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Esenler EroksporTurk Telekom

Sun 1 Nov 2026, 10:001 Nov, 10:00

10Probabilities0Priced0Edges81.2%Strongest

Strong leanSlight lean

Quick Take

Read first

Two 4-1 teams meet, second against fourth in the Basketbol Süper Ligi, with only scoring margin between them.

Telekom concede 71.8 points a game in the league, yet the 40-minute picture has Erokspor narrowly ahead, 81.2 to 79.7, and Erokspor winners in about 55 of 100 such games including overtime. With 113 prices up across the game and quarters, none of them stands out at our numbers.

Context

Two 4-1 league records and a projected one-possession finish make the matchup competitive on its own terms. No player availability, injury, rotation or travel news is established beyond the supplied season scoring and squad records, so the sporting conditions are only mildly altered.

Both teams bring a recent domestic victory into this meeting. Erokspor’s win came at Trabzonspor, while Türk Telekom’s was a 97-76 home result against Yukatel Denizli Basket.
- Esenler Erokspor won 93-90 away to Trabzonspor.
- Türk Telekom beat Yukatel Denizli Basket 97-76.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result3 outcomes · top 56.5%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Esenler Erokspor 81.2, Turk Telekom 79.7. Turk Telekom cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Esenler Erokspor and 15 for Turk Telekom, across seasons and competitions.
- Esenler Erokspor is 4-1 in the 2026-27 Basketbol Süper Ligi, averaging 85.6 points scored and 82.8 allowed over five games, including a 93-90 win at Trabzonspor on 24 Oct 2026.
- Turk Telekom is also 4-1 in the same league, allowing only 71.8 points per game, and beat Denizli 97-76 at home on 24 Oct 2026.
- At home in the league, Erokspor has scored 84.5 points per game (73 vs Anadolu Efes on 19 Oct, 96 vs Petkim on 3 Oct), while TT's two league road games averaged 72.0 scored and 74.0 allowed.
- Across 15 games, Erokspor shoots 55.8% on two-pointers and 35.0% on three-pointers; TT shoots 52.1% and 32.1%, and Erokspor also leads rebounds 32.4 to 30.0.
- TT has lost four of five Eurocup games, including 61-79 at London on 28 Oct 2026, while Erokspor is 4-0 in FIBA Europe Cup at a lower level of competition.
- Last season's head-to-head went 93-84 and 67-61 to TT, but both games are dated and rosters have changed.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapTurk Telekom +1.5Estimated chance56.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Esenler Erokspor 81.2, Turk Telekom 79.7. Turk Telekom cover +1.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Esenler Erokspor and 15 for Turk Telekom, across seasons and competitions.
- Esenler Erokspor is 4-1 in the 2026-27 Basketbol Süper Ligi, averaging 85.6 points scored and 82.8 allowed over five games, including a 93-90 win at Trabzonspor on 24 Oct 2026.
- Turk Telekom is also 4-1 in the same league, allowing only 71.8 points per game, and beat Denizli 97-76 at home on 24 Oct 2026.
- At home in the league, Erokspor has scored 84.5 points per game (73 vs Anadolu Efes on 19 Oct, 96 vs Petkim on 3 Oct), while TT's two league road games averaged 72.0 scored and 74.0 allowed.
- Across 15 games, Erokspor shoots 55.8% on two-pointers and 35.0% on three-pointers; TT shoots 52.1% and 32.1%, and Erokspor also leads rebounds 32.4 to 30.0.
- TT has lost four of five Eurocup games, including 61-79 at London on 28 Oct 2026, while Erokspor is 4-0 in FIBA Europe Cup at a lower level of competition.
- Last season's head-to-head went 93-84 and 67-61 to TT, but both games are dated and rosters have changed.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapTurk Telekom +1.5Estimated chance55.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Esenler Erokspor 81.2, Turk Telekom 79.7. Esenler Erokspor win in about 55 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Esenler Erokspor is 4-1 in the 2026-27 Basketbol Süper Ligi, averaging 85.6 points scored and 82.8 allowed over five games, including a 93-90 win at Trabzonspor on 24 Oct 2026.
- Turk Telekom is also 4-1 in the same league, allowing only 71.8 points per game, and beat Denizli 97-76 at home on 24 Oct 2026.
- At home in the league, Erokspor has scored 84.5 points per game (73 vs Anadolu Efes on 19 Oct, 96 vs Petkim on 3 Oct), while TT's two league road games averaged 72.0 scored and 74.0 allowed.
- Across 15 games, Erokspor shoots 55.8% on two-pointers and 35.0% on three-pointers; TT shoots 52.1% and 32.1%, and Erokspor also leads rebounds 32.4 to 30.0.
- TT has lost four of five Eurocup games, including 61-79 at London on 28 Oct 2026, while Erokspor is 4-0 in FIBA Europe Cup at a lower level of competition.
- Last season's head-to-head went 93-84 and 67-61 to TT, but both games are dated and rosters have changed.
BetBugs · Match WinnerEsenler EroksporEstimated chance54.7%

