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Petkim SporAnadolu Efes

Mon 2 Nov 2026, 15:002 Nov, 15:00

10Probabilities0Priced0Edges69%Strongest

Strong leanLeanSlight lean

Quick Take

Read first

Efes should win this one, but only by a handful: the 40-minute picture is Petkim 81.3, Efes 85.5.

Petkim's home league scoring and Efes' 2.9-day turnaround after a 30 October EuroLeague game keep it close. Efes at 1.33 to win, 1.37 to be ahead after 40 minutes and 1.79 giving 5.5 points all ask more than the evidence supports.

Context

Efes had 2.9 days between their 30 October EuroLeague game and this one, while Petkim have had eight days since 25 October, and Russell Daron did not appear in Efes' latest box score. Those are real scheduling and rotation differences, though their size is not established.

The close road victory gives Petkim recent positive league form before hosting Efes. It was decided late, so it is only a limited indicator of how the matchup with Efes may develop.
- Petkim moved ahead late to beat Tofas 74–72 away on 25 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result4 outcomes · top 69%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Petkim Spor 81.3, Anadolu Efes 85.5. Petkim Spor cover +4.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Petkim Spor and 15 for Anadolu Efes, across seasons and competitions.
- Petkim are 3-2 in the 2026-27 Super Lig, averaging 83.6 points scored and 83.4 allowed over five games through 25 Oct.
- Efes are 4-1 in the 2026-27 Super Lig, averaging 85.6 points scored and 77.2 allowed over five games through 25 Oct.
- Petkim's two home league games this season averaged 87.5 scored and 86.0 allowed: 90-91 vs Korfez on 10 Oct and 85-81 vs Denizli on 26 Sep.
- Efes's two away league games this season averaged 77.5 scored and 76.0 allowed: 70-73 at Esenler on 19 Oct and 85-79 at Bordo Bandirma on 4 Oct.
- Across 14 tracked games, Efes shot 56.2% on two-pointers and 84.4% on free throws (7 games tracked); Petkim shot 50.3% on two-pointers and 34.6% on three-pointers over 15 games.
- Petkim last played on 25 Oct, while Efes played a EuroLeague game on 30 Oct; Efes also won the most recent meeting 85-60 at Petkim on 5 Apr 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapPetkim Spor +4.5Estimated chance69%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Petkim Spor 81.3, Anadolu Efes 85.5. Petkim Spor cover +4.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Petkim Spor and 15 for Anadolu Efes, across seasons and competitions.
- Petkim are 3-2 in the 2026-27 Super Lig, averaging 83.6 points scored and 83.4 allowed over five games through 25 Oct.
- Efes are 4-1 in the 2026-27 Super Lig, averaging 85.6 points scored and 77.2 allowed over five games through 25 Oct.
- Petkim's two home league games this season averaged 87.5 scored and 86.0 allowed: 90-91 vs Korfez on 10 Oct and 85-81 vs Denizli on 26 Sep.
- Efes's two away league games this season averaged 77.5 scored and 76.0 allowed: 70-73 at Esenler on 19 Oct and 85-79 at Bordo Bandirma on 4 Oct.
- Across 14 tracked games, Efes shot 56.2% on two-pointers and 84.4% on free throws (7 games tracked); Petkim shot 50.3% on two-pointers and 34.6% on three-pointers over 15 games.
- Petkim last played on 25 Oct, while Efes played a EuroLeague game on 30 Oct; Efes also won the most recent meeting 85-60 at Petkim on 5 Apr 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapPetkim Spor +4.5Estimated chance66.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Petkim Spor 81.3, Anadolu Efes 85.5. Anadolu Efes win in about 63 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Petkim are 3-2 in the 2026-27 Super Lig, averaging 83.6 points scored and 83.4 allowed over five games through 25 Oct.
- Efes are 4-1 in the 2026-27 Super Lig, averaging 85.6 points scored and 77.2 allowed over five games through 25 Oct.
- Petkim's two home league games this season averaged 87.5 scored and 86.0 allowed: 90-91 vs Korfez on 10 Oct and 85-81 vs Denizli on 26 Sep.
- Efes's two away league games this season averaged 77.5 scored and 76.0 allowed: 70-73 at Esenler on 19 Oct and 85-79 at Bordo Bandirma on 4 Oct.
- Across 14 tracked games, Efes shot 56.2% on two-pointers and 84.4% on free throws (7 games tracked); Petkim shot 50.3% on two-pointers and 34.6% on three-pointers over 15 games.
- Petkim last played on 25 Oct, while Efes played a EuroLeague game on 30 Oct; Efes also won the most recent meeting 85-60 at Petkim on 5 Apr 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerAnadolu EfesEstimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Petkim Spor 81.3, Anadolu Efes 85.5. Anadolu Efes are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Petkim are 3-2 in the 2026-27 Super Lig, averaging 83.6 points scored and 83.4 allowed over five games through 25 Oct.
- Efes are 4-1 in the 2026-27 Super Lig, averaging 85.6 points scored and 77.2 allowed over five games through 25 Oct.
- Petkim's two home league games this season averaged 87.5 scored and 86.0 allowed: 90-91 vs Korfez on 10 Oct and 85-81 vs Denizli on 26 Sep.
- Efes's two away league games this season averaged 77.5 scored and 76.0 allowed: 70-73 at Esenler on 19 Oct and 85-79 at Bordo Bandirma on 4 Oct.
- Across 14 tracked games, Efes shot 56.2% on two-pointers and 84.4% on free throws (7 games tracked); Petkim shot 50.3% on two-pointers and 34.6% on three-pointers over 15 games.
- Petkim last played on 25 Oct, while Efes played a EuroLeague game on 30 Oct; Efes also won the most recent meeting 85-60 at Petkim on 5 Apr 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultAnadolu EfesEstimated chance57.5%

