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Sanjoanense WGdessa Barreiro W

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 16:3031 Oct, 16:30

10Probabilities0Priced1Edges68.1%Strongest

Strong leanLean

Quick Take

Read first

Two 2-2 LFB teams meet with Gdessa Barreiro holding the sharper profile — better shooting and fewer turnovers, and a 79-74 lean after 40 minutes.

Sanjoanense's rebounding and home scoring keep it close. The one price that offers something is over 74.5 combined first-half points at 1.83.

Context

No confirmed availability news; the interest rests on current league form, the shooting and turnover contrast between the sides, and a home-versus-road scoring split that has swung sharply in Sanjoanense's four league games.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result5 outcomes · top 64.6%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sanjoanense W 74.4, Gdessa Barreiro W 79.0. Sanjoanense W cover +9.5 (overtime included) in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- In the 2026-27 LFB, Sanjoanense are 2-2 with 282 points scored and 328 allowed (70.5-82.0 per game); their home games were 88-65 vs Coimbroes on 24 Oct 2026 and 70-94 vs Quinta dos Lombos on 17 Oct 2026.
- Gdessa Barreiro are also 2-2 in the 2026-27 LFB, averaging 78.5 scored and 75.3 allowed, including a 78-72 away win at Barcelos on 25 Oct 2026.
- Across 15 recent games, Gdessa have better two-point (45.6% on 574 attempts) and three-point shooting (31.9% on 326 attempts) than Sanjoanense (43.0% on 563 and 28.5% on 253).
- Gdessa average 12.8 turnovers per game over 15 box scores, compared with Sanjoanense's 17.8 over 13.
- Sanjoanense average 32.7 rebounds per game over 13 box scores; Gdessa average 29.4 over 15.
- The last two LFB meetings in Sanjoanense were split: Sanjoanense won 84-66 on 7 Feb 2026 and lost 60-78 on 1 Mar 2025, showing the head-to-head is dated and home-sensitive.
BetBugs · HandicapSanjoanense W +9.5Estimated chance64.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sanjoanense W 74.4, Gdessa Barreiro W 79.0. Gdessa Barreiro W win in about 64 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- In the 2026-27 LFB, Sanjoanense are 2-2 with 282 points scored and 328 allowed (70.5-82.0 per game); their home games were 88-65 vs Coimbroes on 24 Oct 2026 and 70-94 vs Quinta dos Lombos on 17 Oct 2026.
- Gdessa Barreiro are also 2-2 in the 2026-27 LFB, averaging 78.5 scored and 75.3 allowed, including a 78-72 away win at Barcelos on 25 Oct 2026.
- Across 15 recent games, Gdessa have better two-point (45.6% on 574 attempts) and three-point shooting (31.9% on 326 attempts) than Sanjoanense (43.0% on 563 and 28.5% on 253).
- Gdessa average 12.8 turnovers per game over 15 box scores, compared with Sanjoanense's 17.8 over 13.
- Sanjoanense average 32.7 rebounds per game over 13 box scores; Gdessa average 29.4 over 15.
- The last two LFB meetings in Sanjoanense were split: Sanjoanense won 84-66 on 7 Feb 2026 and lost 60-78 on 1 Mar 2025, showing the head-to-head is dated and home-sensitive.
BetBugs · Match WinnerGdessa Barreiro WEstimated chance64.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sanjoanense W 74.4, Gdessa Barreiro W 79.0. Sanjoanense W cover +3.5 in the 1st quarter in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- In the 2026-27 LFB, Sanjoanense are 2-2 with 282 points scored and 328 allowed (70.5-82.0 per game); their home games were 88-65 vs Coimbroes on 24 Oct 2026 and 70-94 vs Quinta dos Lombos on 17 Oct 2026.
