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SlogaHercegovac

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 18:3031 Oct, 18:30

10Probabilities1Priced2Edges74.5%Strongest

Strong leanLean

Quick Take

Read first

Sloga score freely at 92.0 points per game over four games; Hercegovac have managed 76.8 over the same span, and that gap is the whole story of this First League game.

Sloga are the likelier winner, and 1.62 about them is a price worth taking. Over 168.5 combined points at 1.82 is the smaller edge.

Context

Hercegovac's possible addition of Rashun Davis, listed as re-signing on 25 October, is unconfirmed for this game. The four-game scoring gap — Sloga 92.0 scored, Hercegovac 76.8 — is the main sporting condition behind the projection.

Rashun Davis was listed as returning to Hercegovac late in the week before Sloga. The signing may expand the players available to the coach for this fixture. Availability for this game is unconfirmed.
- Rashun Davis was listed as re-signing with Hercegovac on 25 October.
The 14-point defeat to Borac ZM is Hercegovac's most recent sourced result before facing Sloga and provides a current form reference for the fixture.
- Hercegovac lost 85-71 at home to Borac ZM on 23 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Match WinnerUncertainty band: Strong lean

Sloga

1.62fair 1.42

Market 61.7% · BetBugs 70.5%

+8.7ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Sloga 89.0, Hercegovac 82.2. Sloga win in about 70 of 100 games like this, overtime included. Sloga's current scoring and home setting point to a score in the high 80s, while Hercegovac's lower current output and the likely regulation adjustment for their overtime game pull their total to about 82. The recent head-to-heads were close but lower-scoring, so I keep the total near 170 rather than Sloga's recent 180+ games.

Total PointsUncertainty band: Lean

Over 168.5

1.82fair 1.72

Market 54.9% · BetBugs 58.2%

+3.2ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Sloga 89.0, Hercegovac 82.2. The game has more than 168.5 points (overtime included) in about 58 of 100 games like this. Sloga's current scoring and home setting point to a score in the high 80s, while Hercegovac's lower current output and the likely regulation adjustment for their overtime game pull their total to about 82. The recent head-to-heads were close but lower-scoring, so I keep the total near 170 rather than Sloga's recent 180+ games.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result5 outcomes · top 70.7%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sloga 89.0, Hercegovac 82.2. Sloga cover +2.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sloga and 15 for Hercegovac, across seasons and competitions.
- Sloga are 2-2 in the 2026-27 First League, scoring 92.0 and allowing 94.0 per game over four games through 24 October.
- Hercegovac are 1-3 in the same competition, scoring 76.8 and allowing 79.8 per game over four games through 25 October; their 91-92 loss at Tamis on 18 October went to overtime.
- Sloga shot 59.2% on two-pointers and 34.4% on three-pointers across 15 box scores from 11 February to 24 October 2026.
- Hercegovac shot 60.3% on two-pointers and 32.6% on three-pointers across 13 box scores, with 13.9 turnovers per game over 15 games.
- Sloga scored 99 in their only current home First League game, a 99-95 win over Tamis on 12 October.
- The last two head-to-head First League games were close and low-scoring: Sloga won 84-80 at home on 4 October 2025, and Hercegovac won 79-78 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapSloga +2.5Estimated chance70.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.62
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sloga 89.0, Hercegovac 82.2. Sloga win in about 70 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Sloga are 2-2 in the 2026-27 First League, scoring 92.0 and allowing 94.0 per game over four games through 24 October.
- Hercegovac are 1-3 in the same competition, scoring 76.8 and allowing 79.8 per game over four games through 25 October; their 91-92 loss at Tamis on 18 October went to overtime.
- Sloga shot 59.2% on two-pointers and 34.4% on three-pointers across 15 box scores from 11 February to 24 October 2026.
- Hercegovac shot 60.3% on two-pointers and 32.6% on three-pointers across 13 box scores, with 13.9 turnovers per game over 15 games.
- Sloga scored 99 in their only current home First League game, a 99-95 win over Tamis on 12 October.
- The last two head-to-head First League games were close and low-scoring: Sloga won 84-80 at home on 4 October 2025, and Hercegovac won 79-78 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · Match WinnerSlogaMarket price1.62Estimated chance70.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sloga 89.0, Hercegovac 82.2. Sloga cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sloga and 15 for Hercegovac, across seasons and competitions.
- Sloga are 2-2 in the 2026-27 First League, scoring 92.0 and allowing 94.0 per game over four games through 24 October.
- Hercegovac are 1-3 in the same competition, scoring 76.8 and allowing 79.8 per game over four games through 25 October; their 91-92 loss at Tamis on 18 October went to overtime.
- Sloga shot 59.2% on two-pointers and 34.4% on three-pointers across 15 box scores from 11 February to 24 October 2026.
- Hercegovac shot 60.3% on two-pointers and 32.6% on three-pointers across 13 box scores, with 13.9 turnovers per game over 15 games.
- Sloga scored 99 in their only current home First League game, a 99-95 win over Tamis on 12 October.
- The last two head-to-head First League games were close and low-scoring: Sloga won 84-80 at home on 4 October 2025, and Hercegovac won 79-78 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapSloga +0.5Estimated chance64.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sloga 89.0, Hercegovac 82.2. Sloga are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Sloga are 2-2 in the 2026-27 First League, scoring 92.0 and allowing 94.0 per game over four games through 24 October.
- Hercegovac are 1-3 in the same competition, scoring 76.8 and allowing 79.8 per game over four games through 25 October; their 91-92 loss at Tamis on 18 October went to overtime.
- Sloga shot 59.2% on two-pointers and 34.4% on three-pointers across 15 box scores from 11 February to 24 October 2026.
- Hercegovac shot 60.3% on two-pointers and 32.6% on three-pointers across 13 box scores, with 13.9 turnovers per game over 15 games.
- Sloga scored 99 in their only current home First League game, a 99-95 win over Tamis on 12 October.
- The last two head-to-head First League games were close and low-scoring: Sloga won 84-80 at home on 4 October 2025, and Hercegovac won 79-78 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultSlogaEstimated chance63.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sloga 89.0, Hercegovac 82.2. Sloga are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 59 of 100 games like this.
- Sloga are 2-2 in the 2026-27 First League, scoring 92.0 and allowing 94.0 per game over four games through 24 October.
- Hercegovac are 1-3 in the same competition, scoring 76.8 and allowing 79.8 per game over four games through 25 October; their 91-92 loss at Tamis on 18 October went to overtime.
- Sloga shot 59.2% on two-pointers and 34.4% on three-pointers across 15 box scores from 11 February to 24 October 2026.
- Hercegovac shot 60.3% on two-pointers and 32.6% on three-pointers across 13 box scores, with 13.9 turnovers per game over 15 games.
- Sloga scored 99 in their only current home First League game, a 99-95 win over Tamis on 12 October.
- The last two head-to-head First League games were close and low-scoring: Sloga won 84-80 at home on 4 October 2025, and Hercegovac won 79-78 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultSlogaEstimated chance58.9%

