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NH OstravaPlzen

Sat 31 Oct 2026, 16:3031 Oct, 16:30

10Probabilities0Priced1Edges87.9%Strongest

Strong leanLean

Quick Take

Read first

Plzen are 1-8 and have conceded 94.3 points per game across four road games; Ostrava are 4-0 at home.

Expect Ostrava to win, with the score landing near 90.8-76.0. One price merits attention: under 86.5 combined first-half points at 1.87. Ostrava by more than 16.5 points at 1.76, over 170.5 combined points at 1.75 and Ostrava over 93.5 team points at 1.75 ask more than the form supports.

Context

Fifth hosts eleventh in the NBL regular season; the real variables are Plzen's unconfirmed leading scorer and a road defensive figure built on only four games.

Basketball markets here include overtime: the winner and the combined points count the whole game.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result6 outcomes · top 87.9%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: NH Ostrava 90.8, Plzen 76.0. NH Ostrava win in about 88 of 100 games like this, overtime included.
- NH Ostrava are 5-3 in the 2026-27 NBL over 8 games, averaging 85.8 points scored and 81.1 allowed; at home they are 4-0 with 86.8 scored and 74.5 allowed.
- Plzen are 1-8 in the 2026-27 NBL over 9 games, averaging 77.6 scored and 91.7 allowed; away from home they have allowed 94.3 per game over 4 games.
- On 28 Oct 2026 Ostrava beat Usti n. Labem 82-61 at home, while Plzen lost 74-98 at Pardubice.
- Across 15 box-score games Ostrava shoot 49.7% on two-pointers and 33.3% on three-pointers; Plzen shoot 43.8% and 31.9% respectively.
- Plzen's T. D'Amico (14.8 points, 30.1 minutes per game) did not appear in the 28 Oct box score after playing on 25 Oct, though the research has no confirmed availability update.
- The six head-to-head games date from 2010-2012 and are not treated as evidence of current form.
BetBugs · Match WinnerNH OstravaEstimated chance87.9%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: NH Ostrava 90.8, Plzen 76.0. NH Ostrava are ahead at the end of the 1st half in about 79 of 100 games like this.
- NH Ostrava are 5-3 in the 2026-27 NBL over 8 games, averaging 85.8 points scored and 81.1 allowed; at home they are 4-0 with 86.8 scored and 74.5 allowed.
- Plzen are 1-8 in the 2026-27 NBL over 9 games, averaging 77.6 scored and 91.7 allowed; away from home they have allowed 94.3 per game over 4 games.
- On 28 Oct 2026 Ostrava beat Usti n. Labem 82-61 at home, while Plzen lost 74-98 at Pardubice.
- Across 15 box-score games Ostrava shoot 49.7% on two-pointers and 33.3% on three-pointers; Plzen shoot 43.8% and 31.9% respectively.
- Plzen's T. D'Amico (14.8 points, 30.1 minutes per game) did not appear in the 28 Oct box score after playing on 25 Oct, though the research has no confirmed availability update.
- The six head-to-head games date from 2010-2012 and are not treated as evidence of current form.
BetBugs · 1st Half ResultNH OstravaEstimated chance78.8%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: NH Ostrava 90.8, Plzen 76.0. NH Ostrava cover +0.5 in the 2nd quarter in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for NH Ostrava and 15 for Plzen, across seasons and competitions.
- NH Ostrava are 5-3 in the 2026-27 NBL over 8 games, averaging 85.8 points scored and 81.1 allowed; at home they are 4-0 with 86.8 scored and 74.5 allowed.
- Plzen are 1-8 in the 2026-27 NBL over 9 games, averaging 77.6 scored and 91.7 allowed; away from home they have allowed 94.3 per game over 4 games.
- On 28 Oct 2026 Ostrava beat Usti n. Labem 82-61 at home, while Plzen lost 74-98 at Pardubice.