- Gdessa Barreiro are also 2-2 in the 2026-27 LFB, averaging 78.5 scored and 75.3 allowed, including a 78-72 away win at Barcelos on 25 Oct 2026.
- Across 15 recent games, Gdessa have better two-point (45.6% on 574 attempts) and three-point shooting (31.9% on 326 attempts) than Sanjoanense (43.0% on 563 and 28.5% on 253).
- Gdessa average 12.8 turnovers per game over 15 box scores, compared with Sanjoanense's 17.8 over 13.
- Sanjoanense average 32.7 rebounds per game over 13 box scores; Gdessa average 29.4 over 15.
- The last two LFB meetings in Sanjoanense were split: Sanjoanense won 84-66 on 7 Feb 2026 and lost 60-78 on 1 Mar 2025, showing the head-to-head is dated and home-sensitive.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter HandicapSanjoanense W +3.5Estimated chance63.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sanjoanense W 74.4, Gdessa Barreiro W 79.0. Sanjoanense W cover +5.5 in the 1st half in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- In the 2026-27 LFB, Sanjoanense are 2-2 with 282 points scored and 328 allowed (70.5-82.0 per game); their home games were 88-65 vs Coimbroes on 24 Oct 2026 and 70-94 vs Quinta dos Lombos on 17 Oct 2026.
- Gdessa Barreiro are also 2-2 in the 2026-27 LFB, averaging 78.5 scored and 75.3 allowed, including a 78-72 away win at Barcelos on 25 Oct 2026.
- Across 15 recent games, Gdessa have better two-point (45.6% on 574 attempts) and three-point shooting (31.9% on 326 attempts) than Sanjoanense (43.0% on 563 and 28.5% on 253).
- Gdessa average 12.8 turnovers per game over 15 box scores, compared with Sanjoanense's 17.8 over 13.
- Sanjoanense average 32.7 rebounds per game over 13 box scores; Gdessa average 29.4 over 15.
- The last two LFB meetings in Sanjoanense were split: Sanjoanense won 84-66 on 7 Feb 2026 and lost 60-78 on 1 Mar 2025, showing the head-to-head is dated and home-sensitive.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapSanjoanense W +5.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sanjoanense W 74.4, Gdessa Barreiro W 79.0. Gdessa Barreiro W cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sanjoanense W and 15 for Gdessa Barreiro W, across seasons and competitions.
- In the 2026-27 LFB, Sanjoanense are 2-2 with 282 points scored and 328 allowed (70.5-82.0 per game); their home games were 88-65 vs Coimbroes on 24 Oct 2026 and 70-94 vs Quinta dos Lombos on 17 Oct 2026.
- Gdessa Barreiro are also 2-2 in the 2026-27 LFB, averaging 78.5 scored and 75.3 allowed, including a 78-72 away win at Barcelos on 25 Oct 2026.
- Across 15 recent games, Gdessa have better two-point (45.6% on 574 attempts) and three-point shooting (31.9% on 326 attempts) than Sanjoanense (43.0% on 563 and 28.5% on 253).
- Gdessa average 12.8 turnovers per game over 15 box scores, compared with Sanjoanense's 17.8 over 13.
- Sanjoanense average 32.7 rebounds per game over 13 box scores; Gdessa average 29.4 over 15.
- The last two LFB meetings in Sanjoanense were split: Sanjoanense won 84-66 on 7 Feb 2026 and lost 60-78 on 1 Mar 2025, showing the head-to-head is dated and home-sensitive.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapGdessa Barreiro W +0.5Estimated chance60.5%