Points7 outcomes · top 81.2%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Esenler Erokspor 81.2, Turk Telekom 79.7. Esenler Erokspor score more than 15.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 81 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Esenler Erokspor and 15 for Turk Telekom, across seasons and competitions.
- Esenler Erokspor is 4-1 in the 2026-27 Basketbol Süper Ligi, averaging 85.6 points scored and 82.8 allowed over five games, including a 93-90 win at Trabzonspor on 24 Oct 2026.
- Turk Telekom is also 4-1 in the same league, allowing only 71.8 points per game, and beat Denizli 97-76 at home on 24 Oct 2026.
- At home in the league, Erokspor has scored 84.5 points per game (73 vs Anadolu Efes on 19 Oct, 96 vs Petkim on 3 Oct), while TT's two league road games averaged 72.0 scored and 74.0 allowed.
- Across 15 games, Erokspor shoots 55.8% on two-pointers and 35.0% on three-pointers; TT shoots 52.1% and 32.1%, and Erokspor also leads rebounds 32.4 to 30.0.
- TT has lost four of five Eurocup games, including 61-79 at London on 28 Oct 2026, while Erokspor is 4-0 in FIBA Europe Cup at a lower level of competition.
- Last season's head-to-head went 93-84 and 67-61 to TT, but both games are dated and rosters have changed.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsEsenler Erokspor over 15.5Estimated chance81.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Esenler Erokspor 81.2, Turk Telekom 79.7. The 2nd quarter has more than 34.5 points in about 80 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Esenler Erokspor and 15 for Turk Telekom, across seasons and competitions.
- Esenler Erokspor is 4-1 in the 2026-27 Basketbol Süper Ligi, averaging 85.6 points scored and 82.8 allowed over five games, including a 93-90 win at Trabzonspor on 24 Oct 2026.
- Turk Telekom is also 4-1 in the same league, allowing only 71.8 points per game, and beat Denizli 97-76 at home on 24 Oct 2026.
- At home in the league, Erokspor has scored 84.5 points per game (73 vs Anadolu Efes on 19 Oct, 96 vs Petkim on 3 Oct), while TT's two league road games averaged 72.0 scored and 74.0 allowed.
- Across 15 games, Erokspor shoots 55.8% on two-pointers and 35.0% on three-pointers; TT shoots 52.1% and 32.1%, and Erokspor also leads rebounds 32.4 to 30.0.
- TT has lost four of five Eurocup games, including 61-79 at London on 28 Oct 2026, while Erokspor is 4-0 in FIBA Europe Cup at a lower level of competition.
- Last season's head-to-head went 93-84 and 67-61 to TT, but both games are dated and rosters have changed.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointsOver 34.5Estimated chance79.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Esenler Erokspor 81.2, Turk Telekom 79.7. Turk Telekom score more than 16.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Esenler Erokspor and 15 for Turk Telekom, across seasons and competitions.
- Esenler Erokspor is 4-1 in the 2026-27 Basketbol Süper Ligi, averaging 85.6 points scored and 82.8 allowed over five games, including a 93-90 win at Trabzonspor on 24 Oct 2026.
- Turk Telekom is also 4-1 in the same league, allowing only 71.8 points per game, and beat Denizli 97-76 at home on 24 Oct 2026.
- At home in the league, Erokspor has scored 84.5 points per game (73 vs Anadolu Efes on 19 Oct, 96 vs Petkim on 3 Oct), while TT's two league road games averaged 72.0 scored and 74.0 allowed.
- Across 15 games, Erokspor shoots 55.8% on two-pointers and 35.0% on three-pointers; TT shoots 52.1% and 32.1%, and Erokspor also leads rebounds 32.4 to 30.0.
- TT has lost four of five Eurocup games, including 61-79 at London on 28 Oct 2026, while Erokspor is 4-0 in FIBA Europe Cup at a lower level of competition.
- Last season's head-to-head went 93-84 and 67-61 to TT, but both games are dated and rosters have changed.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointsTurk Telekom over 16.5Estimated chance75.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Esenler Erokspor 81.2, Turk Telekom 79.7. Esenler Erokspor score more than 17.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 72 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Esenler Erokspor and 15 for Turk Telekom, across seasons and competitions.
- Esenler Erokspor is 4-1 in the 2026-27 Basketbol Süper Ligi, averaging 85.6 points scored and 82.8 allowed over five games, including a 93-90 win at Trabzonspor on 24 Oct 2026.
- Turk Telekom is also 4-1 in the same league, allowing only 71.8 points per game, and beat Denizli 97-76 at home on 24 Oct 2026.
