French CupUpcomingFeatured

AntibesPau-Orthez

Tue 3 Nov 2026, 18:303 Nov, 18:30

10Probabilities0Priced0Edges80.1%Strongest

Strong leanSlight lean

Quick Take

Read first

Antibes, 4-2 in Pro B and 2-0 in this season's French Cup, host a Pau-Orthez side that is 2-4 in the LNB.

The expected score after 40 minutes is Antibes 84.0, Pau-Orthez 86.4, with the visitors favoured to lead at that point and to win including overtime. Prices are quoted, but none stands out at our numbers.

Context

Pau-Orthez played an overtime game at Le Mans on 31 October, three days before this tie, and Gregor Hrovat has averaged 17.7 points in three games since returning. Antibes are 2-0 in this season's French Cup and unbeaten at home in the league since 16 October.

Reports published on 29 and 31 October say Gary joined from Charleroi in the summer, then fell out of Mickaël Hay's rotation after Hrovat returned. The reported departure removes a wing option from Pau-Orthez's group for the Cup tie.
- Juwan Gary was reported to have left Pau-Orthez on 31 October after four Betclic Élite appearances.
- On 29 October, Gary was reported to be out of Mickaël Hay's rotation after Gregor Hrovat returned.
Hrovat returned to Pau-Orthez after four years with Dijon and was described as a guard/wing. He appeared in the victory over Saint-Quentin on 17 October. His return was linked to Gary's reported exit, changing Pau-Orthez's perimeter group ahead of Antibes.
- Pau-Orthez announced Gregor Hrovat's return on 12 October, four years after his departure for Dijon.
- Hrovat appeared in Pau-Orthez's 17 October win over Saint-Quentin.
The Cup match follows Pau-Orthez's completed league game at Le Mans by three days. The short turnaround may shape preparation, but it does not establish fatigue or any selection change.
- Le Mans beat Pau-Orthez 106-97 after overtime on 31 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result5 outcomes · top 80.1%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Antibes 84.0, Pau-Orthez 86.4. Pau-Orthez cover +8.5 (overtime included) in about 80 of 100 games like this.
- Antibes have averaged 87.1 points and conceded 81.7 in seven Pro B games this season, most recently beating Caen 102-77 at home on 30 October.
- Pau-Orthez have averaged 81.3 points and conceded 88.0 in six LNB games this season; their latest was a 97-106 overtime loss at Le Mans on 31 October.
- Pau-Orthez won both 2025-26 Pro B meetings with Antibes, including 90-87 in overtime at Antibes on 23 December 2025 and 92-71 at home on 25 April 2026.
- Antibes are 2-0 in this season's French Cup, beating Roanne 80-78 on 6 October and La Ravoire-Challes 85-79 on 15 September.
- Pau-Orthez beat Tarbes 109-69 in the French Cup on 6 October, but Tarbes were lower-level opposition.
- Gregor Hrovat has averaged 17.7 points in three games since returning to Pau-Orthez.
BetBugs · HandicapPau-Orthez +8.5Estimated chance80.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Antibes 84.0, Pau-Orthez 86.4. Pau-Orthez cover +4.5 in the 1st half in about 73 of 100 games like this.
- Antibes have averaged 87.1 points and conceded 81.7 in seven Pro B games this season, most recently beating Caen 102-77 at home on 30 October.
- Pau-Orthez have averaged 81.3 points and conceded 88.0 in six LNB games this season; their latest was a 97-106 overtime loss at Le Mans on 31 October.
- Pau-Orthez won both 2025-26 Pro B meetings with Antibes, including 90-87 in overtime at Antibes on 23 December 2025 and 92-71 at home on 25 April 2026.
