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Phoenix-MT FotSzolnoki Olaj

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 16:0031 Oct, 16:00

10Probabilities0Priced1Edges73.8%Strongest

Strong leanLeanSlight lean

Quick Take

Read first

Szolnoki Olaj bring the better league record but a much thinner scoring return on their domestic travels, and that tension is the whole game.

A narrow Szolnoki win, something like 84-83, is the likelier outcome. Of the prices on offer, the first quarter under 43.5 combined points at 1.87 gives you something; over 171.5 combined points at 1.79 does not.

Context

Szolnok's 81-79 FIBA Europe Cup win over Básquet Girona on 28 October is current competition context, but no availability or rotation change is established, and the matchup itself turns on a two-game road scoring sample against Szolnok's much stronger home output.

Szolnok's 81-79 win over Básquet Girona came on 28 October, three days before the 31 October league visit to Phoenix-MT Fót. The European fixture provides current competition context for the away side, but does not establish any availability or rotation change for this game.
- Szolnok beat Básquet Girona 81-79 in a FIBA Europe Cup group match on 28 October.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result3 outcomes · top 64.7%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Phoenix-MT Fot 82.7, Szolnoki Olaj 84.1. Phoenix-MT Fot cover +6.5 (overtime included) in about 65 of 100 games like this.
- Phoenix-MT Fot are 3-3 in NB I A through six games to 28 October, averaging 81.5 points scored and 82.2 allowed.
- Szolnoki Olaj are 4-2 in NB I A through six games to 25 October, averaging 90.3 points scored and 82.3 allowed.
- Szolnoki have averaged 73.0 points in two domestic away games (3 and 17 October), versus 99.0 in four home league games.
- Szolnoki shot 35.7% from three (130/364) across 15 games through 28 October; Phoenix shot 26.9% (36/134) across six NB I A games.
- The teams have no completed head-to-head meeting on record.
- Both teams last played on 28 October, giving each about three days' rest before 31 October.
BetBugs · HandicapPhoenix-MT Fot +6.5Estimated chance64.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Phoenix-MT Fot 82.7, Szolnoki Olaj 84.1. Phoenix-MT Fot cover +3.5 in the 1st half in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Phoenix-MT Fot are 3-3 in NB I A through six games to 28 October, averaging 81.5 points scored and 82.2 allowed.
- Szolnoki Olaj are 4-2 in NB I A through six games to 25 October, averaging 90.3 points scored and 82.3 allowed.
- Szolnoki have averaged 73.0 points in two domestic away games (3 and 17 October), versus 99.0 in four home league games.
- Szolnoki shot 35.7% from three (130/364) across 15 games through 28 October; Phoenix shot 26.9% (36/134) across six NB I A games.
- The teams have no completed head-to-head meeting on record.
- Both teams last played on 28 October, giving each about three days' rest before 31 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half HandicapPhoenix-MT Fot +3.5Estimated chance61.1%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Phoenix-MT Fot 82.7, Szolnoki Olaj 84.1. Szolnoki Olaj win in about 54 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- Phoenix-MT Fot are 3-3 in NB I A through six games to 28 October, averaging 81.5 points scored and 82.2 allowed.
- Szolnoki Olaj are 4-2 in NB I A through six games to 25 October, averaging 90.3 points scored and 82.3 allowed.
- Szolnoki have averaged 73.0 points in two domestic away games (3 and 17 October), versus 99.0 in four home league games.
- Szolnoki shot 35.7% from three (130/364) across 15 games through 28 October; Phoenix shot 26.9% (36/134) across six NB I A games.
- The teams have no completed head-to-head meeting on record.
- Both teams last played on 28 October, giving each about three days' rest before 31 October.
BetBugs · Match WinnerSzolnoki OlajEstimated chance54.4%

