LKLFinishedFeatured

Predictions graded

Rytas89Zalgiris Kaunas94

Mon 2 Nov 2026, 14:50 Predictions graded

Predictions6–843%

Edges0–10%

Points by period: Rytas and Zalgiris Kaunas.
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4
Rytas	21	28	20	20
Zalgiris Kaunas	25	17	28	24

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Žalgiris, 7-0 in the LKL, meet a Rytas side with one league defeat and nearly five days' rest.

Žalgiris should win, something like 88-82, but a EuroLeague double week and an unresolved rotation question keep it from being routine. Rytas to win at 3.88 is the one price that offers anything; Žalgiris at 1.18 and at 1.2 does not.

Context

Žalgiris come off a EuroLeague double week with 2.9 days since their 30 October game, while Rytas have had 4.9 days since 28 October. The last four meetings in Vilnius were decided by an average of 4.8 points, and Nigel Williams-Goss, listed unavailable on 28 October, has an unresolved status for Monday.

Rytas built a 17-point half-time lead and finished with a 97-81 Basketball Champions League win over Trabzonspor on 28 October. The result is their most recent confirmed European-game context before the Lithuanian derby.
- Rytas beat Trabzonspor 97-81 on 28 October.
- Rytas led 46-29 at half-time.
Žalgiris completed two EuroLeague games during the week before the 2 November derby. The club publicly marked the double week as perfect and immediately shifted its focus to the domestic meeting with Rytas.
- Žalgiris described the EuroLeague double week as perfect on 30 October.
- The team identified the Lithuanian derby on Monday as its next focus.
Žalgiris took 12 players to Bologna on 28 October and listed Nigel Williams-Goss as unavailable. His participation against Rytas remains unresolved. Official confirmation for Monday is pending.
- Žalgiris listed Nigel Williams-Goss as unavailable for the Bologna game on 28 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Rytas

