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Tajfun SentjurGorica

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 16:3031 Oct, 16:30

10Probabilities1Priced1Edges77.6%Strongest

Strong leanLean

Quick Take

Read first

Tajfun Sentjur are 0-5 in the league and host a Gorica side that shoots better from two and rebounds more, so Gorica by around ten points is the likely outcome.

Gorica's latest game listed several regulars as absent, a fair caveat on the rotation. The price that stands out is over 73.5 combined first-half points at 1.83.

Context

Gorica's 52.4% two-point shooting and 32.9 rebounds per game against Tajfun's 46.2% and 29.5 rebounds per game point to a real on-court gap, softened by only five league games each and Gorica's unsettled rotation in their latest game.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result5 outcomes · top 77.6%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tajfun Sentjur 71.1, Gorica 80.7. Gorica win in about 78 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Tajfun are 0-5 in Liga OTP banka through 21 Oct, scoring 66.2 and allowing 86.8 points per league game.
- Gorica are 2-3 in the same league through 24 Oct, scoring 72.8 and allowing 74.4 points per league game.
- Tajfun's two home league games on 3 and 17 Oct produced 70.5 points scored and 91.5 allowed.
- Gorica's three away league games from 23 Sep to 24 Oct produced 68.7 points scored and 75.7 allowed.
- Over 13 box-score games each, Gorica shoots 52.4% on two-pointers versus Tajfun's 46.2%, and rebounds 32.9 versus 29.5, though Gorica turns it over 16.9 versus 15.0.
BetBugs · Match WinnerGoricaEstimated chance77.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tajfun Sentjur 71.1, Gorica 80.7. Gorica cover -1.5 (overtime included) in about 76 of 100 games like this.
- Tajfun are 0-5 in Liga OTP banka through 21 Oct, scoring 66.2 and allowing 86.8 points per league game.
- Gorica are 2-3 in the same league through 24 Oct, scoring 72.8 and allowing 74.4 points per league game.
- Tajfun's two home league games on 3 and 17 Oct produced 70.5 points scored and 91.5 allowed.
- Gorica's three away league games from 23 Sep to 24 Oct produced 68.7 points scored and 75.7 allowed.
- Over 13 box-score games each, Gorica shoots 52.4% on two-pointers versus Tajfun's 46.2%, and rebounds 32.9 versus 29.5, though Gorica turns it over 16.9 versus 15.0.
BetBugs · HandicapGorica -1.5Estimated chance75.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tajfun Sentjur 71.1, Gorica 80.7. Gorica are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- Tajfun are 0-5 in Liga OTP banka through 21 Oct, scoring 66.2 and allowing 86.8 points per league game.
- Gorica are 2-3 in the same league through 24 Oct, scoring 72.8 and allowing 74.4 points per league game.
- Tajfun's two home league games on 3 and 17 Oct produced 70.5 points scored and 91.5 allowed.
- Gorica's three away league games from 23 Sep to 24 Oct produced 68.7 points scored and 75.7 allowed.
- Over 13 box-score games each, Gorica shoots 52.4% on two-pointers versus Tajfun's 46.2%, and rebounds 32.9 versus 29.5, though Gorica turns it over 16.9 versus 15.0.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultGoricaEstimated chance69.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tajfun Sentjur 71.1, Gorica 80.7. Gorica cover -0.5 in the 1st half in about 69 of 100 games like this.
- Tajfun are 0-5 in Liga OTP banka through 21 Oct, scoring 66.2 and allowing 86.8 points per league game.
- Gorica are 2-3 in the same league through 24 Oct, scoring 72.8 and allowing 74.4 points per league game.
- Tajfun's two home league games on 3 and 17 Oct produced 70.5 points scored and 91.5 allowed.
- Gorica's three away league games from 23 Sep to 24 Oct produced 68.7 points scored and 75.7 allowed.
- Over 13 box-score games each, Gorica shoots 52.4% on two-pointers versus Tajfun's 46.2%, and rebounds 32.9 versus 29.5, though Gorica turns it over 16.9 versus 15.0.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapGorica -0.5Estimated chance69.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tajfun Sentjur 71.1, Gorica 80.7. Gorica cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tajfun Sentjur and 15 for Gorica, across seasons and competitions.
- Tajfun are 0-5 in Liga OTP banka through 21 Oct, scoring 66.2 and allowing 86.8 points per league game.
- Gorica are 2-3 in the same league through 24 Oct, scoring 72.8 and allowing 74.4 points per league game.
- Tajfun's two home league games on 3 and 17 Oct produced 70.5 points scored and 91.5 allowed.
- Gorica's three away league games from 23 Sep to 24 Oct produced 68.7 points scored and 75.7 allowed.
- Over 13 box-score games each, Gorica shoots 52.4% on two-pointers versus Tajfun's 46.2%, and rebounds 32.9 versus 29.5, though Gorica turns it over 16.9 versus 15.0.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapGorica +0.5Estimated chance68.5%