Points6 outcomes · top 65.9%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Petkim Spor 81.3, Anadolu Efes 85.5. Anadolu Efes score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Petkim Spor and 15 for Anadolu Efes, across seasons and competitions.
- Petkim are 3-2 in the 2026-27 Super Lig, averaging 83.6 points scored and 83.4 allowed over five games through 25 Oct.
- Efes are 4-1 in the 2026-27 Super Lig, averaging 85.6 points scored and 77.2 allowed over five games through 25 Oct.
- Petkim's two home league games this season averaged 87.5 scored and 86.0 allowed: 90-91 vs Korfez on 10 Oct and 85-81 vs Denizli on 26 Sep.
- Efes's two away league games this season averaged 77.5 scored and 76.0 allowed: 70-73 at Esenler on 19 Oct and 85-79 at Bordo Bandirma on 4 Oct.
- Across 14 tracked games, Efes shot 56.2% on two-pointers and 84.4% on free throws (7 games tracked); Petkim shot 50.3% on two-pointers and 34.6% on three-pointers over 15 games.
- Petkim last played on 25 Oct, while Efes played a EuroLeague game on 30 Oct; Efes also won the most recent meeting 85-60 at Petkim on 5 Apr 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointsAnadolu Efes over 19.5Estimated chance65.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Petkim Spor 81.3, Anadolu Efes 85.5. Anadolu Efes score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Petkim Spor and 15 for Anadolu Efes, across seasons and competitions.
- Petkim are 3-2 in the 2026-27 Super Lig, averaging 83.6 points scored and 83.4 allowed over five games through 25 Oct.
- Efes are 4-1 in the 2026-27 Super Lig, averaging 85.6 points scored and 77.2 allowed over five games through 25 Oct.
- Petkim's two home league games this season averaged 87.5 scored and 86.0 allowed: 90-91 vs Korfez on 10 Oct and 85-81 vs Denizli on 26 Sep.
- Efes's two away league games this season averaged 77.5 scored and 76.0 allowed: 70-73 at Esenler on 19 Oct and 85-79 at Bordo Bandirma on 4 Oct.
- Across 14 tracked games, Efes shot 56.2% on two-pointers and 84.4% on free throws (7 games tracked); Petkim shot 50.3% on two-pointers and 34.6% on three-pointers over 15 games.
- Petkim last played on 25 Oct, while Efes played a EuroLeague game on 30 Oct; Efes also won the most recent meeting 85-60 at Petkim on 5 Apr 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsAnadolu Efes over 19.5Estimated chance62.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Petkim Spor 81.3, Anadolu Efes 85.5. The 3rd quarter has more than 39.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Petkim Spor and 15 for Anadolu Efes, across seasons and competitions.
- Petkim are 3-2 in the 2026-27 Super Lig, averaging 83.6 points scored and 83.4 allowed over five games through 25 Oct.
- Efes are 4-1 in the 2026-27 Super Lig, averaging 85.6 points scored and 77.2 allowed over five games through 25 Oct.
- Petkim's two home league games this season averaged 87.5 scored and 86.0 allowed: 90-91 vs Korfez on 10 Oct and 85-81 vs Denizli on 26 Sep.
- Efes's two away league games this season averaged 77.5 scored and 76.0 allowed: 70-73 at Esenler on 19 Oct and 85-79 at Bordo Bandirma on 4 Oct.
- Across 14 tracked games, Efes shot 56.2% on two-pointers and 84.4% on free throws (7 games tracked); Petkim shot 50.3% on two-pointers and 34.6% on three-pointers over 15 games.
- Petkim last played on 25 Oct, while Efes played a EuroLeague game on 30 Oct; Efes also won the most recent meeting 85-60 at Petkim on 5 Apr 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointsOver 39.5Estimated chance59.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Petkim Spor 81.3, Anadolu Efes 85.5. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 43.5 points in about 59 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Petkim Spor and 15 for Anadolu Efes, across seasons and competitions.