- At home in the league, Erokspor has scored 84.5 points per game (73 vs Anadolu Efes on 19 Oct, 96 vs Petkim on 3 Oct), while TT's two league road games averaged 72.0 scored and 74.0 allowed.
- Across 15 games, Erokspor shoots 55.8% on two-pointers and 35.0% on three-pointers; TT shoots 52.1% and 32.1%, and Erokspor also leads rebounds 32.4 to 30.0.
- TT has lost four of five Eurocup games, including 61-79 at London on 28 Oct 2026, while Erokspor is 4-0 in FIBA Europe Cup at a lower level of competition.
- Last season's head-to-head went 93-84 and 67-61 to TT, but both games are dated and rosters have changed.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointsEsenler Erokspor over 17.5Estimated chance71.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Esenler Erokspor 81.2, Turk Telekom 79.7. The 1st quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Esenler Erokspor is 4-1 in the 2026-27 Basketbol Süper Ligi, averaging 85.6 points scored and 82.8 allowed over five games, including a 93-90 win at Trabzonspor on 24 Oct 2026.
- Turk Telekom is also 4-1 in the same league, allowing only 71.8 points per game, and beat Denizli 97-76 at home on 24 Oct 2026.
- At home in the league, Erokspor has scored 84.5 points per game (73 vs Anadolu Efes on 19 Oct, 96 vs Petkim on 3 Oct), while TT's two league road games averaged 72.0 scored and 74.0 allowed.
- Across 15 games, Erokspor shoots 55.8% on two-pointers and 35.0% on three-pointers; TT shoots 52.1% and 32.1%, and Erokspor also leads rebounds 32.4 to 30.0.
- TT has lost four of five Eurocup games, including 61-79 at London on 28 Oct 2026, while Erokspor is 4-0 in FIBA Europe Cup at a lower level of competition.
- Last season's head-to-head went 93-84 and 67-61 to TT, but both games are dated and rosters have changed.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Total PointsUnder 41.5Estimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Esenler Erokspor 81.2, Turk Telekom 79.7. The 3rd quarter has more than 38.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Esenler Erokspor and 15 for Turk Telekom, across seasons and competitions.
- Esenler Erokspor is 4-1 in the 2026-27 Basketbol Süper Ligi, averaging 85.6 points scored and 82.8 allowed over five games, including a 93-90 win at Trabzonspor on 24 Oct 2026.
- Turk Telekom is also 4-1 in the same league, allowing only 71.8 points per game, and beat Denizli 97-76 at home on 24 Oct 2026.
- At home in the league, Erokspor has scored 84.5 points per game (73 vs Anadolu Efes on 19 Oct, 96 vs Petkim on 3 Oct), while TT's two league road games averaged 72.0 scored and 74.0 allowed.
- Across 15 games, Erokspor shoots 55.8% on two-pointers and 35.0% on three-pointers; TT shoots 52.1% and 32.1%, and Erokspor also leads rebounds 32.4 to 30.0.
- TT has lost four of five Eurocup games, including 61-79 at London on 28 Oct 2026, while Erokspor is 4-0 in FIBA Europe Cup at a lower level of competition.
- Last season's head-to-head went 93-84 and 67-61 to TT, but both games are dated and rosters have changed.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointsOver 38.5Estimated chance57.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Esenler Erokspor 81.2, Turk Telekom 79.7. Turk Telekom score fewer than 20.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 56 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Esenler Erokspor and 15 for Turk Telekom, across seasons and competitions.
- Esenler Erokspor is 4-1 in the 2026-27 Basketbol Süper Ligi, averaging 85.6 points scored and 82.8 allowed over five games, including a 93-90 win at Trabzonspor on 24 Oct 2026.
- Turk Telekom is also 4-1 in the same league, allowing only 71.8 points per game, and beat Denizli 97-76 at home on 24 Oct 2026.
- At home in the league, Erokspor has scored 84.5 points per game (73 vs Anadolu Efes on 19 Oct, 96 vs Petkim on 3 Oct), while TT's two league road games averaged 72.0 scored and 74.0 allowed.
- Across 15 games, Erokspor shoots 55.8% on two-pointers and 35.0% on three-pointers; TT shoots 52.1% and 32.1%, and Erokspor also leads rebounds 32.4 to 30.0.
- TT has lost four of five Eurocup games, including 61-79 at London on 28 Oct 2026, while Erokspor is 4-0 in FIBA Europe Cup at a lower level of competition.
- Last season's head-to-head went 93-84 and 67-61 to TT, but both games are dated and rosters have changed.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsTurk Telekom under 20.5Estimated chance55.8%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 31, 04:24