- Across 15 box-score games Ostrava shoot 49.7% on two-pointers and 33.3% on three-pointers; Plzen shoot 43.8% and 31.9% respectively.
- Plzen's T. D'Amico (14.8 points, 30.1 minutes per game) did not appear in the 28 Oct box score after playing on 25 Oct, though the research has no confirmed availability update.
- The six head-to-head games date from 2010-2012 and are not treated as evidence of current form.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter HandicapNH Ostrava +0.5Estimated chance76%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: NH Ostrava 90.8, Plzen 76.0. NH Ostrava are ahead at the end of the 2nd quarter in about 72 of 100 games like this.
- NH Ostrava are 5-3 in the 2026-27 NBL over 8 games, averaging 85.8 points scored and 81.1 allowed; at home they are 4-0 with 86.8 scored and 74.5 allowed.
- Plzen are 1-8 in the 2026-27 NBL over 9 games, averaging 77.6 scored and 91.7 allowed; away from home they have allowed 94.3 per game over 4 games.
- On 28 Oct 2026 Ostrava beat Usti n. Labem 82-61 at home, while Plzen lost 74-98 at Pardubice.
- Across 15 box-score games Ostrava shoot 49.7% on two-pointers and 33.3% on three-pointers; Plzen shoot 43.8% and 31.9% respectively.
- Plzen's T. D'Amico (14.8 points, 30.1 minutes per game) did not appear in the 28 Oct box score after playing on 25 Oct, though the research has no confirmed availability update.
- The six head-to-head games date from 2010-2012 and are not treated as evidence of current form.
BetBugs · 2nd Quarter ResultNH OstravaEstimated chance71.5%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: NH Ostrava 90.8, Plzen 76.0. NH Ostrava cover +0.5 in the 3rd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for NH Ostrava and 15 for Plzen, across seasons and competitions.
- NH Ostrava are 5-3 in the 2026-27 NBL over 8 games, averaging 85.8 points scored and 81.1 allowed; at home they are 4-0 with 86.8 scored and 74.5 allowed.
- Plzen are 1-8 in the 2026-27 NBL over 9 games, averaging 77.6 scored and 91.7 allowed; away from home they have allowed 94.3 per game over 4 games.
- On 28 Oct 2026 Ostrava beat Usti n. Labem 82-61 at home, while Plzen lost 74-98 at Pardubice.
- Across 15 box-score games Ostrava shoot 49.7% on two-pointers and 33.3% on three-pointers; Plzen shoot 43.8% and 31.9% respectively.
- Plzen's T. D'Amico (14.8 points, 30.1 minutes per game) did not appear in the 28 Oct box score after playing on 25 Oct, though the research has no confirmed availability update.
- The six head-to-head games date from 2010-2012 and are not treated as evidence of current form.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter HandicapNH Ostrava +0.5Estimated chance69.3%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: NH Ostrava 90.8, Plzen 76.0. NH Ostrava are ahead at the end of the 1st quarter in about 67 of 100 games like this.
- NH Ostrava are 5-3 in the 2026-27 NBL over 8 games, averaging 85.8 points scored and 81.1 allowed; at home they are 4-0 with 86.8 scored and 74.5 allowed.
- Plzen are 1-8 in the 2026-27 NBL over 9 games, averaging 77.6 scored and 91.7 allowed; away from home they have allowed 94.3 per game over 4 games.
- On 28 Oct 2026 Ostrava beat Usti n. Labem 82-61 at home, while Plzen lost 74-98 at Pardubice.
- Across 15 box-score games Ostrava shoot 49.7% on two-pointers and 33.3% on three-pointers; Plzen shoot 43.8% and 31.9% respectively.
- Plzen's T. D'Amico (14.8 points, 30.1 minutes per game) did not appear in the 28 Oct box score after playing on 25 Oct, though the research has no confirmed availability update.
- The six head-to-head games date from 2010-2012 and are not treated as evidence of current form.
BetBugs · 1st Quarter ResultNH OstravaEstimated chance66.5%