- Petkim are 3-2 in the 2026-27 Super Lig, averaging 83.6 points scored and 83.4 allowed over five games through 25 Oct.
- Efes are 4-1 in the 2026-27 Super Lig, averaging 85.6 points scored and 77.2 allowed over five games through 25 Oct.
- Petkim's two home league games this season averaged 87.5 scored and 86.0 allowed: 90-91 vs Korfez on 10 Oct and 85-81 vs Denizli on 26 Sep.
- Efes's two away league games this season averaged 77.5 scored and 76.0 allowed: 70-73 at Esenler on 19 Oct and 85-79 at Bordo Bandirma on 4 Oct.
- Across 14 tracked games, Efes shot 56.2% on two-pointers and 84.4% on free throws (7 games tracked); Petkim shot 50.3% on two-pointers and 34.6% on three-pointers over 15 games.
- Petkim last played on 25 Oct, while Efes played a EuroLeague game on 30 Oct; Efes also won the most recent meeting 85-60 at Petkim on 5 Apr 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointsUnder 43.5Estimated chance59.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Petkim Spor 81.3, Anadolu Efes 85.5. Petkim Spor score more than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Petkim Spor and 15 for Anadolu Efes, across seasons and competitions.
- Petkim are 3-2 in the 2026-27 Super Lig, averaging 83.6 points scored and 83.4 allowed over five games through 25 Oct.
- Efes are 4-1 in the 2026-27 Super Lig, averaging 85.6 points scored and 77.2 allowed over five games through 25 Oct.
- Petkim's two home league games this season averaged 87.5 scored and 86.0 allowed: 90-91 vs Korfez on 10 Oct and 85-81 vs Denizli on 26 Sep.
- Efes's two away league games this season averaged 77.5 scored and 76.0 allowed: 70-73 at Esenler on 19 Oct and 85-79 at Bordo Bandirma on 4 Oct.
- Across 14 tracked games, Efes shot 56.2% on two-pointers and 84.4% on free throws (7 games tracked); Petkim shot 50.3% on two-pointers and 34.6% on three-pointers over 15 games.
- Petkim last played on 25 Oct, while Efes played a EuroLeague game on 30 Oct; Efes also won the most recent meeting 85-60 at Petkim on 5 Apr 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointsPetkim Spor over 19.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Petkim Spor 81.3, Anadolu Efes 85.5. Petkim Spor score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 55 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Petkim Spor and 15 for Anadolu Efes, across seasons and competitions.
- Petkim are 3-2 in the 2026-27 Super Lig, averaging 83.6 points scored and 83.4 allowed over five games through 25 Oct.
- Efes are 4-1 in the 2026-27 Super Lig, averaging 85.6 points scored and 77.2 allowed over five games through 25 Oct.
- Petkim's two home league games this season averaged 87.5 scored and 86.0 allowed: 90-91 vs Korfez on 10 Oct and 85-81 vs Denizli on 26 Sep.
- Efes's two away league games this season averaged 77.5 scored and 76.0 allowed: 70-73 at Esenler on 19 Oct and 85-79 at Bordo Bandirma on 4 Oct.
- Across 14 tracked games, Efes shot 56.2% on two-pointers and 84.4% on free throws (7 games tracked); Petkim shot 50.3% on two-pointers and 34.6% on three-pointers over 15 games.
- Petkim last played on 25 Oct, while Efes played a EuroLeague game on 30 Oct; Efes also won the most recent meeting 85-60 at Petkim on 5 Apr 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsPetkim Spor over 19.5Estimated chance55.3%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotNov 1, 21:01