- Antibes are 2-0 in this season's French Cup, beating Roanne 80-78 on 6 October and La Ravoire-Challes 85-79 on 15 September.
- Pau-Orthez beat Tarbes 109-69 in the French Cup on 6 October, but Tarbes were lower-level opposition.
- Gregor Hrovat has averaged 17.7 points in three games since returning to Pau-Orthez.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapPau-Orthez +4.5Estimated chance72.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Antibes 84.0, Pau-Orthez 86.4. Pau-Orthez cover +3.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Antibes and 15 for Pau-Orthez, across seasons and competitions.
- Antibes have averaged 87.1 points and conceded 81.7 in seven Pro B games this season, most recently beating Caen 102-77 at home on 30 October.
- Pau-Orthez have averaged 81.3 points and conceded 88.0 in six LNB games this season; their latest was a 97-106 overtime loss at Le Mans on 31 October.
- Pau-Orthez won both 2025-26 Pro B meetings with Antibes, including 90-87 in overtime at Antibes on 23 December 2025 and 92-71 at home on 25 April 2026.
- Antibes are 2-0 in this season's French Cup, beating Roanne 80-78 on 6 October and La Ravoire-Challes 85-79 on 15 September.
- Pau-Orthez beat Tarbes 109-69 in the French Cup on 6 October, but Tarbes were lower-level opposition.
- Gregor Hrovat has averaged 17.7 points in three games since returning to Pau-Orthez.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapPau-Orthez +3.5Estimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Antibes 84.0, Pau-Orthez 86.4. Pau-Orthez cover +2.5 in the 1st quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Antibes have averaged 87.1 points and conceded 81.7 in seven Pro B games this season, most recently beating Caen 102-77 at home on 30 October.
- Pau-Orthez have averaged 81.3 points and conceded 88.0 in six LNB games this season; their latest was a 97-106 overtime loss at Le Mans on 31 October.
- Pau-Orthez won both 2025-26 Pro B meetings with Antibes, including 90-87 in overtime at Antibes on 23 December 2025 and 92-71 at home on 25 April 2026.
- Antibes are 2-0 in this season's French Cup, beating Roanne 80-78 on 6 October and La Ravoire-Challes 85-79 on 15 September.
- Pau-Orthez beat Tarbes 109-69 in the French Cup on 6 October, but Tarbes were lower-level opposition.
- Gregor Hrovat has averaged 17.7 points in three games since returning to Pau-Orthez.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapPau-Orthez +2.5Estimated chance66.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Antibes 84.0, Pau-Orthez 86.4. Pau-Orthez win in about 58 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Antibes have averaged 87.1 points and conceded 81.7 in seven Pro B games this season, most recently beating Caen 102-77 at home on 30 October.
- Pau-Orthez have averaged 81.3 points and conceded 88.0 in six LNB games this season; their latest was a 97-106 overtime loss at Le Mans on 31 October.
- Pau-Orthez won both 2025-26 Pro B meetings with Antibes, including 90-87 in overtime at Antibes on 23 December 2025 and 92-71 at home on 25 April 2026.
- Antibes are 2-0 in this season's French Cup, beating Roanne 80-78 on 6 October and La Ravoire-Challes 85-79 on 15 September.
- Pau-Orthez beat Tarbes 109-69 in the French Cup on 6 October, but Tarbes were lower-level opposition.
- Gregor Hrovat has averaged 17.7 points in three games since returning to Pau-Orthez.
BetBugs · Match WinnerPau-OrthezEstimated chance57.5%