Points5 outcomes · top 68.1%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sanjoanense W 74.4, Gdessa Barreiro W 79.0. The 3rd quarter has more than 34.5 points in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sanjoanense W and 15 for Gdessa Barreiro W, across seasons and competitions.
- In the 2026-27 LFB, Sanjoanense are 2-2 with 282 points scored and 328 allowed (70.5-82.0 per game); their home games were 88-65 vs Coimbroes on 24 Oct 2026 and 70-94 vs Quinta dos Lombos on 17 Oct 2026.
- Gdessa Barreiro are also 2-2 in the 2026-27 LFB, averaging 78.5 scored and 75.3 allowed, including a 78-72 away win at Barcelos on 25 Oct 2026.
- Across 15 recent games, Gdessa have better two-point (45.6% on 574 attempts) and three-point shooting (31.9% on 326 attempts) than Sanjoanense (43.0% on 563 and 28.5% on 253).
- Gdessa average 12.8 turnovers per game over 15 box scores, compared with Sanjoanense's 17.8 over 13.
- Sanjoanense average 32.7 rebounds per game over 13 box scores; Gdessa average 29.4 over 15.
- The last two LFB meetings in Sanjoanense were split: Sanjoanense won 84-66 on 7 Feb 2026 and lost 60-78 on 1 Mar 2025, showing the head-to-head is dated and home-sensitive.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointsOver 34.5Estimated chance68.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sanjoanense W 74.4, Gdessa Barreiro W 79.0. The 2nd quarter has more than 35.5 points in about 66 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sanjoanense W and 15 for Gdessa Barreiro W, across seasons and competitions.
- In the 2026-27 LFB, Sanjoanense are 2-2 with 282 points scored and 328 allowed (70.5-82.0 per game); their home games were 88-65 vs Coimbroes on 24 Oct 2026 and 70-94 vs Quinta dos Lombos on 17 Oct 2026.
- Gdessa Barreiro are also 2-2 in the 2026-27 LFB, averaging 78.5 scored and 75.3 allowed, including a 78-72 away win at Barcelos on 25 Oct 2026.
- Across 15 recent games, Gdessa have better two-point (45.6% on 574 attempts) and three-point shooting (31.9% on 326 attempts) than Sanjoanense (43.0% on 563 and 28.5% on 253).
- Gdessa average 12.8 turnovers per game over 15 box scores, compared with Sanjoanense's 17.8 over 13.
- Sanjoanense average 32.7 rebounds per game over 13 box scores; Gdessa average 29.4 over 15.
- The last two LFB meetings in Sanjoanense were split: Sanjoanense won 84-66 on 7 Feb 2026 and lost 60-78 on 1 Mar 2025, showing the head-to-head is dated and home-sensitive.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointsOver 35.5Estimated chance66.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sanjoanense W 74.4, Gdessa Barreiro W 79.0. Sanjoanense W score more than 70.5 points (overtime included) in about 66 of 100 games like this.
- In the 2026-27 LFB, Sanjoanense are 2-2 with 282 points scored and 328 allowed (70.5-82.0 per game); their home games were 88-65 vs Coimbroes on 24 Oct 2026 and 70-94 vs Quinta dos Lombos on 17 Oct 2026.
- Gdessa Barreiro are also 2-2 in the 2026-27 LFB, averaging 78.5 scored and 75.3 allowed, including a 78-72 away win at Barcelos on 25 Oct 2026.
- Across 15 recent games, Gdessa have better two-point (45.6% on 574 attempts) and three-point shooting (31.9% on 326 attempts) than Sanjoanense (43.0% on 563 and 28.5% on 253).
- Gdessa average 12.8 turnovers per game over 15 box scores, compared with Sanjoanense's 17.8 over 13.
- Sanjoanense average 32.7 rebounds per game over 13 box scores; Gdessa average 29.4 over 15.
- The last two LFB meetings in Sanjoanense were split: Sanjoanense won 84-66 on 7 Feb 2026 and lost 60-78 on 1 Mar 2025, showing the head-to-head is dated and home-sensitive.
BetBugs · Team PointsSanjoanense W over 70.5Estimated chance65.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sanjoanense W 74.4, Gdessa Barreiro W 79.0. Sanjoanense W score more than 34.5 points in the 1st half in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- In the 2026-27 LFB, Sanjoanense are 2-2 with 282 points scored and 328 allowed (70.5-82.0 per game); their home games were 88-65 vs Coimbroes on 24 Oct 2026 and 70-94 vs Quinta dos Lombos on 17 Oct 2026.
- Gdessa Barreiro are also 2-2 in the 2026-27 LFB, averaging 78.5 scored and 75.3 allowed, including a 78-72 away win at Barcelos on 25 Oct 2026.
- Across 15 recent games, Gdessa have better two-point (45.6% on 574 attempts) and three-point shooting (31.9% on 326 attempts) than Sanjoanense (43.0% on 563 and 28.5% on 253).
- Gdessa average 12.8 turnovers per game over 15 box scores, compared with Sanjoanense's 17.8 over 13.
- Sanjoanense average 32.7 rebounds per game over 13 box scores; Gdessa average 29.4 over 15.
- The last two LFB meetings in Sanjoanense were split: Sanjoanense won 84-66 on 7 Feb 2026 and lost 60-78 on 1 Mar 2025, showing the head-to-head is dated and home-sensitive.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointsSanjoanense W over 34.5Estimated chance64.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Sanjoanense W 74.4, Gdessa Barreiro W 79.0. Gdessa Barreiro W score more than 18.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 61 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Sanjoanense W and 15 for Gdessa Barreiro W, across seasons and competitions.
- In the 2026-27 LFB, Sanjoanense are 2-2 with 282 points scored and 328 allowed (70.5-82.0 per game); their home games were 88-65 vs Coimbroes on 24 Oct 2026 and 70-94 vs Quinta dos Lombos on 17 Oct 2026.
- Gdessa Barreiro are also 2-2 in the 2026-27 LFB, averaging 78.5 scored and 75.3 allowed, including a 78-72 away win at Barcelos on 25 Oct 2026.
- Across 15 recent games, Gdessa have better two-point (45.6% on 574 attempts) and three-point shooting (31.9% on 326 attempts) than Sanjoanense (43.0% on 563 and 28.5% on 253).
- Gdessa average 12.8 turnovers per game over 15 box scores, compared with Sanjoanense's 17.8 over 13.
- Sanjoanense average 32.7 rebounds per game over 13 box scores; Gdessa average 29.4 over 15.
- The last two LFB meetings in Sanjoanense were split: Sanjoanense won 84-66 on 7 Feb 2026 and lost 60-78 on 1 Mar 2025, showing the head-to-head is dated and home-sensitive.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointsGdessa Barreiro W over 18.5Estimated chance61.4%