Selected line

166.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

53%

Chance of 167+ points

3 pp below break-even

Over 1.79 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 53%.

Move the line main 166.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 53%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 47%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L60–85

Petkim Sporv

Anadolu Efes

Apr 5, 2026·BAS

W92–96

Anadolu Efesv

Petkim Spor

Dec 7, 2025·BAS

W101–103

Anadolu Efesv

Petkim Spor

Mar 2, 2025·SUP

L79–85

Petkim Sporv

Anadolu Efes

Oct 26, 2024·SUP

L98–73

Anadolu Efesv

Petkim Spor

Apr 2, 2024·SUP

L92–101

Petkim Sporv

Anadolu Efes

Dec 3, 2023·SUPOT

L90–64

Anadolu Efesv

Petkim Spor

Jan 29, 2023·SUP

L79–89

Petkim Sporv

Anadolu Efes

Oct 9, 2022·SUP

L97–83

Anadolu Efesv

Petkim Spor

Mar 27, 2022·SUP

L82–92

Petkim Sporv

Anadolu Efes

Nov 30, 2021·SUP

174.1Avg total points

13.1Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Basketbol Süper Ligi · Super Lig - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Petkim Spor

3–260%

Anadolu Efes

4–180%

Recent Form

Petkim Spor

6W 9L · last 15

at Tofas74–72 Oct 25BAS

at Fenerbahce82–77 Oct 18BAS

vs Korfez Basket90–91 Oct 10BAS

at Esenler Erokspor87–96 Oct 3BAS

vs Denizli Basket85–81 Sep 26BAS

at Tofas71–73 May 10BAS

at Besiktas69–81 May 5BAS

vs Bahcesehir Kol.76–95 May 1BAS

vs Manisa100–87 Apr 19BAS

at Trabzonspor90–84 Apr 12BAS

vs Anadolu Efes60–85 Apr 5BAS

at Merkezefendi80–92 Mar 28BAS

vs Bursaspor91–82 Mar 23BAS

at Bilbao60–85 Mar 18FIB

at Esenler Erokspor57–74 Mar 14BAS

Anadolu Efes

9W 6L · last 15

vs Panathinaikos83–68 Oct 30EUR

at Hapoel Tel Aviv88–118 Oct 28EUR

vs Korfez Basket93–77 Oct 25BAS

vs Besiktas89–80 Oct 22EUR

at Esenler Erokspor70–73 Oct 19BAS

at Zalgiris Kaunas85–70 Oct 16EUR

vs Bayern93–101 Oct 14EUR

vs Denizli Basket85–76 Oct 11BAS

at Olympiacos66–89 Oct 9EUR

at Bordo Bandirma85–79 Oct 4BAS

at Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet72–77 Oct 1EUR

vs Real Madrid94–84 Sep 29EUR

vs Besiktas95–81 Sep 27BAS

at Barcelona82–89 Sep 24EUR

at Lokomotiv Kuban88–82 Sep 20VTB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Petkim Spor

Stats

1–4

Anadolu Efes

14 games

Anadolu Efes leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+5.9pp

50.3%

+5.9pp

56.2%

3-point %+1.9pp

34.6%

+1.9pp

32.7%

Free-throw %15/7 games+8.7pp

75.7%

+8.7pp

84.4%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s6.4pp apart

34.5%

6.4pp apart

28.1%

Free throws per shot15/7 games1.2pp apart

29.4%

1.2pp apart

30.6%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+2.1

29.8

+2.1

31.9

Turnovers per game0.6 fewer

14.1

0.6 fewer

13.5

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.