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BK LiepajaKeila Coolbet

Wed 4 Nov 2026, 17:004 Nov, 17:00

10Probabilities0Priced1Edges85.9%Strongest

Strong leanLean

Quick Take

Read first

A winless Keila Coolbet side visits a Liepaja team that has won all four recent meetings.

Liepaja are the likely winner, with a 40-minute forecast around 89.8 points to 76.2 points. The over 161.5 combined points at 1.75 is the one quoted price that offers value; Keila's 70.4-point away league average is the main risk.

Context

Liepaja's league form is only 2-5, but Keila are 0-8 and allowing 91.0 points per league game, and Liepaja have won all four recent head-to-head meetings. Both teams last played on 31 October, and no current player availability issue is established.

The result came eight days before Keila Coolbet visit. It shows that Liepāja's late-October programme included ENBL alongside the Latvia-Estonian League, while its specific effect on this fixture remains uncertain.
- Bristol completed a European road victory in Liepāja on 27 October.
- The game was an ENBL Group A fixture.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Total PointsUncertainty band: Lean

Over 161.5

1.75fair 1.62

Market 57.1% · BetBugs 61.8%

+4.7ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: BK Liepaja 89.8, Keila Coolbet 76.2. The game has more than 161.5 points (overtime included) in about 62 of 100 games like this. Liepaja's home scoring and Keila's 0-8 league record with a defense allowing 91 points per game point to a high-80s or low-90s home total; Keila's 71-point league average and weak away scoring keep their total in the mid-70s.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result7 outcomes · top 85.9%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: BK Liepaja 89.8, Keila Coolbet 76.2. BK Liepaja win in about 86 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- BK Liepaja are 2-5 in the Latvia-Estonian League with 561 points for and 550 against, including a 112-54 home win over Viimsi on 31 October.
- Keila Coolbet are 0-8 in the league, scoring 71.0 and allowing 91.0 points per game; their latest game was a 77-101 loss at BK Ogre on 31 October.
- In five current league away games, Keila have averaged 70.4 points scored and 92.8 allowed.
- Across 11 accepted box scores, Liepaja shoot 48.6% on two-pointers, 33.1% on three-pointers and 70.1% from the free-throw line; Keila's 15-game figures are 49.0%, 31.4% and 65.0%.
- Liepaja have won all four latest head-to-head meetings, including 96-89 at home on 28 January 2026 and 91-88 away on 4 October 2025.
BetBugs · Match WinnerBK LiepajaEstimated chance85.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: BK Liepaja 89.8, Keila Coolbet 76.2. BK Liepaja are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 77 of 100 games like this.
- BK Liepaja are 2-5 in the Latvia-Estonian League with 561 points for and 550 against, including a 112-54 home win over Viimsi on 31 October.
- Keila Coolbet are 0-8 in the league, scoring 71.0 and allowing 91.0 points per game; their latest game was a 77-101 loss at BK Ogre on 31 October.
- In five current league away games, Keila have averaged 70.4 points scored and 92.8 allowed.
- Across 11 accepted box scores, Liepaja shoot 48.6% on two-pointers, 33.1% on three-pointers and 70.1% from the free-throw line; Keila's 15-game figures are 49.0%, 31.4% and 65.0%.
- Liepaja have won all four latest head-to-head meetings, including 96-89 at home on 28 January 2026 and 91-88 away on 4 October 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultBK LiepajaEstimated chance76.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: BK Liepaja 89.8, Keila Coolbet 76.2. BK Liepaja cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for BK Liepaja and 15 for Keila Coolbet, across seasons and competitions.
- BK Liepaja are 2-5 in the Latvia-Estonian League with 561 points for and 550 against, including a 112-54 home win over Viimsi on 31 October.
- Keila Coolbet are 0-8 in the league, scoring 71.0 and allowing 91.0 points per game; their latest game was a 77-101 loss at BK Ogre on 31 October.
- In five current league away games, Keila have averaged 70.4 points scored and 92.8 allowed.
- Across 11 accepted box scores, Liepaja shoot 48.6% on two-pointers, 33.1% on three-pointers and 70.1% from the free-throw line; Keila's 15-game figures are 49.0%, 31.4% and 65.0%.
- Liepaja have won all four latest head-to-head meetings, including 96-89 at home on 28 January 2026 and 91-88 away on 4 October 2025.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapBK Liepaja +0.5Estimated chance74.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: BK Liepaja 89.8, Keila Coolbet 76.2. BK Liepaja cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 73 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for BK Liepaja and 15 for Keila Coolbet, across seasons and competitions.
- BK Liepaja are 2-5 in the Latvia-Estonian League with 561 points for and 550 against, including a 112-54 home win over Viimsi on 31 October.
- Keila Coolbet are 0-8 in the league, scoring 71.0 and allowing 91.0 points per game; their latest game was a 77-101 loss at BK Ogre on 31 October.
- In five current league away games, Keila have averaged 70.4 points scored and 92.8 allowed.
- Across 11 accepted box scores, Liepaja shoot 48.6% on two-pointers, 33.1% on three-pointers and 70.1% from the free-throw line; Keila's 15-game figures are 49.0%, 31.4% and 65.0%.
- Liepaja have won all four latest head-to-head meetings, including 96-89 at home on 28 January 2026 and 91-88 away on 4 October 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapBK Liepaja +1.5Estimated chance72.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: BK Liepaja 89.8, Keila Coolbet 76.2. BK Liepaja are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 70 of 100 games like this.
- BK Liepaja are 2-5 in the Latvia-Estonian League with 561 points for and 550 against, including a 112-54 home win over Viimsi on 31 October.
- Keila Coolbet are 0-8 in the league, scoring 71.0 and allowing 91.0 points per game; their latest game was a 77-101 loss at BK Ogre on 31 October.
- In five current league away games, Keila have averaged 70.4 points scored and 92.8 allowed.
- Across 11 accepted box scores, Liepaja shoot 48.6% on two-pointers, 33.1% on three-pointers and 70.1% from the free-throw line; Keila's 15-game figures are 49.0%, 31.4% and 65.0%.
- Liepaja have won all four latest head-to-head meetings, including 96-89 at home on 28 January 2026 and 91-88 away on 4 October 2025.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultBK LiepajaEstimated chance69.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: BK Liepaja 89.8, Keila Coolbet 76.2. BK Liepaja are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- BK Liepaja are 2-5 in the Latvia-Estonian League with 561 points for and 550 against, including a 112-54 home win over Viimsi on 31 October.
- Keila Coolbet are 0-8 in the league, scoring 71.0 and allowing 91.0 points per game; their latest game was a 77-101 loss at BK Ogre on 31 October.
- In five current league away games, Keila have averaged 70.4 points scored and 92.8 allowed.
- Across 11 accepted box scores, Liepaja shoot 48.6% on two-pointers, 33.1% on three-pointers and 70.1% from the free-throw line; Keila's 15-game figures are 49.0%, 31.4% and 65.0%.
- Liepaja have won all four latest head-to-head meetings, including 96-89 at home on 28 January 2026 and 91-88 away on 4 October 2025.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultBK LiepajaEstimated chance65.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: BK Liepaja 89.8, Keila Coolbet 76.2. BK Liepaja are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- BK Liepaja are 2-5 in the Latvia-Estonian League with 561 points for and 550 against, including a 112-54 home win over Viimsi on 31 October.
- Keila Coolbet are 0-8 in the league, scoring 71.0 and allowing 91.0 points per game; their latest game was a 77-101 loss at BK Ogre on 31 October.
- In five current league away games, Keila have averaged 70.4 points scored and 92.8 allowed.
- Across 11 accepted box scores, Liepaja shoot 48.6% on two-pointers, 33.1% on three-pointers and 70.1% from the free-throw line; Keila's 15-game figures are 49.0%, 31.4% and 65.0%.
- Liepaja have won all four latest head-to-head meetings, including 96-89 at home on 28 January 2026 and 91-88 away on 4 October 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultBK LiepajaEstimated chance63%

