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Puerto MonttEspanol Osorno

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 23:0031 Oct, 23:00

10Probabilities0Priced1Edges82.8%Strongest

Strong leanLean

Quick Take

Read first

Puerto Montt's home scoring against an Osorno side averaging 65.0 points in five away games is the tension here.

Puerto Montt should win, by something in the low double digits. Of the prices considered, only over 148.5 combined points at 1.8 offers value; under 148.5 at 1.78 does not.

Context

Puerto Montt have had six days since their last game and Osorno five, so rest is unremarkable. The sporting unknown is J. Corbett, Osorno's 24.1 points-per-game scorer, who last played on 15 October and has not featured in the last three games.

Español's most recent Big 8 game ended in a home defeat to Puerto Varas on 26 October. The Puerto Montt fixture follows five days later in the same phase of the competition, so the result provides recent form context but no stated lineup change.
- Puerto Varas beat Español Osorno in the Big 8 on 26 October.
- Español hosted Puerto Varas at the María Gallardo in the final game of Big 8 week six.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Total PointsUncertainty band: Lean

Over 148.5

1.80fair 1.70

Market 55.6% · BetBugs 58.7%

+3.2ppedge

Expected score after 40 minutes: Puerto Montt 81.8, Espanol Osorno 69.8. The game has more than 148.5 points (overtime included) in about 59 of 100 games like this. Puerto Montt's home scoring and Osorno's weak away output point to a home win, and Osorno's attack is further limited if Corbett remains out. The recent head-to-head results support a margin in the low double digits.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result5 outcomes · top 82.8%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Puerto Montt 81.8, Espanol Osorno 69.8. Puerto Montt win in about 83 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Current LNB Clausura-Winners table (12 games): Puerto Montt 6-6 with 78.0 scored and 79.8 allowed per game; Osorno 2-10 with 71.3 scored and 78.5 allowed.
- In those same 12 games, Puerto Montt average 83.6 points in five home games, while Osorno average 65.0 in five away games.
- Head-to-head 2026-27: Puerto Montt won 79-67 at Osorno on 17 Oct 2026 and 82-79 at home on 11 Aug 2026.
- Osorno's leading scorer J. Corbett (24.1 ppg) last played 15 Oct 2026 and is absent from the latest three box scores.
- Shooting over 15 games: Puerto Montt 49.3% on two-pointers and 30.5% on three-pointers; Osorno 45.4% and 29.0%.
BetBugs · Match WinnerPuerto MonttEstimated chance82.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Puerto Montt 81.8, Espanol Osorno 69.8. Puerto Montt are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 74 of 100 games like this.
- Current LNB Clausura-Winners table (12 games): Puerto Montt 6-6 with 78.0 scored and 79.8 allowed per game; Osorno 2-10 with 71.3 scored and 78.5 allowed.
- In those same 12 games, Puerto Montt average 83.6 points in five home games, while Osorno average 65.0 in five away games.
- Head-to-head 2026-27: Puerto Montt won 79-67 at Osorno on 17 Oct 2026 and 82-79 at home on 11 Aug 2026.
- Osorno's leading scorer J. Corbett (24.1 ppg) last played 15 Oct 2026 and is absent from the latest three box scores.
- Shooting over 15 games: Puerto Montt 49.3% on two-pointers and 30.5% on three-pointers; Osorno 45.4% and 29.0%.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultPuerto MonttEstimated chance73.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Puerto Montt 81.8, Espanol Osorno 69.8. Puerto Montt cover +1.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 71 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Puerto Montt and 15 for Espanol Osorno, across seasons and competitions.
- Current LNB Clausura-Winners table (12 games): Puerto Montt 6-6 with 78.0 scored and 79.8 allowed per game; Osorno 2-10 with 71.3 scored and 78.5 allowed.
- In those same 12 games, Puerto Montt average 83.6 points in five home games, while Osorno average 65.0 in five away games.
- Head-to-head 2026-27: Puerto Montt won 79-67 at Osorno on 17 Oct 2026 and 82-79 at home on 11 Aug 2026.
- Osorno's leading scorer J. Corbett (24.1 ppg) last played 15 Oct 2026 and is absent from the latest three box scores.
- Shooting over 15 games: Puerto Montt 49.3% on two-pointers and 30.5% on three-pointers; Osorno 45.4% and 29.0%.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapPuerto Montt +1.5Estimated chance71.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Puerto Montt 81.8, Espanol Osorno 69.8. Puerto Montt cover -6.5 (overtime included) in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Current LNB Clausura-Winners table (12 games): Puerto Montt 6-6 with 78.0 scored and 79.8 allowed per game; Osorno 2-10 with 71.3 scored and 78.5 allowed.
- In those same 12 games, Puerto Montt average 83.6 points in five home games, while Osorno average 65.0 in five away games.
- Head-to-head 2026-27: Puerto Montt won 79-67 at Osorno on 17 Oct 2026 and 82-79 at home on 11 Aug 2026.
- Osorno's leading scorer J. Corbett (24.1 ppg) last played 15 Oct 2026 and is absent from the latest three box scores.
- Shooting over 15 games: Puerto Montt 49.3% on two-pointers and 30.5% on three-pointers; Osorno 45.4% and 29.0%.
BetBugs · HandicapPuerto Montt -6.5Estimated chance67.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Puerto Montt 81.8, Espanol Osorno 69.8. Puerto Montt are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- Current LNB Clausura-Winners table (12 games): Puerto Montt 6-6 with 78.0 scored and 79.8 allowed per game; Osorno 2-10 with 71.3 scored and 78.5 allowed.
- In those same 12 games, Puerto Montt average 83.6 points in five home games, while Osorno average 65.0 in five away games.
- Head-to-head 2026-27: Puerto Montt won 79-67 at Osorno on 17 Oct 2026 and 82-79 at home on 11 Aug 2026.
- Osorno's leading scorer J. Corbett (24.1 ppg) last played 15 Oct 2026 and is absent from the latest three box scores.
- Shooting over 15 games: Puerto Montt 49.3% on two-pointers and 30.5% on three-pointers; Osorno 45.4% and 29.0%.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultPuerto MonttEstimated chance67.3%

