from the line over 15 box scores; Brno shoots 48.8% inside, 29.1% from three and 67.4% from the line over 14.
- Brno averages 39.3 rebounds and 17.1 turnovers; Olomoucko averages 30.5 rebounds and 17.5 turnovers over their box-score samples, giving Brno a clear rebounding advantage.
- The latest Brno home NBL meeting with Olomoucko was 101-75 on 8 Nov 2025, while Olomoucko won 72-50 at home on 10 Jan 2026; the head-to-head is dated and split.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapBrno -2.5Estimated chance66.5%

Points4 outcomes · top 59.9%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Brno 88.5, Olomoucko 70.7. Brno score more than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Brno is 3-6 in the NBL, averaging 80.9 points for and 84.8 against through nine games (table observed 3 Nov 2026).
- Brno's three NBL home games this season were 82-95 vs Srsni Pisek (28 Oct), 91-80 vs USK Prague (18 Oct) and 96-108 vs Slavia Prague (26 Sep), averaging 89.7 points per home game.
- Olomoucko is 1-8 in the NBL, averaging 65.0 points for and 87.7 against through nine games; its four away games averaged 62.5 points and included losses by 24, 27, 36 and 26 points.
- Olomoucko shoots 53.2% inside the arc, 28.7% from three and 66.2% from the line over 15 box scores; Brno shoots 48.8% inside, 29.1% from three and 67.4% from the line over 14.
- Brno averages 39.3 rebounds and 17.1 turnovers; Olomoucko averages 30.5 rebounds and 17.5 turnovers over their box-score samples, giving Brno a clear rebounding advantage.
- The latest Brno home NBL meeting with Olomoucko was 101-75 on 8 Nov 2025, while Olomoucko won 72-50 at home on 10 Jan 2026; the head-to-head is dated and split.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointsBrno over 21.5Estimated chance59.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.82
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Brno 88.5, Olomoucko 70.7. Brno score more than 86.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Brno is 3-6 in the NBL, averaging 80.9 points for and 84.8 against through nine games (table observed 3 Nov 2026).
- Brno's three NBL home games this season were 82-95 vs Srsni Pisek (28 Oct), 91-80 vs USK Prague (18 Oct) and 96-108 vs Slavia Prague (26 Sep), averaging 89.7 points per home game.
- Olomoucko is 1-8 in the NBL, averaging 65.0 points for and 87.7 against through nine games; its four away games averaged 62.5 points and included losses by 24, 27, 36 and 26 points.
- Olomoucko shoots 53.2% inside the arc, 28.7% from three and 66.2% from the line over 15 box scores; Brno shoots 48.8% inside, 29.1% from three and 67.4% from the line over 14.
- Brno averages 39.3 rebounds and 17.1 turnovers; Olomoucko averages 30.5 rebounds and 17.5 turnovers over their box-score samples, giving Brno a clear rebounding advantage.
- The latest Brno home NBL meeting with Olomoucko was 101-75 on 8 Nov 2025, while Olomoucko won 72-50 at home on 10 Jan 2026; the head-to-head is dated and split.
BetBugs · Team PointsBrno over 86.5Market price1.82Estimated chance58.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Brno 88.5, Olomoucko 70.7. Olomoucko score fewer than 72.5 points (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Brno is 3-6 in the NBL, averaging 80.9 points for and 84.8 against through nine games (table observed 3 Nov 2026).
- Brno's three NBL home games this season were 82-95 vs Srsni Pisek (28 Oct), 91-80 vs USK Prague (18 Oct) and 96-108 vs Slavia Prague (26 Sep), averaging 89.7 points per home game.
- Olomoucko is 1-8 in the NBL, averaging 65.0 points for and 87.7 against through nine games; its four away games averaged 62.5 points and included losses by 24, 27, 36 and 26 points.
- Olomoucko shoots 53.2% inside the arc, 28.7% from three and 66.2% from the line over 15 box scores; Brno shoots 48.8% inside, 29.1% from three and 67.4% from the line over 14.
- Brno averages 39.3 rebounds and 17.1 turnovers; Olomoucko averages 30.5 rebounds and 17.5 turnovers over their box-score samples, giving Brno a clear rebounding advantage.
- The latest Brno home NBL meeting with Olomoucko was 101-75 on 8 Nov 2025, while Olomoucko won 72-50 at home on 10 Jan 2026; the head-to-head is dated and split.
BetBugs · Team PointsOlomoucko under 72.5Estimated chance56.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Brno 88.5, Olomoucko 70.7. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 40.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Brno and 15 for Olomoucko, across seasons and competitions.
- Brno is 3-6 in the NBL, averaging 80.9 points for and 84.8 against through nine games (table observed 3 Nov 2026).
- Brno's three NBL home games this season were 82-95 vs Srsni Pisek (28 Oct), 91-80 vs USK Prague (18 Oct) and 96-108 vs Slavia Prague (26 Sep), averaging 89.7 points per home game.
- Olomoucko is 1-8 in the NBL, averaging 65.0 points for and 87.7 against through nine games; its four away games averaged 62.5 points and included losses by 24, 27, 36 and 26 points.
- Olomoucko shoots 53.2% inside the arc, 28.7% from three and 66.2% from the line over 15 box scores; Brno shoots 48.8% inside, 29.1% from three and 67.4% from the line over 14.
- Brno averages 39.3 rebounds and 17.1 turnovers; Olomoucko averages 30.5 rebounds and 17.5 turnovers over their box-score samples, giving Brno a clear rebounding advantage.
- The latest Brno home NBL meeting with Olomoucko was 101-75 on 8 Nov 2025, while Olomoucko won 72-50 at home on 10 Jan 2026; the head-to-head is dated and split.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointsUnder 40.5Estimated chance56%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotNov 3, 04:04

