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Rilski SportistKolossos Rhodes

Tue 3 Nov 2026, 17:003 Nov, 17:00

10Probabilities0Priced2Edges79.5%Strongest

Strong lean

Quick Take

Read first

Rilski Sportist are 0-3 in Group C and conceding 92.0 points per game; Kolossos Rhodes are 2-2 and giving up 67.3.

The likely result is a Kolossos win in the low 80s to mid 70s, but 1.09 asks for more than that form justifies. The prices that hold are Rilski with an 11.5-point start at 1.88 and Kolossos under 85.5 team points at 1.74.

Context

Group C position and points conceded differ sharply, with Rilski 0-3 and Kolossos 2-2, but both teams had about three days between games and no availability information is established.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

HandicapUncertainty band: Lean

Rilski Sportist +11.5

1.88fair 1.63

Market 53.2% · BetBugs 61.2%

+8.0ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Rilski Sportist 73.7, Kolossos Rhodes 81.5. Rilski Sportist cover +11.5 (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this. Rilski's home scoring in the Bulgarian league is offset by a porous FIBA Europe Cup defense, while Kolossos have been much stingier in the same competition. That points to a mid-70s home score against a low-80s away score.

Team PointsUncertainty band: Lean

Kolossos Rhodes under 85.5

1.74fair 1.59

Market 57.5% · BetBugs 62.8%

+5.3ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Rilski Sportist 73.7, Kolossos Rhodes 81.5. Kolossos Rhodes score fewer than 85.5 points (overtime included) in about 63 of 100 games like this. Rilski's home scoring in the Bulgarian league is offset by a porous FIBA Europe Cup defense, while Kolossos have been much stingier in the same competition. That points to a mid-70s home score against a low-80s away score.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result4 outcomes · top 75.1%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rilski Sportist 73.7, Kolossos Rhodes 81.5. Kolossos Rhodes cover +2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rilski Sportist and 15 for Kolossos Rhodes, across seasons and competitions.
- Rilski are 0-3 in the FIBA Europe Cup and have allowed 92.0 points per game in that competition, including a 62-94 home loss to Esenler Erokspor on 14 Oct 2026.
- Kolossos are 2-2 in the FIBA Europe Cup and have allowed only 67.3 points per game, with recent wins over Gence 80-62 on 13 Oct 2026 and SCM Craiova 77-65 on 7 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 box scores, Rilski shoot 59.3% on two-pointers but 30.5% on threes; Kolossos shoot 49.2% on twos and 34.6% on threes.
- Rilski average 32.0 rebounds and 11.9 turnovers per game over 15 box scores; Kolossos average 28.9 rebounds and 11.5 turnovers.
- Rilski beat Lok. Plovdiv 88-79 at home in the NBL on 31 Oct 2026, while Kolossos lost 65-81 at Karditsas in the Greek league the same day.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapKolossos Rhodes +2.5Estimated chance75.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rilski Sportist 73.7, Kolossos Rhodes 81.5. Rilski Sportist cover +6.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rilski Sportist and 15 for Kolossos Rhodes, across seasons and competitions.
- Rilski are 0-3 in the FIBA Europe Cup and have allowed 92.0 points per game in that competition, including a 62-94 home loss to Esenler Erokspor on 14 Oct 2026.
- Kolossos are 2-2 in the FIBA Europe Cup and have allowed only 67.3 points per game, with recent wins over Gence 80-62 on 13 Oct 2026 and SCM Craiova 77-65 on 7 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 box scores, Rilski shoot 59.3% on two-pointers but 30.5% on threes; Kolossos shoot 49.2% on twos and 34.6% on threes.
- Rilski average 32.0 rebounds and 11.9 turnovers per game over 15 box scores; Kolossos average 28.9 rebounds and 11.5 turnovers.
- Rilski beat Lok. Plovdiv 88-79 at home in the NBL on 31 Oct 2026, while Kolossos lost 65-81 at Karditsas in the Greek league the same day.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapRilski Sportist +6.5Estimated chance74.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rilski Sportist 73.7, Kolossos Rhodes 81.5. Kolossos Rhodes win in about 73 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Rilski are 0-3 in the FIBA Europe Cup and have allowed 92.0 points per game in that competition, including a 62-94 home loss to Esenler Erokspor on 14 Oct 2026.
- Kolossos are 2-2 in the FIBA Europe Cup and have allowed only 67.3 points per game, with recent wins over Gence 80-62 on 13 Oct 2026 and SCM Craiova 77-65 on 7 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 box scores, Rilski shoot 59.3% on two-pointers but 30.5% on threes; Kolossos shoot 49.2% on twos and 34.6% on threes.
- Rilski average 32.0 rebounds and 11.9 turnovers per game over 15 box scores; Kolossos average 28.9 rebounds and 11.5 turnovers.
- Rilski beat Lok. Plovdiv 88-79 at home in the NBL on 31 Oct 2026, while Kolossos lost 65-81 at Karditsas in the Greek league the same day.
BetBugs · Match WinnerKolossos RhodesEstimated chance73.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rilski Sportist 73.7, Kolossos Rhodes 81.5. Kolossos Rhodes are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Rilski are 0-3 in the FIBA Europe Cup and have allowed 92.0 points per game in that competition, including a 62-94 home loss to Esenler Erokspor on 14 Oct 2026.
- Kolossos are 2-2 in the FIBA Europe Cup and have allowed only 67.3 points per game, with recent wins over Gence 80-62 on 13 Oct 2026 and SCM Craiova 77-65 on 7 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 box scores, Rilski shoot 59.3% on two-pointers but 30.5% on threes; Kolossos shoot 49.2% on twos and 34.6% on threes.
- Rilski average 32.0 rebounds and 11.9 turnovers per game over 15 box scores; Kolossos average 28.9 rebounds and 11.5 turnovers.
- Rilski beat Lok. Plovdiv 88-79 at home in the NBL on 31 Oct 2026, while Kolossos lost 65-81 at Karditsas in the Greek league the same day.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultKolossos RhodesEstimated chance65.4%