Points7 outcomes · top 73.8%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Phoenix-MT Fot 82.7, Szolnoki Olaj 84.1. Szolnoki Olaj score more than 17.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 74 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 6 completed games for Phoenix-MT Fot and 15 for Szolnoki Olaj, across seasons and competitions.
- Phoenix-MT Fot are 3-3 in NB I A through six games to 28 October, averaging 81.5 points scored and 82.2 allowed.
- Szolnoki Olaj are 4-2 in NB I A through six games to 25 October, averaging 90.3 points scored and 82.3 allowed.
- Szolnoki have averaged 73.0 points in two domestic away games (3 and 17 October), versus 99.0 in four home league games.
- Szolnoki shot 35.7% from three (130/364) across 15 games through 28 October; Phoenix shot 26.9% (36/134) across six NB I A games.
- The teams have no completed head-to-head meeting on record.
- Both teams last played on 28 October, giving each about three days' rest before 31 October.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsSzolnoki Olaj over 17.5Estimated chance73.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Phoenix-MT Fot 82.7, Szolnoki Olaj 84.1. The 3rd quarter has more than 38.5 points in about 65 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 6 completed games for Phoenix-MT Fot and 15 for Szolnoki Olaj, across seasons and competitions.
- Phoenix-MT Fot are 3-3 in NB I A through six games to 28 October, averaging 81.5 points scored and 82.2 allowed.
- Szolnoki Olaj are 4-2 in NB I A through six games to 25 October, averaging 90.3 points scored and 82.3 allowed.
- Szolnoki have averaged 73.0 points in two domestic away games (3 and 17 October), versus 99.0 in four home league games.
- Szolnoki shot 35.7% from three (130/364) across 15 games through 28 October; Phoenix shot 26.9% (36/134) across six NB I A games.
- The teams have no completed head-to-head meeting on record.
- Both teams last played on 28 October, giving each about three days' rest before 31 October.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointsOver 38.5Estimated chance64.7%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Phoenix-MT Fot 82.7, Szolnoki Olaj 84.1. Szolnoki Olaj score fewer than 88.5 points (overtime included) in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- Phoenix-MT Fot are 3-3 in NB I A through six games to 28 October, averaging 81.5 points scored and 82.2 allowed.
- Szolnoki Olaj are 4-2 in NB I A through six games to 25 October, averaging 90.3 points scored and 82.3 allowed.
- Szolnoki have averaged 73.0 points in two domestic away games (3 and 17 October), versus 99.0 in four home league games.
- Szolnoki shot 35.7% from three (130/364) across 15 games through 28 October; Phoenix shot 26.9% (36/134) across six NB I A games.
- The teams have no completed head-to-head meeting on record.
- Both teams last played on 28 October, giving each about three days' rest before 31 October.
BetBugs · Team PointsSzolnoki Olaj under 88.5Estimated chance63.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Phoenix-MT Fot 82.7, Szolnoki Olaj 84.1. Szolnoki Olaj score fewer than 44.5 points in the 1st half in about 63 of 100 games like this.
- Phoenix-MT Fot are 3-3 in NB I A through six games to 28 October, averaging 81.5 points scored and 82.2 allowed.
- Szolnoki Olaj are 4-2 in NB I A through six games to 25 October, averaging 90.3 points scored and 82.3 allowed.
- Szolnoki have averaged 73.0 points in two domestic away games (3 and 17 October), versus 99.0 in four home league games.
- Szolnoki shot 35.7% from three (130/364) across 15 games through 28 October; Phoenix shot 26.9% (36/134) across six NB I A games.
- The teams have no completed head-to-head meeting on record.
- Both teams last played on 28 October, giving each about three days' rest before 31 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointsSzolnoki Olaj under 44.5Estimated chance62.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Phoenix-MT Fot 82.7, Szolnoki Olaj 84.1. Szolnoki Olaj score fewer than 22.5 points in the 1st quarter in about 62 of 100 games like this.
- Phoenix-MT Fot are 3-3 in NB I A through six games to 28 October, averaging 81.5 points scored and 82.2 allowed.
- Szolnoki Olaj are 4-2 in NB I A through six games to 25 October, averaging 90.3 points scored and 82.3 allowed.
- Szolnoki have averaged 73.0 points in two domestic away games (3 and 17 October), versus 99.0 in four home league games.
- Szolnoki shot 35.7% from three (130/364) across 15 games through 28 October; Phoenix shot 26.9% (36/134) across six NB I A games.
- The teams have no completed head-to-head meeting on record.
- Both teams last played on 28 October, giving each about three days' rest before 31 October.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter Team PointsSzolnoki Olaj under 22.5Estimated chance61.6%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Phoenix-MT Fot 82.7, Szolnoki Olaj 84.1. The 1st half has fewer than 86.5 points in about 61 of 100 games like this.
- Phoenix-MT Fot are 3-3 in NB I A through six games to 28 October, averaging 81.5 points scored and 82.2 allowed.
- Szolnoki Olaj are 4-2 in NB I A through six games to 25 October, averaging 90.3 points scored and 82.3 allowed.
- Szolnoki have averaged 73.0 points in two domestic away games (3 and 17 October), versus 99.0 in four home league games.
- Szolnoki shot 35.7% from three (130/364) across 15 games through 28 October; Phoenix shot 26.9% (36/134) across six NB I A games.
- The teams have no completed head-to-head meeting on record.
- Both teams last played on 28 October, giving each about three days' rest before 31 October.
BetBugs · 1st Half Total PointsUnder 86.5Estimated chance60.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: Phoenix-MT Fot 82.7, Szolnoki Olaj 84.1. Phoenix-MT Fot score more than 19.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 58 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 6 completed games for Phoenix-MT Fot and 15 for Szolnoki Olaj, across seasons and competitions.
- Phoenix-MT Fot are 3-3 in NB I A through six games to 28 October, averaging 81.5 points scored and 82.2 allowed.
- Szolnoki Olaj are 4-2 in NB I A through six games to 25 October, averaging 90.3 points scored and 82.3 allowed.
- Szolnoki have averaged 73.0 points in two domestic away games (3 and 17 October), versus 99.0 in four home league games.
- Szolnoki shot 35.7% from three (130/364) across 15 games through 28 October; Phoenix shot 26.9% (36/134) across six NB I A games.
- The teams have no completed head-to-head meeting on record.
- Both teams last played on 28 October, giving each about three days' rest before 31 October.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsPhoenix-MT Fot over 19.5Estimated chance57.6%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 30, 20:08

