VTB United League Promo-CupUpcoming

Parma PermSamara

Tue 3 Nov 2026, 14:303 Nov, 14:30

10Probabilities0Priced0Edges95.1%Strongest

Strong leanLeanSlight lean

Quick Take

Read first

Samara arrive 0-7 in the VTB United League and have conceded 95.4 points per game; Parma, 3-3, should win, with a 94.5-73.5 expected score pointing to a margin around 21 points.

Samara have lost the last four meetings by 25.5 points on average, so the size of the handicap is the live question. Of 176 quoted selections, no price stands out at our numbers.

Context

A winless Samara side conceding 95.4 points per game against a 3-3 Parma averaging 87.3 points scored gives the game a clear favourite, and the last four meetings all went Parma's way by 25.5 points on average. No complete shooting or rebounding figures are available for either team, so the picture rests on scores, results and rest.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result7 outcomes · top 95.1%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Parma Perm 94.5, Samara 73.5. Parma Perm win in about 95 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Parma are 3-3 in the current VTB United League, averaging 87.3 points scored and 86.7 conceded through six games as of 2026-10-27.
- Samara are 0-7 in the current VTB United League, averaging 69.6 points scored and 95.4 conceded through seven games as of 2026-10-25.
- Samara have lost their seven league games by an average of 25.9 points, and only one opponent has scored fewer than 90 against them.
- In the latest head-to-head, Parma beat Samara 76-65 at home on 2026-04-08 and have won the last four meetings by an average of 25.5 points.
- Parma scored 108 at home against Dynamo Vladivostok on 2026-10-17, while Samara allowed 117 to Unics Kazan on 2026-10-07.
BetBugs · Match WinnerParma PermEstimated chance95.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Parma Perm 94.5, Samara 73.5. Parma Perm are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 88 of 100 games like this.
- Parma are 3-3 in the current VTB United League, averaging 87.3 points scored and 86.7 conceded through six games as of 2026-10-27.
- Samara are 0-7 in the current VTB United League, averaging 69.6 points scored and 95.4 conceded through seven games as of 2026-10-25.
- Samara have lost their seven league games by an average of 25.9 points, and only one opponent has scored fewer than 90 against them.
- In the latest head-to-head, Parma beat Samara 76-65 at home on 2026-04-08 and have won the last four meetings by an average of 25.5 points.
- Parma scored 108 at home against Dynamo Vladivostok on 2026-10-17, while Samara allowed 117 to Unics Kazan on 2026-10-07.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultParma PermEstimated chance87.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Parma Perm 94.5, Samara 73.5. Parma Perm are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 80 of 100 games like this.
- Parma are 3-3 in the current VTB United League, averaging 87.3 points scored and 86.7 conceded through six games as of 2026-10-27.
- Samara are 0-7 in the current VTB United League, averaging 69.6 points scored and 95.4 conceded through seven games as of 2026-10-25.
- Samara have lost their seven league games by an average of 25.9 points, and only one opponent has scored fewer than 90 against them.
- In the latest head-to-head, Parma beat Samara 76-65 at home on 2026-04-08 and have won the last four meetings by an average of 25.5 points.
- Parma scored 108 at home against Dynamo Vladivostok on 2026-10-17, while Samara allowed 117 to Unics Kazan on 2026-10-07.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultParma PermEstimated chance79.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Parma Perm 94.5, Samara 73.5. Parma Perm are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this.
- Parma are 3-3 in the current VTB United League, averaging 87.3 points scored and 86.7 conceded through six games as of 2026-10-27.
- Samara are 0-7 in the current VTB United League, averaging 69.6 points scored and 95.4 conceded through seven games as of 2026-10-25.
- Samara have lost their seven league games by an average of 25.9 points, and only one opponent has scored fewer than 90 against them.
- In the latest head-to-head, Parma beat Samara 76-65 at home on 2026-04-08 and have won the last four meetings by an average of 25.5 points.
- Parma scored 108 at home against Dynamo Vladivostok on 2026-10-17, while Samara allowed 117 to Unics Kazan on 2026-10-07.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultParma PermEstimated chance73.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Parma Perm 94.5, Samara 73.5. Samara cover +28.5 (overtime included) in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- Parma are 3-3 in the current VTB United League, averaging 87.3 points scored and 86.7 conceded through six games as of 2026-10-27.
- Samara are 0-7 in the current VTB United League, averaging 69.6 points scored and 95.4 conceded through seven games as of 2026-10-25.
- Samara have lost their seven league games by an average of 25.9 points, and only one opponent has scored fewer than 90 against them.
- In the latest head-to-head, Parma beat Samara 76-65 at home on 2026-04-08 and have won the last four meetings by an average of 25.5 points.
- Parma scored 108 at home against Dynamo Vladivostok on 2026-10-17, while Samara allowed 117 to Unics Kazan on 2026-10-07.
BetBugs · HandicapSamara +28.5Estimated chance72.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Parma Perm 94.5, Samara 73.5. Parma Perm are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this.
- Parma are 3-3 in the current VTB United League, averaging 87.3 points scored and 86.7 conceded through six games as of 2026-10-27.
- Samara are 0-7 in the current VTB United League, averaging 69.6 points scored and 95.4 conceded through seven games as of 2026-10-25.
- Samara have lost their seven league games by an average of 25.9 points, and only one opponent has scored fewer than 90 against them.
- In the latest head-to-head, Parma beat Samara 76-65 at home on 2026-04-08 and have won the last four meetings by an average of 25.5 points.
- Parma scored 108 at home against Dynamo Vladivostok on 2026-10-17, while Samara allowed 117 to Unics Kazan on 2026-10-07.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultParma PermEstimated chance70.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Parma Perm 94.5, Samara 73.5. Parma Perm cover -3.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Parma Perm and 15 for Samara, across seasons and competitions.
- Parma are 3-3 in the current VTB United League, averaging 87.3 points scored and 86.7 conceded through six games as of 2026-10-27.
- Samara are 0-7 in the current VTB United League, averaging 69.6 points scored and 95.4 conceded through seven games as of 2026-10-25.
- Samara have lost their seven league games by an average of 25.9 points, and only one opponent has scored fewer than 90 against them.
- In the latest head-to-head, Parma beat Samara 76-65 at home on 2026-04-08 and have won the last four meetings by an average of 25.5 points.
- Parma scored 108 at home against Dynamo Vladivostok on 2026-10-17, while Samara allowed 117 to Unics Kazan on 2026-10-07.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapParma Perm -3.5Estimated chance66.5%