Selected line

162.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

48%

Chance of 163+ points

8 pp below break-even

Over 1.77 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 48%.

Move the line main 162.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 48%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 52%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L93–84

Turk Telekomv

Esenler Erokspor

Apr 15, 2026·BAS

L61–67

Esenler Eroksporv

Turk Telekom

Dec 7, 2025·BAS

152.5Avg total points

7.5Avg margin

2meetings

League table

Basketbol Süper Ligi · Super Lig - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Esenler Erokspor

4–180%

Turk Telekom

4–180%

Recent Form

Esenler Erokspor

10W 5L · last 15

at Kolossos Rhodes71–69 Oct 28FIB

at Trabzonspor93–90 Oct 24BAS

vs SCM Craiova118–96 Oct 21FIB

vs Anadolu Efes73–70 Oct 19BAS

at Rilski Sportist94–62 Oct 14FIB

at Tofas87–79 Oct 10BAS

vs Gence92–63 Oct 7FIB

vs Petkim Spor96–87 Oct 3BAS

at Korfez Basket79–88 Sep 28BAS

vs Fenerbahce73–96 May 29BAS

at Fenerbahce72–94 May 27BAS

at Merkezefendi70–69 May 10BAS

vs Bursaspor82–83 May 2BAS

at Karsiyaka67–68 Apr 26BAS

at Buyukcekmece79–67 Apr 19BAS

Turk Telekom

6W 9L · last 15

at London Lions61–79 Oct 28EUR

vs Denizli Basket97–76 Oct 24BAS

vs Siauliai84–94 Oct 20EUR

at Bordo Bandirma66–79 Oct 17BAS

at Venezia65–75 Oct 14EUR

vs Besiktas88–63 Oct 11BAS

vs Maxima Roma92–77 Oct 6EUR

at Bursaspor78–69 Oct 3BAS

at Tenerife75–82 Sep 30EUR

vs Karsiyaka73–72 Sep 26BAS

vs Anadolu Efes70–77 May 29BAS

at Anadolu Efes75–86 May 27BAS

at Manisa75–83 OTMay 10BAS

vs Trabzonspor81–72 May 3BAS

at Anadolu Efes91–101 Apr 25BAS

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Esenler Erokspor

Stats

5–0

Turk Telekom

Esenler Erokspor leads in 5 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+3.7pp

55.8%

+3.7pp

52.1%

3-point %+2.9pp

35.0%

+2.9pp

32.1%

Free-throw %15/10 games+0.7pp

76.1%

+0.7pp

75.4%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s4.9pp apart

35.2%

4.9pp apart

30.3%

Free throws per shot15/10 games6.4pp apart

34.0%

6.4pp apart

27.6%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game+2.4

32.4

+2.4

30.0

Turnovers per game0.6 fewer

12.9

0.6 fewer

13.5

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.