Lega Basket Serie AUpcomingFeatured

Basket NapoliVenezia

Sun 1 Nov 2026, 11:001 Nov, 11:00

10Probabilities1Priced1Edges73.8%Strongest

Strong leanLeanSlight lean

Quick Take

Read first

Napoli's 4-1 league start and sharper shooting meet a Venezia side that has won nine of the last ten meetings and is 2-0 on the league road.

The game shapes as a narrow Napoli win, around 92.1 to 88.4 after 40 minutes. Over 176.5 combined points at 1.83 is the one worthwhile quoted price; Napoli under 90.5 points at 1.7 and Venezia under 86.5 points at 1.68 do not justify backing.

Context

Napoli are without Leonardo Totè and Andrej Jakimovski, though neither is in the nine-man rotation; Venezia's Sir' Jabari Rice is listed out but not confirmed. Those availability questions sit alongside Venezia's 2-0 league road start and Napoli's 1-1 home record.

Totè is unavailable for this Serie A meeting, removing him from Napoli’s available selection.
- Leonardo Totè is listed unavailable for Napoli’s home game against Venezia.
Jakimovski’s abdominal injury rules him out against Venezia. Napoli will have to cover his absence within the available group.
- Andrej Jakimovski is out with an abdominal muscle injury.
Venezia’s unbeaten road start is a relevant backdrop for a game in Naples, while Napoli’s home record currently covers only two league matches.
- Napoli have a 4-1 Serie A record and are 1-1 at home.
- Venezia have a 3-2 Serie A record and are 2-0 away from home.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result4 outcomes · top 73.8%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basket Napoli 92.1, Venezia 88.4. Basket Napoli cover +3.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Basket Napoli and 15 for Venezia, across seasons and competitions.
- Napoli are 4-1 in Lega A, scoring 93.2 and conceding 87.2 per game over five league games through 25 Oct.
- Venezia are 3-2 in Lega A, scoring 90.2 and conceding 88.6 per game over five league games through 25 Oct.
- Napoli's overall shooting is stronger: 57.1% on two-pointers and 39.7% on three-pointers across 15 tracked games, against Venezia's 51.9% and 37.3% across 14.
- Venezia hold a rebounding edge (33.7 to 31.5 per game) and a turnover edge (11.3 to 13.3 per game) over the tracked samples.
- Venezia have won nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including 79-64 in Naples on 8 Feb 2026, though that run spans older rosters.
- Napoli ruled out Leonardo Totè and Andrej Jakimovski on 29 Oct, but neither appears in the nine-man box-score rotation.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapBasket Napoli +3.5Estimated chance73.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basket Napoli 92.1, Venezia 88.4. Basket Napoli cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Basket Napoli and 15 for Venezia, across seasons and competitions.
- Napoli are 4-1 in Lega A, scoring 93.2 and conceding 87.2 per game over five league games through 25 Oct.
- Venezia are 3-2 in Lega A, scoring 90.2 and conceding 88.6 per game over five league games through 25 Oct.
- Napoli's overall shooting is stronger: 57.1% on two-pointers and 39.7% on three-pointers across 15 tracked games, against Venezia's 51.9% and 37.3% across 14.
- Venezia hold a rebounding edge (33.7 to 31.5 per game) and a turnover edge (11.3 to 13.3 per game) over the tracked samples.
- Venezia have won nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including 79-64 in Naples on 8 Feb 2026, though that run spans older rosters.
- Napoli ruled out Leonardo Totè and Andrej Jakimovski on 29 Oct, but neither appears in the nine-man box-score rotation.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapBasket Napoli +1.5Estimated chance62.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basket Napoli 92.1, Venezia 88.4. Basket Napoli win in about 62 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Napoli are 4-1 in Lega A, scoring 93.2 and conceding 87.2 per game over five league games through 25 Oct.
- Venezia are 3-2 in Lega A, scoring 90.2 and conceding 88.6 per game over five league games through 25 Oct.
- Napoli's overall shooting is stronger: 57.1% on two-pointers and 39.7% on three-pointers across 15 tracked games, against Venezia's 51.9% and 37.3% across 14.
- Venezia hold a rebounding edge (33.7 to 31.5 per game) and a turnover edge (11.3 to 13.3 per game) over the tracked samples.
- Venezia have won nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including 79-64 in Naples on 8 Feb 2026, though that run spans older rosters.
- Napoli ruled out Leonardo Totè and Andrej Jakimovski on 29 Oct, but neither appears in the nine-man box-score rotation.
BetBugs · Match WinnerBasket NapoliEstimated chance61.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basket Napoli 92.1, Venezia 88.4. Basket Napoli are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Napoli are 4-1 in Lega A, scoring 93.2 and conceding 87.2 per game over five league games through 25 Oct.
- Venezia are 3-2 in Lega A, scoring 90.2 and conceding 88.6 per game over five league games through 25 Oct.
- Napoli's overall shooting is stronger: 57.1% on two-pointers and 39.7% on three-pointers across 15 tracked games, against Venezia's 51.9% and 37.3% across 14.
- Venezia hold a rebounding edge (33.7 to 31.5 per game) and a turnover edge (11.3 to 13.3 per game) over the tracked samples.
- Venezia have won nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including 79-64 in Naples on 8 Feb 2026, though that run spans older rosters.
- Napoli ruled out Leonardo Totè and Andrej Jakimovski on 29 Oct, but neither appears in the nine-man box-score rotation.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultBasket NapoliEstimated chance56.4%