Points3 outcomes · top 65.4%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Parma Perm 94.5, Samara 73.5. Samara score more than 16.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Parma are 3-3 in the current VTB United League, averaging 87.3 points scored and 86.7 conceded through six games as of 2026-10-27.
- Samara are 0-7 in the current VTB United League, averaging 69.6 points scored and 95.4 conceded through seven games as of 2026-10-25.
- Samara have lost their seven league games by an average of 25.9 points, and only one opponent has scored fewer than 90 against them.
- In the latest head-to-head, Parma beat Samara 76-65 at home on 2026-04-08 and have won the last four meetings by an average of 25.5 points.
- Parma scored 108 at home against Dynamo Vladivostok on 2026-10-17, while Samara allowed 117 to Unics Kazan on 2026-10-07.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointsSamara over 16.5Estimated chance65.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Parma Perm 94.5, Samara 73.5. Parma Perm score fewer than 49.5 points in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Parma are 3-3 in the current VTB United League, averaging 87.3 points scored and 86.7 conceded through six games as of 2026-10-27.
- Samara are 0-7 in the current VTB United League, averaging 69.6 points scored and 95.4 conceded through seven games as of 2026-10-25.
- Samara have lost their seven league games by an average of 25.9 points, and only one opponent has scored fewer than 90 against them.
- In the latest head-to-head, Parma beat Samara 76-65 at home on 2026-04-08 and have won the last four meetings by an average of 25.5 points.
- Parma scored 108 at home against Dynamo Vladivostok on 2026-10-17, while Samara allowed 117 to Unics Kazan on 2026-10-07.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointsParma Perm under 49.5Estimated chance58.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Parma Perm 94.5, Samara 73.5. The 1st half has more than 82.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Parma are 3-3 in the current VTB United League, averaging 87.3 points scored and 86.7 conceded through six games as of 2026-10-27.
- Samara are 0-7 in the current VTB United League, averaging 69.6 points scored and 95.4 conceded through seven games as of 2026-10-25.
- Samara have lost their seven league games by an average of 25.9 points, and only one opponent has scored fewer than 90 against them.
- In the latest head-to-head, Parma beat Samara 76-65 at home on 2026-04-08 and have won the last four meetings by an average of 25.5 points.
- Parma scored 108 at home against Dynamo Vladivostok on 2026-10-17, while Samara allowed 117 to Unics Kazan on 2026-10-07.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointsOver 82.5Estimated chance56.3%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotNov 2, 01:15