3.88fair 3.20

Market 25.8% · BetBugs 31.2%

+5.4ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Rytas 81.9, Zalgiris Kaunas 88.1. Rytas win in about 31 of 100 games like this, overtime included. Zalgiris has been the better team in the current LKL sample, with a much stronger defense and better results against common opponents, while Rytas' home scoring and extra rest should keep it competitive. I expect Zalgiris to score in the high 80s and Rytas in the low 80s.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 9 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rytas 81.9, Zalgiris Kaunas 88.1. Zalgiris Kaunas win in about 69 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Zalgiris is 7-0 in the LKL, averaging 93.0 points scored and 73.0 allowed over seven games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- Rytas is 4-1 in the LKL, averaging 91.2 points scored and 83.4 allowed over five games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- In nine EuroLeague games through 30 October, Zalgiris averaged 85.9 points scored and 84.0 allowed, including 91-74 at Virtus Bologna and 87-80 at home to Partizan.
- Rytas averaged 87.5 points scored and 83.0 allowed across its eight current-season games through 28 October, with a 97-81 home win over Trabzonspor in its latest outing.
- At Rytas, Zalgiris won the last four meetings by an average of 4.8 points, with Rytas averaging 78.3 points in those games from June 2025 to April 2026.
- Rytas has had 4.9 days since its last game; Zalgiris has had 2.9 days after a EuroLeague double week.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonZalgiris KaunasEstimated chance68.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rytas 81.9, Zalgiris Kaunas 88.1. Zalgiris Kaunas cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rytas and 15 for Zalgiris Kaunas, across seasons and competitions.
- Zalgiris is 7-0 in the LKL, averaging 93.0 points scored and 73.0 allowed over seven games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- Rytas is 4-1 in the LKL, averaging 91.2 points scored and 83.4 allowed over five games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- In nine EuroLeague games through 30 October, Zalgiris averaged 85.9 points scored and 84.0 allowed, including 91-74 at Virtus Bologna and 87-80 at home to Partizan.
- Rytas averaged 87.5 points scored and 83.0 allowed across its eight current-season games through 28 October, with a 97-81 home win over Trabzonspor in its latest outing.
- At Rytas, Zalgiris won the last four meetings by an average of 4.8 points, with Rytas averaging 78.3 points in those games from June 2025 to April 2026.
- Rytas has had 4.9 days since its last game; Zalgiris has had 2.9 days after a EuroLeague double week.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicaplostZalgiris Kaunas +1.5Estimated chance68.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rytas 81.9, Zalgiris Kaunas 88.1. Zalgiris Kaunas are ahead at the end of the 40 minutes in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Zalgiris is 7-0 in the LKL, averaging 93.0 points scored and 73.0 allowed over seven games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- Rytas is 4-1 in the LKL, averaging 91.2 points scored and 83.4 allowed over five games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- In nine EuroLeague games through 30 October, Zalgiris averaged 85.9 points scored and 84.0 allowed, including 91-74 at Virtus Bologna and 87-80 at home to Partizan.
- Rytas averaged 87.5 points scored and 83.0 allowed across its eight current-season games through 28 October, with a 97-81 home win over Trabzonspor in its latest outing.
- At Rytas, Zalgiris won the last four meetings by an average of 4.8 points, with Rytas averaging 78.3 points in those games from June 2025 to April 2026.
- Rytas has had 4.9 days since its last game; Zalgiris has had 2.9 days after a EuroLeague double week.
BetBugs · Result after 40 minwonZalgiris KaunasEstimated chance66.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rytas 81.9, Zalgiris Kaunas 88.1. Zalgiris Kaunas are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Zalgiris is 7-0 in the LKL, averaging 93.0 points scored and 73.0 allowed over seven games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- Rytas is 4-1 in the LKL, averaging 91.2 points scored and 83.4 allowed over five games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- In nine EuroLeague games through 30 October, Zalgiris averaged 85.9 points scored and 84.0 allowed, including 91-74 at Virtus Bologna and 87-80 at home to Partizan.
- Rytas averaged 87.5 points scored and 83.0 allowed across its eight current-season games through 28 October, with a 97-81 home win over Trabzonspor in its latest outing.
- At Rytas, Zalgiris won the last four meetings by an average of 4.8 points, with Rytas averaging 78.3 points in those games from June 2025 to April 2026.
- Rytas has had 4.9 days since its last game; Zalgiris has had 2.9 days after a EuroLeague double week.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultlostZalgiris KaunasEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rytas 81.9, Zalgiris Kaunas 88.1. Zalgiris Kaunas are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Zalgiris is 7-0 in the LKL, averaging 93.0 points scored and 73.0 allowed over seven games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- Rytas is 4-1 in the LKL, averaging 91.2 points scored and 83.4 allowed over five games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- In nine EuroLeague games through 30 October, Zalgiris averaged 85.9 points scored and 84.0 allowed, including 91-74 at Virtus Bologna and 87-80 at home to Partizan.