Points5 outcomes · top 67.5%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tajfun Sentjur 71.1, Gorica 80.7. Gorica score more than 76.5 points (overtime included) in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Tajfun are 0-5 in Liga OTP banka through 21 Oct, scoring 66.2 and allowing 86.8 points per league game.
- Gorica are 2-3 in the same league through 24 Oct, scoring 72.8 and allowing 74.4 points per league game.
- Tajfun's two home league games on 3 and 17 Oct produced 70.5 points scored and 91.5 allowed.
- Gorica's three away league games from 23 Sep to 24 Oct produced 68.7 points scored and 75.7 allowed.
- Over 13 box-score games each, Gorica shoots 52.4% on two-pointers versus Tajfun's 46.2%, and rebounds 32.9 versus 29.5, though Gorica turns it over 16.9 versus 15.0.
BetBugs · Team PointsGorica over 76.5Estimated chance67.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tajfun Sentjur 71.1, Gorica 80.7. Gorica score more than 37.5 points in the 1st half in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Tajfun are 0-5 in Liga OTP banka through 21 Oct, scoring 66.2 and allowing 86.8 points per league game.
- Gorica are 2-3 in the same league through 24 Oct, scoring 72.8 and allowing 74.4 points per league game.
- Tajfun's two home league games on 3 and 17 Oct produced 70.5 points scored and 91.5 allowed.
- Gorica's three away league games from 23 Sep to 24 Oct produced 68.7 points scored and 75.7 allowed.
- Over 13 box-score games each, Gorica shoots 52.4% on two-pointers versus Tajfun's 46.2%, and rebounds 32.9 versus 29.5, though Gorica turns it over 16.9 versus 15.0.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointsGorica over 37.5Estimated chance67.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tajfun Sentjur 71.1, Gorica 80.7. Gorica score more than 18.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tajfun Sentjur and 15 for Gorica, across seasons and competitions.
- Tajfun are 0-5 in Liga OTP banka through 21 Oct, scoring 66.2 and allowing 86.8 points per league game.
- Gorica are 2-3 in the same league through 24 Oct, scoring 72.8 and allowing 74.4 points per league game.
- Tajfun's two home league games on 3 and 17 Oct produced 70.5 points scored and 91.5 allowed.
- Gorica's three away league games from 23 Sep to 24 Oct produced 68.7 points scored and 75.7 allowed.
- Over 13 box-score games each, Gorica shoots 52.4% on two-pointers versus Tajfun's 46.2%, and rebounds 32.9 versus 29.5, though Gorica turns it over 16.9 versus 15.0.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointsGorica over 18.5Estimated chance65.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tajfun Sentjur 71.1, Gorica 80.7. Tajfun Sentjur score fewer than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Tajfun Sentjur and 15 for Gorica, across seasons and competitions.
- Tajfun are 0-5 in Liga OTP banka through 21 Oct, scoring 66.2 and allowing 86.8 points per league game.
- Gorica are 2-3 in the same league through 24 Oct, scoring 72.8 and allowing 74.4 points per league game.
- Tajfun's two home league games on 3 and 17 Oct produced 70.5 points scored and 91.5 allowed.
- Gorica's three away league games from 23 Sep to 24 Oct produced 68.7 points scored and 75.7 allowed.
- Over 13 box-score games each, Gorica shoots 52.4% on two-pointers versus Tajfun's 46.2%, and rebounds 32.9 versus 29.5, though Gorica turns it over 16.9 versus 15.0.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointsTajfun Sentjur under 19.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.83
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Tajfun Sentjur 71.1, Gorica 80.7. The 1st half has more than 73.5 points in about 60 of 100 games like this.
- Tajfun are 0-5 in Liga OTP banka through 21 Oct, scoring 66.2 and allowing 86.8 points per league game.
- Gorica are 2-3 in the same league through 24 Oct, scoring 72.8 and allowing 74.4 points per league game.
- Tajfun's two home league games on 3 and 17 Oct produced 70.5 points scored and 91.5 allowed.
- Gorica's three away league games from 23 Sep to 24 Oct produced 68.7 points scored and 75.7 allowed.
- Over 13 box-score games each, Gorica shoots 52.4% on two-pointers versus Tajfun's 46.2%, and rebounds 32.9 versus 29.5, though Gorica turns it over 16.9 versus 15.0.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointsOver 73.5Market price1.83Estimated chance59.5%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 30, 20:08