Selected line

168.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

49%

Chance of 169+ points

4 pp below break-even

Over 1.89 needs 53% to break even. BetBugs sees 49%.

Move the line main 168.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 49%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 51%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W76–65

Parma Permv Samara

Samara

Apr 8, 2026·VTB

W74–93

Samarav

Parma Perm

Jan 29, 2026·VTB

W103–81

Parma Permv Samara

Samara

Oct 22, 2025·VTB

W57–107

Samarav

Parma Perm

Oct 11, 2025·VTB

W105–69

Parma Permv Samara

Samara

Mar 29, 2025·VTB

L86–78

Samarav

Parma Perm

Feb 1, 2025·VTB

W73–81

Samarav

Parma Perm

Dec 21, 2024·VTB

W92–89

Parma Permv Samara

Samara

Oct 27, 2024·VTB

L68–77

Parma Permv Samara

Samara

Feb 4, 2024·VTB

L85–83

Samarav

Parma Perm

Nov 22, 2023·VTB

164.2Avg total points

16.8Avg margin

10meetings

League table

VTB United League Promo-Cup · VTB United League - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Parma Perm

3–350%

Samara

0–70%

Recent Form

Parma Perm

7W 8L · last 15

at CSKA Moscow57–79 Oct 27VTB

at Igokea86–100 Oct 21WIN

vs Dynamo Vladivostok108–90 Oct 17VTB

at MBA Moscow91–93 Oct 13VTB

at Uralmash Ekaterinburg86–71 Oct 10VTB

at Zenit Petersburg85–99 Oct 7VTB

vs CSKA Moscow86–62 Oct 2WIN

at Unics Kazan97–88 Sep 26VTB

vs Lokomotiv Kuban82–87 May 3VTB

at Lokomotiv Kuban76–79 Apr 29VTB

at Lokomotiv Kuban80–93 Apr 27VTB

at Lokomotiv Kuban88–95 Apr 18VTB

at Saratov73–60 Apr 15VTB

vs Samara76–65 Apr 8VTB

at Enisey78–73 Apr 5VTB

Samara

0W 15L · last 15

vs Lokomotiv Kuban62–92 Oct 25VTB

vs Zenit Petersburg65–99 Oct 21VTB

vs Uralmash Ekaterinburg75–94 Oct 17VTB

at Enisey70–91 Oct 14VTB

vs Unics Kazan62–117 Oct 7VTB

vs Dynamo Vladivostok84–98 Oct 4VTB

at Saratov69–77 Sep 26VTB

at MBA Moscow61–79 Apr 22VTB

vs Nizhny Novgorod76–78 Apr 20VTB

vs Uralmash Ekaterinburg74–99 Apr 15VTB

at Parma Perm65–76 Apr 8VTB

vs CSKA Moscow72–109 Apr 4VTB

at Unics Kazan71–95 Apr 1VTB

vs Zenit Petersburg63–100 Mar 30VTB

vs Lokomotiv Kuban63–104 Mar 25VTB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Parma Perm

0 games

Stats

0–0

Samara

0 games

Not enough shared stats for a comparison.

Shooting· 0–0

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Possession· 0–0

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Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.