- Rytas averaged 87.5 points scored and 83.0 allowed across its eight current-season games through 28 October, with a 97-81 home win over Trabzonspor in its latest outing.
- At Rytas, Zalgiris won the last four meetings by an average of 4.8 points, with Rytas averaging 78.3 points in those games from June 2025 to April 2026.
- Rytas has had 4.9 days since its last game; Zalgiris has had 2.9 days after a EuroLeague double week.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultlostZalgiris KaunasEstimated chance57.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rytas 81.9, Zalgiris Kaunas 88.1. Rytas cover +8.5 (overtime included) in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Zalgiris is 7-0 in the LKL, averaging 93.0 points scored and 73.0 allowed over seven games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- Rytas is 4-1 in the LKL, averaging 91.2 points scored and 83.4 allowed over five games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- In nine EuroLeague games through 30 October, Zalgiris averaged 85.9 points scored and 84.0 allowed, including 91-74 at Virtus Bologna and 87-80 at home to Partizan.
- Rytas averaged 87.5 points scored and 83.0 allowed across its eight current-season games through 28 October, with a 97-81 home win over Trabzonspor in its latest outing.
- At Rytas, Zalgiris won the last four meetings by an average of 4.8 points, with Rytas averaging 78.3 points in those games from June 2025 to April 2026.
- Rytas has had 4.9 days since its last game; Zalgiris has had 2.9 days after a EuroLeague double week.
BetBugs · HandicapwonRytas +8.5Estimated chance56.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rytas 81.9, Zalgiris Kaunas 88.1. Rytas cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rytas and 15 for Zalgiris Kaunas, across seasons and competitions.
- Zalgiris is 7-0 in the LKL, averaging 93.0 points scored and 73.0 allowed over seven games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- Rytas is 4-1 in the LKL, averaging 91.2 points scored and 83.4 allowed over five games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- In nine EuroLeague games through 30 October, Zalgiris averaged 85.9 points scored and 84.0 allowed, including 91-74 at Virtus Bologna and 87-80 at home to Partizan.
- Rytas averaged 87.5 points scored and 83.0 allowed across its eight current-season games through 28 October, with a 97-81 home win over Trabzonspor in its latest outing.
- At Rytas, Zalgiris won the last four meetings by an average of 4.8 points, with Rytas averaging 78.3 points in those games from June 2025 to April 2026.
- Rytas has had 4.9 days since its last game; Zalgiris has had 2.9 days after a EuroLeague double week.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicaplostRytas +2.5Estimated chance56.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rytas 81.9, Zalgiris Kaunas 88.1. Rytas cover +2.5 in the 1st quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Zalgiris is 7-0 in the LKL, averaging 93.0 points scored and 73.0 allowed over seven games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- Rytas is 4-1 in the LKL, averaging 91.2 points scored and 83.4 allowed over five games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- In nine EuroLeague games through 30 October, Zalgiris averaged 85.9 points scored and 84.0 allowed, including 91-74 at Virtus Bologna and 87-80 at home to Partizan.
- Rytas averaged 87.5 points scored and 83.0 allowed across its eight current-season games through 28 October, with a 97-81 home win over Trabzonspor in its latest outing.
- At Rytas, Zalgiris won the last four meetings by an average of 4.8 points, with Rytas averaging 78.3 points in those games from June 2025 to April 2026.
- Rytas has had 4.9 days since its last game; Zalgiris has had 2.9 days after a EuroLeague double week.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicaplostRytas +2.5Estimated chance55.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rytas 81.9, Zalgiris Kaunas 88.1. Zalgiris Kaunas are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this.
- Zalgiris is 7-0 in the LKL, averaging 93.0 points scored and 73.0 allowed over seven games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- Rytas is 4-1 in the LKL, averaging 91.2 points scored and 83.4 allowed over five games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- In nine EuroLeague games through 30 October, Zalgiris averaged 85.9 points scored and 84.0 allowed, including 91-74 at Virtus Bologna and 87-80 at home to Partizan.
- Rytas averaged 87.5 points scored and 83.0 allowed across its eight current-season games through 28 October, with a 97-81 home win over Trabzonspor in its latest outing.
- At Rytas, Zalgiris won the last four meetings by an average of 4.8 points, with Rytas averaging 78.3 points in those games from June 2025 to April 2026.
- Rytas has had 4.9 days since its last game; Zalgiris has had 2.9 days after a EuroLeague double week.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultwonZalgiris KaunasEstimated chance55.5%