Selected line

148.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

59%

Chance of 149+ points

+4 pp above break-even

Over 1.79 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 59%.

Move the line main 148.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 59%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 41%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W67–60

Tajfun Sentjurv Gorica

Gorica

Apr 4, 2009·LIG

L84–73

Goricav

Tajfun Sentjur

Mar 18, 2009·LIG

L71–74

Tajfun Sentjurv Gorica

Gorica

Jan 17, 2009·LIG

W72–79

Goricav

Tajfun Sentjur

Oct 24, 2008·LIG

145Avg total points

7Avg margin

4meetings

League table

Liga UPC · Liga OTP banka - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Tajfun Sentjur

0–50%

Gorica

2–340%

Recent Form

Tajfun Sentjur

3W 12L · last 15

vs Rogaska73–74 Oct 27SLO

at Perspektiva Ilirija62–78 Oct 21LIG

vs Polzela67–84 Oct 17LIG

at Zlatorog Lasko73–86 Oct 11LIG

at Vrani Vransko116–71 Oct 6SLO

vs Sencur74–99 Oct 3LIG

at KK Krka Novo mesto55–87 Sep 22LIG

at KK Triglav Kranj58–82 May 3LIG

vs Sencur68–74 Apr 28LIG

at Helios Domzale85–80 Apr 23LIG

vs KK Krka Novo mesto60–103 Apr 15LIG

vs Zlatorog Lasko64–65 Apr 11LIG

at Perspektiva Ilirija64–96 Apr 6LIG

at Terme Olimia Podčetrtek82–63 Apr 4LIG

vs Rogaska82–87 Mar 28LIG

Gorica

7W 8L · last 15

at Hermes59–67 Oct 25PRV

at Polzela67–74 Oct 24LIG

vs LTH Castings85–58 Oct 20SLO

vs Jazine95–104 Oct 18PRV

vs Sencur70–76 Oct 17LIG

at Crnomelj106–53 Oct 13SLO

at Rogaska80–67 Oct 10LIG

at Sonik Puntamika74–84 Oct 10PRV

vs Helios Domzale88–69 Oct 3LIG

at Perspektiva Ilirija59–86 Sep 23LIG

vs Novi Zagreb98–84 Apr 18PRV

at Skrljevo72–108 Apr 11PRV

vs Mladost78–71 Apr 1PRV

at Omis65–94 Mar 28PRV

vs Jazine102–79 Mar 21PRV

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Tajfun Sentjur

13 games

Stats

2–3

Gorica

13 games

Gorica leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %+6.2pp

46.2%

+6.2pp

52.4%

3-point %+1.0pp

29.1%

+1.0pp

30.1%

Free-throw %+2.6pp

67.9%

+2.6pp

65.3%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s1.7pp apart

32.4%

1.7pp apart

30.7%

Free throws per shot2.4pp apart

30.3%

2.4pp apart

27.9%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+3.4

29.5

+3.4

32.9

Turnovers per game1.9 fewer

15.0

1.9 fewer

16.9

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 73.5

Result5 outcomes · top 77.6%

Points5 outcomes · top 67.5%

Total points

League table

Recent Form

Tajfun Sentjur

Gorica