Points5 outcomes · top 78.7%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Antibes 84.0, Pau-Orthez 86.4. Pau-Orthez score more than 78.5 points (overtime included) in about 79 of 100 games like this.
- Antibes have averaged 87.1 points and conceded 81.7 in seven Pro B games this season, most recently beating Caen 102-77 at home on 30 October.
- Pau-Orthez have averaged 81.3 points and conceded 88.0 in six LNB games this season; their latest was a 97-106 overtime loss at Le Mans on 31 October.
- Pau-Orthez won both 2025-26 Pro B meetings with Antibes, including 90-87 in overtime at Antibes on 23 December 2025 and 92-71 at home on 25 April 2026.
- Antibes are 2-0 in this season's French Cup, beating Roanne 80-78 on 6 October and La Ravoire-Challes 85-79 on 15 September.
- Pau-Orthez beat Tarbes 109-69 in the French Cup on 6 October, but Tarbes were lower-level opposition.
- Gregor Hrovat has averaged 17.7 points in three games since returning to Pau-Orthez.
BetBugs · Team PointsPau-Orthez over 78.5Estimated chance78.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Antibes 84.0, Pau-Orthez 86.4. The 3rd quarter has more than 36.5 points in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Antibes and 15 for Pau-Orthez, across seasons and competitions.
- Antibes have averaged 87.1 points and conceded 81.7 in seven Pro B games this season, most recently beating Caen 102-77 at home on 30 October.
- Pau-Orthez have averaged 81.3 points and conceded 88.0 in six LNB games this season; their latest was a 97-106 overtime loss at Le Mans on 31 October.
- Pau-Orthez won both 2025-26 Pro B meetings with Antibes, including 90-87 in overtime at Antibes on 23 December 2025 and 92-71 at home on 25 April 2026.
- Antibes are 2-0 in this season's French Cup, beating Roanne 80-78 on 6 October and La Ravoire-Challes 85-79 on 15 September.
- Pau-Orthez beat Tarbes 109-69 in the French Cup on 6 October, but Tarbes were lower-level opposition.
- Gregor Hrovat has averaged 17.7 points in three games since returning to Pau-Orthez.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointsOver 36.5Estimated chance78%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Antibes 84.0, Pau-Orthez 86.4. Antibes score more than 17.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Antibes and 15 for Pau-Orthez, across seasons and competitions.
- Antibes have averaged 87.1 points and conceded 81.7 in seven Pro B games this season, most recently beating Caen 102-77 at home on 30 October.
- Pau-Orthez have averaged 81.3 points and conceded 88.0 in six LNB games this season; their latest was a 97-106 overtime loss at Le Mans on 31 October.
- Pau-Orthez won both 2025-26 Pro B meetings with Antibes, including 90-87 in overtime at Antibes on 23 December 2025 and 92-71 at home on 25 April 2026.
- Antibes are 2-0 in this season's French Cup, beating Roanne 80-78 on 6 October and La Ravoire-Challes 85-79 on 15 September.
- Pau-Orthez beat Tarbes 109-69 in the French Cup on 6 October, but Tarbes were lower-level opposition.
- Gregor Hrovat has averaged 17.7 points in three games since returning to Pau-Orthez.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointsAntibes over 17.5Estimated chance75.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Antibes 84.0, Pau-Orthez 86.4. Pau-Orthez score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Antibes and 15 for Pau-Orthez, across seasons and competitions.
- Antibes have averaged 87.1 points and conceded 81.7 in seven Pro B games this season, most recently beating Caen 102-77 at home on 30 October.
- Pau-Orthez have averaged 81.3 points and conceded 88.0 in six LNB games this season; their latest was a 97-106 overtime loss at Le Mans on 31 October.
- Pau-Orthez won both 2025-26 Pro B meetings with Antibes, including 90-87 in overtime at Antibes on 23 December 2025 and 92-71 at home on 25 April 2026.
- Antibes are 2-0 in this season's French Cup, beating Roanne 80-78 on 6 October and La Ravoire-Challes 85-79 on 15 September.
- Pau-Orthez beat Tarbes 109-69 in the French Cup on 6 October, but Tarbes were lower-level opposition.
- Gregor Hrovat has averaged 17.7 points in three games since returning to Pau-Orthez.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsPau-Orthez over 18.5Estimated chance70.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Antibes 84.0, Pau-Orthez 86.4. Pau-Orthez score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Antibes and 15 for Pau-Orthez, across seasons and competitions.
- Antibes have averaged 87.1 points and conceded 81.7 in seven Pro B games this season, most recently beating Caen 102-77 at home on 30 October.
- Pau-Orthez have averaged 81.3 points and conceded 88.0 in six LNB games this season; their latest was a 97-106 overtime loss at Le Mans on 31 October.
- Pau-Orthez won both 2025-26 Pro B meetings with Antibes, including 90-87 in overtime at Antibes on 23 December 2025 and 92-71 at home on 25 April 2026.
- Antibes are 2-0 in this season's French Cup, beating Roanne 80-78 on 6 October and La Ravoire-Challes 85-79 on 15 September.
- Pau-Orthez beat Tarbes 109-69 in the French Cup on 6 October, but Tarbes were lower-level opposition.
- Gregor Hrovat has averaged 17.7 points in three games since returning to Pau-Orthez.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointsPau-Orthez over 19.5Estimated chance67.1%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotNov 2, 01:15