Points2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rytas 81.9, Zalgiris Kaunas 88.1. Rytas score more than 17.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rytas and 15 for Zalgiris Kaunas, across seasons and competitions.
- Zalgiris is 7-0 in the LKL, averaging 93.0 points scored and 73.0 allowed over seven games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- Rytas is 4-1 in the LKL, averaging 91.2 points scored and 83.4 allowed over five games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- In nine EuroLeague games through 30 October, Zalgiris averaged 85.9 points scored and 84.0 allowed, including 91-74 at Virtus Bologna and 87-80 at home to Partizan.
- Rytas averaged 87.5 points scored and 83.0 allowed across its eight current-season games through 28 October, with a 97-81 home win over Trabzonspor in its latest outing.
- At Rytas, Zalgiris won the last four meetings by an average of 4.8 points, with Rytas averaging 78.3 points in those games from June 2025 to April 2026.
- Rytas has had 4.9 days since its last game; Zalgiris has had 2.9 days after a EuroLeague double week.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointswonRytas over 17.5Estimated chance71.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rytas 81.9, Zalgiris Kaunas 88.1. Zalgiris Kaunas score fewer than 23.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rytas and 15 for Zalgiris Kaunas, across seasons and competitions.
- Zalgiris is 7-0 in the LKL, averaging 93.0 points scored and 73.0 allowed over seven games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- Rytas is 4-1 in the LKL, averaging 91.2 points scored and 83.4 allowed over five games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- In nine EuroLeague games through 30 October, Zalgiris averaged 85.9 points scored and 84.0 allowed, including 91-74 at Virtus Bologna and 87-80 at home to Partizan.
- Rytas averaged 87.5 points scored and 83.0 allowed across its eight current-season games through 28 October, with a 97-81 home win over Trabzonspor in its latest outing.
- At Rytas, Zalgiris won the last four meetings by an average of 4.8 points, with Rytas averaging 78.3 points in those games from June 2025 to April 2026.
- Rytas has had 4.9 days since its last game; Zalgiris has had 2.9 days after a EuroLeague double week.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointslostZalgiris Kaunas under 23.5Estimated chance63.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rytas 81.9, Zalgiris Kaunas 88.1. The 3rd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Rytas and 15 for Zalgiris Kaunas, across seasons and competitions.
- Zalgiris is 7-0 in the LKL, averaging 93.0 points scored and 73.0 allowed over seven games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- Rytas is 4-1 in the LKL, averaging 91.2 points scored and 83.4 allowed over five games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- In nine EuroLeague games through 30 October, Zalgiris averaged 85.9 points scored and 84.0 allowed, including 91-74 at Virtus Bologna and 87-80 at home to Partizan.
- Rytas averaged 87.5 points scored and 83.0 allowed across its eight current-season games through 28 October, with a 97-81 home win over Trabzonspor in its latest outing.
- At Rytas, Zalgiris won the last four meetings by an average of 4.8 points, with Rytas averaging 78.3 points in those games from June 2025 to April 2026.
- Rytas has had 4.9 days since its last game; Zalgiris has had 2.9 days after a EuroLeague double week.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointswonOver 39.5Estimated chance63.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rytas 81.9, Zalgiris Kaunas 88.1. Zalgiris Kaunas score fewer than 23.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Zalgiris is 7-0 in the LKL, averaging 93.0 points scored and 73.0 allowed over seven games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- Rytas is 4-1 in the LKL, averaging 91.2 points scored and 83.4 allowed over five games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- In nine EuroLeague games through 30 October, Zalgiris averaged 85.9 points scored and 84.0 allowed, including 91-74 at Virtus Bologna and 87-80 at home to Partizan.
- Rytas averaged 87.5 points scored and 83.0 allowed across its eight current-season games through 28 October, with a 97-81 home win over Trabzonspor in its latest outing.
- At Rytas, Zalgiris won the last four meetings by an average of 4.8 points, with Rytas averaging 78.3 points in those games from June 2025 to April 2026.
- Rytas has had 4.9 days since its last game; Zalgiris has had 2.9 days after a EuroLeague double week.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointslostZalgiris Kaunas under 23.5Estimated chance61.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Rytas 81.9, Zalgiris Kaunas 88.1. The 1st quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Zalgiris is 7-0 in the LKL, averaging 93.0 points scored and 73.0 allowed over seven games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- Rytas is 4-1 in the LKL, averaging 91.2 points scored and 83.4 allowed over five games (current table as of 1 November 2026).
- In nine EuroLeague games through 30 October, Zalgiris averaged 85.9 points scored and 84.0 allowed, including 91-74 at Virtus Bologna and 87-80 at home to Partizan.
- Rytas averaged 87.5 points scored and 83.0 allowed across its eight current-season games through 28 October, with a 97-81 home win over Trabzonspor in its latest outing.
- At Rytas, Zalgiris won the last four meetings by an average of 4.8 points, with Rytas averaging 78.3 points in those games from June 2025 to April 2026.
- Rytas has had 4.9 days since its last game; Zalgiris has had 2.9 days after a EuroLeague double week.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointslostUnder 43.5Estimated chance55.6%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotNov 1, 21:01