Points6 outcomes · top 79.5%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rilski Sportist 73.7, Kolossos Rhodes 81.5. Kolossos Rhodes score more than 16.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rilski Sportist and 15 for Kolossos Rhodes, across seasons and competitions.
- Rilski are 0-3 in the FIBA Europe Cup and have allowed 92.0 points per game in that competition, including a 62-94 home loss to Esenler Erokspor on 14 Oct 2026.
- Kolossos are 2-2 in the FIBA Europe Cup and have allowed only 67.3 points per game, with recent wins over Gence 80-62 on 13 Oct 2026 and SCM Craiova 77-65 on 7 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 box scores, Rilski shoot 59.3% on two-pointers but 30.5% on threes; Kolossos shoot 49.2% on twos and 34.6% on threes.
- Rilski average 32.0 rebounds and 11.9 turnovers per game over 15 box scores; Kolossos average 28.9 rebounds and 11.5 turnovers.
- Rilski beat Lok. Plovdiv 88-79 at home in the NBL on 31 Oct 2026, while Kolossos lost 65-81 at Karditsas in the Greek league the same day.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointsKolossos Rhodes over 16.5Estimated chance79.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rilski Sportist 73.7, Kolossos Rhodes 81.5. Rilski Sportist score fewer than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rilski Sportist and 15 for Kolossos Rhodes, across seasons and competitions.
- Rilski are 0-3 in the FIBA Europe Cup and have allowed 92.0 points per game in that competition, including a 62-94 home loss to Esenler Erokspor on 14 Oct 2026.
- Kolossos are 2-2 in the FIBA Europe Cup and have allowed only 67.3 points per game, with recent wins over Gence 80-62 on 13 Oct 2026 and SCM Craiova 77-65 on 7 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 box scores, Rilski shoot 59.3% on two-pointers but 30.5% on threes; Kolossos shoot 49.2% on twos and 34.6% on threes.
- Rilski average 32.0 rebounds and 11.9 turnovers per game over 15 box scores; Kolossos average 28.9 rebounds and 11.5 turnovers.
- Rilski beat Lok. Plovdiv 88-79 at home in the NBL on 31 Oct 2026, while Kolossos lost 65-81 at Karditsas in the Greek league the same day.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointsRilski Sportist under 21.5Estimated chance73.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rilski Sportist 73.7, Kolossos Rhodes 81.5. The 3rd quarter has fewer than 42.5 points in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rilski Sportist and 15 for Kolossos Rhodes, across seasons and competitions.
- Rilski are 0-3 in the FIBA Europe Cup and have allowed 92.0 points per game in that competition, including a 62-94 home loss to Esenler Erokspor on 14 Oct 2026.
- Kolossos are 2-2 in the FIBA Europe Cup and have allowed only 67.3 points per game, with recent wins over Gence 80-62 on 13 Oct 2026 and SCM Craiova 77-65 on 7 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 box scores, Rilski shoot 59.3% on two-pointers but 30.5% on threes; Kolossos shoot 49.2% on twos and 34.6% on threes.
- Rilski average 32.0 rebounds and 11.9 turnovers per game over 15 box scores; Kolossos average 28.9 rebounds and 11.5 turnovers.