Points4 outcomes · top 82.2%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: NH Ostrava 90.8, Plzen 76.0. The 3rd quarter has more than 34.5 points in about 82 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for NH Ostrava and 15 for Plzen, across seasons and competitions.
- NH Ostrava are 5-3 in the 2026-27 NBL over 8 games, averaging 85.8 points scored and 81.1 allowed; at home they are 4-0 with 86.8 scored and 74.5 allowed.
- Plzen are 1-8 in the 2026-27 NBL over 9 games, averaging 77.6 scored and 91.7 allowed; away from home they have allowed 94.3 per game over 4 games.
- On 28 Oct 2026 Ostrava beat Usti n. Labem 82-61 at home, while Plzen lost 74-98 at Pardubice.
- Across 15 box-score games Ostrava shoot 49.7% on two-pointers and 33.3% on three-pointers; Plzen shoot 43.8% and 31.9% respectively.
- Plzen's T. D'Amico (14.8 points, 30.1 minutes per game) did not appear in the 28 Oct box score after playing on 25 Oct, though the research has no confirmed availability update.
- The six head-to-head games date from 2010-2012 and are not treated as evidence of current form.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Total PointsOver 34.5Estimated chance82.2%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: NH Ostrava 90.8, Plzen 76.0. NH Ostrava score more than 18.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 76 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for NH Ostrava and 15 for Plzen, across seasons and competitions.
- NH Ostrava are 5-3 in the 2026-27 NBL over 8 games, averaging 85.8 points scored and 81.1 allowed; at home they are 4-0 with 86.8 scored and 74.5 allowed.
- Plzen are 1-8 in the 2026-27 NBL over 9 games, averaging 77.6 scored and 91.7 allowed; away from home they have allowed 94.3 per game over 4 games.
- On 28 Oct 2026 Ostrava beat Usti n. Labem 82-61 at home, while Plzen lost 74-98 at Pardubice.
- Across 15 box-score games Ostrava shoot 49.7% on two-pointers and 33.3% on three-pointers; Plzen shoot 43.8% and 31.9% respectively.
- Plzen's T. D'Amico (14.8 points, 30.1 minutes per game) did not appear in the 28 Oct box score after playing on 25 Oct, though the research has no confirmed availability update.
- The six head-to-head games date from 2010-2012 and are not treated as evidence of current form.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsNH Ostrava over 18.5Estimated chance76.4%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Reference line · unpriced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: NH Ostrava 90.8, Plzen 76.0. Plzen score more than 16.5 points in the 3rd quarter in about 69 of 100 games like this. Historical reference line; unpriced forecast. Based on 15 completed games for NH Ostrava and 15 for Plzen, across seasons and competitions.
- NH Ostrava are 5-3 in the 2026-27 NBL over 8 games, averaging 85.8 points scored and 81.1 allowed; at home they are 4-0 with 86.8 scored and 74.5 allowed.
- Plzen are 1-8 in the 2026-27 NBL over 9 games, averaging 77.6 scored and 91.7 allowed; away from home they have allowed 94.3 per game over 4 games.
- On 28 Oct 2026 Ostrava beat Usti n. Labem 82-61 at home, while Plzen lost 74-98 at Pardubice.
- Across 15 box-score games Ostrava shoot 49.7% on two-pointers and 33.3% on three-pointers; Plzen shoot 43.8% and 31.9% respectively.
- Plzen's T. D'Amico (14.8 points, 30.1 minutes per game) did not appear in the 28 Oct box score after playing on 25 Oct, though the research has no confirmed availability update.
- The six head-to-head games date from 2010-2012 and are not treated as evidence of current form.
BetBugs · 3rd Quarter Team PointsPlzen over 16.5Estimated chance69%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Expected score after 40 minutes: NH Ostrava 90.8, Plzen 76.0. NH Ostrava score fewer than 48.5 points in the 1st half in about 64 of 100 games like this.
- NH Ostrava are 5-3 in the 2026-27 NBL over 8 games, averaging 85.8 points scored and 81.1 allowed; at home they are 4-0 with 86.8 scored and 74.5 allowed.
- Plzen are 1-8 in the 2026-27 NBL over 9 games, averaging 77.6 scored and 91.7 allowed; away from home they have allowed 94.3 per game over 4 games.
- On 28 Oct 2026 Ostrava beat Usti n. Labem 82-61 at home, while Plzen lost 74-98 at Pardubice.
- Across 15 box-score games Ostrava shoot 49.7% on two-pointers and 33.3% on three-pointers; Plzen shoot 43.8% and 31.9% respectively.
- Plzen's T. D'Amico (14.8 points, 30.1 minutes per game) did not appear in the 28 Oct box score after playing on 25 Oct, though the research has no confirmed availability update.
- The six head-to-head games date from 2010-2012 and are not treated as evidence of current form.
BetBugs · 1st Half Team PointsNH Ostrava under 48.5Estimated chance64.3%

Total points

Drag or swipe the line to compare point totals and published chances.