Selected line

171.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

41%

Chance of 172+ points

15 pp below break-even

Over 1.79 needs 56% to break even. BetBugs sees 41%.

Move the line main 171.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 41%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 59%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

League table

NB I A · NB I. A - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

Phoenix-MT Fot

3–350%

Szolnoki Olaj

4–267%

Recent Form

Phoenix-MT Fot

3W 3L · last 6

at Atomeromu Paks85–108 Oct 28NB

vs Alba Fehervar79–67 Oct 24NB

at DEAC88–81 Oct 17NB

vs Kecskemeti TE91–66 Oct 11NB

at Szedeak71–77 Oct 3NB

at Szombathely75–94 Sep 26NB

Szolnoki Olaj

8W 7L · last 15

vs Basquet Girona81–79 Oct 28FIB

vs Budapesti Honved Se99–80 Oct 25NB

at Levice85–79 Oct 22FIB

at Soproni KC72–81 Oct 17NB

at Dinamo Bucharest76–93 Oct 13FIB

vs Kormend103–79 Oct 9NB

vs Zielona Gora80–90 Oct 6FIB

at NKA Pecs74–70 Oct 3NB

vs Kaposvari90–91 Sep 29NB

vs OSE Lions104–93 Sep 25NB

vs Szombathely82–113 May 27NB

at Szombathely81–75 May 25NB

vs Szombathely78–89 May 22NB

at Szombathely85–91 May 19NB

vs Szombathely94–79 May 16NB

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

Phoenix-MT Fot

6 games

Stats

3–2

Szolnoki Olaj

Phoenix-MT Fot leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 2–1

2-point %+0.4pp

56.1%

+0.4pp

55.7%

3-point %+8.8pp

26.9%

+8.8pp

35.7%

Free-throw %+4.0pp

74.8%

+4.0pp

70.8%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s7.2pp apart

22.9%

7.2pp apart

30.1%

Free throws per shot1.8pp apart

35.3%

1.8pp apart

33.5%

Possession· 1–1

Rebounds per game+0.5

33.3

+0.5

32.8

Turnovers per game1.0 fewer

13.8

1.0 fewer

12.8

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 43.5

Result3 outcomes · top 64.7%

Points7 outcomes · top 73.8%

Total points

League table

Recent Form

Phoenix-MT Fot

Szolnoki Olaj