- Rilski beat Lok. Plovdiv 88-79 at home in the NBL on 31 Oct 2026, while Kolossos lost 65-81 at Karditsas in the Greek league the same day.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointsUnder 42.5Estimated chance71.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rilski Sportist 73.7, Kolossos Rhodes 81.5. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 42.5 points in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rilski Sportist and 15 for Kolossos Rhodes, across seasons and competitions.
- Rilski are 0-3 in the FIBA Europe Cup and have allowed 92.0 points per game in that competition, including a 62-94 home loss to Esenler Erokspor on 14 Oct 2026.
- Kolossos are 2-2 in the FIBA Europe Cup and have allowed only 67.3 points per game, with recent wins over Gence 80-62 on 13 Oct 2026 and SCM Craiova 77-65 on 7 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 box scores, Rilski shoot 59.3% on two-pointers but 30.5% on threes; Kolossos shoot 49.2% on twos and 34.6% on threes.
- Rilski average 32.0 rebounds and 11.9 turnovers per game over 15 box scores; Kolossos average 28.9 rebounds and 11.5 turnovers.
- Rilski beat Lok. Plovdiv 88-79 at home in the NBL on 31 Oct 2026, while Kolossos lost 65-81 at Karditsas in the Greek league the same day.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointsUnder 42.5Estimated chance69.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rilski Sportist 73.7, Kolossos Rhodes 81.5. Kolossos Rhodes score fewer than 22.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rilski Sportist and 15 for Kolossos Rhodes, across seasons and competitions.
- Rilski are 0-3 in the FIBA Europe Cup and have allowed 92.0 points per game in that competition, including a 62-94 home loss to Esenler Erokspor on 14 Oct 2026.
- Kolossos are 2-2 in the FIBA Europe Cup and have allowed only 67.3 points per game, with recent wins over Gence 80-62 on 13 Oct 2026 and SCM Craiova 77-65 on 7 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 box scores, Rilski shoot 59.3% on two-pointers but 30.5% on threes; Kolossos shoot 49.2% on twos and 34.6% on threes.
- Rilski average 32.0 rebounds and 11.9 turnovers per game over 15 box scores; Kolossos average 28.9 rebounds and 11.5 turnovers.
- Rilski beat Lok. Plovdiv 88-79 at home in the NBL on 31 Oct 2026, while Kolossos lost 65-81 at Karditsas in the Greek league the same day.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsKolossos Rhodes under 22.5Estimated chance68.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rilski Sportist 73.7, Kolossos Rhodes 81.5. Rilski Sportist score fewer than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rilski Sportist and 15 for Kolossos Rhodes, across seasons and competitions.
- Rilski are 0-3 in the FIBA Europe Cup and have allowed 92.0 points per game in that competition, including a 62-94 home loss to Esenler Erokspor on 14 Oct 2026.
- Kolossos are 2-2 in the FIBA Europe Cup and have allowed only 67.3 points per game, with recent wins over Gence 80-62 on 13 Oct 2026 and SCM Craiova 77-65 on 7 Oct 2026.
- Over 15 box scores, Rilski shoot 59.3% on two-pointers but 30.5% on threes; Kolossos shoot 49.2% on twos and 34.6% on threes.
- Rilski average 32.0 rebounds and 11.9 turnovers per game over 15 box scores; Kolossos average 28.9 rebounds and 11.5 turnovers.
- Rilski beat Lok. Plovdiv 88-79 at home in the NBL on 31 Oct 2026, while Kolossos lost 65-81 at Karditsas in the Greek league the same day.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsRilski Sportist under 20.5Estimated chance66.1%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotNov 2, 01:15