Selected line

171.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

48%

Chance of 172+ points

8 pp below break-even

Over 1.79 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 48%.

Move the line main 171.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 48%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 52%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L70–75

Rytasv

Zalgiris Kaunas

Apr 19, 2026·LKL

L98–81

Zalgiris Kaunasv Rytas

Rytas

Mar 15, 2026·LKL

L101–85

Zalgiris Kaunasv Rytas

Rytas

Feb 22, 2026·KIN

L81–90

Rytasv

Zalgiris Kaunas

Dec 27, 2025·LKL

L79–75

Zalgiris Kaunasv Rytas

Rytas

Nov 2, 2025·LKL

L76–69

Zalgiris Kaunasv Rytas

Rytas

Jun 21, 2025·LKL

L83–84

Rytasv

Zalgiris Kaunas

Jun 19, 2025·LKL

W80–86

Zalgiris Kaunasv Rytas

Rytas

Jun 17, 2025·LKL

L79–83

Rytasv

Zalgiris Kaunas

Jun 14, 2025·LKL

W89–97

Zalgiris Kaunasv Rytas

Rytas

Jun 12, 2025·LKLOT

166.1Avg total points

7.7Avg margin

10meetings

League table

LKL · LKL - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Rytas

4–180%

Zalgiris Kaunas

7–0100%

Recent Form

Rytas

9W 6L · last 15

vs Trabzonspor97–81 Oct 28CL

at Juventus94–76 Oct 25LKL

at Taurage79–71 Oct 21LKL

at Siauliai95–88 Oct 17LKL

at Nanterre65–93 Oct 13CL

vs Neptunas86–77 Oct 10LKL

vs Sabah Baku82–73 Oct 6CL

vs Gargzdai102–105 Oct 3LKL

vs Juventus95–101 May 23LKL

at Juventus84–92 May 21LKL

at Gargzdai98–103 May 16LKL

at Nevezis117–88 May 13LKL

at AEK Athens92–86 OTMay 9CL

vs Tenerife87–69 May 7CL

at Lietkabelis71–96 May 3LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

11W 4L · last 15

vs Partizan Mozzart Bet87–80 Oct 30EUR

at Virtus Bologna91–74 Oct 28EUR

vs Jonava86–63 Oct 25LKL

vs Lyon-Villeurbanne105–85 Oct 23EUR

vs Taurage96–76 Oct 18LKL

vs Anadolu Efes70–85 Oct 16EUR

at Fenerbahce80–99 Oct 13EUR

at Nevezis80–76 Oct 11LKL

at Barcelona88–81 Oct 9EUR

vs Lietkabelis97–68 Oct 4LKL

at Paris78–82 Oct 1EUR

vs Olympiacos91–93 Sep 29EUR

vs Siauliai101–82 Sep 27LKL

at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet83–77 Sep 24EUR

at Neptunas93–69 Sep 20LKL

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Rytas

Stats

3–2

Zalgiris Kaunas

Rytas leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+4.7pp

60.2%

+4.7pp

55.5%

3-point %+9.5pp

33.4%

+9.5pp

42.9%

Free-throw %15/8 games+2.7pp

69.4%

+2.7pp

72.1%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s2.8pp apart

32.4%

2.8pp apart

35.2%

Free throws per shot15/8 games5.3pp apart

39.8%

5.3pp apart

34.5%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+1.6

35.6

+1.6

34.0

Turnovers per game0.1 fewer

13.1

0.1 fewer

13.2

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.