Points3 outcomes · top 80.8%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: BK Liepaja 89.8, Keila Coolbet 76.2. BK Liepaja score more than 17.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 81 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for BK Liepaja and 15 for Keila Coolbet, across seasons and competitions.
- BK Liepaja are 2-5 in the Latvia-Estonian League with 561 points for and 550 against, including a 112-54 home win over Viimsi on 31 October.
- Keila Coolbet are 0-8 in the league, scoring 71.0 and allowing 91.0 points per game; their latest game was a 77-101 loss at BK Ogre on 31 October.
- In five current league away games, Keila have averaged 70.4 points scored and 92.8 allowed.
- Across 11 accepted box scores, Liepaja shoot 48.6% on two-pointers, 33.1% on three-pointers and 70.1% from the free-throw line; Keila's 15-game figures are 49.0%, 31.4% and 65.0%.
- Liepaja have won all four latest head-to-head meetings, including 96-89 at home on 28 January 2026 and 91-88 away on 4 October 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsBK Liepaja over 17.5Estimated chance80.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: BK Liepaja 89.8, Keila Coolbet 76.2. Keila Coolbet score fewer than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for BK Liepaja and 15 for Keila Coolbet, across seasons and competitions.
- BK Liepaja are 2-5 in the Latvia-Estonian League with 561 points for and 550 against, including a 112-54 home win over Viimsi on 31 October.
- Keila Coolbet are 0-8 in the league, scoring 71.0 and allowing 91.0 points per game; their latest game was a 77-101 loss at BK Ogre on 31 October.
- In five current league away games, Keila have averaged 70.4 points scored and 92.8 allowed.
- Across 11 accepted box scores, Liepaja shoot 48.6% on two-pointers, 33.1% on three-pointers and 70.1% from the free-throw line; Keila's 15-game figures are 49.0%, 31.4% and 65.0%.
- Liepaja have won all four latest head-to-head meetings, including 96-89 at home on 28 January 2026 and 91-88 away on 4 October 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsKeila Coolbet under 21.5Estimated chance68.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: BK Liepaja 89.8, Keila Coolbet 76.2. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for BK Liepaja and 15 for Keila Coolbet, across seasons and competitions.
- BK Liepaja are 2-5 in the Latvia-Estonian League with 561 points for and 550 against, including a 112-54 home win over Viimsi on 31 October.
- Keila Coolbet are 0-8 in the league, scoring 71.0 and allowing 91.0 points per game; their latest game was a 77-101 loss at BK Ogre on 31 October.
- In five current league away games, Keila have averaged 70.4 points scored and 92.8 allowed.
- Across 11 accepted box scores, Liepaja shoot 48.6% on two-pointers, 33.1% on three-pointers and 70.1% from the free-throw line; Keila's 15-game figures are 49.0%, 31.4% and 65.0%.
- Liepaja have won all four latest head-to-head meetings, including 96-89 at home on 28 January 2026 and 91-88 away on 4 October 2025.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointsUnder 43.5Estimated chance63%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotNov 3, 01:26

