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Crvena Zvezda MeridianbetSiroki Brijeg

Sun 1 Nov 2026, 12:001 Nov, 12:00

10Probabilities0Priced0Edges89.1%Strongest

Strong leanLean

Quick Take

Read first

Both teams are 3-1 in the ABA League, but only one of them carries a EuroLeague roster into this fixture.

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet should win at home, with an expected score near 93-77 over 40 minutes. Siroki Brijeg's 58.4% two-point shooting over their last 15 games gives them a way to stay in contact. With prices widely quoted, no price stands out at our numbers.

Context

Crvena Zvezda played their second EuroLeague game of the week on 30 October, 2.7 days before this tip-off, while Siroki Brijeg had 3.75 days of rest. That compressed week is a schedule fact only; no lineup or rotation decision for this game is established.

The home side enter this matchup immediately after the second of two EuroLeague games in the same week. That gives the fixture a compressed recent schedule context, while the double-week update does not set out a lineup, rest or rotation decision for the ABA game.
- Crvena Zvezda described their 30 October Bayern game as their second win of the week's EuroLeague double week.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result7 outcomes · top 89.1%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 92.8, Siroki Brijeg 77.2. Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet win in about 89 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Crvena Zvezda averaged 92.0 points and 84.8 conceded in four ABA League games this season (4–24 Oct 2026).
- Siroki Brijeg averaged 81.5 points and 78.5 conceded in four ABA League games this season (2–22 Oct 2026).
- Crvena's last 15 games across competitions: 87.0 scored and 80.7 allowed, with 55.8% two-point and 33.8% three-point shooting.
- Siroki's last 15 games across competitions: 85.1 scored and 80.4 allowed, with 58.4% two-point shooting but 13.6 turnovers per game.
- Crvena scored 101 in its only home ABA game this season, a 101-91 win over Buducnost on 10 Oct.
- Crvena had 2.7 days rest after a 29 Oct EuroLeague game; Siroki had 3.75 days after 28 Oct.
BetBugs · Match WinnerCrvena Zvezda MeridianbetEstimated chance89.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 92.8, Siroki Brijeg 77.2. Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 80 of 100 games like this.
- Crvena Zvezda averaged 92.0 points and 84.8 conceded in four ABA League games this season (4–24 Oct 2026).
- Siroki Brijeg averaged 81.5 points and 78.5 conceded in four ABA League games this season (2–22 Oct 2026).
- Crvena's last 15 games across competitions: 87.0 scored and 80.7 allowed, with 55.8% two-point and 33.8% three-point shooting.
- Siroki's last 15 games across competitions: 85.1 scored and 80.4 allowed, with 58.4% two-point shooting but 13.6 turnovers per game.
- Crvena scored 101 in its only home ABA game this season, a 101-91 win over Buducnost on 10 Oct.
- Crvena had 2.7 days rest after a 29 Oct EuroLeague game; Siroki had 3.75 days after 28 Oct.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultCrvena Zvezda MeridianbetEstimated chance80.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 92.8, Siroki Brijeg 77.2. Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 73 of 100 games like this.
- Crvena Zvezda averaged 92.0 points and 84.8 conceded in four ABA League games this season (4–24 Oct 2026).
- Siroki Brijeg averaged 81.5 points and 78.5 conceded in four ABA League games this season (2–22 Oct 2026).
- Crvena's last 15 games across competitions: 87.0 scored and 80.7 allowed, with 55.8% two-point and 33.8% three-point shooting.
- Siroki's last 15 games across competitions: 85.1 scored and 80.4 allowed, with 58.4% two-point shooting but 13.6 turnovers per game.
- Crvena scored 101 in its only home ABA game this season, a 101-91 win over Buducnost on 10 Oct.
- Crvena had 2.7 days rest after a 29 Oct EuroLeague game; Siroki had 3.75 days after 28 Oct.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultCrvena Zvezda MeridianbetEstimated chance72.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 92.8, Siroki Brijeg 77.2. Siroki Brijeg cover +21.5 (overtime included) in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Crvena Zvezda averaged 92.0 points and 84.8 conceded in four ABA League games this season (4–24 Oct 2026).
- Siroki Brijeg averaged 81.5 points and 78.5 conceded in four ABA League games this season (2–22 Oct 2026).
- Crvena's last 15 games across competitions: 87.0 scored and 80.7 allowed, with 55.8% two-point and 33.8% three-point shooting.
- Siroki's last 15 games across competitions: 85.1 scored and 80.4 allowed, with 58.4% two-point shooting but 13.6 turnovers per game.
- Crvena scored 101 in its only home ABA game this season, a 101-91 win over Buducnost on 10 Oct.
- Crvena had 2.7 days rest after a 29 Oct EuroLeague game; Siroki had 3.75 days after 28 Oct.
BetBugs · HandicapSiroki Brijeg +21.5Estimated chance67.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 92.8, Siroki Brijeg 77.2. Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this.
- Crvena Zvezda averaged 92.0 points and 84.8 conceded in four ABA League games this season (4–24 Oct 2026).
- Siroki Brijeg averaged 81.5 points and 78.5 conceded in four ABA League games this season (2–22 Oct 2026).
- Crvena's last 15 games across competitions: 87.0 scored and 80.7 allowed, with 55.8% two-point and 33.8% three-point shooting.
- Siroki's last 15 games across competitions: 85.1 scored and 80.4 allowed, with 58.4% two-point shooting but 13.6 turnovers per game.
- Crvena scored 101 in its only home ABA game this season, a 101-91 win over Buducnost on 10 Oct.
- Crvena had 2.7 days rest after a 29 Oct EuroLeague game; Siroki had 3.75 days after 28 Oct.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultCrvena Zvezda MeridianbetEstimated chance67.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 92.8, Siroki Brijeg 77.2. Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet are ahead at the end of the 3rd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Crvena Zvezda averaged 92.0 points and 84.8 conceded in four ABA League games this season (4–24 Oct 2026).
- Siroki Brijeg averaged 81.5 points and 78.5 conceded in four ABA League games this season (2–22 Oct 2026).
- Crvena's last 15 games across competitions: 87.0 scored and 80.7 allowed, with 55.8% two-point and 33.8% three-point shooting.
- Siroki's last 15 games across competitions: 85.1 scored and 80.4 allowed, with 58.4% two-point shooting but 13.6 turnovers per game.
- Crvena scored 101 in its only home ABA game this season, a 101-91 win over Buducnost on 10 Oct.
- Crvena had 2.7 days rest after a 29 Oct EuroLeague game; Siroki had 3.75 days after 28 Oct.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter ResultCrvena Zvezda MeridianbetEstimated chance65.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 92.8, Siroki Brijeg 77.2. Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet cover -2.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet and 15 for Siroki Brijeg, across seasons and competitions.
- Crvena Zvezda averaged 92.0 points and 84.8 conceded in four ABA League games this season (4–24 Oct 2026).
- Siroki Brijeg averaged 81.5 points and 78.5 conceded in four ABA League games this season (2–22 Oct 2026).
- Crvena's last 15 games across competitions: 87.0 scored and 80.7 allowed, with 55.8% two-point and 33.8% three-point shooting.
- Siroki's last 15 games across competitions: 85.1 scored and 80.4 allowed, with 58.4% two-point shooting but 13.6 turnovers per game.
- Crvena scored 101 in its only home ABA game this season, a 101-91 win over Buducnost on 10 Oct.
- Crvena had 2.7 days rest after a 29 Oct EuroLeague game; Siroki had 3.75 days after 28 Oct.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet -2.5Estimated chance62.9%