Points6 outcomes · top 61.4%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.83
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basket Napoli 92.1, Venezia 88.4. The game has more than 176.5 points (overtime included) in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Napoli are 4-1 in Lega A, scoring 93.2 and conceding 87.2 per game over five league games through 25 Oct.
- Venezia are 3-2 in Lega A, scoring 90.2 and conceding 88.6 per game over five league games through 25 Oct.
- Napoli's overall shooting is stronger: 57.1% on two-pointers and 39.7% on three-pointers across 15 tracked games, against Venezia's 51.9% and 37.3% across 14.
- Venezia hold a rebounding edge (33.7 to 31.5 per game) and a turnover edge (11.3 to 13.3 per game) over the tracked samples.
- Venezia have won nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including 79-64 in Naples on 8 Feb 2026, though that run spans older rosters.
- Napoli ruled out Leonardo Totè and Andrej Jakimovski on 29 Oct, but neither appears in the nine-man box-score rotation.
BetBugs · Total PointsOver 176.5Market price1.83Estimated chance61.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basket Napoli 92.1, Venezia 88.4. Venezia score more than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Napoli are 4-1 in Lega A, scoring 93.2 and conceding 87.2 per game over five league games through 25 Oct.
- Venezia are 3-2 in Lega A, scoring 90.2 and conceding 88.6 per game over five league games through 25 Oct.
- Napoli's overall shooting is stronger: 57.1% on two-pointers and 39.7% on three-pointers across 15 tracked games, against Venezia's 51.9% and 37.3% across 14.
- Venezia hold a rebounding edge (33.7 to 31.5 per game) and a turnover edge (11.3 to 13.3 per game) over the tracked samples.
- Venezia have won nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including 79-64 in Naples on 8 Feb 2026, though that run spans older rosters.
- Napoli ruled out Leonardo Totè and Andrej Jakimovski on 29 Oct, but neither appears in the nine-man box-score rotation.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointsVenezia over 42.5Estimated chance59.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basket Napoli 92.1, Venezia 88.4. Venezia score more than 86.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Napoli are 4-1 in Lega A, scoring 93.2 and conceding 87.2 per game over five league games through 25 Oct.
- Venezia are 3-2 in Lega A, scoring 90.2 and conceding 88.6 per game over five league games through 25 Oct.
- Napoli's overall shooting is stronger: 57.1% on two-pointers and 39.7% on three-pointers across 15 tracked games, against Venezia's 51.9% and 37.3% across 14.
- Venezia hold a rebounding edge (33.7 to 31.5 per game) and a turnover edge (11.3 to 13.3 per game) over the tracked samples.
- Venezia have won nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including 79-64 in Naples on 8 Feb 2026, though that run spans older rosters.
- Napoli ruled out Leonardo Totè and Andrej Jakimovski on 29 Oct, but neither appears in the nine-man box-score rotation.
BetBugs · Team PointsVenezia over 86.5Estimated chance58.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basket Napoli 92.1, Venezia 88.4. Basket Napoli score more than 90.5 points (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this.
- Napoli are 4-1 in Lega A, scoring 93.2 and conceding 87.2 per game over five league games through 25 Oct.
- Venezia are 3-2 in Lega A, scoring 90.2 and conceding 88.6 per game over five league games through 25 Oct.
- Napoli's overall shooting is stronger: 57.1% on two-pointers and 39.7% on three-pointers across 15 tracked games, against Venezia's 51.9% and 37.3% across 14.
- Venezia hold a rebounding edge (33.7 to 31.5 per game) and a turnover edge (11.3 to 13.3 per game) over the tracked samples.
- Venezia have won nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including 79-64 in Naples on 8 Feb 2026, though that run spans older rosters.
- Napoli ruled out Leonardo Totè and Andrej Jakimovski on 29 Oct, but neither appears in the nine-man box-score rotation.
BetBugs · Team PointsBasket Napoli over 90.5Estimated chance58.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basket Napoli 92.1, Venezia 88.4. The 1st half has more than 88.5 points in about 57 of 100 games like this.
- Napoli are 4-1 in Lega A, scoring 93.2 and conceding 87.2 per game over five league games through 25 Oct.
- Venezia are 3-2 in Lega A, scoring 90.2 and conceding 88.6 per game over five league games through 25 Oct.
- Napoli's overall shooting is stronger: 57.1% on two-pointers and 39.7% on three-pointers across 15 tracked games, against Venezia's 51.9% and 37.3% across 14.
- Venezia hold a rebounding edge (33.7 to 31.5 per game) and a turnover edge (11.3 to 13.3 per game) over the tracked samples.
- Venezia have won nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including 79-64 in Naples on 8 Feb 2026, though that run spans older rosters.
- Napoli ruled out Leonardo Totè and Andrej Jakimovski on 29 Oct, but neither appears in the nine-man box-score rotation.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointsOver 88.5Estimated chance57.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Basket Napoli 92.1, Venezia 88.4. The 3rd quarter has more than 43.5 points in about 56 of 100 games like this.
- Napoli are 4-1 in Lega A, scoring 93.2 and conceding 87.2 per game over five league games through 25 Oct.
- Venezia are 3-2 in Lega A, scoring 90.2 and conceding 88.6 per game over five league games through 25 Oct.
- Napoli's overall shooting is stronger: 57.1% on two-pointers and 39.7% on three-pointers across 15 tracked games, against Venezia's 51.9% and 37.3% across 14.
- Venezia hold a rebounding edge (33.7 to 31.5 per game) and a turnover edge (11.3 to 13.3 per game) over the tracked samples.
- Venezia have won nine of the last ten head-to-head meetings, including 79-64 in Naples on 8 Feb 2026, though that run spans older rosters.
- Napoli ruled out Leonardo Totè and Andrej Jakimovski on 29 Oct, but neither appears in the nine-man box-score rotation.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointsOver 43.5Estimated chance56.3%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 31, 01:47