Selected line

159.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

42%

Chance of 160+ points

13 pp below break-even

Over 1.83 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 42%.

Move the line main 159.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 42%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 59%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

League table

FIBA Europe Cup · FIBA Europe Cup - Regular Season · Group A

#TeamW–LWin %

Rilski Sportist

0–30%

Kolossos Rhodes

2–250%

Recent Form

Rilski Sportist

7W 8L · last 15

vs Lok. Plovdiv88–79 Oct 31NBL

at SCM Craiova86–103 Oct 28FIB

at Spartak Pleven70–86 Oct 25NBL

vs CSKA Sofia114–76 Oct 17NBL

vs Esenler Erokspor62–94 Oct 14FIB

at Yambol96–64 Oct 11NBL

at Sporting CP75–79 OTOct 7FIB

at Breogan80–126 Sep 14CL

at Cherno More100–94 May 25NBL

vs Cherno More108–99 May 23NBL

vs Lok. Plovdiv87–92 May 20NBL

at Lok. Plovdiv88–99 May 17NBL

at Lok. Plovdiv89–99 May 15NBL

vs Lok. Plovdiv97–75 May 12NBL

vs Lok. Plovdiv87–79 May 10NBL

Kolossos Rhodes

5W 10L · last 15

at AS Karditsas65–81 Oct 31BAS

vs Esenler Erokspor69–71 Oct 28FIB

vs Vikos80–70 Oct 25BAS

at Sporting CP69–71 OTOct 21FIB

vs PAOK84–88 Oct 17BAS

at Gence80–62 Oct 13FIB

at Olympiacos83–99 Oct 11BAS

vs SCM Craiova77–65 Oct 7FIB

vs Lefkadas91–75 Oct 3BAS

at Korfez Basket79–91 Sep 15CL

vs Olympiacos58–97 May 16BAS

at Olympiacos76–117 May 13BAS

vs AS Karditsas91–80 Apr 25BAS

at Maroussi93–108 Apr 18BAS

at Peristeri83–87 Apr 4BAS

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Rilski Sportist

Stats

2–3

Kolossos Rhodes

Kolossos Rhodes leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+10.1pp

59.3%

+10.1pp

49.2%

3-point %+4.1pp

30.5%

+4.1pp

34.6%

Free-throw %+0.3pp

73.1%

+0.3pp

73.4%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s12.0pp apart

25.3%

12.0pp apart

37.3%

Free throws per shot7.1pp apart

38.9%

7.1pp apart

31.8%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+3.1

32.0

+3.1

28.9

Turnovers per game0.4 fewer

11.9

0.4 fewer

11.5

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.