Points5 outcomes · top 81%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Puerto Montt 81.8, Espanol Osorno 69.8. Puerto Montt score more than 15.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 81 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Puerto Montt and 15 for Espanol Osorno, across seasons and competitions.
- Current LNB Clausura-Winners table (12 games): Puerto Montt 6-6 with 78.0 scored and 79.8 allowed per game; Osorno 2-10 with 71.3 scored and 78.5 allowed.
- In those same 12 games, Puerto Montt average 83.6 points in five home games, while Osorno average 65.0 in five away games.
- Head-to-head 2026-27: Puerto Montt won 79-67 at Osorno on 17 Oct 2026 and 82-79 at home on 11 Aug 2026.
- Osorno's leading scorer J. Corbett (24.1 ppg) last played 15 Oct 2026 and is absent from the latest three box scores.
- Shooting over 15 games: Puerto Montt 49.3% on two-pointers and 30.5% on three-pointers; Osorno 45.4% and 29.0%.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsPuerto Montt over 15.5Estimated chance81%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Puerto Montt 81.8, Espanol Osorno 69.8. Puerto Montt score more than 17.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 75 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Puerto Montt and 15 for Espanol Osorno, across seasons and competitions.
- Current LNB Clausura-Winners table (12 games): Puerto Montt 6-6 with 78.0 scored and 79.8 allowed per game; Osorno 2-10 with 71.3 scored and 78.5 allowed.
- In those same 12 games, Puerto Montt average 83.6 points in five home games, while Osorno average 65.0 in five away games.
- Head-to-head 2026-27: Puerto Montt won 79-67 at Osorno on 17 Oct 2026 and 82-79 at home on 11 Aug 2026.
- Osorno's leading scorer J. Corbett (24.1 ppg) last played 15 Oct 2026 and is absent from the latest three box scores.
- Shooting over 15 games: Puerto Montt 49.3% on two-pointers and 30.5% on three-pointers; Osorno 45.4% and 29.0%.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointsPuerto Montt over 17.5Estimated chance74.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Puerto Montt 81.8, Espanol Osorno 69.8. The 2nd quarter has fewer than 41.5 points in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Puerto Montt and 15 for Espanol Osorno, across seasons and competitions.
- Current LNB Clausura-Winners table (12 games): Puerto Montt 6-6 with 78.0 scored and 79.8 allowed per game; Osorno 2-10 with 71.3 scored and 78.5 allowed.
- In those same 12 games, Puerto Montt average 83.6 points in five home games, while Osorno average 65.0 in five away games.
- Head-to-head 2026-27: Puerto Montt won 79-67 at Osorno on 17 Oct 2026 and 82-79 at home on 11 Aug 2026.
- Osorno's leading scorer J. Corbett (24.1 ppg) last played 15 Oct 2026 and is absent from the latest three box scores.
- Shooting over 15 games: Puerto Montt 49.3% on two-pointers and 30.5% on three-pointers; Osorno 45.4% and 29.0%.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Total PointsUnder 41.5Estimated chance68.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Puerto Montt 81.8, Espanol Osorno 69.8. Espanol Osorno score fewer than 19.5 points in the 2nd quarter in about 68 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for Puerto Montt and 15 for Espanol Osorno, across seasons and competitions.
- Current LNB Clausura-Winners table (12 games): Puerto Montt 6-6 with 78.0 scored and 79.8 allowed per game; Osorno 2-10 with 71.3 scored and 78.5 allowed.
- In those same 12 games, Puerto Montt average 83.6 points in five home games, while Osorno average 65.0 in five away games.
- Head-to-head 2026-27: Puerto Montt won 79-67 at Osorno on 17 Oct 2026 and 82-79 at home on 11 Aug 2026.
- Osorno's leading scorer J. Corbett (24.1 ppg) last played 15 Oct 2026 and is absent from the latest three box scores.
- Shooting over 15 games: Puerto Montt 49.3% on two-pointers and 30.5% on three-pointers; Osorno 45.4% and 29.0%.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter Team PointsEspanol Osorno under 19.5Estimated chance67.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Puerto Montt 81.8, Espanol Osorno 69.8. Puerto Montt score more than 78.5 points (overtime included) in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Current LNB Clausura-Winners table (12 games): Puerto Montt 6-6 with 78.0 scored and 79.8 allowed per game; Osorno 2-10 with 71.3 scored and 78.5 allowed.
- In those same 12 games, Puerto Montt average 83.6 points in five home games, while Osorno average 65.0 in five away games.
- Head-to-head 2026-27: Puerto Montt won 79-67 at Osorno on 17 Oct 2026 and 82-79 at home on 11 Aug 2026.
- Osorno's leading scorer J. Corbett (24.1 ppg) last played 15 Oct 2026 and is absent from the latest three box scores.
- Shooting over 15 games: Puerto Montt 49.3% on two-pointers and 30.5% on three-pointers; Osorno 45.4% and 29.0%.
BetBugs · Team PointsPuerto Montt over 78.5Estimated chance64.2%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 31, 04:24