Points3 outcomes · top 77.6%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 92.8, Siroki Brijeg 77.2. The 3rd quarter has more than 36.5 points in about 78 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet and 15 for Siroki Brijeg, across seasons and competitions.
- Crvena Zvezda averaged 92.0 points and 84.8 conceded in four ABA League games this season (4–24 Oct 2026).
- Siroki Brijeg averaged 81.5 points and 78.5 conceded in four ABA League games this season (2–22 Oct 2026).
- Crvena's last 15 games across competitions: 87.0 scored and 80.7 allowed, with 55.8% two-point and 33.8% three-point shooting.
- Siroki's last 15 games across competitions: 85.1 scored and 80.4 allowed, with 58.4% two-point shooting but 13.6 turnovers per game.
- Crvena scored 101 in its only home ABA game this season, a 101-91 win over Buducnost on 10 Oct.
- Crvena had 2.7 days rest after a 29 Oct EuroLeague game; Siroki had 3.75 days after 28 Oct.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointsOver 36.5Estimated chance77.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 92.8, Siroki Brijeg 77.2. Siroki Brijeg score fewer than 21.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet and 15 for Siroki Brijeg, across seasons and competitions.
- Crvena Zvezda averaged 92.0 points and 84.8 conceded in four ABA League games this season (4–24 Oct 2026).
- Siroki Brijeg averaged 81.5 points and 78.5 conceded in four ABA League games this season (2–22 Oct 2026).
- Crvena's last 15 games across competitions: 87.0 scored and 80.7 allowed, with 55.8% two-point and 33.8% three-point shooting.
- Siroki's last 15 games across competitions: 85.1 scored and 80.4 allowed, with 58.4% two-point shooting but 13.6 turnovers per game.
- Crvena scored 101 in its only home ABA game this season, a 101-91 win over Buducnost on 10 Oct.
- Crvena had 2.7 days rest after a 29 Oct EuroLeague game; Siroki had 3.75 days after 28 Oct.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsSiroki Brijeg under 21.5Estimated chance66.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 92.8, Siroki Brijeg 77.2. Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet score fewer than 24.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet and 15 for Siroki Brijeg, across seasons and competitions.
- Crvena Zvezda averaged 92.0 points and 84.8 conceded in four ABA League games this season (4–24 Oct 2026).
- Siroki Brijeg averaged 81.5 points and 78.5 conceded in four ABA League games this season (2–22 Oct 2026).
- Crvena's last 15 games across competitions: 87.0 scored and 80.7 allowed, with 55.8% two-point and 33.8% three-point shooting.
- Siroki's last 15 games across competitions: 85.1 scored and 80.4 allowed, with 58.4% two-point shooting but 13.6 turnovers per game.
- Crvena scored 101 in its only home ABA game this season, a 101-91 win over Buducnost on 10 Oct.
- Crvena had 2.7 days rest after a 29 Oct EuroLeague game; Siroki had 3.75 days after 28 Oct.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet under 24.5Estimated chance63.7%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 31, 04:24