Selected line

161.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

62%

Chance of 162+ points

+5 pp above break-even

Over 1.75 needs 57% to break even. BetBugs sees 62%.

Move the line main 161.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 62%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 38%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W96–89

BK Liepajav

Keila Coolbet

Jan 28, 2026·LAT

W88–91

Keila Coolbetv

BK Liepaja

Oct 4, 2025·LAT

W77–78

Keila Coolbetv

BK Liepaja

Jan 8, 2025·LAT

W90–75

BK Liepajav

Keila Coolbet

Dec 17, 2024·LAT

171Avg total points

6.5Avg margin

4meetings

League table

Latvia-Estonian League · Latvian-Estonian League - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

BK Liepaja

2–529%

Keila Coolbet

0–80%

Recent Form

BK Liepaja

5W 10L · last 15

vs Viimsi112–54 Oct 31LAT

vs Bristol Flyers72–85 Oct 27ENB

at Kapfenberg Bulls83–108 Oct 21ENB

at Rigas Zelli69–85 Oct 17LAT

vs Tal Tech71–78 Oct 14LAT

vs Rigas Juniori98–88 Oct 11LAT

vs Lausanne Basket81–74 Oct 6ENB

at VEF Riga55–82 Oct 3LAT

vs Tartu Ulikool83–87 Sep 30LAT

at Parnu73–76 Sep 26LAT

vs Tindastoll69–92 Sep 23ENB

vs Moldova U18106–96 Jul 26EUR

vs San Marino U1888–54 Jul 25EUR

at Kosovo U1865–90 Jul 23EUR

vs Andorra U1881–89 Jul 22EUR

Keila Coolbet

1W 14L · last 15

at BK Ogre77–101 Oct 31LAT

at Rigas Juniori82–89 Oct 27LAT

at BC Kalev77–98 Oct 24LAT

at Keila KK60–81 Oct 20LAT

vs Ventspils68–85 Oct 11LAT

vs Latvijas Universitate77–85 Oct 4LAT

at Valmiera Glass Via56–95 Sep 29LAT

vs Rigas Zelli71–94 Sep 25LAT

at BC Kalev/Cramo76–105 Apr 18KOR

vs BC Kalev/Cramo74–101 Apr 15KOR

at BC Kalev/Cramo101–106 Apr 12KOR

vs Rigas Zelli88–102 Mar 13LAT

vs Keila KK93–83 Mar 11LAT

at Ventspils83–95 Mar 6LAT

vs Valmiera Glass Via74–110 Feb 14LAT

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

BK Liepaja

11 games

Stats

3–2

Keila Coolbet

BK Liepaja leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+0.4pp

48.6%

+0.4pp

49.0%

3-point %+1.7pp

33.1%

+1.7pp

31.4%

Free-throw %+5.1pp

70.1%

+5.1pp

65.0%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s1.4pp apart

31.0%

1.4pp apart

29.6%

Free throws per shot13.2pp apart

39.0%

13.2pp apart

25.8%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+1.8

32.0

+1.8

30.2

Turnovers per game1.0 fewer

14.2

1.0 fewer

13.2

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.