Total points

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 30, 04:22

Selected line

150.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

59%

Chance of 151+ points

+4 pp above break-even

Over 1.82 needs 55% to break even. BetBugs sees 59%.

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 59%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 41%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W84–66

Sanjoanense Wv

Gdessa Barreiro W

Feb 7, 2026·LFB

L82–64

Gdessa Barreiro Wv

Sanjoanense W

Nov 23, 2025·LFB

L60–78

Sanjoanense Wv

Gdessa Barreiro W

Mar 1, 2025·LFB

L80–76

Gdessa Barreiro Wv

Sanjoanense W

Dec 1, 2024·LFB

147.5Avg total points

14.5Avg margin

4meetings

League table

LFB Women · LFB Women - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Sanjoanense W

2–250%

Gdessa Barreiro W

2–250%

Recent Form

Sanjoanense W

5W 10L · last 15

vs SC Coimbroes W88–65 Oct 24LFB

vs Quinta Dos Lombos W70–94 Oct 17LFB

at Benfica W50–97 Oct 10LFB

at GDRAR W74–72 Oct 3LFB

vs Sporting CP W75–68 Mar 22LFB

at Imortal W86–101 Mar 7LFB

vs CAB Madeira W73–84 Feb 28LFB

at Quinta Dos Lombos W57–100 Feb 14LFB

vs Gdessa Barreiro W84–66 Feb 7LFB

at SC Coimbroes W66–74 Jan 31LFB

at Barcelos W71–76 Jan 24LFB

vs Galitos W66–63 Jan 17LFB

vs Uniao Sportiva W69–85 Jan 10TAC

at Uniao Sportiva W64–73 Jan 4LFB

vs Benfica W59–101 Dec 28LFB

Gdessa Barreiro W

7W 8L · last 15

at Barcelos W78–72 Oct 25LFB

vs Uniao Sportiva W86–87 OTOct 18LFB

vs SC Coimbroes W85–63 Oct 11LFB

vs Quinta Dos Lombos W65–79 Oct 5LFB

at Benfica W31–73 Sep 27SUP

at Quinta Dos Lombos W72–80 Apr 25LFB

vs Quinta Dos Lombos W53–58 Apr 18LFB

vs Uniao Sportiva W78–70 Apr 12LFB

vs Uniao Sportiva W84–80 Apr 11LFB

at Uniao Sportiva W68–74 Apr 4LFB

at Benfica W56–76 Mar 29TAC

at Uniao Sportiva W87–66 Mar 28TAC

vs CAB Madeira W81–50 Mar 22LFB

at Uniao Sportiva W61–68 Mar 7LFB

at Quinta Dos Lombos W60–57 Mar 1LFB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Sanjoanense W

13 games

Stats

1–4

Gdessa Barreiro W

Gdessa Barreiro W leads in 4 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 0–3

2-point %+2.6pp

43.0%

+2.6pp

45.6%

3-point %+3.4pp

28.5%

+3.4pp

31.9%

Free-throw %+0.3pp

75.3%

+0.3pp

75.6%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s6.9pp apart

23.7%

6.9pp apart

30.6%

Free throws per shot7.8pp apart

34.7%

7.8pp apart

26.9%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+3.3

32.7

+3.3

29.4

Turnovers per game5.0 fewer

17.8

5.0 fewer

12.8

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 74.5

Result5 outcomes · top 64.6%

Points5 outcomes · top 68.1%

Total points

League table

Recent Form

Sanjoanense W

Gdessa Barreiro W