Selected line

170.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

50%

Chance of 171+ points

5 pp below break-even

Over 1.83 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 50%.

Move the line main 170.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 50%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 50%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W73–66

Crvena zvezda mtsv

Siroki Brijeg

Dec 28, 2013·ABA

L80–79

Siroki Brijegv

Crvena zvezda mts

Oct 5, 2013·ABA

L78–74

Siroki Brijegv

Crvena zvezda mts

Mar 11, 2013·ABA

W69–57

Crvena zvezda mtsv

Siroki Brijeg

Dec 2, 2012·ABA

L76–66

Siroki Brijegv

Crvena zvezda mts

Feb 29, 2012·ABA

W83–72

Crvena zvezda mtsv

Siroki Brijeg

Dec 16, 2011·ABA

W81–70

Crvena zvezda mtsv

Siroki Brijeg

Mar 4, 2011·ABA

L78–75

Siroki Brijegv

Crvena zvezda mts

Dec 5, 2010·ABA

L95–80

Siroki Brijegv

Crvena zvezda mts

Feb 6, 2010·ABA

W97–81

Crvena zvezda mtsv

Siroki Brijeg

Nov 14, 2009·ABA

153Avg total points

9Avg margin

10meetings

League table

ABA League · AdmiralBet ABA League - Regular Season · Group A

#TeamW–LWin %

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

3–175%

Siroki Brijeg

3–175%

Recent Form

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

9W 6L · last 15

vs Bayern103–73 Oct 29EUR

vs Maccabi Tel Aviv100–78 Oct 27EUR

at Igokea81–80 Oct 24ABA

at Partizan Mozzart Bet82–85 OTOct 22EUR

at KK Krka Novo mesto97–78 Oct 18ABA

vs Paris90–81 Oct 16EUR

at Lyon-Villeurbanne84–82 Oct 13EUR

vs Buducnost101–91 Oct 10ABA

at Dubai77–58 Oct 8EUR

at FMP Beograd89–90 Oct 4ABA

vs Anadolu Efes77–72 Oct 1EUR

vs Hapoel Tel Aviv80–81 Sep 29EUR

vs Zalgiris Kaunas77–83 Sep 24EUR

vs Spartak Subotica89–90 May 29SUP

vs Partizan Mozzart Bet78–89 May 21ABA

Siroki Brijeg

9W 6L · last 15

at Mrkonjic Grad90–71 Oct 28PRV

vs Drina87–57 Oct 25PRV

vs Slovan Bratislava91–98 Oct 22ABA

vs Leotar Trebinje77–59 Oct 19PRV

at FMP Beograd78–66 Oct 17ABA

at Slavija96–106 Oct 12PRV

vs Cedevita Olimpija70–69 Oct 10ABA

vs Gradina Tesanj76–69 Oct 5PRV

at Borac Mozzart87–81 Oct 2ABA

at Igokea90–104 May 25PRV

vs Igokea87–107 May 23PRV

at Jahorina88–78 May 20PRV

vs Borac Banja Luka99–66 May 16PRV

at Sloboda72–84 May 13PRV

vs Jahorina88–91 OTMay 9PRV

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

Stats

3–2

Siroki Brijeg

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+2.6pp

55.8%

+2.6pp

58.4%

3-point %+1.5pp

33.8%

+1.5pp

32.3%

Free-throw %8/15 games+3.2pp

73.8%

+3.2pp

70.6%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s3.8pp apart

32.2%

3.8pp apart

28.4%

Free throws per shot8/15 games2.1pp apart

31.4%

2.1pp apart

29.3%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game14/15 games+0.7

33.4

+0.7

34.1

Turnovers per game2.7 fewer

10.9

2.7 fewer

13.6

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.