Points5 outcomes · top 74.5%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sloga 89.0, Hercegovac 82.2. Sloga score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sloga and 15 for Hercegovac, across seasons and competitions.
- Sloga are 2-2 in the 2026-27 First League, scoring 92.0 and allowing 94.0 per game over four games through 24 October.
- Hercegovac are 1-3 in the same competition, scoring 76.8 and allowing 79.8 per game over four games through 25 October; their 91-92 loss at Tamis on 18 October went to overtime.
- Sloga shot 59.2% on two-pointers and 34.4% on three-pointers across 15 box scores from 11 February to 24 October 2026.
- Hercegovac shot 60.3% on two-pointers and 32.6% on three-pointers across 13 box scores, with 13.9 turnovers per game over 15 games.
- Sloga scored 99 in their only current home First League game, a 99-95 win over Tamis on 12 October.
- The last two head-to-head First League games were close and low-scoring: Sloga won 84-80 at home on 4 October 2025, and Hercegovac won 79-78 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsSloga over 18.5Estimated chance74.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sloga 89.0, Hercegovac 82.2. Sloga score more than 83.5 points (overtime included) in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- Sloga are 2-2 in the 2026-27 First League, scoring 92.0 and allowing 94.0 per game over four games through 24 October.
- Hercegovac are 1-3 in the same competition, scoring 76.8 and allowing 79.8 per game over four games through 25 October; their 91-92 loss at Tamis on 18 October went to overtime.
- Sloga shot 59.2% on two-pointers and 34.4% on three-pointers across 15 box scores from 11 February to 24 October 2026.
- Hercegovac shot 60.3% on two-pointers and 32.6% on three-pointers across 13 box scores, with 13.9 turnovers per game over 15 games.
- Sloga scored 99 in their only current home First League game, a 99-95 win over Tamis on 12 October.
- The last two head-to-head First League games were close and low-scoring: Sloga won 84-80 at home on 4 October 2025, and Hercegovac won 79-78 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · Team PointsSloga over 83.5Estimated chance71.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sloga 89.0, Hercegovac 82.2. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 45.5 points in about 64 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sloga and 15 for Hercegovac, across seasons and competitions.
- Sloga are 2-2 in the 2026-27 First League, scoring 92.0 and allowing 94.0 per game over four games through 24 October.
- Hercegovac are 1-3 in the same competition, scoring 76.8 and allowing 79.8 per game over four games through 25 October; their 91-92 loss at Tamis on 18 October went to overtime.
- Sloga shot 59.2% on two-pointers and 34.4% on three-pointers across 15 box scores from 11 February to 24 October 2026.
- Hercegovac shot 60.3% on two-pointers and 32.6% on three-pointers across 13 box scores, with 13.9 turnovers per game over 15 games.
- Sloga scored 99 in their only current home First League game, a 99-95 win over Tamis on 12 October.
- The last two head-to-head First League games were close and low-scoring: Sloga won 84-80 at home on 4 October 2025, and Hercegovac won 79-78 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointsUnder 45.5Estimated chance63.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sloga 89.0, Hercegovac 82.2. Sloga score more than 42.5 points in the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Sloga are 2-2 in the 2026-27 First League, scoring 92.0 and allowing 94.0 per game over four games through 24 October.
- Hercegovac are 1-3 in the same competition, scoring 76.8 and allowing 79.8 per game over four games through 25 October; their 91-92 loss at Tamis on 18 October went to overtime.
- Sloga shot 59.2% on two-pointers and 34.4% on three-pointers across 15 box scores from 11 February to 24 October 2026.
- Hercegovac shot 60.3% on two-pointers and 32.6% on three-pointers across 13 box scores, with 13.9 turnovers per game over 15 games.
- Sloga scored 99 in their only current home First League game, a 99-95 win over Tamis on 12 October.
- The last two head-to-head First League games were close and low-scoring: Sloga won 84-80 at home on 4 October 2025, and Hercegovac won 79-78 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointsSloga over 42.5Estimated chance62.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sloga 89.0, Hercegovac 82.2. Hercegovac score fewer than 21.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sloga and 15 for Hercegovac, across seasons and competitions.
- Sloga are 2-2 in the 2026-27 First League, scoring 92.0 and allowing 94.0 per game over four games through 24 October.
- Hercegovac are 1-3 in the same competition, scoring 76.8 and allowing 79.8 per game over four games through 25 October; their 91-92 loss at Tamis on 18 October went to overtime.
- Sloga shot 59.2% on two-pointers and 34.4% on three-pointers across 15 box scores from 11 February to 24 October 2026.
- Hercegovac shot 60.3% on two-pointers and 32.6% on three-pointers across 13 box scores, with 13.9 turnovers per game over 15 games.
- Sloga scored 99 in their only current home First League game, a 99-95 win over Tamis on 12 October.
- The last two head-to-head First League games were close and low-scoring: Sloga won 84-80 at home on 4 October 2025, and Hercegovac won 79-78 at home on 16 January 2026.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointsHercegovac under 21.5Estimated chance58.4%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 31, 01:06