Selected line

158.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

53%

Chance of 159+ points

3 pp below break-even

Over 1.81 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 53%.

Move the line main 158.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 53%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 48%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L72–50

Olomouckov Brno

Brno

Jan 10, 2026·NBL

W101–75

Brnov

Olomoucko

Nov 8, 2025·NBL

W79–61

Brnov

Olomoucko

Mar 22, 2025·NBL

W74–80

Olomouckov Brno

Brno

Feb 8, 2025·NBL

W91–74

Brnov

Olomoucko

Nov 30, 2024·NBL

W67–78

Olomouckov Brno

Brno

Sep 28, 2024·NBL

W71–65

Brnov

Olomoucko

Jan 13, 2024·NBL

L96–82

Olomouckov Brno

Brno

Nov 29, 2023·NBL

W90–73

Brnov

Olomoucko

Jan 7, 2023·NBL

W68–97

Olomouckov Brno

Brno

Oct 22, 2022·NBL

154.4Avg total points

16.6Avg margin

10meetings

League table

NBL · NBL - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Brno

3–633%

Olomoucko

1–811%

Recent Form

Brno

5W 10L · last 15

vs Srsni Pisek82–95 Oct 28NBL

at Opava75–72 Oct 24NBL

vs USK Prague91–80 Oct 18NBL

at Plzen83–69 Oct 11NBL

at Usti n. Labem68–83 Oct 4NBL

at Decin78–86 Sep 30NBL

vs Slavia Prague ERA NBK96–108 Sep 26NBL

at NH Ostrava76–85 Sep 23NBL

at Pardubice79–85 Sep 19NBL

vs Opava101–102 OTJun 6NBL

at Opava65–96 Jun 4NBL

vs Opava99–97 Jun 1NBL

vs Pardubice87–98 May 27NBL

at Pardubice75–90 May 25NBL

vs Karvina110–53 May 241.

Olomoucko

4W 11L · last 15

at USK Prague61–85 Oct 24NBL

vs Plzen72–81 Oct 16NBL

at Pardubice61–88 Oct 14NBL

at Usti n. Labem66–102 Oct 11NBL

vs Decin51–76 Oct 4NBL

at Slavia Prague ERA NBK62–88 Sep 30NBL

vs NH Ostrava77–76 Sep 27NBL

vs Pardubice54–100 Sep 23NBL

vs Hradec Kralove81–93 Sep 20NBL

vs NH Ostrava71–102 Apr 24NBL

at NH Ostrava77–81 Apr 22NBL

at Hradec Kralove84–86 Apr 11NBL

at Slavia Prague88–81 Apr 9NBL

vs USK Prague95–65 Apr 4NBL

vs Hradec Kralove86–77 Mar 25NBL

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Brno

14 games

Stats

4–1

Olomoucko

Brno leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+4.4pp

48.8%

+4.4pp

53.2%

3-point %+0.4pp

29.1%

+0.4pp

28.7%

Free-throw %+1.2pp

67.4%

+1.2pp

66.2%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s1.5pp apart

28.0%

1.5pp apart

26.5%

Free throws per shot12.4pp apart

41.3%

12.4pp apart

28.9%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+8.8

39.3

+8.8

30.5

Turnovers per game0.4 fewer

17.1

0.4 fewer

17.5

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.