Selected line

176.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

61%

Chance of 177+ points

+7 pp above break-even

Over 1.83 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 61%.

Move the line main 176.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 61%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 39%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L64–79

Basket Napoliv Venezia

Venezia

Feb 8, 2026·LEG

L106–96

Veneziav

Basket Napoli

Dec 21, 2025·LEG

L91–68

Veneziav

Basket Napoli

Feb 9, 2025·LEG

L80–81

Basket Napoliv Venezia

Venezia

Nov 3, 2024·LEG

L90–97

Basket Napoliv Venezia

Venezia

Mar 30, 2024·LEG

W81–89

Veneziav

Basket Napoli

Jan 7, 2024·LEG

L91–93

Basket Napoliv Venezia

Venezia

Apr 16, 2023·LEG

L82–71

Veneziav

Basket Napoli

Nov 6, 2022·LEG

L76–81

Basket Napoliv Venezia

Venezia

Feb 19, 2022·LEG

L79–75

Veneziav

Basket Napoli

Jan 5, 2022·LEG

167Avg total points

8.6Avg margin

10meetings

League table

Lega Basket Serie A · Lega A - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Basket Napoli

4–180%

Venezia

3–260%

Recent Form

Basket Napoli

12W 3L · last 15

at Neptunas94–85 Oct 28EUR

at Tortona92–90 Oct 25LEG

vs Tofas105–101 OTOct 21EUR

vs Olimpia Milano82–98 Oct 18LEG

at Slask Wroclaw86–82 Oct 14EUR

at Cantu99–80 Oct 11LEG

at Buducnost93–75 Oct 6EUR

vs Reggiana99–93 Oct 3LEG

vs JL Bourg84–76 Sep 30EUR

at Maxima Roma94–75 Sep 27LEG

vs Udine98–71 May 10LEG

at Reggiana80–91 May 3LEG

vs Trento84–74 Apr 25LEG

at Olimpia Milano97–125 Apr 19LEG

vs Treviso88–71 Apr 12LEG

Venezia

7W 8L · last 15

at Tenerife80–82 Oct 28EUR

vs Treviso89–97 OTOct 25LEG

at Maxima Roma79–90 Oct 21EUR

at BC Roma104–98 Oct 17LEG

vs Turk Telekom75–65 Oct 14EUR

vs Virtus Bologna86–93 Oct 11LEG

at Cluj-Napoca92–98 Oct 7EUR

at Trieste87–82 Oct 4LEG

vs Frankfurt104–72 Sep 29EUR

vs Cantu85–73 Sep 26LEG

vs Olimpia Milano87–94 OTSep 20LEG

at Tortona98–90 Sep 19LEG

vs Olimpia Milano72–86 Jun 18LEG

vs Olimpia Milano109–97 Jun 16LEG

at Olimpia Milano79–92 Jun 13LEG

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Basket Napoli

Stats

2–3

Venezia

Venezia leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %15/14 games+5.2pp

57.1%

+5.2pp

51.9%

3-point %15/14 games+2.4pp

39.7%

+2.4pp

37.3%

Free-throw %10/10 games+3.3pp

74.4%

+3.3pp

77.7%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s15/14 games3.1pp apart

35.4%

3.1pp apart

32.3%

Free throws per shot10/10 games0.7pp apart

31.5%

0.7pp apart

30.8%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game15/14 games+2.2

31.5

+2.2

33.7

Turnovers per game2.0 fewer

13.3

2.0 fewer

11.3

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.