Selected line

168.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

58%

Chance of 169+ points

+3 pp above break-even

Over 1.82 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 58%.

Move the line main 168.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 58%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 42%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

L79–78

Hercegovacv Sloga

Sloga

Jan 16, 2026·FIR

W84–80

Slogav

Hercegovac

Oct 4, 2025·FIR

160.5Avg total points

2.5Avg margin

2meetings

League table

First League · First League - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Sloga

2–250%

Hercegovac

1–325%

Recent Form

Sloga

9W 6L · last 15

at Cacak 9489–93 Oct 24FIR

at Borac Zemun99–87 Oct 18FIR

vs Tamis99–95 Oct 12FIR

at Sloboda Uzice81–101 Oct 4FIR

vs Borac Zemun96–89 Apr 25FIR

at Cacak 94104–91 Apr 17FIR

at Mladost Zemun104–84 Apr 11FIR

vs Zlatibor77–87 Apr 3FIR

at Vojvodina Novi Sad79–83 Mar 28FIR

vs Tamis82–80 Mar 21FIR

at Vrsac86–107 Mar 14FIR

vs Radnicki96–84 Mar 9FIR

at BKK Radnicki89–80 Mar 1FIR

vs KK Metalac73–65 Feb 14FIR

at Sombor BC71–91 Feb 11FIR

Hercegovac

8W 7L · last 15

vs Borac Zemun71–85 Oct 25FIR

vs Podgorica76–64 Oct 22ABA

at Tamis91–92 OTOct 18FIR

vs Sloboda Uzice70–77 Oct 10FIR

at KK Nis75–65 Oct 3FIR

at Zlatibor92–97 Apr 24FIR

vs Vojvodina Novi Sad85–80 Apr 18FIR

at Tamis99–86 Apr 11FIR

vs Vrsac91–88 Apr 4FIR

at Radnicki85–98 Mar 28FIR

vs BKK Radnicki99–80 Mar 21FIR

at KK Metalac100–94 Mar 13FIR

vs Sombor BC109–75 Mar 7FIR

at Dynamic103–106 Feb 28FIR

vs Sloboda75–76 Feb 14FIR

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Sloga

Stats

3–2

Hercegovac

Sloga leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 1–2

2-point %15/13 games+1.1pp

59.2%

+1.1pp

60.3%

3-point %15/13 games+1.8pp

34.4%

+1.8pp

32.6%

Free-throw %15/13 games+4.1pp

69.8%

+4.1pp

73.9%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s15/13 games1.6pp apart

32.8%

1.6pp apart

31.2%

Free throws per shot15/13 games5.8pp apart

42.8%

5.8pp apart

37.0%

Possession· 2–0

Rebounds per game15/13 games+0.6

33.9

+0.6

33.3

Turnovers per game1.4 fewer

12.5

1.4 fewer

13.9

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.