Selected line

165.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

63%

Chance of 166+ points

+9 pp above break-even

Over 1.83 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 63%.

Move the line main 165.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 63%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 37%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L92–71

Pau-Orthezv Antibes

Antibes

Apr 25, 2026·PRO

L87–90

Antibesv

Pau-Orthez

Dec 23, 2025·PROOT

L74–81

Antibesv

Pau-Orthez

May 13, 2025·PROOT

L92–87

Pau-Orthezv Antibes

Antibes

Sep 27, 2024·PRO

W82–77

Antibesv

Pau-Orthez

Feb 2, 2024·PRO

W66–87

Pau-Orthezv Antibes

Antibes

Dec 19, 2023·PRO

L84–85

Antibesv

Pau-Orthez

Nov 21, 2023·FRE

165Avg total points

9Avg margin

7meetings

Recent Form

Antibes

9W 6L · last 15

vs Caen102–77 Oct 30PRO

at Ada Blois97–92 Oct 25PRO

vs Denain-Voltaire91–82 Oct 20PRO

at Fos-sur-Mer76–78 Oct 16PRO

vs Orleans89–85 Oct 9PRO

vs Roanne80–78 Oct 6FRE

at ASA74–85 Oct 2PRO

vs Nantes81–73 Sep 26PRO

at La Ravoire-Challes85–79 Sep 15FRE

vs Caen86–93 May 15PRO

at Nantes81–108 May 8PRO

vs Vichy83–72 Apr 30PRO

at Pau-Orthez71–92 Apr 25PRO

vs Roanne68–92 Apr 21PRO

at Quimper93–80 Apr 17PRO

Pau-Orthez

9W 6L · last 15

at Le Mans97–106 OTOct 31LNB

vs Limoges85–81 Oct 25LNB

vs Saint Quentin102–89 Oct 17LNB

at Cholet79–85 Oct 10LNB

at Tarbes109–69 Oct 6FRE

vs Dijon61–89 Oct 3LNB

at Nanterre64–78 Sep 26LNB

vs Poitiers86–73 Jun 18PRO

at Poitiers81–72 Jun 15PRO

vs Poitiers82–106 Jun 12PRO

at Orleans90–85 Jun 6PRO

vs Orleans90–72 Jun 3PRO

at Chalons-Reims79–78 May 28PRO

vs Chalons-Reims89–87 OTMay 25PRO

at Roanne82–108 May 15PRO

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Antibes

13 games

Stats

4–1

Pau-Orthez

14 games

Antibes leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+0.9pp

55.5%

+0.9pp

54.6%

3-point %+5.7pp

34.1%

+5.7pp

28.4%

Free-throw %+4.2pp

75.2%

+4.2pp

71.0%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s6.7pp apart

31.2%

6.7pp apart

24.5%

Free throws per shot1.3pp apart

38.4%

1.3pp apart

37.1%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+5.4

29.8

+5.4

35.2

Turnovers per game0.4 fewer

13.2

0.4 fewer

13.6

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.