Full game · overtime included

Price snapshotOct 30, 01:56

Selected line

170.5

Bookmakers' main total

BetBugs · Over

42%

Chance of 171+ points

15 pp below break-even

Over 1.75 needs 57% to break even. BetBugs sees 42%.

Move the line main 170.5

Over Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 42%

Under Bookmaker quote

BetBugs 58%

Tap a price to compare bookmakers. White mark = break-even chance; pp = percentage points. Half-point totals cannot tie.

W80–67

NH Ostravav Plzen

Plzen

Mar 10, 2012·NBL

L87–71

Plzenv

NH Ostrava

Feb 7, 2012·NBL

W88–56

NH Ostravav Plzen

Plzen

Dec 17, 2011·NBL

W75–95

Plzenv

NH Ostrava

Oct 11, 2011·NBL

W61–67

Plzenv

NH Ostrava

Jan 8, 2011·NBL

W115–73

NH Ostravav Plzen

Plzen

Oct 23, 2010·NBL

155.8Avg total points

21.5Avg margin

6meetings

League table

NBL · NBL - Regular Season

#TeamW–LWin %

NH Ostrava

5–363%

Plzen

1–811%

Recent Form

NH Ostrava

7W 8L · last 15

vs Usti n. Labem82–61 Oct 28NBL

at Decin76–87 Oct 24NBL

vs Slavia Prague ERA NBK91–79 Oct 17NBL

at Pardubice98–110 Oct 3NBL

vs Hradec Kralove89–82 Sep 30NBL

at Olomoucko76–77 Sep 27NBL

vs Brno85–76 Sep 23NBL

at Opava89–77 Sep 19NBL

vs Nymburk70–116 May 5NBL

vs Nymburk71–93 May 4NBL

at Nymburk67–101 May 1NBL

at Nymburk69–113 Apr 30NBL

at Olomoucko102–71 Apr 24NBL

vs Olomoucko81–77 Apr 22NBL

at Opava68–100 Apr 18NBL

Plzen

3W 12L · last 15

at Pardubice74–98 Oct 28NBL

vs Hradec Kralove77–84 Oct 25NBL

at Olomoucko81–72 Oct 16NBL

vs Brno69–83 Oct 11NBL

at Opava82–92 Oct 3NBL

vs USK Prague81–84 Sep 30NBL

vs Srsni Pisek81–88 Sep 27NBL

at Usti n. Labem74–115 Sep 23NBL

vs Decin79–109 Sep 17NBL

at Svitavy94–107 Mar 291.

vs Svitavy91–96 OTMar 271.

at Pardubice 287–82 Mar 201.

vs Novy Jicin85–77 Mar 151.

at Zlin66–87 Mar 61.

vs Pardubice 268–74 Mar 11.

Stat Battle

Last 15 games · all competitions

NH Ostrava

Stats

3–2

Plzen

NH Ostrava leads in 3 of 5 performance stats.

Shooting· 3–0

2-point %+5.9pp

49.7%

+5.9pp

43.8%

3-point %+1.4pp

33.3%

+1.4pp

31.9%

Free-throw %+3.7pp

70.4%

+3.7pp

66.7%

Scoring mix· style, not ranked

Points from 3s5.3pp apart

35.8%

5.3pp apart

41.1%

Free throws per shot4.9pp apart

36.1%

4.9pp apart

31.2%

Possession· 0–2

Rebounds per game+4.0

35.1

+4.0

39.1

Turnovers per game0.7 fewer

16.1

0.7 fewer

15.4

Bars show values. Scoring mix describes style; fewer turnovers is better. Sample badges mark gaps.

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 86.5

Result6 outcomes · top 87.9%

Points4 outcomes · top 82.2%

Total points

League table

Recent Form

NH Ostrava

Plzen