Selected line

148.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

59%

Chance of 149+ points

+3 pp above break-even

Over 1.80 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 59%.

Move the line main 148.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 59%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 41%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W67–79

Espanol Osornov

Puerto Montt

Oct 17, 2026·LNB

W82–79

Puerto Monttv

Espanol Osorno

Aug 11, 2026·LNB

L85–70

Espanol Osornov

Puerto Montt

Jul 19, 2026·LNB

L79–67

Espanol Osornov

Puerto Montt

Apr 27, 2026·LNB

W77–75

Puerto Monttv

Espanol Osorno

Apr 5, 2026·LNB

L110–52

Espanol Osornov

Puerto Montt

Mar 31, 2024·LNB

L57–75

Puerto Monttv

Espanol Osorno

Feb 11, 2024·LNB

L86–51

Espanol Osornov

Puerto Montt

Nov 18, 2023·COP

L59–83

Puerto Monttv

Espanol Osorno

Sep 30, 2023·COP

L47–95

Puerto Monttv

Espanol Osorno

Apr 30, 2023·LNB

147.5Avg total points

22.7Avg margin

10meetings

League table

LNB

#TeamW–LWin %

Puerto Montt

LNB - Apertura · South

4–833%

Espanol Osorno

LNB - Apertura · South

9–375%

Recent Form

Puerto Montt

9W 6L · last 15

at Valdivia72–88 Oct 25LNB

vs Valdivia70–81 Oct 20LNB

at Espanol Osorno79–67 Oct 17LNB

vs Puente Alto86–72 Oct 15LNB

at Puente Alto79–86 Oct 11LNB

at Leones Quilpue54–75 Oct 10LNB

vs Ancud93–80 Oct 4LNB

vs U. De Concepcion87–92 Oct 2LNB

at U. De Concepcion59–87 Sep 27LNB

at Ancud94–83 Sep 24LNB

vs CD Puerto Varas82–78 Sep 16LNB

at CD Puerto Varas81–68 Sep 15LNB

at Colo Colo86–84 OTSep 6LNB

vs Colo Colo74–67 Sep 3LNB

vs Naviera Ulloa92–72 Aug 18LNB

Espanol Osorno

2W 13L · last 15

vs CD Puerto Varas69–78 Oct 26LNB

vs Ancud68–74 Oct 25LNB

vs Puerto Montt67–79 Oct 17LNB

vs U. De Concepcion89–75 Oct 15LNB

at Valdivia58–86 Oct 11LNB

at U. De Concepcion68–74 Oct 8LNB

at Leones Quilpue61–81 Oct 1LNB

at Puente Alto73–80 Sep 30LNB

vs Leones Quilpue67–89 Sep 27LNB

vs Puente Alto89–69 Sep 26LNB

at Ancud65–74 Sep 17LNB

vs Valdivia82–83 Sep 12LNB

at CD Puerto Varas79–95 Aug 17LNB

vs Las Animas91–94 Aug 16LNB

at Puerto Montt79–82 Aug 11LNB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Puerto Montt

Stats

3–2

Espanol Osorno

Puerto Montt leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+3.9pp

49.3%

+3.9pp

45.4%

3-point %+1.5pp

30.5%

+1.5pp

29.0%

Free-throw %+4.5pp

67.3%

+4.5pp

62.8%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s0.7pp apart

31.4%

0.7pp apart

32.1%

Free throws per shot7.4pp apart

25.4%

7.4pp apart

32.8%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+1.2

37.1

+1.2

38.3

Turnovers per game1.2 fewer

12.8

1.2 fewer

11.6

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.